Presidential Forecast Contest Results

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With the resolution of Missouri for McCain and NE-2 for Obama, the final EV count is 365-173. Which makes the winner of our Presidential Forecast Contest reader Roger Lewis, who had the only entry which correctly guessed the exact number of Electoral Votes. (Full list of entries here). Interestingly, no one got all the states (even ignoring NE-2) correct. It was the MO/IN combination that was difficult - only two entries correctly gave MO to McCain and IN to Obama. Roger had the two states wrong, but still nailed the total EV count since both states had 11 EVs.

Johnny, tell Roger what he's won:

Roger, you've won an assortment of credentials to Democratic Conventions, both from this year and from years past. You've also won an official Obama-Biden yard sign, and other Obama "stuff".

Thanks to everybody for taking part.

DCW Presidential Forecast Reminder

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Have you made your prediction yet? If not, click here.

If you want to see the projections to date, click here. (Thanks reader 26376)

Do you know about the contest?

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Online Surveys & Market Research

If your answer was "E" - look here.

DemConWatch Presidential Forecast Contest

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Update: The contest is closed. No more entries please.

You’ve been commenting on the numbers for a long time, and here’s your chance to participate. Predict how the election will go and win DemConWatch glory, as well as a few trinkets!

See an overview of all the predictions so far. (Thanks to reader 26376!)

We’re looking for the following information:

Final EV Count for Obama, including the specific winner of the following states:

Colorado
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Minnesota
Missouri
Montana
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
North Carolina
North Dakota
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia
West Virginia

Tiebreaker: Predict Obama and McCain's national vote percentage, to 1 decimal point. (as determined by CNN on Wednesday, 11/5, 8 PM EDT). (% of total votes, not just Obama and McCain votes). (If everything ties, earliest entry will win).

Please use the comments and the following format:

XXX Total Electoral Votes
Obama (XXX), McCain (XXX)
Obama xx.x%, McCain xx.x%

Example:

333 Total Electoral Votes
Obama (NH, CO,...) McCain (WV...)
Obama 78.2% McCain 20.0% (numbers will not add up to 100% due to 3rd parties - if your numbers add up to 100%, you will be less accurate).

Here's a map you can use to make your predictions:

<p><strong>><a href='http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/interactives/campaign08/electoral-college/'>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends.</p>

The Fine Print:

Entries must be received by 5 p.m. EDT, on 3 November 2008 – Use the comments for your submissions. Update: The contest is closed. No more entries please.
One entry per person.
Decision of the judges is final, and there is no cash equivalent for the prize pack.
The winner will be announced in a DCW post, and you will need to provide us with your real name and address at that time so we can send you the stuff. (Do NOT put your name and address in with your submission, this is the internet.)
Contest is open to everyone, except DCW staff and their families. (No, we don’t know any more than you do, but fair is fair,)