Tuesday, May 30, 2006

Democratic Convention Quotes:

Here are some recent quotes on various cities bidding for the 2008 Democratic National Convention:

  • Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper, on Denver's chances: “I was more skeptical in the beginning. I think our chances now are 50-50, and maybe even a little better.”

  • Denver Host Comittee Co-Chair Steve Farber: “I think it's not only Denver's turn, I think that the Democrats are focusing and should focus to the west if they want to win the presidential election. They have to start picking up some western states.”

  • Political Analyst Eric Sondermann: “They're looking at which city has its act together in terms of hotel rooms and convention facilities. Bottom line they're looking at which city's going to provide the best photo op. The same logic that took the Republicans to New York City post Sept. 11 could take the Democrats to New Orleans, post hurricane Katrina."

  • Katherine Archuleta, chief operating officer for Denver: "I'd say we're the front-runner for the convention. The city is prettier than New York, it's more fun than Minneapolis, and the weather's better than in New Orleans."

  • St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman: "We will get one of these conventions, I am sure."

  • Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak: "We are planning to spend a significant amount of time showing … not only that the venues work, but that this community can lay out the red carpet or the blue carpet, whichever party it applies to."

Sunday, May 28, 2006

New Orleans tourism update

The New Orleans tourism industry is slowly coming back, but issues remain, and the first big trade show takes place in 4 weeks. The Orlando Sentinel reports on the industry:

Hotels in the New Orleans metro area are running at about 79 percent occupancy for the first quarter of this year, a seemingly healthy, but misleading rate because the number of hotel rooms available is down nearly 30 percent.

The city has 27,000 hotel rooms, about 70 percent of its total before the hurricane, and 2,600 restaurants.

Officials said New Orleans and Louisiana are ready to handle more tourism traffic. While the region's service-industry work force was initially depleted because so many people fled the flooding, jobs and workers are starting to come back -- as are volunteers and tourists.
I've heard anecdotal evidence that a shortage of service-industry workers was very obvious during the DNC meeting in New Orleans in April.

The first major test of New Orleans' tourism infrastructure is coming up later this month:
Belinda Lazaro, public relations manager at the Royal Sonesta Hotel in the French Quarter, said she and many others are looking forward to the June 22-28 American Library Association conference.

"We'll have 30,000 librarians. It's our first citywide convention since Katrina," Lazaro said.

I would expect the DNC will be very interested to see how well this and other major trade shows go.

Thursday, May 25, 2006

Minneapolis news roundup

I have confirmed that Minneapolis/St. Paul is proposing three facilities for the Democrats (and Republicans) to choose from: the Metrodome and Target Center in Minneapolis and the Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul. I'll look at the pros and cons of each venue in a future post.

From the St. Paul Pioneer Press:

St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman and Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak talked up the Twin Cities' prospects this afternoon from the balcony of the new Guthrie Theater overlooking St. Anthony Falls.

Representatives of the Democratic National Committee will make a three-day visit here starting June 26 to review the cities' joint bid, the mayors said.

The two leaders pledged to showcase the cities, their attractions and their amenities.

"As a Democrat or a Republican, if you really look at the next presidential election, you can see that it will be decided on the Mississippi River in places like Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Louisiana," Rybak said. "We haven't had a chance like this in 100 years, and no one will work harder than we will to get one of these conventions."

Coleman agreed, saying, "We will continue to work together to show we are an ideal location for the DNC convention. I'm confident the DNC site visit will show our facilities are second to none and prove that we have a lot of excitement in Minnesota for the chance to host the convention."

And from a Minneapolis press release:
Hosting a national political convention is considered extremely valuable for a city – both economically and for visibility. According the Democratic National Committee, the 2004 Democratic National Convention held in Boston resulted in an economic impact of $156 million.

“Each would fill nearly all hotel rooms in the entire Minneapolis-Saint Paul metropolitan area, not to mention spill a large amount of spending into our hospitality and service businesses throughout the cities and state,” said Minneapolis Convention & Visitors Association President & CEO Greg Ortale. “A national political convention would rank among the largest events the metro area has ever hosted – rivaling the 2001 NCAA Final Four in terms of size and impact.”

Both conventions are expected to cost in excess of $50 million – a combination of cash, goods and in-kind services. The majority of the cash and goods needed would come from private and corporate donations on a local and national level, with other in-kind support from each city, county and the State. Beyond hard dollars, the immeasurable value can come from the spotlight shining on the city.

“In terms of generating national and international exposure for the Minneapolis-Saint Paul area, hosting a national political convention would be beyond our wildest dreams,” said Saint Paul RiverCentre Convention & Visitors Authority President Karolyn Kirchgesler. “It would draw a massive amount of national and international media attention, as the events are heavily covered via print, broadcast and web-based media outlets.

Front page Daily Kos Poll

Kos just put a poll on the front page, so it will get a lot more votes than my poll.

Results at 10:00 PM (EDT):

New Orleans: 36%
Denver: 34%
Minneapolis: 21%
New York: 7%

I think the only thing consistent in all these polls is that New York has always been last.

Wednesday, May 24, 2006

Denver Host Committee Co-Chair: Denver Well Positioned

Lou Kilzer of the Rocky Mountain News has been all over the Denver convention story the last few days, and he has more today:

Steve Farber [Denver Host Committee Co-Chair], a Denver lawyer with strong national ties to the Democratic Party, said he thinks that Denver is well positioned to win the nod. "There's no room for place or show," said Farber, who co-chairs the committee trying to bring the convention to Denver.

Farber said that a Denver convention aims not only at nudging a red state into the blue column but also at pushing a whole region in that direction. "This is the West's Democratic convention," he said. "For Democrats to win, they have to start focusing on the West."

Costs for the winning bidder could be steep. Denver's host committee estimated that $72 million could be spent on the event, although the final negotiated figure likely will be less, said Katherine Archuleta, the city's chief operating officer.

Most of the price will be picked up by funds raised by the host committee, but security costs could be $25 million, the committee estimated. Most of the police costs could be reimbursed by the federal government, Archuleta said.

Whatever the final price tag, benefits also could be major. The convention will attract about 35,000 attendees renting 15,000 rooms for several days, the city estimates.

Boston, host of the 2004 convention, estimated that the convention boosted the economy by $163 million, said Richard Scharf, president of the Denver Metro Convention and Visitors Bureau. He also said the whole world would be watching Denver, something that could bring incalculable benefit. That is, he conceded, unless it turns out like Chicago's 1968 convention - the scene of widespread protests and police clashes.

Estimates of economic effects are usually suspect, but for cities like Denver and Minneapolis, hosting a convention can provide longer term benefits that are hard to quantify.

Facilities requirements

Some more information is available on the facilities that will be required to host the 2008 Democratic National Convention:

Both parties have issued extensive "requests for proposals" to host cities, detailing everything from requirements for running water to the need for 3,000 square feet of office space and 18 parking spaces — provided free of charge — for a year before the convention opens.

The Republicans issued a 26-page list of requirements for the host city's "Committee on Arrangements" to fulfill. The Democratic version, addressed to "Host Committee," runs 84 pages.

St. Paul officials declined to release a copy of the bid document, which is nearly two inches thick. An aide to Oberstar said the document does not contain hard money figures, but lists such things as convention venues, hotel availability, transportation resources and other information.

The Democrats, for example, require 17,000 hotel rooms within 30 minutes of travel to the convention site. All hotels have to commit 80 percent of their rooms. For their part, the Republicans require 20,000 first-class rooms.

Nothing really new here, but that requirement for 18 parking spaces is sure to cause some cities to drop out!

Tuesday, May 23, 2006

Daily Kos diary and poll

Daily Kos diary and poll on choices for the 2008 Democratic National Convention.

Update 3: To my friends in Minnesota who have been flooding the poll, you can stop now.

The latest results (1513 votes):

Minneapolis: 61%
Denver: 24%
New Orleans: 11%
New York: 2%

Update 2: Much to my suprise, the diary entry and poll has been linked to by a number of sources, and even today, the article in the Rocky Mountain News was linked to by ABCs The Note, which should bring more people to the poll. Also, there's clearly been a effort by supporters of Minneapolis (nothing wrong with that, I think there was a push for Denver yesterday), and the poll has changed a bit:

Wednesday results (692 votes)

Denver: 50%
New Orleans: 22%
Minneapolis: 21%
(received 85 of the last 112 votes)
New York: 5%

----------------------------

Tuesday results (580 votes):

Denver: 56%
New Orleans: 26%
Minneapolis: 11%
New York: 5%

Update: The Kos diary was linked to by the Rocky Mountain News, and, according to the article, results of the poll were announced to the Denver City Council by Councilwoman Elbra Wedgeworth, Denver Host Committee Co-chair, a reader, commentator, and sometimes subject of this blog.


Should conventions be held in Gulf-coast cities?

One of the reasons people have cited for not holding the 2008 Democratic National Convention in New Orleans is "What happens if a hurricane hits"? Well, with Tampa Bay being a major contender for the GOP convention, lets not forget that the following cities have hosted conventions in the past: Houston - 1992, New Orleans - 1988, Miami Beach: 1968 and 1972 (both Dem and Rep). The fact is, the odds of a specific city being hit with a hurricane during a specific week is fairly low, and I don't think we can expect all Gulf Coast cities to just shut down their tourism business during hurricane season. The Tampa Bay bid for the 2008 GOP convention says:

the chance of a hurricane directly hitting the area while the convention is in town in early September 2008 is too small to affect the decision.
There are good reasons for the Democrats to pick a site other than New Orleans in 2008, but chances of a hurricane should not be one of them. (And neither is the state of New Orlean's tourism infrastructure, a point I will re-address in the future).

Quick GOP update

The deadline to submit bids for the 2008 Republican Convention was yesterday, and four cities submitted bids: Cleveland, Minneapolis, New York, and Tampa/St. Pete. Which means Minneapolis and New York are bidding for both conventions. Since the conventions are in back-to-back weeks, there's no way for the conventions to be in the same city, so each either city would instantly drop out of the bidding for one convention if they got the other. But New York City Mayor Bloomberg knows the odds of New York getting the GOP convention again is small:

"Typically conventions do not go to the same city two years in a row, but we're not a city of quitters," Mr. Bloomberg said at the opening of a Fairway market in the Red Hook section of Brooklyn.

Although it is too early to judge any city's chances, said Aaron McLear, a spokesman for the Republican Party, it is not unusual for a city to play host to back-to-back conventions. The Republicans went to Miami Beach in 1968 and 1972, he said, while the Democrats were in New York in 1976 and 1980.

The Democrats are supposed to announce their city in the fall, and the GOP early next year. But if both parties are focused on one city, it could get interesting. I don't think that will happen for New York. I would think Tampa would be the frontrunner for the GOP convention, and Minneapolis should also be more attractive to the GOP then going back to New York again. But if both cities decide they really want to go to Minneapolis, then there could be a race to announce first.

Update: Denver Republicans briefly considered a late bid for the convention, but they've decided against it.

Monday, May 22, 2006

Facilities Overview

Here is an overview of the facilities that may be proposed by the four cities bidding to host the 2008 Democratic National Convention. There are assumptions and estimates here which will be refined as the process moves forward. (Updated to include St. Paul XCel Center).

  • Denver - Pepsi Center - Built 1999 - Cap: 19,000 - Skyboxes: ?? - Adjacent Media Workspace: None - Previous conventions: Dem 1908
  • Minneapolis/St, Paul - Previous conventions: GOP 1892
    • Target Center - Built 1990, Refurbished 2004 - Cap: 20,000 - Skyboxes: ?? - Adjacent Media Workspace: ??
    • St. Paul - XCel Center - Built 2000 - Cap: 18,000 - Skyboxes - 84 - Adjacent Media Workspace - RiverCentre Convention Center, Roy Wilkins Auditorium Complex
    • Minneapolis - Metrodome - Built 1982 - Cap: 30,000-40,000 - Skyboxes: 115 - Adjacent media Workspace: ??
  • New York- Madison Square Garden - Built 1968, Refurbished ~1995- Cap: 20,000 - Skyboxes: ?? - Adjacent Media Workspace: Farley Post Office?- Previous conventions: Dem '76, '80, '92, GOP '04
  • New Orleans - Superdome - Built 1975, Refurbished 2006 - Cap: 40-50,000 - Skyboxes: ?? - Adjacent Media Workspace: New Orleans Arena - Previous conventions: GOP '88
Minneapolis is proposing the Metrodome, the Target Center, and/or the XCel Center for the convention.

Notes: Adjacent workspace must be able to be in any security perimeter. (Javits Center in NY would not qualify). Some arenas, such as MSG in NY and Target Center in Minneapolis, have smaller separate theaters inside the building which can be used as media workspace. Capacities for domes assume curtained setup.

The Farley Post Office (adjacent to Madison Square Garden) was used to provide media workspace at the 2004 Republican Convention. It's not clear if the space will be available for a 2008 convention.

New Orleans and New York are in

We have a confirmed Final Four. From New York Newsday:

After submitting a bid to the Democratic Party last week, along with New Orleans, Denver and Minneapolis, New York sent one to the Republicans on Monday.

Mayor Michael Bloomberg, a lifelong Democrat until he switched parties in 2001, said Monday that playing host to the presidential conventions has "nothing to do with politics" and everything to do with economics. The Republican convention in New York in 2004 brought thousands of delegates and protesters to town, generating millions of dollars in extra business. The city contends that the economic benefits far outweighed the time and money spent on logistics and security.

The mayor said the Big Apple doesn't expect to win both bids and three days isn't long enough turnaround to set up for two huge events.

The Democratic Party, which held its 2004 convention in Boston, will make site visits at the four cities this summer before announcing its choice in the fall, a spokesman said.
I'll start to analyze each city's bid in future posts.

New Orleans, New York in, Las Vegas out?

From Democracy in Action's P2008 Race for the White House,

Denver, Minneapolis, New Orleans and New York City have submitted proposals
and Las Vegas is out:
Vince Alberta, Vice President of Public Affairs for the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority, states that the city decided not to submit a proposal.
But a source has told me that only Denver and Minneapolis have submitted bids. I'll try to get this clarified.

(Thanks to the commentor who brought this to my attention).

No news from Las Vegas, New Orleans or New York

When cities have bid for conventions in the past, they ususally publicize their efforts. In 2004:

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg presented the City's bid to McAuliffe in a ceremony in the main lobby of Grand Central Station on the afternoon of April 11
There was no ceremony for New York on Friday, and no news at all from Las Vegas, New Orleans or New York. Now the deadline for the GOP is today, so maybe that might delay an announcement. And the DNC could easily extend the deadline, and this would make sense for New Orleans. But with every passing hour, the likelihood that only Denver and Minneapolis submitted bids for the convention grows.

Saturday, May 20, 2006

Nagin wins - but did he remember to send in a bid?

As I wrote earlier this week, New Orleans mayor Ray Nagin has been in a huge election battle to win re-election, and therefore I would have been suprised if New Orleans got their bid for the 2008 Democratic National Convention summited by the deadline on Friday. And there's been absolutely no news if New Orleans submitted a bid. Well, now that Nagin has won, he and the city should be able to turn their attention towards towards the convention, and I would think the DNC would extend the deadline given the circumstances.

On the other hand, there are those who think that the Nagin victory will ensure that New Orleans does not get the convention. We shall see.

Minneapolis cost considerations

The St. Paul Pioneer Press provides some of the cost consderatons that went into Minneapolis' bid for the 2008 Democratic National Convention:

The application process is extensive and the ramifications of getting a convention involve big money. Backers of the Minnesota bids said a convention here would cost "in excess of $50 million." By comparison, a report filed with the Federal Election Commission said New York's 2004 Republican convention cost about $154 million, including $54 million for police and other services. Almost all of the money was raised by private and corporate donations and most of the police services were reimbursed through federal funds.

The Democrats were in Boston, where $48 million was spent on the convention and another $35 million was spent on police services.

For the most part, fund-raising for political conventions is without the kind of limits that are placed on election contributions. For example, the election commission report said New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who is independently wealthy, donated $5 million in cash for the Republican convention and paid $2 million more to cover some other expenses.

While local officials tout the exposure such a national convention would bring, as well as filling area hotels and restaurants, the economic impact of a convention on the host city also is subject to debate. Boston officials estimated that the Democratic convention resulted in a $156 million windfall to the local economy, but retailers complained that the heavy security and other factors resulted in a loss for them, not a gain.

Although network news coverage of recent conventions has declined — it was only about one hour per night on the last three nights in 2004 — local boosters say the news exposure would be invaluable.

"In terms of generating national and international exposure for the Minneapolis-St. Paul area, hosting a national political convention would be beyond our wildest dreams," said Karolyn Kirchgesler, president of the St. Paul RiverCentre Convention and Visitors Authority.

Cities like Minneapolis and Denver, which may be looking for that national and international exposure, may be more willing to consider the convention costs as an investment in the cities future.

Friday, May 19, 2006

DNC expected to announce final list of cities in next week or two

From the AP:

Minneapolis Mayor R.T. Rybak said Democratic leaders are expected to announce a narrowed list of host-city candidates next week.
But in the St. Paul Pioneer Press, Rybak says it will be in two weeks:
For Democrats, the first cut of bidding cities will occur within the next two weeks, Rybak said. If the Twin Cities makes the cut, the city will be visited by national party officials later this summer. After that, the potential cities will be winnowed and the contenders will be asked to submit a "Best and Final Offer." A final decision will be announced in November or early December.
Whether its one week or two, I'll have the information here as soon as its available.

Who's in, who's out

To summarize, Denver and Minneapolis have officially submitted proposals to host the 2008 Democratic National Convention, and Detroit is now out. We're waiting to hear from Las Vegas, New Orleans and New York.

Denver submits bid

Denver officially submitted its bid for the 2008 Democratic National Convention today. From the Denver Post:

Denver officials submitted a formal bid to attract the 2008 Democratic National Convention on Thursday, while labor leaders vowed to continue to fight the effort unless Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper meets their demands.

...

Steve Farber, a lawyer who is co-chairman of the committee that submitted the formal bid Thursday, said he doubts labor's opposition will harm Denver's chances. "I think our chances our fantastic," Farber said. "We're out front and in the lead, and it's ours to lose. I've been told that by some folks at the DNC."

...

Denver is one of six U.S. cities in the running to host the August 2008 convention, which would draw an estimated 35,000 people to town and would have an estimated economic impact of at least $160 million. Also vying for the 2008 convention are Detroit, Las Vegas, Minneapolis, New Orleans and New York City. [Detroit has since dropped out - Matt]

Denver was one of three finalists for the 2000 convention. The city bid again in 2004, but then- Mayor Wellington Webb pulled Denver out of contention because of security concerns. The Democratic National Committee will pick the finalists, and then Howard Dean, the DNC chairman, will make a final choice after the November mid-term elections.

Much of the article was focused on Denver labor leaders' concern about the bid, and I'll focus on that in another post.

Detroit drops out

In a suprising development, Detroit announced that they won't be submitting a bid to host the 2008 Democratic National Convention. From the Detroit Free Press:

The Democrats are out, but the Republicans may still have a future in the city of Detroit, at least for the 2008 political convention season. A city official who spoke on condition of anonymity said Thursday that Detroit won't make today's deadline to bid for the Democratic convention.

...

But Detroit still may try to make a case for the Republican National Convention, which will run Sept. 1-4, 2008, said the official, who didn't want his name revealed until the city decides on the GOP convention.

...

Monday is the deadline to apply to host the GOP convention. Republicans generally require fewer hotel rooms for a convention.

Citing Michigan's and the city's struggling economy, Detroit couldn't get the financial commitments needed to meet today's deadline for the Democratic convention, the official said. Costs to host the convention range from $30 million on up, said Ed Sarpolus, a political consultant and pollster from Lansing. Most of that money traditionally has come from corporate sponsors. "How do you raise money for a partisan issue?" Sarpolus said. "It's not a question that the city can get dressed up for it. They proved that during the Super B