Showing posts with label Virginia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Virginia. Show all posts

Monday, December 01, 2008

2009 Governors: Terry McAuliffe?

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

We've mentioned it before, here and here: Terry is thinking of running.

It's hard to know where to begin. Perhaps with what he has to say:

As I consider running for Governor, I plan on spending the next two months having a conversation with Virginians. I’m going to travel to every corner of our Commonwealth, my home for nearly 20 years, and share my vision for a Virginia that continues to lead the nation in public management, education, and business climate. How do we grow our economy to create more jobs and decrease the skyrocketing cost of living? How do we invest in the infrastructure we need to thrive as a state?
If you go over to his site, there is a place to sign up if you want to have Terry come and visit.

He'll be announcing his decision on 7 January.

First, the fun: Wrestling the alligator:
"Are you nuts? I'm from Syracuse, New York, the most dangerous animal I've ever seen is a squirrel. I ain't wrestling no alligator. "

-- To Seminole Chief Jim Billie of Florida, who pledged in 1980 to donate $15,000 to the Democratic Party if McAuliffe wrestled a 260-pound alligator for three minutes. McAuliffe eventually did it.
Yes, Terry has had an interesting life. Y'all know him from his work on the Clinton presidential campaign, but before that he spent a lifetime in Democratic politics, and did head the DNC. He has never held elective office.

Terry McAuliffe is a 51 year old, well-connected, life-long, political operative. This background certainly gives him the background necessary to launch a campaign, and possibly to win his own election.

The question is, would he make a good governor? Certainly, if one lives in Virginia and Terry runs, the choice of whether or not to vote for him would be influenced by who runs against him. But the more general question is: is it a good idea for political operatives to move over to elective politics?

On the one hand, understanding the system may well make "governing" easier as the learning curve is less than for, say, an academic coming into office. On the other hand, being a lifelong partisan may make it more difficult for the administration to find common ground with "the other side."

To me, the question is one of what does the candidate really stand for? When one is a political operative, especially someone who has worked for the party all his life, does that make his beliefs identical to those of the party? Or would he represent the needs of his constituency, which in this case would be the people of Virginia? Virginia is a recently blue state: is there a better chance to keep it blue by running a moderate or a progressive?

Terry went to college in DC, and has lived in Northern Virginia most all of his life since law school. So he counts as a local, if you count Northern Virginia as being representative of all of Virginia.

But what do you think?

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

2009/2010 Gubernatorial Races

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

There are 2 states which will hold gubernatorial elections in 2009: Tim Kaine is term limited in Virginia, and Jon Corzine looks to be running unopposed by any Democrat for a second term in New Jersey. We'll be up with frames on these races in the next few days. I'm wondering what Terry McAuliffe learned from the HRC campaign...

There are 36 states which will have gubernatorial elections in 2010; of them, 20 are currently held by Democrats, and 16 by Republicans. This list is current as of today, but may change with Senate seats to be filled, as well as administration positions to be filled. Not to mention, you can never tell when someone might get indicted.


Some of these folks are term-limited, some are not. Some may have Senate aspirations, and there may be a choice to be made about an additional Gubernatorial term, or a Senate term, also up for grabs in 2010.

As always, Democrats in blue, Republicans in red. My comments are in green. (TL) means the person is term-limited.

While DCW did not cover the Gubernatorial races for 2008, we’re on it now.

Alabama: Bob Riley (TL)
Alaska: Sarah Palin What can we say that hasn't been said before? Oh, yes, think IRS audit, and more legal problems, and she STILL might be the GOP Presidential nominee in 2012.
Arkansas: Mike Beebe
Arizona: Janet Napolitano (TL)
California: Arnold Schwarzenegger (TL)
Colorado: Bill Ritter
Connecticut: Jodi Rell
Florida: Charlie Crist He may also run for President in 2010. Does anyone know if he ever married the woman he got engaged to, so as to pander in an attempt to get the veep slot?
Georgia: Sonny Perdue (TL)
Hawaii: Linda Lingle (TL)
Illinois: Rod Blagojevich (think i-n-d-c-t-m-e-n-t)
Idaho: Butch Otter
Iowa: Chet Culver
Kansas: Kathleen Sebelius (TL)
Maine: John Baldacci (TL)
Maryland: Martin O'Malley
Massachusetts: Deval Patrick
Nebraska: Dave Heineman
New Hampshire: John Lynch
New York: David Paterson Announced around the time he took over for Eliot Spitzer that he would run for a full term in 2010.
Michigan: Jennifer Granholm (TL)
Minnesota: Tim Pawlenty
Nevada: Jim Gibbons Good personal dirt available - I'm saving it.
Ohio: Ted Strickland
Oklahoma: Brad Henry (TL)
Oregon: Ted Kulongoski (TL)
Pennsylvania: Ed Rendell (TL) May run against Arlen Spector, who has already announced he will run for re-election as Senior Senator from PA. Chris Matthews (yes, that Chris Matthews) may also throw his hat in the ring.
Rhode Island: Donald Carcieri (TL)
South Carolina: Mark Sanford (TL)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (TL)
Texas: Rick Perry
Tennessee: Phil Bredesen (TL)
Vermont: Jim Douglas He's said he wants Pat Leahy's Senate seat if Senator Leahy retires. If Douglas doesn't run, look for a really fun campaign cycle.
Wisconsin: Jim Doyle
Wyoming: Dave Freudenthal (TL)

Wednesday, November 05, 2008

The Senate

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Welcome to Kay Hagan, Senator-elect from North Carolina who won with 53% of the vote over Liddy Dole's 44%. Luckily, Liddy won't have to face running into any of her prior constituents, since she doesn't live in North Carolina. Welcome, Senator Hagan.

Welcome to Jeanne Shaheen, Senator-elect from New Hampshire. And decisive win, 52%/45% over her rematch with John Sununu. Welcome, Senator Shaheen.









And as for voting for the Udall near you...Welcome Senators Udall. Mo would be so very, very proud.












And finally, last, but the first Senate race we
knew, months ago. Welcome, Senator Warner from the Commonwealth of Virginia. No, not THAT Senator Warner, the NEW Senator, Mark Warner, DEMOCRAT from Virginia.