Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Minnesota and Colorado - In state convention bounce?

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Minnesota is clearly running redder right now than expected, with Obama averaging a 2.5 point lead over the last 6 polls.

Colorado is clearly running bluer right now than expected, with Obama averaging a 7 point lead over the last three polls.

Could this be a longer lasting in-state convention bounce for each party?

And if so, will it last? We certainly know that the Obama campaign used the Invesco speech as an organizing tool, which should hopefully bring some long-lasting effects. It's worth keeping an eye on these two states to see if either reverts to their historical norm.