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Wednesday, January 07, 2009

More Bush last minute appointments

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While we were happy to see 100s of Bush nominations die last week when the old Senate adjourned, unfortunately he is still able to make appointments that don't require Senate confirmation:

President Bush made another round of last-minute appointments Tuesday, giving 45 aides, supporters and others a parting gift as he leaves office: presidential appointments to boards and councils, with terms lasting three to six years after he leaves office.

The full list as released by the White House after the jump includes attorney general Michael Mukasey, deputy national security advisor Elliott Abrams, and Homeland Security secretary Michael Chertoff. - CNN

 The full list follows below.


Read more...

The President intends to appoint Robert D. McCallum, Jr., of Georgia, to be a Member of the J. William Fulbright Foreign Scholarships Board, for the remainder of a three-year term expiring 09/22/10.

The President intends to appoint Martin Faga, of Virginia, to be a Member of the Public Interest Declassification Board, for the remainder of a three-year term expiring 10/03/11.

The President intends to appoint the following to be Members of the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes, for six-year terms expiring 06/19/14:

Panel of Conciliators:

James C. Boggs, of Virginia;

William Burck, of New York;

Ronald A. Cass, of Virginia;

Emmet Flood, of Maryland.

Panel of Arbitrators:

Fred F. Fielding, of Virginia;

Daniel M. Price, of Maryland.

The President intends to appoint the following individuals to be Members of the Board of Directors of the Valles Caldera Trust:

Raymond Loretto, of New Mexico, (State or Local Government Representative in New Mexico), for a four-year term beginning 01/17/09;

Virgil Trujillo, of New Mexico, (Livestock Management Representative), for a four-year term beginning 01/17/09.

The President intends to appoint the following individuals to be Members of the President’s Council on Physical Fitness and Sports, for the remainder of two-year terms expiring 05/03/10:

David Allen Josserand, of Florida, and upon appointment designate Chairman;

Kirk M. Bauer, of Maryland, and upon appointment designate Vice Chairman;

Steven Bornstein, of California;

Susan Lieberman Dell, of Texas;

Allyson Felix,of California;

Susan Finn, of Ohio;

Diego Gutierrez, of Illinois;

James W. Holsinger, of Kentucky;

Michelle Kwan, of California;

Robert A. Labonte, of North Carolina;

Edward R. Laskowski, of Minnesota;

Elisha Nelson Manning, of Louisiana;

David W. Marsh, of Alabama;

Leslie E. Miles, of Louisiana;

Omar Minaya, of New Jersey;

Richard F. Phelps, of Indiana;

Ruth Riley, of Florida;

Jason Sehorn, of California.

The President intends to appoint the following individuals to be Members of the United States Holocaust Memorial Council:

Elliot Abrams, of Virginia, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Joshua B. Bolten, of the District of Columbia, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Alan I. Casden, of California, for the remainder of a five-year term expiring 01/15/11;

Michael Chertoff, of New Jersey, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

William Danhof, of Michigan, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Sanford Gottesman, of Texas, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Cheryl Feldman Halpern, of New Jersey, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09,;

J. David Heller, of Ohio, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Amy Kaslow, of Maryland, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

M. Ronald Krongold, of Florida, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Michael B. Mukasey, of New York, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09;

Daniel Silva, of the District of Columbia, for a five-year term beginning 01/16/09.

The President intends to appoint the following individuals to be Members of the President’s Committee on the National Medal of Science, for the remainder of a three-year term expiring 12/31/11:

Sally K. Mason, of New Jersey;

Robert Y. Moore, of Pennsylvania;

Henry Yang, of California.

The President intends to appoint the following individuals to be Members of the Architectural and Transportation Barriers Compliance Board, for the remainder of four-year terms expiring 12/03/12:

Nancy Ann Starnes, of Virginia, (Individual with a Disability);

Hans A. Van Winkle, of Texas.

The President intends to designate Lynne A. Osmus, of Virginia, to be Acting Administrator of the Federal Aviation Administration, to become effective January 16, 2009.

The President intends to designate Susan E. Dudley, of Virginia, to be Acting Administrator of the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs at the Office of Management and Budget.

Tuesday, December 02, 2008

Appointment updates

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Lots of news and rumors today.

First, Bill Richardson will be named as Commerce Secretary at a 11:40 ET press conference tomorrow.



Second, more rumored appointments:

Labor activist Mary Beth Maxwell has emerged as a serious candidate for Secretary of Labor, Democratic and transition offiicials confirm. The Wall Street Journal reported this morning that Maxwell, who'd be the first openly gay cabinet secretary, is being vetted for the job, along with Jennifer Granholm of Michigan and Kathleen Sebelius of Kansas. Of the three, Sebelius has the inside track and the closest relationship with Obama. Sebelius has also been mentioned as a potential pick for Secretary of Education.- The Atlantic
  • Rep. Raul Grijalva (D-AZ) is the top candidate to be Secretary of the Interior. - The Atlantic
  • James Steinberg, the deputy national security adviser under Bill Clinton, is close to being named as Hillary's deputy at the State Department. - TPM

Ludacris: Chambliss Is Just About Politics, Not The People

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It was a chilly evening in Atlanta Monday night, but that didn't deter supporters of Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Jim Martin from rallying on the steps of the State Capitol a day before the closely-watched run-off election between Martin and Republican Saxby Chambliss.

"We need at least one U.S. Senator who is a Democrat and works for us in Washington," state Democratic Party Chair Jane Kidd told the crowd. "All we have is 24 hours to get the job done."

Accompanying Kidd on the stage was a who's who of political leaders, radio personalities and hip-hop artists --including Iraq War veteran Tammy Duckworth and Michigan Congressman John Conyers-- all encouraged Democrats to get out the vote for Jim Martin.

Grammy award winning artists Ludacris and T.I. along with BET Hip-Hop award winning artist Young Jeezy took the podium to talk about how proud they were of Barack Obama's victory while urging Georgia to finish the drill by electing Jim Martin to the Senate.

"I definitely feel like we need a senator who's going to work with Mr. President Obama to fix our economy as opposed to someone whose message is just to block Obama's agenda," Atlanta native Ludacris said of Martin and Chambliss. "That lets me know that he [Chambliss] is just about politics and not about helping the American people."

Civil rights icon John Lewis echoed those words telling the crowd that "Saxby Chambliss is not our friend."

"Barack Obama needs Jim Martin in the United States Senate," Congressman Lewis said amid cheers. "The state of Georgia needs Jim Martin in the United States Senate."

Voter turnout is expected to be light in today's run-off election, a fact that was not lost on Jim Martin as he closed out yesterday's get out the vote rally.

"This election is about who wants it the most," Martin said. "I want you to vote first and then help other people."

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

President-Elect Obama Names Two New White House Staff Members

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WASHINGTON – President-elect Barack Obama today announced two new members of the White House staff. Jonathan Favreau will serve as Director of Speechwriting, and Cecilia Muñoz will serve as Director of Intergovernmental Affairs.

“We’re continuing to build a White House team that can rise to the challenges facing this country – and I couldn’t be more excited to announce Jon and Cecilia. I’m confident that at a critical time in our history, this White House will restore openness and accountability to our Executive Branch and help to put government back in the hands of the people it serves.”

Jonathan Favreau, Director of Speechwriting
Jon Favreau served as Director of Speechwriting during the 2008 presidential campaign. He has worked for President-elect Obama since February 2005, when he joined Obama’s United States Senate office as Speechwriter. Previously, Favreau served as Deputy Director of Speechwriting on John Kerry’s 2004 presidential campaign. A resident of North Reading, Massachusetts, Favreau received a Bachelor of Arts in political science from the College of the Holy Cross in 2003.

Cecilia Muñoz, Director of Intergovernmental Affairs
Cecilia Muñoz currently serves as Senior Vice President for the Office of Research, Advocacy, and Legislation at the National Council of La Raza (NCLR), where she supervises all legislative and advocacy activities conducted by NCLR policy staff. Muñoz is the Chair of the Board of Center for Community Change, and serves on the U.S. Programs Board of the Open Society Institute and the Board of Directors of the Atlantic Philanthropies. She is the daughter of immigrants from Bolivia and was born in Detroit, Michigan. In June 2000, she was awarded a MacArthur Foundation fellowship in recognition of her work on immigration and civil rights.
In case you're wondering... no it's not that Jon Favreau.

John Dingell

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We mentioned earlier that Henry Waxman won the House Caucus election to serve as the head of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, and that there would be more to follow.

I had planned to put up a post pointing out that as winter turns into spring, John Dingell will become the longest serving House member (two Senators are still ahead for total Congressional time), when he surpasses Jamie Whitten (D-MS) who served from 1941 to 1995.

There was also going to be the mention that Dingell's wife, Debbie, is a GM executive. I was going to say something snarky about how I'm sure that had nothing to do with Dingell's lifelong stance against CAFE standards, nor his commitment to support of the Big Three.

I would have, but instead, there's this:

Congressman Dingell was taken to a DC area hospital yesterday afternoon, suffering "discomfort". He was treated on the Hill, and then was able to walk to the ambulance. As of the lastest information, they're still running tests and keeping him for observation. He is 82.

Congressman Dingell, I haven't always agreed with your votes on environmental issues, but you have done your job of representing your constituency in the Michigan 15th. Sometimes, in believing in the overall issue, I forget that "All politics is local", as Tip O'Neill always said.

Please get better. We need you: history should have as its longest serving Congressman someone who fought for ALL his constituents, not a segregationist who only fought for those consituents who were white.

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

John Conyers, Donna Brazille To Hold Rallies For Jim Martin [UPDATED]

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As Georgia's December 2nd run-off election approaches, the Martin for Senate campaign continues to ramp up its efforts to unseat Republican Saxby Chambliss.

Tuesday morning, Jim Martin's campaign announced that Michigan Congressman John Conyers and prominent Democratic strategist Donna Brazille would make campaign stops in Atlanta and Savannah to rally the troops in advance of the December election.

John Conyers, who is a founding member of the Congressional Black Caucus, will appear in Savannah at the local Martin for Senate campaign office. Democratic strategist Donna Brazille will hold two rallies in Atlanta on the college campuses of Morris Brown & Spelman.

Brazille made history in 2000 as the first African-American female to run a major presidential campaign when she served as former Vice President Al Gore's campaign manager.

[UPDATE]: The Martin for Senate campaign just announced that Mississippi Congressman Bennie Thompson will join Donna Brazille at an Atlanta campaign rally before heading to Columbus, Georgia for a pep talk to volunteers at the local Martin campaign office.

Thursday, November 20, 2008

House: Commerce and Energy

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Henry Waxman, of California, is taking over the chair of the House Committee on Commerce and Energy from John Dingell of Michigan, based on a secret ballot this morning.

Why you care:

1. This upends the seniority system that has always been in place in the House. (Or at least as long as I can remember).

2. Waxman is an environmentalist. Dingell, not so much.

More to follow.

Saturday, November 15, 2008

Obama announces key White House staff

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President-elect Obama and Vice President-elect Biden today announced the following key White House staff, Valerie Jarrett, Phil Schiliro and Ron Klain. Valerie Jarrett will serve as Senior Advisor and Assistant to the President for Intergovernmental Relations and Public Liaison, Phil Schiliro as Assistant to the President for Legislative Affairs and Ron Klain to be the Chief of Staff to the Vice President.

"These individuals will be essential members of our team as we work to bring Republicans and Democrats together to strengthen our struggling economy and make Washington work for all Americans. I have the utmost confidence that their broad and diverse experience will serve my administration and the American people well in the challenging months," said President-elect Barack Obama.

"Ron Klain has been a trusted advisor of mine for over 20 years. He brings extraordinary judgment, a deep understanding of the important policy issues facing our nation, a wide range of experience in the executive, legislative and judicial branches of government, as well as a unique understanding of how the Vice President's office works. He will be an important addition in helping the Obama-Biden Administration bring the change we need to America," said Vice President-elect Joe Biden.
Read more...

Valerie Jarrett, Senior Advisor and Assistant to the President for Intergovernmental Relations and Public Liaison

Valerie B. Jarrett became the President and Chief Executive Officer of The Habitat Company on January 31, 2007. From November 1995 through January 31, 2007, she was the Executive Vice President of The Habitat Company. The Habitat Company is one of the nation’s premier developers and managers of residential apartments and condominiums. Habitat has developed more than 17,000 housing units and currently manages more than 20,000 units. Before joining The Habitat Company in 1995, Ms. Jarrett served for eight years in the City of Chicago government; first as Deputy Corporation Counsel for Finance and Development, then as Deputy Chief of Staff for Mayor Richard M. Daley and finally, as Commissioner of the Department of Planning and Development. Prior to her City government service, Ms. Jarrett practiced law with two private law firms.

Ms. Jarrett currently serves as a co-chair of the Obama-Biden Presidential Transition Team and as a Director of USG Corporation, Inc., Navigant Consulting, Inc. and RREEF America II. She is Chairman of the University of Chicago Medical Center Board of Trustees. She is also Vice Chairman of The University of Chicago Board of Trustees, the Chicago 2016 Olympic Committee, and Metropolis 2020. She is a Director of the Local Initiative Support Corporation, The Joyce Foundation, The Metropolitan Planning Council and the Central Area Committee. She is a Trustee of the Museum of Science and Industry.

From 1995-2003, Ms. Jarrett also served as Chairman of the Chicago Transit Board. Ms. Jarrett served as Chairman of the Board of the Chicago Stock Exchange, Inc, from April 2004 through April 2007, and Chairman of the Board of the Chicago Stock Exchange Holdings, Inc., from February 2005 through April 2007. She also served as a Director of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago from January 2006 through April 2007. Ms. Jarrett served as Finance Chair for the 2004 U.S. Senatorial Campaign for Barack Obama, the first Treasurer of the Senator’s PAC, the Hopefund, and served as a Senior Advisor to the Obama for America Presidential Campaign. Ms. Jarrett received a J.D. degree from The University of Michigan Law School in 1981 and an A.B. degree from Stanford University in 1978.

Phil Schiliro, Assistant to the President for Legislative Affairs

Philip M. Schiliro is currently the Director of Congressional Relations for the transition team of President-Elect Barack Obama. Schiliro was a senior advisor to Senator Obama's presidential campaign. He has worked in the United States Congress for more than 25 years. Schiliro served as the Chief of Staff to Representative Henry Waxman and the House Oversight Committee in the House, and the Policy Director for Senate Democratic Leader Tom Daschle and Staff Director of the Senate Democratic Leadership Committees in the Senate.

Ron Klain, Chief of Staff to the Vice President

Ronald A. Klain has served in all three branches of the federal government. Mr. Klain previously worked for Senator Biden as Chief Counsel of the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee; during his tenure, the Committe acted on significant anti-crime legislation and two Supreme Court nominations. Mr. Klain later served as Staff Director for the Senate Democratic Leadership Committees under Democratic Leader Tom Daschle (D-SD). In the executive branch, Mr. Klain served as Chief of Staff to Vice President Al Gore for four years; he also served as Chief of Staff to Attorney General Janet Reno, and Associate Counsel to President Clinton in charge of judicial selection. Mr. Klain began his legal career as a law clerk for Supreme Court Justice Byron White, after graduating from the Harvard Law School magna cum laude.

Ron Klain has played a role on the debate preparation teams of every Democratic Presidential nominee since Bill Clinton's 1992 campaign. In 2008, he took an unpaid leave of absence from his post as Executive Vice President and General Counsel of Revolution LLC, to serve on the debate preparation teams for both Senators Obama and Biden.

Mr. Klain is a native of Indianapolis, Indiana. He now lives in Chevy Chase, Maryland with his wife Monica Medina, Senior Environmental Counsel at the Pew Charitable Trusts, and their three children, Hannah, Michael and Daniel.

Thursday, November 13, 2008

Foreclosures

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Yesterday, I wrote about some of the economic problems facing our country. I had a conversation last night with a friend who spent much of her working life in commercial real estate. She'd read the piece and wanted to talk about the plan to bail out homeowners. She pointed out that I hadn't directly mentioned anything about it, and wanted to explain to me why it was a bad idea to bail out homeowners.

Her opinion, which is shared by many people, is that the people who bought houses did this to themselves. They should have known that buying a $400,000 home with no money down on a $40,000 annual income was idiotic, at best. And there is some truth to that.

My friend, and many others, feel that they saved for a downpayment, took a 30 year fixed rate mortgage, gave up on extras to pay it off/pay it down, and shouldn't be made to pay for the mistakes of others who overspent, and used their homes as revolving ATMs.

People can argue about whether people should have known better, or whether they actually didn't understand the terms, and the real problem is that a deregulated lending system should never have allowed for no-doc loans. That's a long-term philosophical and historical discussion.

The real issue is "what do we do?" There's a town in California where fully 90% of the homes have mortgages on them where more is owed than what the houses are worth. Not a misprint: 90%. While that percentage can't spread nationwide, it could be approached in many communities in California, Arizona, Nevada, Florida, Michigan and Ohio.

What does it mean for a country if massive amounts of houses are abandoned? It means that the houses lose MORE value as vandals steal what they can. It means shrinking tax bases. Also, a rise in homelessness, decreased learning on the part of kids shuffled from school to school, and an inability of people to live anywhere near where they work. There are even public health concerns. All those abandoned swimming pools? The ones where no one pays the electricity to keep the pumps working, and water is left in them to preclude cracking? Meet your new neighbors: mosquitoes carrying diseases.

The homeowner bailout plans that I've looked at indicate that aid will only go to those homeowners who can pay off the mortgage at the new, lower, valuation and at a lower interest rate. It's a good idea, provided the loss is taken by the lenders.

Here's how it works. You bought a $350,000 house with no money down, and adjustable rate, and a 7-year balloon. Your plan had been to pay the first 3 years and then sell for $450,000. Unfortunately, your house is now worth $250,000, your monthly payment is about to hit $5000, and you can't get anyone to buy your house, even at $250,000, since there is precious little mortgage money.

You have NO SHOT at making the payments. You can walk away and mail the keys to the bank. Everyone loses.

Instead, the lenders (because there no longer is **a** lender, your mortgage has been sliced, diced, resold, repackaged, and sold several more times) agree to leaving your payment at the $2500 you can afford, they decrease the total due to $250,000, and extend the term of the loan. I didn't see this in any of my reading, but if I were writing the agreement, I'd put in a clause that precludes the borrowers from being allowed to take out a second or a HELOC so long as money was still owed on the mortgage.

Upside: an occupied home, tax revenue, kids in school, another family able to pay their bills, afford food, and life goes on.

It's not a perfect solution, but it's better than a nation of abandoned houses. But that's just my opinion, what's yours?

Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Transition Team Announces Agency Review Team Leads

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Obama-Biden Transition Team Announces Agency Review Team Leads for Departments of Treasury, State and Defense

WASHINGTON – The Obama-Biden Transition Team today announced the Agency Review Team leads for the Deperatment of Treasury, Department of State, and Department of Defense. The Obama-Biden
Transition Team also announced the Agency Review Team co-chairs, who will oversee the entire review process, as well as the Agency Review Working Group, which will manage and review the Teams' work and coordinate with other transition teams, including those handling personnel, policy and the budget.

The Agency Review Teams will complete a thorough review of key departments, agencies and commissions of the United States government, as well as the White House, to provide the President-elect, Vice President-elect, and key advisors with information needed to make strategic policy, budgetary, and personnel decisions prior to the inauguration. The Teams will begin their efforts by the end of the week, and will ensure that senior appointees have the information necessary to complete the confirmation process, lead their departments, and begin implementing signature policy initiatives immediately after they are sworn in.
Read more...

Department of the Treasury Agency Review Team Leads
Josh Gotbaum currently serves as an advisor to investment funds, with a special focus on restructurings and management turnaround. He was startup CEO of The September 11th Fund, a charity that serves people, businesses and non-profits. From 1994-2001, Josh held Senate-confirmed positions in Treasury, Defense, and OMB. From 1981-94, he was an investment banker, working on mergers and restructuring in North America and Europe. His clients included major corporations, unions, and government. He also has worked in the White House and at the Department of Energy.

Michael Warren is the Chief Operating Officer of Stonebridge International LLC. He also is on the Board of Directors of the District of Columbia Retirement Board, Catalist, the DC Minority Business Enterprise Center Advisory Board, Southeastern University’s Center for Entrepreneurship, Civitas, Riptopia, and the National Child Research Center. Mr. Warren previously worked at McKinsey & Company, both as a strategic consultant in the technology and financial institutions industries and as a fellow of the McKinsey Global Institute. Mr. Warren served within the White House as Executive Director of the President’s National Economic Council.

Department of State Agency Review Team Leads
Tom Donilon is a partner at the law firm of O’Melveny & Myers and serves on the firm’s global governing committee. Tom served as Assistant Secretary of State for Public Affairs and Chief of Staff at the U.S. Department of State during the Clinton Administration. Since leaving the Department he has remained deeply involved in the national security arena. He is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Aspen Strategy Group, the National Security Advisory Group to the Congressional Leadership, the Brookings Institution Board of Trustees, the Miller Center of Public Affairs Governing Council, and the Trilateral Commission.

Wendy R. Sherman is a Principal of The Albright Group LLC and of Albright Capital Management LLC. Ambassador Sherman served as Counselor and chief troubleshooter for the State Department, as well as Special Advisor to President Clinton and Policy Coordinator on North Korea. Sherman is a recognized expert on national security issues and serves as a frequent analyst in major news outlets. She was recently appointed by Congressional Leadership to serve on the Commission on the Prevention of Weapons of Mass Destruction Proliferation and Terrorism.

Department of Defense Agency Review Team Leads
John P. White is Robert and Renee Belfer Lecturer and Chair of the Kennedy School Middle East Initiative. He served as U.S. Deputy Secretary of Defense from 1995 to 1997, Deputy Director of the Office of Management and Budget from 1978 to 1981, Assistant Secretary of Defense, Manpower, Reserve Affairs, and Logistics from 1977 to 1978, and as a lieutenant in the United States Marine Corps from 1959 to 1961. Prior to his most recent government service, White was the Director of the Center for Business and Government at Harvard University and the Chair of the Commission on Roles and Missions of the Armed Forces.

Michèle A. Flournoy is President and Co-Founder of the Center for a New American Security. Previously, she was a senior adviser at CSIS and a distinguished research professor at NDU. In the Clinton administration, she was dual-hatted as principal deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and threat reduction and deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy. She is on the board of the Institute for Defense Analyses, and a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Aspen Strategy Group, the Executive Board of Women in International Security, and a former member of the Defense Policy Board.

Agency Review Co-Chairs
Melody Barnes is Co-chair of the Agency Review Working Group for the Obama-Biden Transition Project. She most recently served as the Senior Domestic Policy Advisor to the Obama for America campaign. Prior to joining the campaign, Ms. Barnes served as the Executive Vice President for Policy at the Center for American Progress, Chief Counsel to Senator Edward M. Kennedy on the Senate Judiciary Committee and a Principal at The Raben Group, LLC. Her experience also includes an appointment as Director of Legislative Affairs to the U. S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission. Ms. Barnes began her career as an attorney with Shearman & Sterling.

Lisa Brown is Co-chair of the Agency Review Working Group for the Obama-Biden Transition Project. She is on leave from the American Constitution Society for Law and Policy where she is the Executive Director. Lisa served as Counsel to Vice President Gore, with a broad legal and policy portfolio that included serving on the Executive Board of the President’s Committee for Employment of People with Disabilities. Before that, she worked in the Office of Legal Counsel at the Department of Justice, was a Partner at the D.C. law firm of Shea & Gardner (now Goodwin Procter), and clerked on the Eleventh Circuit Court of Appeals for the Honorable John C. Godbold.

Don Gips is on the Advisory Board of the Obama-Biden Transition Project and is Co-chair of the Agency Review Working Group. He is on leave from his role as Group Vice President of Global Corporate Development at Level 3 Communications, where he leads merger and acquisition efforts and is the Chief Strategy Officer. Prior to joining Level 3, Mr. Gips served in the White House as Chief Domestic Policy Advisor to Vice President Gore. Previously, Mr. Gips was Chief of the International Bureau at the Federal Communications Commission where he was responsible for the WTO negotiations and all spectrum policy. Mr. Gips also helped launch the Americorps Program at the Corporation for National Service. Before entering government, he was an Executive Manager at McKinsey & Company.

Working Group Members
Seth Harris is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the labor, education, and transportation agencies. He is a Professor and the Director of Labor & Employment Law Programs at New York Law School. He is also a Senior Fellow of the Life Without Limits Project of the United Cerebral Palsy Association and a member of the National Advisory Commission on Workplace Flexibility. He served as the Chair of Obama for America’s Labor, Employment, and Workplace Policy Committee and a Co-Chair of its Disability Policy Committee. During the Clinton Administration, he served as Counselor to the Secretary of Labor and Acting Assistant Secretary of Labor for Policy, among other policy-advising positions. Before joining the administration, he was a law clerk to Judge William Canby of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit and Judge Gene Carter of the U.S. District Court for the District of Maine. He was Editor-in-Chief of the Review of Law & Social Change at the New York University School of Law.

David J. Hayes is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the energy and natural resources agencies. He is former Global Chair of the Environment, Land and Resources Department at Latham & Watkins, an international law firm. He is a Senior Fellow at the World Wildlife Fund, advising the President of WWF on climate change matters, and he is a Senior Fellow at the Progressive Policy Institute, specializing on energy matters. Mr. Hayes is the Vice-Chairman of the national conservation group, American Rivers, and he is the former Chairman of the Board of the Environmental Law Institute. Mr. Hayes was the Deputy Secretary of the Interior during the Clinton Administration. During the 2007-2008 academic year, Hayes was a Consulting Professor at Stanford University’s Woods Institute for the Environment.

Reed Hundt, is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the international trade and economics agencies. He is a member of various boards of directors, a part-time senior adviser to McKinsey & Company, a strategic consulting firm, and an adviser to a number of firms. He served as the Chairman of the Federal Communications Commission from 1993 to 1997. Since that date, he has taught for a number of years at Yale College, Yale Law School, and the Yale School of Management, and Yale University Press has published two books written by him, You Say You Want A Revolution: A Story of Information Age Politics and In China’s Shadow: The Crisis of American Entrepreneurship.

Sally Katzen is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the Executive Office of the President and government operations agencies. She is a Lecturer at Michigan Law School and teaches American Government at the Michigan in Washington Program. She has also taught at George Mason, Pennsylvania and Georgetown law schools as well as at Smith College and Johns Hopkins University. From 1993-2001, she served as Administrator of the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs in the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), then Deputy Director of the National Economic Council, and then OMB’s Deputy Director for Management. She has served on National Academies of Science panels and is a Fellow of the National Academy of Public Administration. Before 1993, she was a partner at then Wilmer, Cutler & Pickering. She clerked for Judge J. Skelly Wright of the District of Columbia Circuit.

Tom Perez is as a member of the Obama Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the justice, health and human services, veterans affairs, and housing and urban development agencies. He is Secretary of the Maryland Department of Labor, Licensing and Regulation under Governor Martin O’Malley. He worked in a variety of civil rights positions at the Department of Justice, including Deputy Assistant Attorney General for Civil Rights under Attorney General Janet Reno. He also served as Director of the Office for Civil Rights at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services under Secretary Donna Shalala, and as Special Counsel to Senator Edward Kennedy. From 2001 until 2007, he was Assistant Professor of Law at the University of Maryland School of Law, and is an adjunct faculty member at the George Washington School of Public Health.

Sarah Sewall is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the national security agencies. She is on part-time leave from the Harvard Kennedy School of Government, where she teaches and is Faculty Director of the Carr Center for Human Rights Policy. Her research focuses on U.S. national security strategy, civil-military relations, counterinsurgency, terrorism and mass atrocity. Sewall served as the first U.S. Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Peacekeeping and Humanitarian Assistance (1993-1996). She previously served for six years as Senior Foreign Policy Advisor to Senate Majority Leader George Mitchell.

Louisa Terrell is a Working Group member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Team. Louisa is on leave from her role as Senior Director at Yahoo!’s public policy office in Washington, D.C. Prior to joining Yahoo! Louisa was Deputy Chief of Staff for Senator Joseph R. Biden, Jr. Previously, Louisa was counsel for Senator Biden on his Senate Judiciary Committee staff where she handled criminal sentencing, juvenile justice, child protection, immigration policy and women’s issues, among other areas and before that worked in the Civil Rights Division of the Massachusetts Attorney General’s Office.

Ray Rivera is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group. He was most recently State Director for the Obama-Biden Campaign in Colorado. He was also the State Director for the Colorado Caucus and served as Northeast Field Desk out of Chicago headquarters early in the campaign. Prior to the Obama Campaign, Ray was a Political Director for AFSCME, public employee’s labor union and a union organizer. Ray was born in Albuquerque, NM and graduated with a BA from the University of New Mexico in 2001.

Michael Warren is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group helping to oversee the international trade and economics agencies. He is on partial leave from his role as Chief Operating Officer of Stonebridge International LLC., where he is a member of the firm’s Management Committee. Prior to joining Stonebridge, Warren led corporate development at Horne Engineering Services and served as President of Appfluent Technologies. He also serves as Chairman of Ironbridge Systems. He is on the Board of Directors of the District of Columbia Retirement Board, Catalist, the DC Minority Business Enterprise Center Advisory Board, Southeastern University’s Center for Entrepreneurship, Civitas, and the National Child Research Center. Warren previously worked at McKinsey & Company, both as a strategic consultant in the technology and financial institutions industries and as a fellow of the McKinsey Global Institute, advising corporate leaders in the U.S. and Asian semiconductor industries. He served within the White House as Executive Director of the President’s National Economic Council.

Tom Wheeler is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group responsible for the science, technology, space and arts agencies. He has taken a leave of absence from Core Capital Partners, a venture capital firm working with early stage technology companies, where he is a Managing Director. For three decades, Wheeler has worked at the forefront of technology, both as an entrepreneur and as a policy specialist. He has been the CEO of the National Cable Television Association and the Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association, as well as the founder or co-founder of multiple new technology companies. Wheeler is the author of two books: Mr. Lincoln’s T-Mails and Leadership Lessons from the Civil War.

Jon Wilkins is a member of the Obama-Biden Transition Project’s Agency Review Working Group. He has taken a partial leave of absence from McKinsey & Company, where he is a partner in the Washington, DC office. Jon first joined McKinsey in 1996. He then worked at the Federal Communications Commission from 1998-1999 before re-joining McKinsey in 1999. He was Managing Editor of the Yale Law Journal.

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

2009/2010 Gubernatorial Races

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There are 2 states which will hold gubernatorial elections in 2009: Tim Kaine is term limited in Virginia, and Jon Corzine looks to be running unopposed by any Democrat for a second term in New Jersey. We'll be up with frames on these races in the next few days. I'm wondering what Terry McAuliffe learned from the HRC campaign...

There are 36 states which will have gubernatorial elections in 2010; of them, 20 are currently held by Democrats, and 16 by Republicans. This list is current as of today, but may change with Senate seats to be filled, as well as administration positions to be filled. Not to mention, you can never tell when someone might get indicted.


Some of these folks are term-limited, some are not. Some may have Senate aspirations, and there may be a choice to be made about an additional Gubernatorial term, or a Senate term, also up for grabs in 2010.

As always, Democrats in blue, Republicans in red. My comments are in green. (TL) means the person is term-limited.

While DCW did not cover the Gubernatorial races for 2008, we’re on it now.

Alabama: Bob Riley (TL)
Alaska: Sarah Palin What can we say that hasn't been said before? Oh, yes, think IRS audit, and more legal problems, and she STILL might be the GOP Presidential nominee in 2012.
Arkansas: Mike Beebe
Arizona: Janet Napolitano (TL)
California: Arnold Schwarzenegger (TL)
Colorado: Bill Ritter
Connecticut: Jodi Rell
Florida: Charlie Crist He may also run for President in 2010. Does anyone know if he ever married the woman he got engaged to, so as to pander in an attempt to get the veep slot?
Georgia: Sonny Perdue (TL)
Hawaii: Linda Lingle (TL)
Illinois: Rod Blagojevich (think i-n-d-c-t-m-e-n-t)
Idaho: Butch Otter
Iowa: Chet Culver
Kansas: Kathleen Sebelius (TL)
Maine: John Baldacci (TL)
Maryland: Martin O'Malley
Massachusetts: Deval Patrick
Nebraska: Dave Heineman
New Hampshire: John Lynch
New York: David Paterson Announced around the time he took over for Eliot Spitzer that he would run for a full term in 2010.
Michigan: Jennifer Granholm (TL)
Minnesota: Tim Pawlenty
Nevada: Jim Gibbons Good personal dirt available - I'm saving it.
Ohio: Ted Strickland
Oklahoma: Brad Henry (TL)
Oregon: Ted Kulongoski (TL)
Pennsylvania: Ed Rendell (TL) May run against Arlen Spector, who has already announced he will run for re-election as Senior Senator from PA. Chris Matthews (yes, that Chris Matthews) may also throw his hat in the ring.
Rhode Island: Donald Carcieri (TL)
South Carolina: Mark Sanford (TL)
South Dakota: Mike Rounds (TL)
Texas: Rick Perry
Tennessee: Phil Bredesen (TL)
Vermont: Jim Douglas He's said he wants Pat Leahy's Senate seat if Senator Leahy retires. If Douglas doesn't run, look for a really fun campaign cycle.
Wisconsin: Jim Doyle
Wyoming: Dave Freudenthal (TL)

Thursday, November 06, 2008

President-elect Obama To Hold Meeting With Transition Economic Advisory Board

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President-elect Barack Obama and Vice President-elect Joe Biden will hold a meeting with the Transition Economic Advisory Board tomorrow, Friday, November 7, 2008. There will be a pooled photo spray for the meeting. The press conference will be held at 1:30pm central at the Hilton Chicago following the meeting.

The members of the Transition Economic Advisory Board are below and all will participate in tomorrow’s meeting.

- David Bonior (Member House of Representatives 1977-2003)
- Warren Buffett (Chairman and CEO, Berkshire Hathaway)-will participate via speakerphone
- Roel Campos (former SEC Commissioner)
- William Daley (Chairman of the Midwest, JP Morgan Chase; Former Secretary, U.S. Dept of Commerce, 1997-2000)
- William Donaldson (Former Chairman of the SEC 2003-2005)
- Roger Ferguson (President and CEO, TIAA-CREF and former Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve)
- Jennifer Granholm (Governor, State of Michigan)
- Anne Mulcahy (Chairman and CEO, Xerox)
- Richard Parsons (Chairman of the Board, Time Warner)
- Penny Pritzker (CEO, Classic Residence by Hyatt)
- Robert Reich (University of California, Berkeley; Former Secretary, U.S. Dept of Labor, 1993-1997)
- Robert Rubin (Chairman and Director of the Executive Committee, Citigroup; Former Secretary, U.S. Dept of Treasury, 1995-1999)
- Eric Schmidt (Chairman and CEO, Google)
- Lawrence Summers (Harvard University; Managing Director, D.E. Shaw; Former Secretary, U.S. Dept of Treasury, 1999-2001)
- Laura Tyson (Haas School of Business, University of California, Berkeley; Former Chairman, National Economic Council, 1995-1996; Former Chairman, President’s Council of Economic Advisors, 1993-1995)
- Antonio Villaraigosa (Mayor, City of Los Angeles)
- Paul Volcker (Former Chairman, U.S. Federal Reserve 1979-1987)
Location:
Hilton Chicago
Continental Ballroom
720 S. Michigan Ave.
Chicago, IL 60605

Press Conference Begins: 1:30 PM

I think I already hear Fox News and Rush Limbaugh whining that Phil Gramm wasn't invited.

Tuesday, November 04, 2008

Presidential Election Results

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com



Electoral Votes RemainingStates
Decided
Electoral
Votes Obama
Electoral
Votes McCain
Obama
Pop.
Vote %
McCain
Pop.
Vote %






11
49 (and DC)
365
162
52.745.9






Last updated: 11/19/08

Update 11:00 Obama wins

Click here for our state-by-state table

Update 7:00 - CNN calls Vermont for Obama and Kentucky for McCain
Update 8:00 - CNN calls SC, OK, TN for McCain. Calls NJ, IL,DC, MA, CT, DE, MD, ME (3 of 4) for Obama
MSNBC called NH and PA for Obama
Update 8:35 - NBC calls AL, GA for McCain
Update: 8:40 - CNN calls PA for Obama
Update 9:00 - NBC calls MI, MN, WI, NY,RI for Obama. KS, ND, WY for McCain
Update 9:08 - NBC calls Arkansas for McCain
Update 9:28 - Fox News calls OH for Obama; NBC calls it also along with NM
Update: 9:40 - NBC WV for McCain
We're back... Rocky Mountain News and Denver Post call CO for Obama
10:41 - SD for McCain

This table is in order of poll closing times. It starts with the first state to close its polls and ends with the last. We are using the latest poll closing time in the state.

Table not fully updated.

StateElectoral Votes% Vote In
%
Obama
% McCain
Georgia15
73
39
60
South Carolina8
31
42
57
Vermont3
14
66
32
Virginia13
57
48
51
Indiana11
88
50
49
Kentucky8
97
42
57
Ohio
20
10
56
43
W Virginia
5
21
46
52
Connecticut
7
48
61
38
Delaware
3
5
55
44
DC
3
14
92
8
Maine
2-1-1
17
63
36
Tennessee
11
23
41
58
Maryland
10
41
62
37
Massachusetts
12
71
62
36
New Hampshire
4
46
55
44
New Jersey
15
75
56
43
Pennsylvania
21
78
57
42
Alabama
9
67
41
59
Florida
27
69
51
49
Illinois
21
42
59
40
Mississippi
6
58
41
58
Missouri
11
36
49
49
Oklahoma
7
77
34
66
North Carolina
15
32
53
47
Arkansas
6
27
43
55
New York
31
70
64
35
Rhode Island
4
50
62
37
Louisiana
9
60
37
62
Michigan
17
38
55
43
Minnesota
10
22
55
43
Wisconsin
10
31
54
45
Arizona
10
4
44
55
Colorado
9
19
56
43
Nebraska
2-1-1-1
29
46
53
New Mexico
5
19
56
43
South Dakota
3
59
45
53
Texas
34
52
45
54
Wyoming
3
60
35
62
Iowa
7
35
56
43
Kansas6
24
44
55
Montana3
6
52
45
Utah5
1
49
49
Nevada5
0
54
43
North Dakota3
59
42
56
California55



Idaho4



Oregon7



Washington
11



Hawaii
4



Alaska
3




















48


Fw: DEVELOPING STORIES: FL, MI, OH, VA

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

------Original Message------
From: Alan Boswell
To: Alan Boswell
Sent: Nov 4, 2008 12:52 PM
Subject: DEVELOPING STORIES: FL, MI, OH, VA

***2:45p.m. DEVELOPING STORIES FROM ELECTION PROTECTION*** (See http://blog.ourvotelive.org for live updates)
As of 2:45pm, Election Protection has received over 48,000 calls to the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline since the phones opened at 5:30am this morning.

FLORIDA
We have received more than 30 calls from voters all across the state concerned that their precinct's optical scan machine is not working. When this occurs, ballots are supposed to be placed in a "a secure bin" under the voting machine. Because of the volume of ballots, these bins are now filling up. We have received several reports of poll workers collecting ballots in a bag, which is not in accordance with the law. Election Protection is working with local election officials to ensure that all votes that have yet to be counted due to optical scan malfunctions are placed in secure locations.

MICHIGAN.
As of 11:45 a.m. EST, voters on Detroit's east side were waiting 5 hours to vote in 1,000-person long line at Beth Eden Baptist, largely as a result of an understaffed polling operation. An Election Protection partner law firm on the ground in Detroit is investigating the situation.

OHIO
Voters in several Ohio counties reported to Election Protection problems at their polling location due to poll workers not accepting proper identification and forcing the voters to cast provisional ballots.

VIRGINIA
Many machine issues from early this morning have been resolved but we continue to see major residual effects in the Chesapeake area where some voters are waiting in five to six hour lines.

Stay tuned for more updates.

Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

Fw: ELECTION ALERT: VIRGINIA AND PENNSYLVANIA VOTERS FACE SERIOUSTHREATS TO THEIR VOTING RIGHTS AT THE POLLS

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

-----Original Message-----
From: Alan Boswell <aboswell@gloverparkgroup.com>

Date: Tue, 4 Nov 2008 13:50:31
To: Alan Boswell<aboswell@gloverparkgroup.com>
Subject: ELECTION ALERT: VIRGINIA AND PENNSYLVANIA VOTERS FACE SERIOUS
THREATS TO THEIR VOTING RIGHTS AT THE POLLS


http://www.866ourvote.org/newsroom/press-releases?id=0041

For Immediate Release: November 4th, 2008

ELECTION ALERT: VIRGINIA AND PENNSYLVANIA VOTERS FACE SERIOUS THREATS TO THEIR VOTING RIGHTS AT THE POLLS

Voters can call 1-866-OUR-VOTE (1-866-687-8683) to report issues at the polls

November 4, 2008 - Voters are reporting major obstacles to casting their ballot in polling locations across Virginia and Pennsylvania, which could disenfranchise thousands of [state] voters. Long lines, broken voting machines, ballot shortages and misused absentee ballots are just some of the problems that threaten to rob thousands of eligible voters of their right to vote.

In Virginia:

* Dozens of polling places are experiencing varying degrees of machine malfunction. Some polling places are either completely closed or have been closed for hours.
* Thousands of voters may have been turned away illegally by polling workers.
* Voters have illegally been issued with provisional ballets where machines have been broken.
* Students at Virginia Tech, previously the victims of misinformation, have seen their polling place suddenly and unexpectedly moved six miles to a location with little parking.

In Pennsylvania:

* Voting machine malfunctions are widespread and at least a dozen locations, mainly focused on Pittsburg and Philadelphia.
* We have received reports of campaign materials are being illegally distributed at polling locations in Pittsburg.
* Voters across the state are reporting that they never received their absentee ballots, which is creating additional chaos at the polls.

Several other states like Florida, Ohio, Colorado and Michigan are reporting long lines due to problems with registration lists and poll locations.

Election Protection legal volunteers are working to resolve these issues quickly to ensure that no one leaves their polling location without effectively casting a ballot. Voting rights experts urge voters to stay patient and cooperative in the meantime and to report all instances of voter intimidation or disenfranchisement to Election Protection's 866-OUR-VOTE hotline immediately.

All voters have the right to vote without intimidation or problems. There is no excuse for these sorts of problems, which not only threaten individual voters' rights, but also the integrity of our election. The only way to prevent such failures in the future will be to institute comprehensive election reform to improve the registration process, voting systems, and administration and to prevent disenfranchisement of all voters.

If voters have questions about their rights, the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline has thousands of trained Election Protection volunteers and legal experts available to provide direct assistance to voters in across the country. Experts can help voters understand their rights, verify their registration status, find their polling place, and resolve Election Day issues.

###

Election Protection is the nation's largest nonpartisan voter protection coalition, led by the Lawyers' Committee for Civil Rights Under Law. Through its 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline (1-866-687-8683) and dedicated team of legal experts and trained volunteers, Election Protection helps all American voters, including traditionally disenfranchised groups, gain access to the polls and overcome obstacles to voting, offering live assistance. The coalition has more than 100 partners at the national, state and local level, and is providing live voter protection services now through Election Day for all 50 states.

For more information about Election Protection and the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline, please visit: www.866ourvote.org.

12:30p.m. DEVELOPING STORIES FROM ELECTION PROTECTION

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

***12:30p.m. DEVELOPING STORIES FROM ELECTION PROTECTION***

As of 12:30pm, Election Protection has received over 41,000 calls to the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline since the phones opened at 5:30am this morning.

FLORIDA

Voters in the Tampa-St. Petersburg area have experienced numerous problems trying to cast ballots this morning. We have preliminary reports of voters being turned away from the polls for incomplete registrations and instances of the statewide problem of broken optical scan machines in some two dozen polling locations all across the state.

MICHIGAN.

Voters are reporting massive voting machine malfunctions across the state resulting in long lines and discouraged voters leaving lines without casting a ballot. In many cases, poll workers are asking voters to cast their ballot on paper and they will tally them later. Some voters are being asked to vote on paper using magic markers.

MISSOURI

There were multiple reports of swapped poll books (voter lists for a given precinct at the wrong location) in Kansas City, MO. This issue has been resolved.

Stay tuned for more updates.

Election Day Issues

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

------Original Message------

From: Alan Boswell

To: Alan Boswell

Sent: Nov 4, 2008 8:19 AM

Subject:



***10 a.m. DEVELOPING STORIES FROM ELECTION PROTECTION***



As of 10am, Election Protection has received over 27,000 calls to the 1-866-OUR-VOTE Hotline since the phones opened at 5:30am this morning.



VIRGINIA

We have seen the situation on the ground in Virginia change drastically over the past hour. Election Protection is calling for the courts to keep the polls open an additional two hours.



MICHIGAN

There are widespread reports of line lines, lack of ample poll workers and general disorganization, resulting in waits as long as two hours. Machine malfunctions are also contributing long lines and in some cases poll workers administering polling through paper ballots. Some voters are expressing concern over the security of their ballots in these situations.



FLORIDA

We have received multiple reports that optical scanning machines are broken in Tallahassee, Tampa, Broward County and Miami-Dade County.



Stay tuned for more updates.



Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T

Monday, November 03, 2008

Presidential Forecast - 11/3 - The Final Forecast

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Obama leads 337-201, down 4 EV from the last projection, but still with a commanding lead.

The state-by-state map consensus is Obama 291 (-20) (Strong-243(-12), Lean-48(-8)), McCain 160(-3) (Strong-127, Lean-33(-3)), Tossup: 87 (+23).

Map changes: Towards Obama: NH, NM: OL->O, MT: ML->T. Towards McCain: PA: O->OL, OH: OL->T.

Be sure to join us on tomorrow for great coverage of what looks to be an historic night!

Please also check out our Senate Forecast and House Forecast.

The sources are sorted by each projection's estimate of Obama's Electoral Votes (Algorithm at bottom). The states are sorted from Obama-Strong to McCain -Strong. The right column shows a running total of Obama's EVs. States in 3 or more categories: AZ, GA, NV, ND, OH, VA.

DCW Presidential Forecast
State
EVsOpen Left538
.com
EV.
com
Elect. Proj.RCPFHQNBCCNNRMEVs
Date

11/3.11/3.11/3.11/3.11/3.11/3.11/3.11/3.11/3.
Obama-Strong (O)

273311228226228264227210260
Obama-Lean (OL)

652783525022598126
Tossup (T)

29269512512889959092
McCain-Lean (ML)

39171426141133360
McCain-Strong (M)

132157118109118152124121160
Obama Total

338338311278278286286291286
McCain Total

171174132135132163157157160
Obama Est.

347347346335336328331332328

California
55OOOOOOOOO55
Conn.
7OOOOOOOOO62
DC
3OOOOOOOOO65
Delaware
3OOOOOOOOO68
Hawaii
4OOOOOOOOO72
Illinois
21OOOOOOOOO93
Maryland
10OOOOOOOOO103
Massachusetts
12OOOOOOOOO115
New Jersey
15OOOOOOOOO130
New York
31OOOOOOOOO161
Oregon
7OOOOOOOOO168
Rhode Island
4OOOOOOOOO172
Vermont
3OOOOOOOOO175
Washington
11OOOOOOOOO186
Iowa
7OOOOOOOLOO193
Maine
4OOOOOOOOLO197
Michigan
17OOOOLOOOOO214
Minnesota
10OOOOOLOOOLO224
Wisconsin
10OOOLOOOOOLO234
NH
4OOOOOOOLOLOL238
New Mexico
5OOOLOOLOOLOLO243
Pennsylvania
21OOOLOLOLOOLOLO264
Colorado
9OOOLOLOLOLOLOLOL273
Virginia
13OLOOLTTOLOLOLOL286
Nevada
5OLOOLOLOLTTOLT291
Ohio
20OLOOLTTTTTT311
Florida
27OLOLTTTTTTT338
Missouri
11TTTTTTTTT349
N. Carolina
15TTTTTTTTT364
Indiana
11MLMLTTTTTTT375
Montana
3MLMLTTTMLTTT378
N. Dakota
3TMLTMLTMLTTM381
Arizona
10MLMTTTMMLMLM391
Georgia
15MLMTTTMMLMLM406
W. Virginia
5MMMLMLMLMLMLMLM
Arkansas
6MMMLMLMLMMMLM
S. Dakota
3MMMLMLMLMMLMM
Louisiana
9MMMMLMMMMM
Alabama
9MMMMMMMMM
Alaska
3MMMMMMMMM
Idaho
4MMMMMMMMM
Kansas
6MMMMMMMMM
Kentucky
8MMMMMMMMM
Mississippi
6MMMMMMMMM
Nebraska
5MMMMMMMMM
Oklahoma
7MMMMMMMMM
S. Carolina
8MMMMMMMMM
Tennessee
11MMMMMMMMM
Texas
34MMMMMMMMM
Utah
5MMMMMMMMM
Wyoming
3MMMMMMMMM


Open Left538
.com
EV.
com
Elect. Proj.RCPFHQNBCCNNRM....




































































Notes:
538 - FiveThirtyEight - Safe and Likely mapped to Strong (O or M), Lean to Lean (OL or ML), Tossup to Tossup (T)
CNN - Safe mapped to Strong, Leaning to Lean, Tossup to Tossup
Elect. Proj. - Election Projection - Solid and Strong mapped to Strong, Moderate to Lean, Weak to Tossup
EV.com - Electoral-Vote.com - Strong mapped to Strong, Weak to Lean, Barely and Tossup to Tossup
FHQ -
FrontLoading HQ - Solid mapped to Strong, Lean to Lean, Tossup (Dem and Rep) to Tossup
NBC - Base mapped to strong,
Lean to Lean, Tossup to Tossup
OpenLeft - Solid mapped to Strong, Lean to Lean, Tossup to Tossup
RM - Rasmussen - Safe and Likely mapped to Strong, Lean to Lean, Tossup to Tossup
RCP - RealClearPolitics - Solid mapped to Strong, Lean to Lean, Tossup to Tossup

The overall projection is just a straight average of each projections' estimate of Electoral Votes (EVs) for each candidate. For each projection other than FiveThirtyEight, we give Obama 100% of the EVs in a state that is solid for him, 80% of the EVs for a leaner, 50% of the EVs for a Tossup, 20% of the EVs for state that is McCain-Lean, and 0% of the Solid McCain states. Exact opposite for McCain. For FiveThirtyEight, we use their overall estimate of Obama's EVs, not the state-by-state categories.

Any state which is majority Strong, and has no Tossups, is considered to be Strong for all projections. The categories in the chart are original, but the final number for each projection is adjusted. For this forecast, the following states were affected by this change: IA, ME, MI, MN, NH, NM, WI (Obama), AR, LA, SD (McCain). This change has added 2 EVs to Obama's total.