GOTV in Georgia

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Tomorrow's the big day in the Georgia and the only way we're going to win is to have a massive Get Out the Vote effort. You can help by logging into my.barackobama.com and making some calls or volunteering to work on the ground.

Get out the vote for Jim Martin for US Senate to help Barack Obama implement his vision in Washington, DC!

Also, to organize a phonebank with paper call lists you can sign up at: www.nationalfield.org/phonebank

Most importantly, we need more help on the ground. If you are interested in coming to Georgia and joining our team, email us at:
volunteer@martinvictory.com

DemConWatch will be covering the results tomorrow night.

Lunchtime Trivia

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Ben Smith is reporting on the write-ins on the Florida ballots.

Hillary won with 234.

Here is the list of those who received one vote each: Abstain, Against All, Alfred E. Newman, Bill Clinton, Bill O'Riely, Bill Richardson, Bobby Bowden, Bugs Bunny, May the best man win, Me, Morgan Freeman, Mr. Bill, Newt Gingwrich, None (Anarchy), Oprah, Pat Buchannan, Ralph Nader, Hilary Bush, Homer Simpson, Jay Plotkin, Jimmy Carter, Joe the Plumber, John Doe, Lieberman, Theodore Roosevelt, They Both Suck '08, Tiger Woods, Tommy Chong, Truman, Weird Al Yancovic, William Crosby and Willie Nelson.

I love democracy...

Alaska Voter Turnout

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It had appeared that the turnout in Alaska was comparatively low. Turns out, turnout will end up being larger than at any time in history in terms of numbers, although a percentage point down from 2004. Specifically,

The state will count the final absentee and questioned ballots Tuesday -- about 24,000 of them. Even if a third of the questioned ballots are disqualified, that will put the turnout above 320,000, the most Alaskans who have ever voted.

The turnout numbers are definitely helping Mark Begich,who was up 1022 based on the most recent numbers. Ethan Berkowitz, not so much, as it appears that Don Young has kept his seat.

The issue ssems to be when the absentee ballots are counted. In Alaska, it seems that the absentee ballots are not counted until after Election Day, once the state is satisfied that someone did not vote in person, and therefore twice (if their absentee ballot was counted in addition.) It's one way to approach absentee ballots.

Here in Pennsylvania, we have a reverse process. All absentee ballots are required to be at County Voter Services offices by the Friday preceding any election. They are packeted in a sealed envelope and given to the local precincts. Absentee ballots are counted/scanned immediately after the polls close, and no tallies are taken until the absentees are counted. A list of absentee voters is posted at each polling place, so that people who want to vote in person can do so, which causes their sealed absentee ballot is removed and voided.

These are two diametrically opposed views of absentee ballots, each with benefits and liabilities. In Alaska, it's easier to early vote compared to Pennsylvania, where you need an excuse to do so, and those excuses are limited to "will be out of town", "physically cannot vote in person" or "over age 65." On the downside in Alaska, as we're seeing now, in a close election, the results are delayed.

So, how should election systems balance voter flexibility (to make it as easy as possible for people to vote) with the necessity of keeping elections honest (one man, one vote)? Remember, while the date for Federal elections is set by the Constitution, the implementation is set individually by states, and in some cases, counties.

Would a Constitutional amendment making all Federal elections one system, such as mail-in ballot only, be a good idea? If so, what are the ramifications to the election of a President? Do you go with an all electronic-system? To keep that system honest, would you employ use of retinal scans or fingerprints? What would the effect of THAT be on privacy and records? If you go with optical scan ballots, what does that mean for people who need help voting? If they are all mailed in, does that present an opportunity for partisans to go door to door and "help" people vote a certain way? Is this something we want in Federal hands, or it is best left to the locals?

A View From Inside The Polls

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As you read this, I'll be working second shift at the polls. Ballots and procedures vary from state to state, and even counties and cities within states. But here's how it goes where I live.

SHAMELESS PLUG: But first, I know that a lot of you are not working the polls. I know that intuitively because most people who work the polls are older. While we won't know the average age for 2008 until after the election, in 2004, the average age was 72. AVERAGE. Which means there are a lot of people in their 70's and 80's. And I'm pretty sure they're not the prime demographic of this blog.

As an aside: consider working the polls. I wouldn't say "it's fun", but I've done it for a few years, and I'm always glad I did it. If you ever want to, just call your local city/county Voter Services office, and volunteer. Here, you attend a 2 hour class, for which they give you a $10 bill, a pen, and candy.

WORKING THE POLLS: You check people in, you call our their names so that the poll watchers can check off their lists, as well as in case anyone wishes to object to a voter. Then, you have them sign the book, compare their signature, hand them a ballot, write their name next to the next sequential number in the "another book", and send them to their booth to fill out their ballot. This "another book" has numbered lines, so that we can tabulate the number of voters, provisional voters, and spoiled ballots. Then, there are people at the scanner to receive the completed ballots. All ballots go into folders, so the selections are private.

In between, you solve problems related to people's names not being in the book, people who have come to the wrong polling place, people who filled out absentee ballots but want to vote in person, and a bunch of things you never can predict.

CLOSING THE POLLS: At 8 p.m. someone stands at the end of line (if there are people who haven't voted) so that people who weren't in line by 8 p.m. can't vote. We make sure that everyone who IS in line by closing time CAN vote, no matter how long that line may be. Our polling place is the largest in the township, and we are hoping to split it, but we haven't found an appropriate venue yet.

Once the polls are officially closed, we open the absentee ballots. They are in two envelopes. We use the outside envelope to check that the signature is correct. Then we take the inner envelopes, shuffle them, open them, and stack the ballots. Finally, we scan those ballots. While this is going on, the Ivotronic (touch screen) machine is closed out. We have one, and since optical scan is our default, very few people use it. It is there generally for the blind, as there are headphones so that the ballot can be read to them, and they can hear how they voted, and change if needed.

Once the absentee ballots are scanned, the optical scan machine is closed, meaning we have a tally. So here's the answer to that age old question of "why does it take so long to get the results?" While we at the precinct polls know the initial tally, we're nowhere near done. And until we're DONE, we don't report to the county.

We pull the ballots with write-ins, tabulate them, and add them to the post sheet.

Then...

We need to make sure that the number of ballots balances. We add together:

Used optical scan ballots
Ivotronic vote "ballots"
Absentee ballots
Provisional ballots
Spoiled ballots (trust me, it happens)
Unused ballots

And compare that tally to the total number of ballots we received in the morning, AND to the number of lines used in the "another book". Then, because the number is usually off by 1 - 5, we do it again until we find the error. Once we have balanced, all of our equipment is packed up. We have different coloured packages for different types of paperwork, plus we have machines and voting booths (where people fill out the ballots) to close up.

Then, the post sheet is completed. This includes the tallies for all the candidates in all the races, as shown on the ballot, plus the tally of write-ins. A copy of the post sheet is displayed where the public can see it. At our precinct, it is posted on the inside of the glass wall next to the door, facing out.

Then, another copy of the post sheet, with all the information, along with all the materials, is driven to County Voter Services, where they certify our unofficial results. Then they double check OUR work, and the tally is official.

Now you know.

12:30p.m. DEVELOPING STORIES FROM ELECTION PROTECTION

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***12:30p.m. DEVELOPING STORIES FROM ELECTION PROTECTION***

As of 12:30pm, Election Protection has received over 41,000 calls to the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline since the phones opened at 5:30am this morning.

FLORIDA

Voters in the Tampa-St. Petersburg area have experienced numerous problems trying to cast ballots this morning. We have preliminary reports of voters being turned away from the polls for incomplete registrations and instances of the statewide problem of broken optical scan machines in some two dozen polling locations all across the state.

MICHIGAN.

Voters are reporting massive voting machine malfunctions across the state resulting in long lines and discouraged voters leaving lines without casting a ballot. In many cases, poll workers are asking voters to cast their ballot on paper and they will tally them later. Some voters are being asked to vote on paper using magic markers.

MISSOURI

There were multiple reports of swapped poll books (voter lists for a given precinct at the wrong location) in Kansas City, MO. This issue has been resolved.

Stay tuned for more updates.

It's Election Day

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in case you hadn't heard

Vote Tomorrow and get free coffee from Starbucks

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Emerging Trends from the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline

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Yesterday alone, the 1-866-OUR-VOTE hotline received over 8,000 calls from across the country.

Some key issues:

* Katrina displacement: People who moved out of their damaged homes after hurricane Katrina are reporting confusion about their registration status and voting precinct to Election Protection's 866-OUR-VOTE hotline. Voting rights experts are working to resolve these questions to ensure that all eligible voters from the New Orleans area can exercise their right to vote in this historic election.

* Absentee voting problems are being widely reported, with particularly high rates in Virginia, Ohio and Florida. In one example, a caller from Florida had requested absentee ballots for herself and her husband, a stroke survivor who is unable to go to the polls. Neither ballot has arrived and if they don’t, she will be unable to vote as she is unable to leave her husband’s side to go to the polls.

* Polling place problems – such as extremely long lines – are of great concern to voters in Florida and Georgia, particularly in Miami-Dade and Broward counties in Florida, and Fulton County in Georgia.

To search Election Protection’s voter database, visit www.ourvotelive.org.

One Day Out

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Call-out to DCW reader Chris: THANKS for coming down from NY! Welcome to PA to help with the final push.

Call-out to DCW reader Mithras: Happy you are running one of the Philadelphia phone banks. Glad you haven't seen the liar-calls we have. THANKS for being on the alert.
_____________________

A few days after the election, I'm going to interview the campaign kid field operative who has been living in my house for the last several months. If there is anything you'd like to ask him, please leave it in the comments. I've had my list of questions for some time, and my first one (which I've already asked him) is: why did you decide to take a year off from college and work for Senator Obama? My second question will be: what did you learn?
_____________________

If you've ever worked at a phone bank, you know it's a mass of papers and noise, and surprising volunteers. There are two magnificent women, Chardie and Kadida, who are helping run the phone bank, and will be completely in charge tomorrow when I'm at the polls. (I'll see if I can't talk them into a picture later today.) We have people who sign up for a 3-hour shift, and stay all day, and run packets and errands, and really go the extra mile. Then again, if you ever worked a phone bank, and you want to really piss off the person in charge, walk in late, ask where the coffee is, and then complain about the brand.

Anyway, yesterday started with a phone call from a kid named Chas. He was at the canvass site, calling to report a water main break. Chas is 15, and has been phone banking and canvassing for months. We actually make him take breaks to get his homework done -- left to his own devices he'd work the campaign 24/7. He's been working the canvass site making packets, doing training, along with a dedicated group of people, including Gerry from NY, been here for the last 2 months; and, for this weekend, my campaign kid's father and uncle. His 82-year old grandmother was at the phone bank yesterday, and made calls for 7 solid hours. They also drove down from NY for this.

This time of year, the canvass shuts down before the phone bank because it's easier to make calls after dark than canvass. (And make calls we did: over 5100 of them.) The photo is Chas, with Olivia. The campaign is big on titles: Olivia was assigned to "security." It worked well, as there were a few little kids who came with their parents in the evening, so besides coloring or playing with dolls, they "babysat" Olivia. (Some security....)

We started with a list of about 5000 people. We have so far identified about 2000 supporters, and another 800 non-supporters, bad numbers, undecided voters, college kids who have already voted absentee, and we were able to get about another 50 volunteers from our calls. Our goal is to identify each and every supporter and get each and every one of them out to vote.

A lot of people don't like getting phone calls. Oreo sent me a Kos diary from a guy who appearantly lives not far from here (next county over) who is overjoyed at the phone calls and other campaigning. He says:

I am so overjoyed, I cannot sit still. Writing this diary, and sharing the glow from watching a community rise from political lethargy, is my way of celebrating.

We know from our numbers that there are people who did NOT know where their polling place was located. In one area, the "normal" polling place is under construction, so there is an alternate site. Some people are new to the area. Some people have limitations which require assistance at the polls, and we can easily arrange for solutions. This is why we do what we do.

Dems in better shape with Sec of state offices

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Ken Blackwell isn't around in Ohio this time to promote GOP shenanigans:

In anticipation of a photo-finish presidential election, Democrats have built an administrative firewall designed to protect their electoral interests in five of the most important battleground states.

The bulwark consists of control of secretary of state offices in five key states — Iowa, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico and Ohio — where the difference between victory and defeat in the 2004 presidential election was no more than 120,000 votes in any one of them.

With a Democrat now in charge of the offices, which oversee and administer their state’s elections, the party is better positioned than in the previous elections to advance traditional Democratic interests —such as increasing voter registration and boosting turnout — rather than Republican priorities such as stamping out voter fraud.

Perhaps more important, in those five states Democrats are now in a more advantageous position when it comes to the interpretation and administration of election law — a development that could benefit Barack Obama if any of those states are closely contested on Election Day. - Politico

Video Your Vote

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YouTube and PBS have teamed up for Video Your Vote.

Click here to see a map of all the videos that have been submitted.

Another cool thing they're doing is the Twitter Vote Report where you can report on your voting experience.
There's even an IPhone App for it.

Early Voting - A Question

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Early voting tallies are here, please take a look.

OK, now here's the question:

If you read the internet or listen to the TV, the pundits will tell you, basically, that people are voting their party. Therefore, someone might say "Obama is winning because the early voting is running +6D" or "McCain is winning because the early voting is running +6R".

However, I've been making a lot of phone calls. And knocking on a lot of doors. Sometimes, I put on a giant shirt, cover it with Obama buttons, don my Obama ball cap, and walk around a shopping center to see who comes up to me. And while the professionals will OF COURSE AS USUAL point out that this is not valid data, it strikes me that there are a lot of people who may not be voting their party.

The enthusiastic woman on the end of the phone, who was SO convincing, I asked if she'd help with GOTV. She can't -- she's employed by a local Republican elected official.

The guy from Alaska who has already voted absentee, but is here working for us. He's a long time Ted Stevens/Don Young fan. But he voted for Obama.

The people I KNOW PERSONALLY who are life-long Republicans, voting Obama, and ask me to not let on to any of the people we know in common.

My sense is that the vast majority of Democrats are voting Obama. I have however, personally spoken to several who aren't - they're going Nader -OR- they are writing in "Hillary Clinton". Still, not a McCain voter in the lot.

So, if you had to guess -- of the early voters: what percentage of the early GOP-registered vote is actually going to McCain? We'll never know for sure, since the early vote tallies will meld with the final tallies, and then there will be a total per state, not per party. Perhaps someone will be able to statistically hazard a guess, but what you put on the ballot is still private.

Record Voter Turnout

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All across America, we are seeing voters participate in the early vote process at record levels. Several states have already seen more than 1 million voters cast ballots, and here in Nevada more than 35% of all registered voters are participating - and the numbers are increasing in the final days of the early voting process.

Using Nevada as a specific example, early vote usually comprises 50% of the total turnout in an election. If we use that historical trend and figuring that the 35% participating rate will conclude at a 40% rate by the end of the early vote period - we could be looking at 80% voter turnout on election day.

What this points to is that election officials are bracing for huge turnout on election day all over the country.

These numbers are so high that at first glance, political professionals would think they don't make sense. They suggest that we need to check and re-check our data. But the data is in fact accurate - and the turnout is through the roof. It's unbelievable - I feel like I'm taking crazy pills.

Ok, so let's say it's not 80% and instead only peaks at 70%. Hell, even the 60% participation rate of the 2004 election was historic (the highest recorded rate was 63% in 1963).

One news station predicts 68% turnout in Nebraska, parts of Illinois predicting 80% and in Nevada the projected levels are also at 80%.

What does this all mean for you?

Apart from the historic nature of these levels of participation, it also means that we could see extremely long lines and waits on election day. ABC News reports:

A record number of Americans are voting early this year, and Election Day turnout is expected to be so high that experts predict long, snaking lines -- and plenty of legal challenges.

"A key question," says Edward B. Foley, of Moritz College of Law at Ohio State University, "is whether the infrastructure can handle the volume that we will see."

If you have the opportunity, please look into voting early or Vote-by-Mail (which is the method of choice in states like California). And be sure to tell your friends. Otherwise, be sure to pack a lunch to take along with you to the polling place on Tuesday...

What Every Colorado Voter Should Know for Election Day

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From the Colorado Democratic Party

The 2008 election is generating enormous interest from voters across Colorado. Based on early voting and Mail-in Ballot receipts, we can expect very high turnout, including a large number of first-time voters, on Election Day.

The Colorado Democratic Party is working closely with election officials in all counties to make sure that all Coloradans who want to vote and are eligible to vote, have their voices heard, their vote counted, and that the integrity of the voting system and the election are protected.

To help anyone who has questions about their polling location or the election process, we have launched our Voter Education Hotline at 877-CO08-VOTE (877-260-8868), and a website, http://www.voteforchange.com/, which serves as a one-stop-shop for any election questions.

To make every Coloradan's voting experience as effortless as possible, we recommend take a couple of easy steps before they go to their polling place:

* Remember, it's always a good idea to check your voter registration. You can check your registration at www.voteforchange.com or by calling 877-CO08-VOTE (877-260-8868).

*Identification is required in order to vote in Colorado, so bring your I.D. to the polls. If you forget to bring one, you are still entitled to vote.

* Any registered voter who meets his or her state's requirements to vote has the right to cast a ballot at the polls on Election Day. While wearing campaign gear is not allowed at the polls, no matter what, your vote cannot be taken away from you. Leave your buttons or t-shirt in the car or at home, take off your button before entering the poll or put a jacket over your T-shirt. You will still be allowed to vote.

*Plan ahead. In addition to voting for president, U.S. Senate, U.S. Representative and state offices, there are several ballot initiatives. Decide how you'll vote before you go to the polls and bring notes, a sample ballot or any other materials that will help you fill out your ballot.

*If you have questions or encounter any Election Day problems, call 877-CO08-VOTE (877-260-8868).
Most important in this most critical election year, this is your opportunity to make your voice heard and your vote counted. Be patient. Take your time. We encourage everyone who is eligible to vote!

Today's Shameless Plug

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I ask this on a regular basis. But there's something to repetition.

Elections are won one voter at a time.

Please watch this video and then send it to five friends (or as they note about 3/4 of the way through, five enemies). Remind them to vote. That college kid whose first time it is. That relative who believes one vote never matters. The person who believes the polls mean that Obama will win anyway, and therefore it's not worth spending the time.

The video is non-partisan.

When?

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We're less than a week out, and we've got dueling messages. There are those Obama supporters who are saying "Obama landslide." There are those McCain supporters who are saying, "Not so fast...". A lot of people are saying that it will be much more close than anyone suspects.

A lot of you have already entered our contest to nail the EVs and the battleground state numbers. If not, click here.

For today's poll, we're going to look at the "when" of it all. Oreo kindly posted the poll closing times here. And you can match them up to the state-by-state EVs here.

Before you begin your calculations, bear the following in mind: YEAR 2000. Everyone called Florida for Gore before they called Florida for Baby Bush. Because of this, there is a National Election Pool. Data is collected and goes into a hermetically sealed room. Just kidding. But theoretically, and because of past problems, the exit data won't be released until really late in the day. Remember, this is a pool report, and all the major networks and news agencies will be getting their information from the pool. Since a lot of you are junkies, if you want to see the old exit polls, they're here. (And for any of you who may be new to DCW, I respectfully use the word "junkie" as a compliment.)

REMEMBER: ALL TIMES EASTERN

So, the first polls close at 6. No one can win at 6 because the only two states for which results can be released are Kentucky and Indiana, and those numbers don't get anyone to 270. Plus, will one of them be called at 6? "Too close to call"? "Too early to call"?

You may be able to extrapolate a time based on trends you see from the 7 p.m. closures, but maybe not.

The poll below has some general times on it. As always, I am limited to ten responses. So, pick the time you think is closest in the poll, and then use the comments to pick an EXACT time, called by your stated legitimate news source (e.g. CNN, MSNBC), that the winner will be called. Remembering 2000, called wrong doesn't count.

No prizes, just junkie fun!

Online Surveys & Market Research

And then, remember to stay with DemConWatch after the election for the best Transition and Inauguration coverage.

Extended Early Voting Hours

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Governor Charlie Crist extended early voting hours from 8 hours to 12 a day. He did this because:

Crist said the right to vote is sacred and that "many have fought and died for this right."

Now, if you're anything like me, you believe that voting is obligatory, and should be as easy as possible. (OK, most people would replace "obligatory" with "a right".) So why, you may ask, would it be a big deal? And why, you might ask, are the polls ONLY open 8 hours a day?

Consider this:

In 2005, the Republican-dominated state legislature, over the objection of the county election supervisors who run the balloting, passed laws limiting polling places to city halls, the main offices of county election boards and public libraries. County election officials wanted to expand that list to include community centers, health clinics, recreational centers and other public facilities.

Why would they want to restrict where people would vote? The same reason they wanted to limit the hours. You can read the whole report, but you can also check out page 11, where you'll find out WHO votes early. And it's not Republicans.

Remember, this is FLORIDA, where to get a paper trail for ballots, the Democrats had to cede the date of Primary Date, 2008.

Per Ben Smith -

[Referring to (Republican) Governor Crist] "He just blew Florida for John McCain," one plugged in Florida Republican just told me.

GOTV in Colorado

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This race will be won or lost in a few crucial battleground states -- including Colorado.

Our get out the vote operation in Colorado is ready to go, but now it's up to you to fill the volunteer shifts. You can pick the exact day and time you'd like to help out, and we'll tell you where.

No experience is necessary. Campaign staff and volunteers will give you everything you need to be part of this historic effort.

The last four days before Election Day will be the most important of this entire campaign.

Everything we have worked for over the past 20 months will come down to what we do -- or don't do -- to get out the vote.

Change never comes without a fight, and it won't come at all unless each of us does our part.

You can sign up to volunteer here.

Help make the long lines easier

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JeffLieber over at DailyKos has a great idea on how you can help make the long lines on Tuesday easier to handle.

There WILL BE lines on election day.

Long lines.

Some of those lines will be inevitable... some will be due to historic turnout... and SOME will be due to the design of those still hoping they can exhaust the will of change.

And despite the fact that everyone has been warned, people are bound to get frustrated and tired and cold and hungry and bored out of their fucking minds to the point that they will think, "What's one more vote?"

And that's where we come in.

As a last act of giving (by you who have no doubt already given so very much), go out and buy a half-dozen of those two dollar umbrellas, walk to your local polling place and offer them to those who are out there standing in the rain. Ask them, when THEY are done... to pass the umbrella on.

Or rummage through that drawer in the basement with the forgotten winter hats and gloves and (after running them through the washer and the dryer) offer them, at the local college, to some students who didn't QUITE think the whole process through.

Coffee for the weary. A snack for the hungry.

Minnesota pushing hard to GOTV

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Here are a couple of events in Minnesota to help get out the vote.

This Thursday, October 30th, please join President Bill Clinton with special guests U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar and Senate Candidate Al Franken in Minneapolis, where they will talk about Barack's vision for creating the kind of change we need.

Five Days to Change Rally
with President Bill Clinton
and Special Guests Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Al Franken

Minneapolis Convention Center
Exhibit Hall A
1301 2nd Ave. S.
Minneapolis, MN

Thursday, October 30th
Doors Open: 7:00 p.m.

Click here to RSVP

And... for those Bright Eyes fans out there:

With just six days until Election Day, Conor Oberst, the guitarist and vocalist of the popular band Bright Eyes, will host a Get Out The Vote concert today at Loring Pasta Bar in Minneapolis, near the University of Minnesota campus.

WHAT:
Get Out The Vote Concert with Conor Oberst

WHEN:
2 :30 PM, Wednesday, October 29

WHERE:
Loring Pasta Bar
327 14th Av. SE.
Minneapolis, MN

RSVP Online at:
http://mn.barackobama.com/ConorOberst

Want to attend? All you have to do is sign up for two "Get Out the Vote" volunteer shifts between now and Election Day.