Saturday, May 31, 2008

Better make that call to 1-800-Red-Lion

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

January 7th, 2008:

Michigan Democrats no longer can count on getting hotel rooms at their national convention in Denver.

The Democratic National Committee's Rules Committee last month stripped Michigan of its 156 national convention delegates as punishment for scheduling an early presidential primary in violation of party rules. State party officials had until Saturday to come up with an alternative to the Jan. 15 contest, but declined to do so.

That decision caused the DNC to informally tell state Democratic Chairman Mark Brewer that the party no longer has reservations at the Red Lion Hotel Denver Central during the Aug. 25-28 convention, state party spokesman Jason Moon said Monday.

Tonight:
"Excuse me, I'd like to reserve 200 rooms for the week of August 25th?"

(Hotel receptionist falls on the floor and starts laughing uncontrollably....)
Update 6/2: Of course, the DNCC was prepared for this all along:
DNCC planners said they are prepared for the additional 368 people who were once counted out after their states held their primaries ahead of the mandated date.
...
DNC officials said they had a contigency in place to provide the delegates with space on the Pepsi Center floor, transportation, as well as housing in Denver. - Denver 7News

It's 2117.0 to win

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

With Al Wynn's resignation tomorrow, there will be 823.5 superdelegate votes. There are 3409.5 pledged delegate votes. That's a total of 4233 delegate votes. A majority of those votes is 2,117. If you include Al Wynn, it would be 2,117.5, and the media organizations are rounding up to 2,118.
But the number Obama will be trying to reach on Tuesday is 2,117.

Also, the status of the previously named pledged delegates in Florida is in doubt due to today's decisions. Therefore, Green Papers and DCW are, for now, removing the 2 Edwards delegates (1 total vote) previously placed in Obama's column and returning them to Edwards.

Welcome back

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The RBC has just ruled that Florida's pledged delegates and superdelegates will be seated at 1/2 vote each.

The RBC has ruled the Michigan's pledged delegates be split 34.5-29.5 (69-59 at 1/2 delegate each), and superdelegates will be seated at 1/2 vote each.

Clinton campaign response

Today’s results are a victory for the people of Florida who will have a voice in selecting our Party’s nominee and will see its delegates seated at our party’s convention. The decision by the Rules and Bylaws Committee honors the votes that were cast by the people of Florida and allocates the delegates accordingly.

We strongly object to the Committee’s decision to undercut its own rules in seating Michigan’s delegates without reflecting the votes of the people of Michigan.

The Committee awarded to Senator Obama not only the delegates won by Uncommitted, but four of the delegates won by Senator Clinton. This decision violates the bedrock principles of our democracy and our Party.

We reserve the right to challenge this decision before the Credentials Committee and appeal for a fair allocation of Michigan’s delegates that actually reflect the votes as they were cast.

Obama campaign response
“We're extremely gratified that the commission agreed on a fair solution that will allow Michigan and Florida to participate in the Convention. We appreciate their efforts, and those of the party leadership of both states, to bring this resolution about,” said Obama campaign manager David Plouffe.

Obama to speak Tuesday at GOP convention site

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In a great symbolic move, Obama will be speaking after the last primaries on Tuesday at the site of the GOP convention:

Barack Obama selected St. Paul, Minn., where Republicans will hold their convention, as the site for a rally Tuesday night marking the end of primary season in the drawn-out Democratic presidential contest. The decision to hold the rally on symbolic GOP turf telegraphed his confidence that the Democratic nomination was already his.
...
Obama's campaign announced Saturday that the Minnesota rally with Obama and his wife, Michelle, is set for the Xcel Energy Center, site of the GOP convention beginning Sept. 1. - AP

Superdelegate endorsements for Saturday 5/31

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

While we're waiting for the RBC to rule, Clinton has picked up the first superdelegate of the weekend: Former Louisiana Rep. Buddy Leach has endorsed Clinton.

RBC Meeting Live-Blog

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


We were originally planning on live-blogging the meeting with a few people that were able to get in. Since it appears that there will be massive TV coverage we will leave the live-blogging to you.

If anything interesting comes up from our friends on-site we will pass it along here.



You can read all of our previous RBC coverage here
Previous Michigan coverage here
Previous Florida coverage here
Delegate Tables are laid out for 5 different scenarios here

Agenda
May 31, 2008 - 9:30 AM
* Morning Session: Oral Arguments
* Afternoon Session: Consideration and Debate
You can watch CSPAN's coverage here starting at 9:30.
ABC News' Teddy Davis and Gregory Wallace Report: Democrats went behind closed doors until 1:30 am ET on Saturday but they did not reach their goal of developing a unified proposal regarding Michigan and Florida.

28 of the 30 members of the DNC's Rules and Bylaws Committee were joined by DNC Chairman Howard Dean for the marathon dinner meeting which took place in a hotel ballroom at the Marriott Wardman Park Hotel in Washington, D.C. - ABC
Update: Lots of talk that a Florida resolution of seating all delegates at 1/2 vote is a done deal. Michigan is more difficult.

MI State Chairman Mark Brewer did say that Obama has 30 of the 36 Uncommitted delegates in his column. That's not out of line with our research that 31 of the 36 are Obama supporters, (although we could only confirm 22 of them). Brewer also said that there was an active effort by the Michigan Democratic Party to make sure the Uncommitted delegates supported Obama.

Al Wynn finally resigning

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Just a reminder that Rep. Al Wynn is finally official resigning this weekend. While we took Wynn off of our superdelegate lists in March when he announced his resignation, lets keep an eye on whether the media numbers, and even the Obama campaign numbers, go down by one after he quits. The non FL/MI number of delegates is 4,049, and the number of delegates for a majority is 2,025. No more rounding up to 2,026 allowed. The numbers will likely change after the RBC meeting tomorrow, so lets see who gets the numbers right.

Note: The Special Election for Wynn's seat is on June 17th, and when Donna Edwards wins the numbers will go back up by 1.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

We're going to Denver

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

2008 Democratic Convention Watch is very proud to announce we have been approved to receive credentials to cover the 2008 Democratic National Convention in Denver. But we're not alone:

As part of its continuing commitment to engage a broad spectrum of audiences in new and creative ways, the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) today announced that a record number of blogs have been credentialed as members of the media for the 2008 Democratic National Convention at the Pepsi Center in Denver, Colo. These blogs will help ensure that communities across the country are connected to the Convention through the eyes and ears of a growing, diverse group of online voices.

Organizers also announced that blogs credentialed by the DNCC will have access to a dedicated "Blogger Lounge" inside the Pepsi Center, equipped with televisions, technology resources and workspace to facilitate their reporting. All bloggers will have access to the Convention floor, press briefing areas, caucus meetings, filing centers and other auxiliary events open to members of the media.
...
In 2004, the DNCC credentialed about 30 blogs to cover the Convention in Boston - the first Convention to credential bloggers. Recently, the DNCC announced that 55 blogs focused on state and local politics were selected to be members of the DemConvention State Blogger Corps. Altogether, the DNCC will credential more than 120 blogs for the Convention and many more individuals will blog the Convention via credentials issued through the U.S. Congressional Press Galleries. - DNCC

Here's the full list of blogs approved today. Want to know the secret to being first on the list? Have you blog name start with a low number.....

2008 Democratic Convention Watch http://demconwatch.blogspot.com
43rdStateBlues.com http://43rdstateblues.com
AFL-CIO NOW Blog http://blog.aflcio.org
African American Political Pundit http://aapoliticalpundit.blogspot.com
AMERICAblog.com http://americablog.com
Asian American Action Fund Blog http://aaa-fund.com
Badlands Blue http://badlandsblue.com
Bagnews Notes http://bagnewsnotes.com
Beliefnet http://beliefnet.com
Bitch Ph.D. http://bitchphd.blogspot.com
Blogger News Network http://bloggernews.net
Blogging For Michigan http://bloggingformichigan.com
BlogHer http://blogher.com
Blue Hampshire http://bluehampshire.com
Blue Indiana http://blueindiana.net
Blue Jersey http://bluejersey.com
Blue Mass. Group http://bluemassgroup.com
BlueGrassRoots http://bluegrassroots.org
BlueNC.com http://bluenc.com
BlueOregon http://blueoregon.com
Buckeye State Blog http://buckeyestateblog.com
Burnt Orange Report http://BurntOrangeReport.com
Calitics http://Calitics.com
Campus Progress http://campusprogress.org
Celtic Diva's Blue Oasis http://divasblueoasis.blogspot.com
Change to Win http://changetowin.org
Colorado Confidential http://coloradoconfidential.com
Cotton Mouth Blog http://cottonmouthblog.blogspot.com
CracktheBell.com http://crackthebell.com
Crooks and Liars http://crooksandliars.com
culturekitchen http://culturekitchen.com
Daily Kingfish http://dailykingfish.com
Daily Kos http://dailykos.com
Dallas South Blog http://dallassouthblog.com
DCist.com http://dcist.com
Democracy Arsenal http://democracyarsenal.org
Democracy for New Mexico http://DemocracyForNewMexico.com
Democratic Party of the U.S. Virgin Islands http://groups.yahoo.com/group/democratvi
Democratic Underground http://democraticunderground.com
Democrats Abroad Argentina http://yanquimike.com.ar
DemoOkie http://DemoOkie.com
Digby's Hullabaloo http://digbysblog.blogspot.com
Disaboom.com http://disaboom.com
Doc's Political Parlor http://politicalparlor.net
DoubleSpeak http://doublespeakshow.com
Eschaton http://atrios.blogspot.com
EverydayCitizen.com http://everydaycitizen.com
Fired Up! http://firedupmissouri.com
Firedoglake http://firedoglake.com
Florida Progressive Coalition http://flaprogressives.org
Future Majority http://futuremajority.com
Georgia Politics Unfiltered http://georgiaunfiltered.blogspot.com
Green Mountain Daily http://greenmountaindaily.com
Grist Magazine http://grist.org/
Group News Blog http://groupnewsblog.net
HispanicTips.com http://hispanictips.com
HorsesAss.org http://horsesass.org
HummingbirdMinds Blog http://hummingbirdminds.blogspot.com
iLind.net http://ilind.net
Indianz.com http://indianz.com
Jack and Jill Politicshttp://jackandjillpolitics.com
Jusiper http://jusiper.blogspot.com
Keystone Politics http://keystonepolitics.com
KnoxViews http://knoxviews.com
Las Vegas Gleaner http://lasvegasgleaner.com
Left In Alabama http://leftinalabama.com
Left in the West http://leftinthewest.com
Michigan Liberal http://michiganliberal.com
Minnesota Monitor http://minnesotamonitor.com
MOMocrats http://momocrats.typepad.com
My Left Nutmeg http://myleftnutmeg.com
MyDD http://mydd.com
New Nebraska Network http://NewNebraska.net
NewsOne.com http://newsone.com
No Rest for the Awake http://minagahet.blogspot.com
NorthDecoder.com http://northdecoder.com
Obsidian Wings http://obsidianwings.blogs.com
Ohio Daily Blog http://ohiodailyblog.com
OliverWillis.com http://oliverwillis.com
Open Lefthttp://openleft.com
Pam's House Blend http://pamshouseblend.com
Political Base http://politicalbase.com
Political Wire http://politicalwire.com
PoliticalLunch.com http://PoliticalLunch.com
PolitickerNJ.com http://politickernj.com
PoliticsOnline http://politicsonline.com
Pop and Politics http://popandpolitics.com
Prairie State Blue http://PrairieStateBlue.com
RaceWire http://racewire.org
Raising Kaine http://raisingkaine.com
Raw Story http://rawstory.com
Rhode Island's Future http://rifuture.org
Room 8 http://r8ny.com
Rum, Romanism and Rebellion http://rumromanismrebellion.net
RuralVotes http://ruralvotes.com/thefield
Scholars & Rogues http://scholarsandrogues.com
Seeing the Forest http://seeingtheforest.com
Sepia Mutiny http://sepiamutiny.com
SquareState.net http://squarestate.net
Talking Points Memo http://talkingpointsmemo.com
TalkLeft http://talkleft.com
Taylor Marsh http://taylormarsh.com
The Albany Project http://thealbanyproject.com
The Center for Emerging Media http://centerforemergingmedia.com
The Iowa Independent http://iowaindependent.com
The Natchez Blog http://natchezms.blogspot.com
The Seminal http://theseminal.com
The UpTake http://theuptake.org
The Utah Amicus http://utahamicus.com
The Washington Independent http://washingtonindependent.com
Think Youth http://thinkyouth.org
Thought Theater http://thoughttheater.com
TommyWonk http://tommywonk.blogspot.com/
Tondee's Tavern http://tondeestavern.com
Towleroad http://towleroad.com
Turn Maine Blue http://turnmaineblue.com
Under The Dome.com http://underthedome.com
Uppity Wisconsin http://uppitywis.org
USAmerica Vota '08 http://usamericavota08.blogspot.com
VivirLatino.com http://vivirlatino.com
West Virginia Blue http://wvablue.com
What About Our Daughters? Blog http://whataboutourdaughters.com
Working Life http://workinglife.org
Zennie's Zeitgeist http://zennie2005.blogspot.com

Congratulations to all the blogs on the list.

Superdelegate endorsements for Thursday 5/29

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Obama leads the day with 4 superdelegates to Clinton's 1.

Oregon DNC member Gail Rasmussen has endorsed Obama.

Obama beat Hillary Rodham Clinton by 18 percentage points in last week's Oregon primary, and the Democratic National Committee member cited that win in explaining why she will vote for the Illinois senator at the party's national convention in Denver this summer.
...
Rasmussen, the vice president of the Oregon Education Association, said she will cast her vote for Obama "in honor of the support" he won from the state's voters. - AP

Washington Democratic Party vice-chair Eileen Macoll has endorsed Clinton
"I’m taking this step today because I have been inspired by Hillary’s bold commitment to solving our nation’s toughest challenges," Macoll said. "On the issues that matter most-from establishing universal health care to improving our schools to ending the war in Iraq-she has never backed down and never wavered. Hillary has what it takes to beat John McCain this Fall and win back the White House.

"Hillary has a plan to bring an honorable end to the war in Iraq, and I know that Senator she and Senator Murray will ensure that our troops receive the care we should be proud to provide as they return home."
West Virginia Representative Alan Mollohan has endorsed Obama
Congressman Mollohan said, “I believe Senator Obama will bring America a new era of trust, principled leadership and positive results. He has the intelligence, capacity and values that assure me he will confront the real issues that Americans face every day - health care, pension reform, energy prices, the struggling economy, and, of course, the issue of Iraq. “
And finally, Obama pulls off a Texas Two-Step:

Texas Democratic Chairman Boyd Richie endorses Obama:
"Today, I am proud to announce my support for Senator Barack Obama for President of the United States. I believe Senator Obama is the candidate who can best provide the leadership and change Texans desire. Too many Texas families find themselves unable to make ends meet, much less save and invest in the future, due to Republican policies that burden the middle class and divide Americans. Senator Obama has the skill and ability to unite Americans from all walks of life and put our country back on the right track."
And his wife, DNC member Betty Richie, also endorses Obama:
"Today, I am proud to announce my support for Senator Barack Obama for President of the United States. As a member of the DNC representing the Non-Urban/Ag Caucus, I strongly believe Senator Obama can provide the leadership rural Texas needs and deserves.
...
"Because I have such great respect for Senator Clinton and her historic campaign, this endorsement was not easy to make. But I believe in my heart it is the right decision for rural Texas and the Texas Democratic Party. It is time for our Party to unite and move forward to victory in November. Only by working together can we accomplish this goal."

Betty Richie was a member of the Pelosi Club.

Michigan Democratic leaders ask for full seating of their delegates with 69/59 split

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Several Michigan Democratic leaders sent a letter to the chairs of the RBC last week requesting that the Michigan delegation be fully seated in August.
Here's the key section:

As a result, we recommended to the Michigan Democratic Party that the pledged delegates be apportioned 69 to Senator Clinton and 59 to Senator Obama. That approach splits the difference between the 73/55 position of the Clinton campaign and the 64/64 position of the Obama campaign. Our recommendation was based on our belief that both candidates have legitimate arguments about the Michigan primary.

This 69/59 approach was overwhelmingly adopted by the Executive Committee of the Michigan Democratic Party – which like the Rules and Bylaws Committee has members who are strong advocates for both candidates – as a position that can unify our party and put this issue behind us.

To that end, both of our presidential candidates have made clear that they want Michigan’s delegates to be seated without penalty.

You can see what the results would be in our Florida & Michigan by the numbers post.
And the letter in it's entirety:

May 22, 2008

Honorable Alexis Herman
Mr. James Roosevelt, Jr.
Co-Chairs, Rules and Bylaws Committee
Democratic National Committee
430 South Capitol St., SE
Washington, DC 20004

Dear Co-Chairs Herman and Roosevelt:

We are writing to urge the Rules and Bylaws Committee to support the request of the Michigan Democratic Party that the entire 157-member Michigan delegation to the 2008 Democratic National Convention be seated with full voting strength.

The members of the Rules and Bylaws Committee are familiar with the sequence of events that have brought us to the present situation.

As a result of the hard-fought deliberations and recommendations of the Commission on Presidential Nomination Timing and Scheduling, in August of 2006 the Democratic National Committee adopted a new rule on sequencing presidential primaries and caucuses. Under this rule, the so-called pre-window states could each hold their presidential primary or caucus in January 2008, with the rest of the states following in February or later. The rule dictated that the pre-window states hold their primaries in a specific order — with New Hampshire coming third — and no earlier than designated dates between January 14 and 29.

While Michigan Democrats were disappointed that our state was not selected for one of the pre-window contests, we appreciated the new rule for adding a bit of much-needed diversity to the early nominating process, and as a first step toward breaking the Iowa-New Hampshire lock on the process. We notified the DNC that we would abide by the new calendar and its sequence provided that other states did the same. To be clear – the key issue which the new rule resolved was the sequence of the pre-window states, not just the number of pre-window states.

But at a press conference in Dover, New Hampshire last August 9, the New Hampshire Secretary of State indicated he was going to schedule his state’s primary before the date specified in the DNC rule, clearly defying the sequence and timing the Rules and Bylaws Committee had set. Michigan Democratic leaders wrote to Governor Dean asking if the DNC intended to enforce the rule against New Hampshire, but the DNC refused to act or even to answer our letters for months.

The Democratic National Committee then proceeded to selectively enforce its calendar rule. On December 3, the Rules and Bylaws Committee voted to give New Hampshire a waiver to move from third to second place in the sequence. Michigan requested a waiver and was denied. When the Rules and Bylaws Committee itself decided not to follow its own newly adopted, hard-fought for rules and granted a waiver to New Hampshire, it set the stage for the present situation.

How do we move forward and put all of our energy into winning the White House in November? We all agree that winning Michigan is crucial to that goal.

At the request of the Governor of Michigan, the four of us have worked to find a solution for many months. We looked at a number of options to “redo” Michigan’s primary vote, including a privately-funded state-run primary; a party-run primary; and even a vote-by-mail primary. We had extensive discussions with the Clinton and Obama campaign organizations and with the DNC staff in the course of considering these options. Unfortunately, for differing reasons, none of the “redo” options came to pass.

So we developed the following settlement recommendation to the Michigan Democratic Party.

The Clinton campaign has taken the position that the results of Michigan’s January 15 primary should be honored and that Senator Clinton should receive 73 pledged delegates in accordance with the vote she received. The Obama campaign has taken the position that the January 15 primary results should be ignored and that Michigan’s 128 pledged delegates should be seated but evenly divided 64/64 between the two candidates.

Both candidates have a basis for their argument. The January 15 primary result was flawed because Senator Obama took his name off the ballot. He interpreted the DNC injunction and his pledge to New Hampshire that he would not campaign in Michigan to require him to take that affirmative step. As a result, we did not totally agree with the Clinton campaign’s position that the pledged delegates should be apportioned 73/55 (Clinton/Obama) in strict accordance with the outcome of the primary.

At the same time, we also did not accept the position of the Obama campaign that the primary should be totally ignored and the pledged delegates should be evenly apportioned 64/64 between the two candidates, given the fact that almost 600,000 Democrats voted in the January 15 primary, 55% of whom voted for Senator Clinton and 45% of whom voted for Uncommitted or other candidates.

As a result, we recommended to the Michigan Democratic Party that the pledged delegates be apportioned 69 to Senator Clinton and 59 to Senator Obama. That approach splits the difference between the 73/55 position of the Clinton campaign and the 64/64 position of the Obama campaign. Our recommendation was based on our belief that both candidates have legitimate arguments about the Michigan primary.

This 69/59 approach was overwhelmingly adopted by the Executive Committee of the Michigan Democratic Party – which like the Rules and Bylaws Committee has members who are strong advocates for both candidates – as a position that can unify our party and put this issue behind us.

To that end, both of our presidential candidates have made clear that they want Michigan’s delegates to be seated without penalty.

Senator Obama recently said, “If I am fortunate enough to be the Democratic nominee, I can guarantee you that the Michigan delegation will be seated and they’ll have a full voice at the convention.” Senator Clinton said just this week, “If we care about winning [Michigan and Florida] in November, we need to count your votes now. If Democrats send the message that we don’t fully value your votes, we know that Senator McCain and the Republicans will be more than happy to have them.”

Senator Clinton and Senator Obama understand that penalizing Michigan would needlessly and pointlessly wound their candidacy. If you vote to penalize Michigan, you will keep this issue alive, distracting from the real issues in the campaign. You would also be penalizing our candidates and our party, and ultimately our nation, because you would be weakening our nominee’s chances of winning Michigan, a state that is critical to our winning the White House in November.

We believe that the Michigan Democratic Party’s consensus proposal can unify our party and allow us to move forward. We urge the Rules and Bylaws Committee to adopt it. To penalize Michigan would legitimize the selective enforcement of our party rules, would fly in the face of the statements of both candidates, and would jeopardize our chances of carrying Michigan and winning the Presidency. For all of these reasons, we must insist on Michigan’s full delegation being seated at the Democratic National Convention with full voting rights.

Sincerely,

Senator Carl Levin Representative Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick

UAW President Ron Gettelfinger DNC Member Debbie Dingell

cc: Members of the Rules and ByLaws Committee
Governor Howard Dean
Senator Hillary Clinton
Senator Barack Obama

The big question is will the RBC be willing to fully seat Michigan? DNC lawyers told the RBC that they can't seat more than half of each delegation?

Wednesday, May 28, 2008

Superdelegate endorsements for Wednesday 5/28

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Obama picks up two superdelegates overnight and leads today 3 to 0:

Oregon Democratic Chair Meredith Wood Smith has endorsed Obama

I have decided to support Sen. Barack Obama.

Why Obama? Because he received the majority of the votes in the Oregon primary, and he demonstrates the leadership needed to get us out of Iraq, restore our economy, begin the tough job of providing health care for all Americans and, most of all, heal the divisions in our nation. His commitment to grass-roots organizing, similar to Howard Dean's "Fifty State Strategy," will help Democrats win our down-ticket races. His deep understanding of our Constitution ensures that he will appoint judges, to both the Supreme Court and lower federal courts, who will truly defend our constitutional rights and freedoms.

In 1960, I was too young to vote, but I was so inspired by John F. Kennedy that I worked on his campaign and continue to be motivated by his legacy of social and civic responsibility. He is one of the reasons I became chairwoman of Oregon's Democratic Party. I believe that Obama is providing that same inspiration for our next generation of leaders.

Finally, the contrast between Obama and Sen. John McCain could not be clearer. On bringing troops home from Iraq. On commitment to our Constitution. On telling the American people the truth. Obama has the ability to build -- not just talk about -- a governing majority to actually solve the major challenges facing America.
Colorado Democratic Chair Pat Waak has endorsed Obama
“Today I am proud to announce my endorsement of Senator Barack Obama as the Democratic nominee for President of the United States. I have maintained my neutrality throughout Colorado’s selection process but feel compelled today to announce my support for several important reasons:

First, as Chair of the Colorado Democratic Party, I am influenced by the voters of Colorado who have turned out in historic numbers over the past four months. Senator Obama won the precinct caucuses, county conventions, Congressional District conventions and the Colorado State Democratic Convention with over 60% of the vote and has brought thousands of new voters into the process.

Second, I believe that Sen. Obama and his message of change is what Colorado wants and that he will defeat John McCain in November. In fact, the most recent Rasmussen poll on May 19, 2008 shows a Sen. Obama with a 6-point lead in a head-to-head race and I think that margin will only increase as voters see the clear difference.

Finally, I believe that our country needs the type of visionary, uplifting leadership that Senator Obama has shown during this long campaign. In the state of Colorado his message of hope has attracted young people, new Democrats and Independent voters who will make up a winning coalition this fall.
Oregon DNC Member Wayne Kinney has endorsed Obama
Senator Obama wasn’t supposed to be able to get this far. One member of Congress from Illinois said that for Sen. Obama to win the nomination, he’d have to be perfect. He’s been pretty damned good. The fact that this nomination is still inches from being decided is a testament to the abilities of both Sen. Obama and Sen. Clinton.

While there are a few primaries left to go, it’s now over for Oregon. Sen. Obama won our state by almost 18 points. He is very close to winning a majority of the delegates he needs to be our nominee for President.

But there should be more to my decision than that. After all, we automatic, “super” delegates are not automatons. We are not here to ratify. We’re expected to use our judgment. Here’s mine: After watching Sen. Obama for more than a year, it’s clear that he offers an ability to lead and inspire that’s been sorely lacking in this country.

Senator Obama will win our nomination, and will be our President. It felt good to write that sentence.

DNC Lawyers: Can't fully seat FL and MI

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

DNC lawyers have weighed in on the FL & MI debacle:

A Democratic Party rules committee has the authority to restore delegates from Michigan and Florida but not fully seat the two states at the convention as Hillary Rodham Clinton wants, according to a party analysis.

Party rules require that the two states lose at least half of their convention delegates for holding elections too early, Democratic National Committee lawyers wrote in a 38-page memo.

The memo was sent late Tuesday to the 30 members of the party's Rules and Bylaws Committee, which plans to meet Saturday to consider the fate of convention delegates from the two states. The party is considering plans to restore at least some of the delegates to make sure the two important general election battlegrounds will be included at the nominating convention in August.

The analysis lays out merits on all sides of the argument of how many delegates should be seated and how they should be divided. And it underscores a prickly problem — if the Rules and Bylaws Committee decides to restore any of the states' delegates, there is not a simple way to divide them between Clinton and Barack Obama. - AP
A couple of things. First, there are lots of simple ways to divide the delegates.

Second, I haven't seen the analysis, but I thought the RBC was free to come up with any solution they wanted. And I'm curious - if the RBC comes up with a solution that the DNC lawyers don't like - what is the DNC going to do? Sue its own RBC committee?

Update: TPM has the memo.

Al Giordano at The Field has the analysis.

Update: Here's a full PDF of the memo.

Update: A judge has ruled that the Democratic National Committee has the right to determine whether to seat Florida delegates. This is the case that Vincent DiMaio filed in 2007 and then filed for a Motion for Summary Judgment after the case was dismissed.


Previous posts on the RBC and MI/FL:
The Michigan 36
RBC Meeting is open to the public
Florida and Michigan Delegate Status
FL & MI By The Numbers
Florida and Michigan superdelegates
RBC Member predicts Florida will be seated at 50%
Rules and Bylaws Committee membership
DNC to hear MI and FL challenges on May 31st

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

The Michigan 36 - Obama gets 18 22

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Update 5/31: Given today's RBC decision to give Obama 59 delegates and 29.5 delegates votes out of Michigan, this post is no longer relevant, as the Obama campaign will be vetting all of its delegates, and any of the delegates below not approved by the Obama campaign will be taken off the list.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Michigan selected 36 Uncommitted delegates at their District Conventions in April. The state of these 36 delegates, specifically whether they have officially endorsed Obama, has become important in advance of this weekend's RBC meeting. Knowing how many of the 36 are committed to Obama could make the difference in what type of deal the Obama campaign is willing to accept. We asked our readers to help us out, and they did.

Information was hard to come by - We weren't even able to find the names of 3 of the 36 delegates. We have all 36 names now.

31 of them have been reported to support Obama, but there aren't good sources for 9 of the 30. We will continue to look for verifiable sources for the rest of these delegates.

But we do have good sources for 22 delegates, and therefore we are moving 22 Uncommitted delegates into the Obama column in our Michigan/Florida sidebar counter, as well as in Scenario 5 in FL & MI By The Numbers. (This is up from 18 delegates as of the evening of 5/27).

We fully understand that a deal may be struck at the RBC meeting which makes this analysis all meaningless. But some have proposed that the Obama campaign offer to seat the Michigan delegation "as is", in order to take it off the table as an issue that could be taken to the convention. This analysis gives a baseline of what the Obama campaign is looking as they decide how to play things this week.

The delegates we have moved to the Obama column have Obama in bold.

District Level Delegates (Source in parens)
CD 1: Miles Baker - Obama (2)
CD 1: Abby Dart - Obama (2)
CD 2: Rillastine Wilkins - Obama (1)
CD 2: Joseph Zainea - Obama (1)
CD 3: Armand Robinson - Obama (2)
CD 3: Alice Corey - Obama (2)
CD 4: Mary Bacon - Obama (2)
CD 4: Robert Ciaffone - Obama (2)
CD 5: Floyd Clack - Obama (2)
CD 5: Geraldean Hall - Obama (2)
CD 6: Mark Miller - Obama (2)
CD 6: Marletta Seats - Obama (2)
CD 7: Leonard Smigielski - Uncommitted (1)
CD 7: Fran Sibley - Obama? (1)
CD 8: Irene McDonnell-Cahill - Teamster - Obama (1)(6)
CD 8: Griffin Rivers - Obama (1)(6)
CD 9: Catherine Martin - UAW (3)
CD 9: Doris Toney - Obama (2)
CD 9: Aldo Vagnozzi - Obama (1)(4)
CD 10: Rose Marie Fessler - Obama (2)
CD 10: Ken Pechette - Uncommitted (7)
CD 11: Marian Novak - Obama (1)(5)
CD 11: Michael Siegrist - Obama (2)
CD 12: Rory Gamble - UAW - Obama? (1)(10)
CD 12: Jennifer Miller - Obama (1)(11)
CD 12: Nancy Quarles - Obama? (1)
CD 13: Tim Killeen - Obama (1)
CD 13: Cecilia Walker - Obama (1)
CD 13: John Henry Davis - Obama (1)
CD 14: Dan Geb - Teamsters for Obama - Obama (8)(9)
CD 14: Elizabeth Jackson
CD 14: Frank Woods - UAW (10)
CD 14: Martha Scott - Obama?
CD 15: Derrick Jackson - Obama (2)
CD 15: Christina Montague - Obama (2)
CD 15: Lynne Schwartz - Obama (2)

Sources:
(1) - West Michigan Rising
(2) - Michiganders for Obama
(3) - Michigan Liberal
(4) - Susan J. Demas
(5) - Obama Community Blog
(6) - USA Today
(7) - Huron County Press News
(8) - Detroit News
(9) - Michigan Messenger
(10) - UAW
(11) - Macomb Daily

The 19 Statewide Uncommitted delegates will not be chosen until June 14.

Update: From the DNC Rules lawyers, comes a possible solution:

"Therefore, following the principle of fair reflection of presidential preference, it can at least be said that the “Uncommitted” delegate positions should be considered as being allocated collectively to the candidates whose names did not appear on the ballot: Senator Barack Obama, former Senator John Edwards, Senator Joseph Biden and Governor Bill Richardson."

Happy Florida-Michigan week!

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Hello friends and neighbors,

This kind of feels a little bit like Homecoming week, right? A week's worth of hoopla leading up to the big game on Saturday. Two national powerhouses fighting for electoral supremacy.

The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC) will meet this weekend to consider what to do with the issue of Florida and Michigan and their willing decision to bust Party rules in the presidential nominating process.

Leading up to all of this - there are so many lingering questions: What will the outcome be? Who will be the biggest cheerleaders for each side? Will there be any entertaining means of deciding this such as a pie eating contest or a round of H.O.R.S.E.?

To add some insight into how we got here, I've pieced together a calendar dating back to 2002. This offers details on the history of the showdown, how we got here, and of the decisions that were made along the way. I hope you find this to be helpful reading.

To see the full Michigan-Florida Timeline dating back to 2002, visit www.MrSuper.org and see for yerself.

Happy reading,

-Ed.

UPDATE: May 28, 11:00 AM Eastern - the MrSuper.org Florida-Michigan Comprehensive Timeline has been updated. Quite a few updates today, all of which are highlighted in blue. Click here to view the entire timeline.

Superdelegate endorsements for Tuesday 5/27

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Final count for the day, Obama +1, Clinton +1

Wyoming Democratic Party Vice Chair Nancy Drummond has endorsed Obama

After much thought and prayer, I feel the time has come for me to endorse a presidential candidate. This isn't a decision I have taken lightly but after listening, watching and reading about both candidates, I feel that Senator Obama is the candidate that can lead this Country in the direction I would like to see us go.

His position on education, his work with senior citizens and his advocacy for union members and veterans make me proud to support Senator Obama.

My husband was a Marine during Vietnam -- he was one of many vets that has VA Benefits. The men and women in the military and their families are giving the ultimate sacrifice now and I support Senator Obama's plan to honor their service by improving their healthcare, taking care of issues related to combat duty and caring for our homeless vets.
DNC member Kevin Rodriquez of the Virgin Islands has switched back to Clinton after he switched to Obama on 5/10. The Clinton campaign has confirmed this switch. We are hoping to get more info from Rodriguez.
Virgin Islands automatic delegate Kevin Rodriquez announced his support for Hillary Clinton today. Rodriquez is a member of the Democratic National Committee.
And we have finally heard from Rodriquez himself:
This week, he announced his support for Clinton again.

"I decided to switch because that's my right," he told The Associated Press on Wednesday. "I don't want to say why I decided. It's not about me ... It's about America and what's best for America." - AP
Ben Pangelinan (GU) has endorsed Obama.
“I am honored to cast this most crucial and valuable vote to determine the next President of the United States. It is because of the nature of this vote, that I have taken such deliberate and measured consideration before making my decision,” Pangelinan said in a press release.

Register to Attend the RBC Meeting

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The hottest ticket this year (besides the convention) will be the one that gets you into the May 31st RBC Meeting in DC. You can register to attend the meeting starting at 10am today.

Click here at 10am to register. You will need to have a party builder account already setup. Registration is closed and tickets went VERY fast

Online registration will open at 10:00AM on Tuesday, May 27.

A meeting of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee will take place at 9:30AM on May 31, 2008 at the Marriott Wardman Park Hotel in Washington, DC. This meeting is open to the public, however due to space constraints, guests are being asked to pre-register their attendance.

Meeting Registration

Guest credentials are limited to one (1) per person. In order to reserve a seat, please fill out the registration form at the bottom of the page. A confirmation message will be sent to the e-mail address indicated on the registration form. You must bring this confirmation e-mail, along with a photo ID, in order to pick up your guest credential.

Credentials must be picked up at registration tables located outside the meeting room between 8:00-9:30AM on May 31st in order to guarantee a seat. If reserved credentials are not picked up by 9:30 AM, they will be released and given out to other members of the public. Those with reserved guest credentials will be allowed to leave the meeting room, and return to their reserved seat.

Same Day Registration

If you are unable to pre-register, limited same day registration will be available. Same-day guest credentials will be distributed on a first-come first-serve basis and are limited to one (1) per person. Individuals with a same day credential will be permitted into the meeting room as space permits.

Additional Information

In order to maintain the decorum of the meeting, banners, posters, signs, handouts, and noisemakers of any kind are strictly prohibited. Also, please be advised that the agenda for the meeting does not include time for questions from the general public.

And the schedule for the meeting...
What: DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee Meeting
When: May 31, 2008 - 9:30 AM
* Morning Session: Oral Arguments * Afternoon Session: Consideration and Debate

Where: Marriott Wardman Park Hotel - Salon I
2660 Woodley Road NW, Washington, DC

DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee to Meet Saturday, May 31st

WASHINGTON - The Democratic National Committee's Rules & Bylaws Committee will meet on Saturday May 31, 2008 in Washington, DC. The Rules and Bylaws Committee will consider the two challenges that have been filed pursuant to Rule 20.B of the 2008 Delegate Selection Rules and Regulation 3 of the Regulations of the Rules and Bylaws Committee concerning the seating of delegations from Florida and Michigan.

Pursuant to Section 3.4(N) of the Committee's Regulations, each challenger will be entitled to present an Oral Argument before the RBC prior to Committee consideration for a period of 15 minutes each. A representative from each state party and from each presidential campaign will also have an opportunity to address the committee regarding each of the challenges. Oral arguments from the parties will be heard during the committee's morning session. Following a lunch break, committee members will consider and debate the challenges.
Update: A large number of people have complained that the website listed them as having successfully registered but never got an email to confirm it. According to the DNC you will need the email confirmation in order to get into the meeting

The meeting is supposed to be held in Salon I which according to the hotel website can hold as many as 800 people. The room can be combined with Salon II and Salon III for a total capacity of up to 3500. You can view the floorplan here.

If you did not get an email confirming your registration you can fill out a form on the DNC website.

Update 2: All indications are that the meeting will be televised - the DNC will be streaming, C-SPAN will be there, and reports are that CNN and MSNBC will be covering also. (They should only give the convention itself this much coverage),

This should all become clearer as we get closer to Saturday.

Monday, May 26, 2008

Convention fundraising still lagging

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With the nomination battle still going on, fundraising for the Democratic Convention in Denver is going slower than planned:

The Denver host committee for the Democratic National Convention is behind on raising the money it needs to transform the Mile High City into the focal point of American politics for four days in late August, just three months away.

The host committee needs to raise $40.6 million by June 16. It fell $5 million short on its most recent deadline, March 17, by which point the host committee promised to raise $28 million, according to its contract with the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC).
...
Members of the Denver host committee concede the lack of clarity in the Democratic field has been a factor in their fundraising struggles, but only one of many.

“You’ve also got to look at the economy, you’ve got to look at [the fact that] Denver’s got seven Fortune 500 companies. That’s one-third the number Minneapolis has,” Denver Mayor John W. Hickenlooper told CQ Politics.
...
“Other host cities had a candidate to work with to rally around. We don’t. But I can’t say that that’s hurt us or not, it’s just a fact of the cycle that we’re in,” said Chris Lopez, a spokesman for the Denver host committee.
...
Lopez said the Denver host committee was ahead of where the Boston host committee was at the same point for the 2004 convention and that they felt confident they would meet their fundraising obligations.

“There’s not panic. It’ll come. We’re moving the needle, we’re trending ahead of where Boston was and we feel really good about that. . . . We expect here at the finish line that we definitely will hit the numbers,” he said. - CQPolitics

See here for past DCW stories on convention money issues.

Sunday, May 25, 2008

Weekend Superdelegate Updates

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So far it's Obama 6, Clinton 1 for superdelegates
and Obama +1, Clinton -1 for pledged delegates

Georgia has picked its add-on superdelegates:



Georgia party officials on Saturday selected two add-on delegates and awarded one to each candidate. State Party Secretary Stephen Leeds supports Obama. Verna Cleveland was Clinton's Georgia state director. - Columbus Ledger-Enquirer


From a Clinton Press Release:

"More than 17 million Americans have voted for Hillary Clinton in this primary election season and I am proud to continue to support Hillary with my delegate vote at the national convention in August in Denver," Cleveland said.


And in Wyoming:
Also Saturday, Democrats selected the state's sixth superdelegate, state Rep. W. Patrick Goggles of Ethete. Goggles was the only person nominated to be the "unpledged add-on" delegate by party chairman and Obama supporter John Millin. - AP



And Alaska finishes off Saturday with its add-on:
Former Gov. Tony Knowles said he would support Obama for president.

"He has a message of hope and change," Knowles said. "He has inspired incredible members of new people to believe in politics again." - Anchorage Daily News

And also in Alaska, a caucus state, Obama picked up a few more delegates to the state convention, putting him over the 75% threshold, and therefore splitting the state-wide PLEO pledged delegates 2-0 instead of 1-1. Green Papers has confirmed the change, and the sidebar tables have already been updated.

And finally...
Hawai'i Democrats selected three Obama supporters to fill its remaining superdelegate slots at their state convention Sunday, including the new chair and vice chair of the party.

Chairman Brian Schatz and vice chairwoman Kari Luna say they will support Obama at the national convention. State Democrats chose retired Judge James Burns, also an Obama supporter, as the final superdelegate. - Honolulu Advertiser
And that's a wrap for new superdelgates this weekend.

Saturday, May 24, 2008

The Michigan 36

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Michigan selected 36 Uncommitted delegates at their District Conventions in April. The state of these 36 delegates, specifically whether they have officially endorsed Obama, is becoming important in advance of next weekend's RBC meeting. Knowing how many of the 36 are committed to Obama could make the difference in what type of deal the Obama campaign is willing to accept.

So we're asking our readers to help us out. Go search the internets and give us the information we need - Name, CD, affiliation (union, etc) if any, endorsement status, and, of course, a link.

We'll gather the information in this post, and give everyone a better idea of the status of the Michigan 36. To get you started, there are some links in the our April post, and links in this Kos diary.

The 19 Statewide Uncommitted delegates will not be chosen until June 14.

CD 1: 2 delegates
CD 2: 2
CD 3: 2
CD 4: 2
CD 5: 2
CD 6: 2
CD 7: 2
CD 8: 2
CD 9: 3
CD 10: 2
CD 11: 2
CD 12: 3
CD 13: 3
CD 14: 4
CD 15: 3

Open Thread - VP Edition

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Who should get the Democratic VP Slot? Have at it.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

Friday, May 23, 2008

McCain Ready For The "Old Soldiers Home"

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Thanks to Crooks & Liars for this 2000 McCain interview with Jim Lehrer

video

Lehrer: Finally for the record, you have not lost your desire to be President of the United States have you?

McCain: Certainly it’s been put in deep cold storage. haha..

Lehrer: You haven’t lost it?

McCain: Well, in 2004, I expect to be campaigning for the reelection of President George W. Bush, and by 2008, I think I might be ready to go down to the old soldiers home and await the cavalry charge there.

Superdelegate endorsements for Friday 5/23

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Obama leads in superdelegates today with 3 superdelegates to Clinton's -1.
He has also added 2 Edwards pledged delegates from New Hampshire.

California Representative Dennis Cardoza has switched his endorsement from Clinton to Obama

Congressman Cardoza said, “This is the most important election of my lifetime. While I continue to greatly respect and admire Senator Clinton and feel she has made history with her campaign, I believe that Senator Obama will inevitably be our party’s nominee for President. He has proven himself to be a thoughtful, knowledgeable, and inspirational leader and will take America in a new direction, which we desperately need.

“I am deeply concerned about the contentious primary campaign and controversy surrounding the seating of delegates from Florida and Michigan – two states Democrats need to win in November. I will not support changing the rules in the fourth quarter of this contest through some convoluted DNC rules committee process. Yet, we must find a resolution to seat the Michigan and Florida delegates so these states’ voters are represented at the Convention. I believe we need to avoid this potentially divisive situation by uniting behind one nominee and bringing the party together immediately. Therefore, I have made the decision to support Senator Obama at the Democratic Convention in my role as a super delegate.”

California Representative Jim Costa has endorsed Obama
Congressman Costa said, “It’s been a long presidential primary season, and now is time to bring it to a close. I have tremendous respect for Senator Barack Obama, Senator Hillary Clinton, and all the candidates who ran for the nomination. In my opinion, it is clear that Senator Obama will be the strongest presidential nominee for the Democratic Party.

“I did not come to this decision without careful consideration. Our nation is faced with serious challenges here at home and abroad. Because the next Administration and 111th Congress will face such difficult and divisive issues involving our energy needs, greater fiscal responsibility and international security, it is imperative that we have someone who truly has the skill to bring out nation together and close the partisan divide. I believe Senator Obama has the leadership skills to bridge the differences that exist today.

“In my conversations with Senator Obama, I explained to him that our San Joaquin Valley is the number one agricultural region in the country and in the world. Before the election in November, he needs to come to our Valley and understand the water challenges we face, the diversity of our farm crops, and the combination of the wonderful ethnic communities that make up Valley families, which is truly a reflection of our nation.”
Oregon DNC member Jenny Greenleaf has endorsed Barack Obama.
Jenny was the first superdelegate we spoke to after starting our lists. I know she'll be happy that we won't bug her anymore to find out who she's going to endorse. She told us all along that she was going to wait until after Oregon's primary and she kept her word.
The voters of Oregon have spoken, and I have listened.

I will be supporting Senator Barack Obama at the Democratic National Convention in August. Senator Obama has the vision and leadership ability to move this country forward and to undo the damage done by the Bush administration. I am proud to support him in this endeavor and will do whatever I can to make sure Oregon's electoral votes are Democratic this fall.


2 additional Edwards delegates have endorsed Obama this morning. We have updated the numbers in the sidebar.

Thursday, May 22, 2008

Memorial Day Weekend Preview: 7 new superdelegates

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As we head into the first big weekend of the summer, the contest for the Democratic nomination continues in all corners of the country. Obama will be in Florida, Puerto Rico, Connecticut and New Mexico. Clinton will be in South Dakota and Puerto Rico. And we have new superdelegates being named in 4 states, Alaska, Georgia, Wyoming and Hawaii:

  • Saturday, May 24, Alaska names its add-on, Georgia names two add-ons and Wyoming names one add-on. Obama won all three states.
  • Sunday. May 25, Hawaii Democrats hold their State Convention, followed by a meeting of the State Central Committee, at the Hilton Hawaiian Village Resort in Waikiki, and name their add-on, and also select a new state party chair and vice-chair, both of whom immediately become superdelegates. Obama won the Hawaii Caucuses. Candidates for the Chair position are Annelle Amaral and Brian Schatz. Schatz is a former member of Obama's campaign in Hawaii, and has been endorsed by Obama. Amaral is a Clinton supporter but has committed to voting for Obama at the convention. In addition, Obama has endorsed James Burns, former chief judge of the state Intermediate Court of Appeals, for the add-on position. Update: Obama supporters are also backing Maui teacher Kari Luna for vice chair.
We'll have the add-on information here at DCW as soon as it's available.

Superdelegate endorsements for Thursday May 22nd

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Hillary Clinton gets the first endorsement today. She leads 1-0.

Guam Democratic Party Chair Pilar Lujan has endorsed Clinton

“After taking a close look at the candidates in this race, I was more impressed by Senator Clinton’s ability to meet the challenges of the presidency: end the war, re-invigorate the economy, and provide universal health care,” said Lujan. “When she becomes the first woman president, she will think of the people of Guam and their aspirations.”
Lujan had previously pledged to endorse the winner of Guam's primary.

Wednesday, May 21, 2008

Be a superdelegate sleuth

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MSNBC has released an interesting video of their superdelegate war room. You will especially notice their high-tech way of tracking superdelegate endorsements (which might explain things like this).

So we are asking the DCW community to take a look at the video. It gives intriguing brief glimpses of who MSNBC is counting. Pause it, zoom in on it, apply those video enhancement tools we see on all the TV shows, and let us know who MSNBC has on their list that we don't!

FL & MI By The Numbers

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There are all sorts of scenarios concerning Florida and Michigan. Some recently discussed scenarios include seating all MI/FL pledged delegates with 1/2 vote, (supers at 1/2 or full vote), and a proposal by Michigan Dems propose 69-59 split. We've taken five of the most likely and interesting ones and run the numbers.

The scenarios are:

  1. Do not seat Florida or Michigan. Current Official DNC rules
  2. Seat FL 1/2 vote, MI 69-59 split and supers full vote.
  3. Seat FL/MI all half votes, pledged and supers
  4. FL/MI, pledged half vote, supers full vote
  5. Seat FL & MI based on the elections that have taken place. This scenario is in the left sidebar.
Note that in scenarios 3-5, we assign 18 of the 55 Uncommitted Michigan delegates to Obama. 36 CD-level Uncommitted delegates have been selected, and we've found sufficient sources to place 18 of them in Obama's column. Some, or all, of the other 18, as well as the 19 state-wide Uncommitted delegates which will be picked on June 14, are said to be supporting Obama, but we have not found sufficient sources to add them to Obama's numbers as of now. We have not found any Uncommitted delegates who have said they are supporting Clinton.

We are not endorsing any of these scenarios. We're just providing information so our readers can judge how each scenario will affect the race.

List of Florida and Michigan superdelegates.


FL & MI SCENARIOS
Scenario 1: Do not seat Florida or Michigan. Current Official DNC rules
Delegates Available: 4049.0Nomination: 2025.0PD majority: 1627.0

ObamaClinton EdwardsOthers(1)NYA(2)YTV(3)Total
Pledged Delegates(GP)1660.51499.57----863253
Needed for PD majorityClinched!------------
Superdelegates (DCW)323.5282.5--190----796
Total Delegates1984.01782.07190--864049
Delegates Lead202.0-- ----------
Needed to win Nomination41.0243.0------Left276

Scenario 2: FL 1/2 vote, MI 69-59 split and Super full vote.
Delegates Available: 4324.5Nomination: 2162.5PD majority: 1737.0

ObamaClinton EdwardsOthers(1)NYA(2)YTV(3)Total
Pledged Delegates(GP)1660.51499.570--863253
MI Pledged Delegates5969--------128
FL Pledged Delegates34.552.55.5------92.5
Total Pledged Delegates1754.01621.012.50--863473.5
Needed for PD majorityClinched!------------
Superdelegates (DCW)323.5282.5--190----796
FL & MI Superdelegates1015--30----55
Total Delegates2087.51918.512.5220--864324.5
Delegates Lead169.0-- ----------
Delegates needed to win Nomination75.0244.0------Left306

Scenario 3: FL/MI all half votes, pledged and supers
Delegates Available: 4233.0Nomination: 2117.0PD majority: 1705.0

ObamaClinton EdwardsOthers(1)NYA(2)YTV(3)Total
Pledged Delegates(GP)1660.51499.57----863253
MI Pledged Delegates11.036.5--16.5----64
FL Pledged Delegates34.552.55.5------92.5
Total Pledged Delegates1706.01588.512.516.5--863409.5
Needed for PD majorityClinched!------------
Superdelegates (DCW)323.5282.5--190----796
FL & MI Superdelegates57.5--15----27.5
Total Delegates2034.51878.512.5221.5--864233.0
Delegates Lead156.0-- ----------
Delegates needed to win Nomination82.5238.5------Left307.5

Scenario 4: FL/MI, pledged half vote, supers full vote
Delegates Available: 4260.5Nomination: 2130.5PD majority: 1705.0

ObamaClinton EdwardsOthers(1)NYA(2)YTV(3)Total
Pledged Delegates(GP)1660.51499.57----863253
MI Pledged Delegates11.036.5--16.5----64
FL Pledged Delegates34.552.55.5------92.5
Total Pledged Delegates1706.01588.512.516.5--863409.5
Needed for PD majorityClinched!------------
Superdelegates (DCW)323.5282.5--190----796
FL & MI Superdelegates1015--30----55
Total Delegates2039.51886.012.5236.5--864260.5
Delegates Lead153.5-- ----------
Delegates needed to win Nomination91.0244.5------Left322.5

Scenario 5: Seat FL & MI based on the elections that have taken place.
(Obama gets 22 of 55 MI uncommitted).
Delegates Available: 4417.0Nomination: 2209.0PD majority: 1783.5

ObamaClinton EdwardsOthers(1)NYA(2)YTV(3)Total
Pledged Delegates(GP)1751.51677.51833--863566
Needed for PD majority32.0106.0----------
Superdelegates (DCW)333.5297.5--220----851
Total Delegates2085.01975.018253--864417
Delegates Lead110.0------------
Delegates needed to win Nomination124.0234.0------Left339
Last Updated: 05/31/2008 5:00 PM(EST)


Notes: The scenarios and table are sorted from the highest candidate's lead to the lowest.

Others(1): Include Unknown, Uncommitted & No endorsements yet
NYA(2): Not Yet Assigned.
YTV(3): Not Yet Voted.

RBC Meeting is open to the public

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The next big event is not the Puerto Rico Primary on June 1st. It's a meeting of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee which will be held on Saturday, May 31st at the Marriott Wardman Park Hotel in Washington DC.





According to the Regulations of the Rules & Bylaws Committee for the 2008 Democratic National Convention, Reg 1.7:

Official meetings of the RBC shall be open to the public.
That doesn't mean that anybody can get into the room, but it does mean that the press can be there at the RBC meeting on May 31.

There are more potential delegates being discussed at the RBC meeting (366) than all the pledged delegates left to be selected and the uncommitted superdelegates combined. It's the biggest "primary" left.

Previous posts on the RBC and MI/FL:

Florida and Michigan Delegate Status
FL & MI By The Numbers
Florida and Michigan superdelegates
RBC Member predicts Florida will be seated at 50%
Rules and Bylaws Committee membership
DNC to hear MI and FL challenges on May 31st

The DNC has released more information on the meeting

The DNC has just released the details on the meeting: It will take place in DC; it has a morning session (oral arguments) that begins at 9:30 am ET and an afternoon session (consideration and debate); and it's allowing the public to attend.

But there are caveats to this attendance: Space is limited and guests must pre-register. Also: "In order to maintain the decorum of the meeting, banners, posters, signs, handouts, and noisemakers of any kind are strictly prohibited. Also, please be advised that the agenda for the meeting does not include time for questions from the general public." - First Read

Winners of DNCC Write to Lead Contest Announced

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Congratulations to the winners!

Out of a sizeable pool of nearly 1,200 applicants, fifty-four middle and high school students from across Colorado were announced today as finalists in the "Write to Lead" youth essay contest. Finalists will serve as ambassadors to state and territorial delegations, while two PresidentialWinners - one middle and one high school student - will attend the 2008 Democratic National Convention in Denver.

Jared Jolton, an eighth-grade student at Colorado Academy in Denver, and Mari Tanabe, an eleventh-grade student at Manitou Springs High School, in Manitou Springs, Colo. were chosen as the Presidential Winners. Judges concluded that the themes in their essays, titled "In Front of the Pack" and "Restless for Change" respectively, best captured the spirit of this year's historic election.

The names, hometowns and schools of all 54 student winners are listed below and online at www.DemConvention.com and will run in a full-page ad in the either the Denver Post or the Rocky Mountain News along with full text of the Presidential Winners' essays. Each finalist will serve as an ambassador to one of the delegations to the 2008 Democratic National Convention. In that role, the students will correspond with their assigned delegations prior to the Convention via a "Postcards from Colorado" campaign, sharing key facts, favorite destinations and other tips in advance of delegates' arrival in Denver.

The finalists were paired with a state or territorial delegation through a random lottery process and announced today at press conferences in Denver and Manitou Springs, Colo.

"These two extraordinary young people represent hundreds of their peers - Colorado students who answered the call and made their voices heard on leadership and our nation's future," said Leah D. Daughtry, CEO of the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC). "We were impressed and truly overwhelmed by the thoughtfulness these essays demonstrated. Our winners showed a real depth of understanding of the qualities that make a good leader - courage, compassion, vision, humility, inspiration. These writings should inspire confidence in all of us that the leaders of tomorrow are well suited for the job." - DNCC Press Release

Superdelegate endorsements for Wednesday 5/21

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Obama leads today's superdelegate endorsements with 2 to Clinton's 1.

Ohio add-on superdelegate William Craig Bashein has endorsed Clinton

Ohio automatic delegate Craig Bashein of Hunting Valley announced his support for Hillary Clinton today. The Ohio Democratic Committee elected him one of its automatic delegates to the Democratic National Convention on May 10.

“Hillary brings a wealth of proven experience in both domestic and foreign policy that provides a great sense of confidence and security in our future,” Bashein said. “She has the strength and determination to beat John McCain this Fall.”
Connecticut Representative Joe Courtney has endorsed Obama
Though he had said he was going to wait until the last of the primaries was over, Rep. Joe Courtney decided to instead make his pick for a Democratic candidate clear this morning, chosing Sen. Barack Obama.

Courtney's was the only district in Connecticut that was won -- in a narrow margin -- by Sen. Hillary Clinton. So, unlike the rest of the state's congressional delegation, he had held out on a presidential endorsement, leaving himself among the last remaining superdelegates.

His choice this morning, which spokesman Brian Farber said he had come to within the last two days, as Kentucky and Oregon decided their primaries, leaves only one Connecticut superdelegate undecided: Nancy DiNardo, chairwoman of the state Democratic Party.
Mississippi Democratic Party chair Wayne Dowdy has endorsed Obama
Mississippi Democratic Party chairman Wayne Dowdy says he is committed to Sen. Barack Obama in the presidential race.

Dowdy is a superdelegate to the Democratic National Convention, and he had been holding off on deciding between Obama and Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton.

Dowdy tells The Associated Press that he made his decision Wednesday after becoming convinced that Obama has enough support to secure the nomination. Dowdy says he hopes Clinton is chosen for vice president.

Denver gets a warmup with Libertarian Convention

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This week thousands tens of Libertarians are expected in Denver for the much awaited Libertarian National Convention. Names like Bob Barr and Mike Gravel will be at Denver's Adam's Mark Sheraton hotel from May 22nd-26th.

I do have to break some bad news though. Previously scheduled speaker Neal Boortz will be unable to attend.


In Case you're lucky enough to attend here is the schedule of events

MAY 21
Masquerade Party (Bob Barr will dress up like Bill Clinton)
White Water Rafting (Put your life in the hands of Mike Gravel)
U. S. Mint Group Tour (After the tour join us as we try to close the mint)

MAY 22, 2008
Exhibit Hall Opening - Sponsored by MPP. (Marijuana Policy Project)
LNC Meeting
Welcome Reception
An Evening with David Nolan

MAY 23, 2008
Richard C. Hoagland - Do We Still Need NASA? Mr. Hoagland will address the urgency to “redefine and refocus NASA on the critical 21st Century scientific, technological and economic problems facing the United States during the next presidential administration.” Open to the PUBLIC. Cost $25 per ticket. (I saw this guy on the Sci-Fi channel talking about Crystal Skulls ending the world)

May 25
Presidential Cocktail Party & Banquet - Join the excitement! Included in the Presidential package; available a la carte for $125 (Denver will never be the same)
And if that's not enough... 60 breakout sessions will be held (check out the numbering)
1. Gun Rights Held Hostage (Guns rights discussed)
2. Libertarianism 101 (Who are these people and what do they believe?)
3. What Color is Your Soapbox? (How do you introduce Libertarianism to others?)
5. One Toke Over the Line (How the drug war is hurting our country.)
6. Rounding up the Rebels (Get others to join, organize rallies and other events.)
9. Is There Light at the End of the Tunnel? (Elections strategies)
10. The Parlor Pulitzer (On how to write letters to the editor)
11. What is the Price of FREE Speech? (Creating and using press)
14. Ringing the Tin Cup, formerly known as Whining Your Way to Wealth (Basic fundraising)
18. Will ALL Defendants Rise? (Defending jury rights)
20. How Rights Become Privileges and Vise Versa (Misinterpretation of the Language)
21. Cold Hearted Capitalist (What is human nature and how does it work in a free society?)
24. Victimless crimes - More than the Big Three.
25. Dis spelling the miths (Myth interpretations of our platform and how to answer them)
27. Home and Private Schooling (How to get it, how to keep it.)
28. Cut and Paste Your Way to Freedom (Making posters, banners, and flyers on the cheap.)
29. Persuading Co-workers You Aren't Nuts (Getting people to join)
30. The Net, the FCC and Me (Security on the net)
33. Oh, NO! It Wasn't Me! (Libertarianism and taking responsibility)
35. www.freedoms.com/changingtheworld One Byte at a Time.
(How blogs and websites are changing the world)
36. Do We Need Touchy Feely People in the Party?
(Not to be confused with the hermits guide to a good time)
40. China Town, Little Italy, and …Lake Woebegone? (A discussion on immigration.)
41. Dancing With the Devil (deciding when to support a law or initiative that isn't perfect.)
47. What I Meant to Say (Intentional dialog- what you say may not be what they hear.)
49. The New Slavery (How federal regulations keep poor people poor.)
50. True Confessions of a Gun User (How guns have saved lives and property)
51. Voting for Dummies: by Count Chads (Introducing alternate voting systems)
52. A War Over War (Panel on Iraq, Iran and other places and people)
53. Eminent Domain - Coming to a neighborhood near you.
58. Our Young People Will Save Our Country (Round table with new, young Libertarians)
I briefly thought about going to practice my reporting skills but something tells me I wouldn't be welcomed after this post.

Tuesday, May 20, 2008

Obama clinches non-MI/FL pledged delegate majority (and most MI/FL scenarios also)

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Sen. Barack Obama tonight clinched a majority of the pledged delegates as currently defined, not counting Michigan and Florida. Under the current rules there are 3,253 pledged delegates, a majority is 1,627, and according to the DCW numbers, based on The Green Papers and estimates of tonight delegate allocations, Obama will have more than 1,627 delegates when the night is over.

Is this important? Officially, no, but symbolically, it could be in the minds of the only people that matter at this point, the remaining uncommitted superdelegates. A few of them, in our Pelosi Club, have explicitly said they would vote for the pledged delegate leader, and many others have hinted at it.. If they define the pledged delegate count as not including Michigan and Florida, we may see a large number of superdelegates endorse Obama in the next few days.

However, most everyone thinks that the delegates of Michigan and Florida will be seated in some form. Even the Obama campaign has said they want the Michigan and Florida delegations seated (although not according to the votes that already happened). But given that we don't know in what form the Michigan and Florida delegations will be seated, we have to look at the different scenarios to see how Obama fares under each one.

Option 1: No FL & MI: Pledged Delegate Majority (PDM) Clinched with the Oregon polls closed.
Option 2: Seat MI as 69-59. PDM Clinched with the Oregon polls closed.
Option 3: Seat FL with 1/2 votes (supers get full vote). No Michigan delegates. PDM Clinched with the Oregon polls closed.
Option 4: FL 1/2 vote, MI 69-59 split. PDM Clinched with the Oregon polls closed.
Option 5: Seat FL & MI based on the elections that have taken place. Not clinched tonight.

This is the only option under which Obama will not clinch the PDM tonight. Going into tonight he needed 102 pledged delegates to clinch the PDM. Now some of our blogging brethren say, lets give Obama the 55 Uncommitted pledged delegates in Michigan. But that's difficult to do. First, 19 of the delegates haven't even been picked yet - they don't get chosen until mid-June. Second, estimates of the 36 which have been picked range from 26-35 for Obama. But these are not Obama pledged delegates, and major media organizations are not recognizing that these delegates have endorsed Obama. And you certainly won't see the Obama campaign show these endorsements, as they don't recognize the validity of the Michigan election at all.

So until the Michigan and Florida situation is resolved, there will be some room for debate on this issue.

Understand, though, it doesn't really matter what I think. It matters what the superdelegates think, and it will be very interesting to see how Nancy Pelosi, Jimmy Carter, and especially Clinton endorser Maria Cantwell and others respond this week.

Kentucky and Oregon Primary Results

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Kentucky and Oregon hold their primaries today. A total of 103 delegates are up for grabs.


Polls opened in Kentucky at 6am EDT and close at 6pm in the Eastern and Central time zones.. There are a total of 51 pledged delegates which include 34 district, 11 at-large and 6 pledged PLEOs.

Oregon votes by mail-in ballot. Ballots must be received at the elections office by 8 PM PDT. There are a total of 52 pledged delegates which include 34 district, 12 at-large and 6 pledged PLEOs.

Clinton wins Kentucky. Obama wins Oregon.


Delegates
Left
% Vote In
% Clinton%Obama
Delegates Clinton
Delegates Obama
Kentucky
0
100%
65%
30%
37
14
Oregon
0
99%
41%
59%
22
30
Previously Pledged Delegates (GP)




1442.51612.5
Total Pledged Delegates




1501.5
1656.5
Superdelegate Endorsements



277.5
304.5
Total
Delegates




1779
1961
Delegates Still Needed to Win Nomination



246
64

Next up is Puerto Rico on June 1st.

Senator Kennedy diagnosed with a brain tumor

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Our thoughts and prayers are with Senator Kennedy and his family.



Sen. Edward M. Kennedy has a malignant brain tumor.

Doctors for the Massachusetts Democrat say tests conducted after Kennedy suffered a seizure this weekend show a tumor in his left parietal lobe. Preliminary results from a biopsy of the brain identified the cause of the seizure as a malignant glioma, they said.

His treatment will be decided after more tests but the usual course includes combinations of radiation and chemotherapy.

Average survival can range from less than a year for very advanced and aggressive types — such as glioblastomas — or to about five years for different types that are slower growing. - AP

Superdelegate endorsements for Tuesday 5/20

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Obama leads in superdelegates so far today with 2.

Guam Representative Madeleine Bordallo has endorsed Obama

“Today I have pledged my support as a superdelegate to Senator Barack Obama. Senator Obama offers us the leadership needed to address the challenges Guam and our nation will face in the coming years.

Senator Obama is working very closely with Senator Patrick Leahy, Chairman of the Senate Committee on the Judiciary, and other Senate leaders to secure more support for H.R. 1595, the Guam World War II Loyalty Recognition Act. Senator Obama fully understands and supports the efforts to seek full recognition for the patriotism and suffering endured by the people of Guam during enemy occupation in World War II.

Senator Obama has also pledged to help improve Guam's economy, including through opportunities with the military build-up—an issue I have worked very hard on since taking office—and I believe he is the right candidate to help move Guam and our nation forward given the challenges we face in our world today.”
Iowa DNC Chair Scott Brennan has endorsed Obama
Iowa Democratic Party chairman Scott Brennan has endorsed presidential candidate Barack Obama. Brennan is a super delegate to the Democratic Party's national convention in August.

"John McCain's run three ads here and has been here and I want to be able to get started on our general election and I think as of tonight Senator Obama will have a majority of pledged delegates...the pledged delegates seems to me to be a real marker."


Massachusetts add-on superdelegate Attorney General Martha Coakley has endorsed Clinton
“I am determined to see a successful Democratic campaign for President in November. I believe that the Democratic primary has demonstrated to the American people that there are two able and hard working candidates, either of whom can win the presidency. Either will be a huge improvement for America over what the Republicans have offered for the last eight years and what they offer now for the next four. I will support whoever is the nominee of the party.

“However, as one of two unpledged delegates elected by the Massachusetts State Committee, I have determined to cast my vote for Hillary Clinton. Running for office under any circumstances is arduous and stressful; it is at times exhilarating and at times exhausting. It tests the issues, the families and supporters, and the very core of the candidate. Running for President of the United States is all of that many times over.

Monday, May 19, 2008

Not-so-Distinguished Party Leaders

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NPR explains that John Edwards, George McGovern and Mike Dukakis are not Distinguished Party Leaders, and therefore not superdelegates, and talks to two former Democratic nominees about it:

Dukakis is not a superdelegate, either — only winners are superdelegates.

Dukakis says he does not mind not being a superdelegate: "I don't have to deal with all the phone calls [from campaigns]," he says.
...

McGovern, like Dukakis, says that he does not mind not being a delegate.

"I get lots publicity, lots of recognition, but there are people I know in this state that have worked hard over the years," McGovern says. "Most people never hear of them, and this is a way to get them a little recognition."

and in the future?

Nonetheless, [Tad] Devine thinks the Democratic Party would be well-served by including former nominees for both president and vice president in the ranks of the supers.

"They've been through this process like no one else," he says. "I think to run as the candidates, to give that acceptance speech, to understand the way the campaign works from the inside and to have seen America through the eyes of a candidate, is a unique experience."

Fun article, but it totally ignores the currently most controversial losing nominee of all.



Superdelegate endorsements for Monday May 19th

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Obama leads so far today with 5 superdelegates:

Washington State Democratic Party Chairman Dwight Pelz endorsed Obama overnight:

"I will be supporting Barack Obama for many reasons," Pelz continued. "Over the last few years, I have gained a profound respect for Sen. Obama. I have read his books, listened to his speeches, and watched the campaign he has run on the grueling modern presidential playing-field for nearly two years. And I have spoken with literally hundreds of friends and colleagues -- both in and out of politics -- regarding their opinions and observations of this man. I have concluded that Barack Obama is ready to be a great American President." - PolitickerWA.com

West Virginia Senator Robert Byrd has endorsed Obama.
Sen. Robert C. Byrd, D-W.Va., endorsed Barack Obama for president shortly after noon today, focusing on his hope to end the Iraq War.

"As people all across this great nation know, I have been one of the most outspoken opponents of the Bush administration's misguided war in Iraq and its saber rattling around the globe," Byrd said.

"Barack Obama is a noble-hearted patriot and humble Christian, and he has my full faith and support," Byrd concluded.
Kansas Democratic Party Chair Larry Gates has endorsed Obama.
"Kansans can unite behind Sen. Obama and his positive campaign, and that is why I have chosen to endorse him," Gates said. "He has proven his ability to bring Democrats, Republicans and Independents together, and holds the same commitment to working across party lines as Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius.

"Senator Obama inspired record numbers of voters to turn out to the Kansas caucuses, which not only strengthens our Party but also the whole political process. He is the best candidate for Democrats to stand behind as we work to take on John McCain - who supports the war in Iraq and Bush's tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans - in November.

"While I have decided to endorse Sen. Obama, I think it is important to note that Sen. Clinton is a strong leader who ran a passionate campaign. Her contribution to the national discussion has been invaluable and will continue to be important as we're working together to elect Sen. Obama to the White House," Gates said.
Obama now has 300.5 superdelegate votes.

Alaska DNC members Cindy Spanyers and Blake Johnson endorse Obama.
Alaska superdelegates Cindy Spanyers and Blake Johnson announced their support today for Barack Obama, citing his ability to move the country in a new direction and his understanding of Alaskan issues:

"Senator Obama is committed to Alaskans and establishing important ties to the state. He recognizes Alaska's role in our future in energy and is sensitive to the challenges we face due to high-energy costs across the state, from Juneau to Fairbanks and across rural Alaska".

Obama has now overtaken Clinton with DNC member endorsements.

Late update: Iowa State Party Chair Scott Brennan to endorse Obama on Tuesday.

A (former) Edwards pledged delegate speaks out

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We've been following John Edwards' pledged delegates since he endorsed Barack Obama last week. One of those delegates, Rob Groce of South Carolina, was kind enough to answer some questions for us.

Why did you support John Edwards in the first place?

My support for Edwards goes back to 2004. In that election year, I sorted through all the candidates early in the primary season, and found him to be much more specific in declared goals, instead of using many general terms like other candidates did. That made his intentions seem more direct and more organized in comparison. His recognition of “two Americas ” impressed me most. At first I was concerned that Edwards had limited experience in government … but then I realized that could certainly be a needed asset: no ties, no favors owed, no misrepresentation as a result.

My support for Edwards in 2008 was guaranteed, especially since he launched his campaign from the Lower 9th Ward in New Orleans . Three generations of my family lived in that part of my former hometown, I went to high school there, and I was living only five miles from the Lower 9th when Hurricane Katrina struck. I had to relocate following Katrina, most specifically to care for elderly inlaws who need regular healthcare that still isn’t fully available in New Orleans , which is why I wound up here in the 1st Congressional District of South Carolina. After seeing all that Edwards was doing there in support of my former hometown made me want to show my support for him here in my new hometown. I again supported Edwards, and did volunteer work for his campaign, too.
What were your feelings about Barack Obama when Edwards was still running?
I’ve always respected Obama. I thought it was impressive how quickly he made a difference in Congress, and in a non-partisan way, too. He still wasn’t going to take me away from Edwards, though, who solely had all my attention.

I was unsure whether Obama or Clinton was posing the biggest threat to Edwards’ campaign, and because in my opinion (and please let me affirm that I am not a political analyst or political insider), the circle of Edwards supporters overlapped somewhat with the circles of both other candidates’ supporters. He just wasn’t taking enough of those voters away from the competitors into his own circle exclusively, though, in the early primari
es. I remember seeing an online poll (by Democracy for America ) that found Edwards to be the Number 2 selection of both Obama and Clinton supporters, and was wishing that either one would drop out to give Edwards the push needed to take the nomination.
After Edwards left the race?
After Edwards’ suspension, I didn’t have favor for either of the remaining candidates. That’s not out of bitterness or disinterest, but because I was confident that both Obama and Clinton could hold the office with success. The primary had already been held in my state of South Carolina , so I didn’t have to make a formal decision between the two. And I knew that I could support either in the general election this November.

I did, however, get very aggravated with the media’s projection of the remaining primaries, and for a couple of reasons. First and foremost, they overl
ooked Edwards’ voters and votes from those primaries. Following the suspension of his campaign, Edwards took in over 500,000 votes. He obviously still carries a lot of weight, and is still the first choice of many voters, even today. At least most media credited the seven percent he took in the last primary in West Virginia .

Unfortunately, though, I think some media only took the time to point out that seven percent to project a dissatisfaction amongst voters, and continue the media-made appearance of self-defeating division in the Democratic party. That’s my second reason for complaint. Having a close race between Obama and Clinton is a positive attribute, I find. Mainstream media, however, attempt to project that as a negativity, and with implications of strong division between democratic voters. We’ve ha
d multiple quality candidates to choose from, unlike the Republican voters, who had to pick the lesser of seven evils, I think. Because Democratic voters have had a better pool of better candidates means that we’ve taken more and proper time to select from them. And we’ll all be able to cast our vote with good conscience in November as a result.


Before Edwards' endorsement of Obama had you considered voting for Obama or Clinton at the convention, or would you have stuck with Edwards?

If Edwards did not formally release me and his other delegates, I think it would be my obligation to retain my vote for him and him alone. That’s not what I anticipated to happen, though.

I anticipated early on that one candidate would have a majority of the delegates needed prior to the convention, that other candidates would release their delegates with endorsement for the majority winner, and that all delegates would unanimously vote for that one candidate at the convention. Again, I’m no expert on politics, but that’s pretty typical for a party convention, from what I’ve read. I expected Edwards to release us with request that we vote for the pre-ordained winner, and that I would vote for that candidate.

I did not expect Edwards to endorse anyone, though. Still, because I was elected to represent John Edwards at the DNC, I think I’m obligated to honor that endorsement. And I will.

I think his endorsement could be strategic, as well. In my non-political-insider’s opinion, many from the Edwards circle of supporters merged with the Clinton circle after John suspended his campaign. I think that was made more evident in West Virginia , too, which is a state that Edwards had been expected to dominate before he left the race, and which Clinton took decidedly. At this time, however, it’s become apparent that Obama will have the nomination secured before the Democratic National Convention.

In order to be sure that original circle of Edwards’ supporters would vote for Obama in the general election, it was important for Edwards to show his support now and as soon as possible. If he didn’t, I think the media would have continued their portrayal of a divided party, too.
Have you ever been to a Democratic Convention before?
I have never been to a DNC before. Never thought I’d be able to, either, and only get to attend this one on a fluke. South Carolina tries to split its delegates equally between male and female. My 1st district has four total, and the gender was pre-selected by draw in the presence of representatives of each presidential candidate. In that drawing, Obama’s two delegates were split male-female, Clinton ’s was female, and Edwards’ was male.

That drawing alone narrowed it down to me and three other guys. The field was then narrowed down to three, and directly by the candidate representatives, who don’t have to list any reason for removing anyone. When I learned it was down to me and two others, I hit the campaign trail myself. I made a website (groce-for-delegate.weebly.com) and sent out mail ads, too.

When it came time for the convention, one competitor withdrew the morning of the vote. Adding to my luck, the South Carolina Delegation rules declare that no more than half of all delegates for a district may be from the same county. And two delegates selected before my Edwards’ delegate vote were from Charleston County – the same as my competitor. As a result, this competitor was eliminated, leaving me to be the sole remaining candidate. I won by default, you could say. It’s sad because both were so very entitled to it. The one who withdrew, James Sanderson, is a representative of the Steelworkers Union that endorsed Edwards, introduced Edwards at a union function, and also volunteered with One Corps, I’ve been told. The other, William Tinkler, is a law student who had volunteered extensively with Edwards’ 2004 campaign.
Are you looking forward to it?
Very much! As I hope I’ve made clear, I’m not a political insider. Aside from never missing a vote, I’d never had anything to do with politics. Until right after the 2000 presidential election, that is. I decided that I couldn’t complain about the voting scams and government misrepresentation if I were to just sit back and watch them happen all over again. So I volunteered with the Edwards, and then Kerry-Edwards, campaigns in ’04.

I still believe that this DNC can be historic, and I’m honored to be able to be an active part of it.

There’s a secondary reason or two to look forward to the convention, as well. We South Carolina delegates will be sharing a hotel with delegates from my former home state of Louisiana . I know a few of the folks who’ll be there from LA, at least by name recognition. I do know a few personally, too, and one whom I know from sharing volunteer work with for Kerry-Edwards in ’04. (Deborah Langhoff, a Clinton Delegate.) It seems like an odd, yet synchronized, occurrence – one I can’t pass up.
Have you received a lot of information on Denver and the convention, or just the basics?
So far, just the basics. A lot of the scheduling isn’t complete, from what I understand. The South Carolina Democratic Party hosted an info event for us delegates, but could only include approximations of times and specific events, based on those from previous conventions. The demconvention.com site still doesn’t have many specificities, either.

Basically, the convention will be early afternoon ‘til night (about 2 p.m. to 9 p.m. is expected) on August 24th through 28th, with the Presidential candidate to be formally selected on Wednesday the 27th, and the Vice Presidential candidate to be elected on the next and final day of the convention.
Thanks Rob!

Sad news to report...

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Although not political I think it's important to share.

Police say a trailer loaded with 14 tons of double-stuffed Oreos has overturned, spilling the cookies still in their plastic sleeves into the median and roadway.

Illinois State Police Sgt. Brian Mahoney says the truck's driver was traveling from Chicago to Morris on Interstate 80 around 4 a.m. Monday when he fell asleep at the wheel and slammed into the median.

"The boxes came out of the trailer and boxes were ripped open," he said. - AP

That's a damn shame.

Update from Matt: But if the cookies are still in their plastic sleeves, they can be saved, can't they? I mean, these are double-stuffed Oreos we're taking about...

Sunday, May 18, 2008

California add-on superdelegates named

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We would like to introduce you to the 5 newest superdelegates:

California Democrats on Sunday selected their final delegates to the party's national convention this summer, including five additional superdelegates.

The selections came during the state party's final meeting before the August convention in Denver. They did not change the dynamics of the presidential tally in the nation's most delegate-rich state.

Under party rules, five so-called "add-on" delegates were named by party Chairman Art Torres, bringing the total number of California superdelegates to 71. Three were pledged to Hillary Rodham Clinton and two to Barack Obama.

The additional superdelegates pledged for Clinton are: Carolyn Doggett, executive director of the California Teachers Association; former state Assemblyman Dario Frommer; and Dora Rubio, wife of Kern County Supervisor Michael Rubio, a former aide to state Sen. Dean Florez, D-Shafter.

The two pledged to Obama are William Quay Hays, an entrepreneur and developer from Pacific Palisades, and Lou Paulson, president of the California Professional Firefighters. - Mercury News


Most lists and tables have been updated. Sidebar trackers always have the most recent information.

Update: Here's a overall description of how the California delegate meeting went.

The Real McCain

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While we're all waiting to hear who the new add-on superdelegates are from California I want to share a video from BraveNew Films that nails John McCain using his own words.

As soon as we find out who the add-ons are we'll let you know. Add-ons named... you can see who they are here

A South Carolina Edwards delegate speaks up

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From the comments, South Carolina Edwards pledged delegate Robert Groce clarifies his plans to vote for Obama:

I, Edwards delegate from South Carolina, am still attending the convention as an Edwards delegate.

When the initial vote is cast, I will vote for Obama, as directly requested by John Edwards in his endorsement.
We're keeping track of all of Edwards' delegates in our What Happens to Edwards' Delegates post

Nevada Add-on named

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Here's an update on the Nevada add-on, from Inside Nevada Politics, who's at the State Convention:

Still to come tonight is a floor vote on the add-on delegate, which could go for either Obama or Clinton. Word is the campaigns are trying to find a truly neutral candidate to make the process easier. If the two campaigns don't agree, then it's a floor fight.
...
Convention chair Chris Wicker is intent on finishing the agenda business tonight, but it's shaping up to be a long one.
Update:
Rusty McAllister, with the International Association of Firefighters, has been elected as the add-on, unpledged delegate to the national convention. The move basically makes McAllister the newest superdelegate from Nevada. He was elected by promising both campaigns that he is completely neutral in the presidential race, not having made up his mind between U.S. Sen. Barack Obama and U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton.

McAllister originally supported Chris Dodd, who was endorsed by the IAFF before dropping out of the presidential race. When he showed up to caucus on Jan. 19, however, McAllister said he was told to choose a side and picked Obama. Since caucusing, he said he changed his mind about supporting Obama. He viewed his neutrality as the best avenue to the national convention. And he said the IAFF is asking its members to try to be elected to the national convention. The IAFF has stayed neutral in the presidential race since Dodd dropped out. If the IAFF succeeds in getting enough of their neutral members to the national convention, it stands to reason they could potentially act as a power broker. McAllister said the union's focus is more on the general election. - Inside Nevada Politics

Saturday, May 17, 2008

Another pledged delegate switches to Obama

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The last time we had a delegate battle last this long into the primary season was 1980, when Senator Kennedy (and, of course, our thoughts are with Senator Kennedy and his family this evening) was running against President Carter. In 1980, though, delegates were bound by rule F(3)(c) to vote for the candidate they were pledged to on the first ballot. That rules was abolished though, in 1982, and now:

12 J. Delegates elected to the national convention pledged to a presidential candidate shall in all good conscience reflect the sentiments of those who elected them.
And that's all the rules say. Since 1980, there hasn't been a nomination fight close enough for these rules to come into play. But during this nomination battle, Sen. Clinton and her campaign have made the point that pledged delegates are not required to vote for the candidate they were elected for. From a rules point-of-view, her statement is completely true. Politically, though, this statement caused an uproar from the Obama side, about how this would subvert the will of the voter.

The debate, however, was mostly considered to be theoretical. All pledged delegates are signed-off by the campaigns, and are considered to be the most loyal of supporters. The idea that a pledged delegate would actually switch their vote while the nomination was still being contested was considered unlikely.

Well maybe these pledged delegates consider the nomination as no longer being contested, but with Clinton still campaigning, many observers consider the switching of pledged delegates to be very surprising and somewhat upsetting, no matter which way they've switched.

We had our first switch on Tuesday, when Maryland at-large delegate Jack Johnson switched from Clinton to Obama. And we had our second today:
DC Ward 2 Councilmember Jack Evans announced minutes ago he’s throwing his support behind Barack Obama for the Democratic presidential nomination. Evans had been a longtime Hillary Clinton supporter, co-chairing her campaign in the District. Earlier this month, he’d been elected by local Democrats to serve as an at-large delegate pledged to Clinton.

Asked to explain his move, Evans cited “just the momentum that was going behind it.” He says he left a message with the Clinton campaign about the decision but was not able to speak with the senator before making the announcement today. - Washington City Paper

Evans said he switched his support because Ward 2 overwhelmingly voted for Obama in the District primary in February. He said he is most concerned about having a Democratic White House. - Washington Post
Evans was elected as an at-large delegate earlier this month:
The slots filled last night were all “pledged” slots, which could only be filled by candidates who had filed papers pledging their support to a particular candidate. Three of the four slots were pledged to Barack Obama, based on the results of the District’s primary vote. Only the seat Evans won was pledged to Hillary Clinton. The Clinton seat was also the only one that drew a contested vote....

Evans’ competition was Franklin Garcia, a committee member and technology consultant. His speech to his fellow members before the vote—which, according to witnesses, focused an awful lot on what a great candidate Obama is—failed to win him the Clinton slot: He lost 52-6. - Washington City Paper
I think it would be very interesting to see the papers Evans signed.

As a final note, the Obama campaign is not recognizing Jack Johnson's switch in their current delegate count, and I would expect them to do the same with Evans.

Superdelegate endorsements for Saturday May 17th

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Obama leads so far today with 3 superdelegates:

Maryland DNC member Greg Pecoraro endorsed Obama

“Today, I am very excited to join the large majority of Maryland Democrats who expressed their enthusiasm for Senator Obama’s candidacy in our state’s presidential primary. Like them, I believe Barack Obama is the right leader for our time. With Barack Obama as our nominee and as our President, we have real hope that a new way of governing the nation is at hand. I strongly believe that Senator Obama offers us the best opportunity we have had for many years to turn away from the politics of division and despair, and look towards an America of opportunity and progress."
Kansas Democrats picked their add-on superdelegate, Lt. Governor Mark Parkinson. Parkinson, who endorsed Obama in February, said today:
"I have endorsed Barack Obama, and I look forward to voting for him in August," Parkinson said. "We have to make some major changes in the direction of the country, and I'm completely convinced that he is the person who can bring the country together and lead us to that change." - Fort Mill Times
Update: Parkinson's got a very interesting history. From Wikipedia:
Parkinson entered Kansas politics as a Republican in 1990. He served in the Kansas state house from 1991-1992 and the senate from 1993-1997. From 1999-2003 he was Chairman of the Kansas Republican Party.

On May 31, 2006, Governor Kathleen Sebelius announced that Parkinson had switched parties and was her running mate for her reelection campaign
He was the Chairman of the Kansas Republican Party. Now he's a possible Democratic candidate for Governor in two years. One of a number of former Kansas Republicans who have left the party.

Colorado Democrats have picked, as expected, Federico Pena as their add-on superdelegate.

"Every delegate count is important for the national convention in August," said Pena. "We're fighting for every delegate. This has always been about delegates. That's what this primary campaign has been about, so my election this afternoon is important. It adds another one to the column."

Pena is a national co-chairman for Obama.

And the winner is...

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Last month we told you about the DCCC's Match It By May Convention Contest. Today they announced a winner and rolled out their next contest for a chance to win a trip to Denver in August.

With the 2008 Democratic Convention set to commence 100 Days from today, my friends at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) are excited to announce the winner of the DCCC Match-It-By-May Contest. Congratulations to Stacy Fredericksen from Menlo Park, California. Stacy will be traveling to Denver in August to be a part of this history-making Convention.

Thousands of DCCC supporters like you took part in the Match-It-By-May Contest. The excitement and energy was outstanding. So much so, that we think a fellow DCCC supporter should join Stacy in Denver by entering the DCCC's 100 Days Till Denver Convention Contest.

That's right, the DCCC is offering one more chance to win tickets, flight and accommodations to the 2008 Democratic Convention in Denver, August 25th -- 28th. Do you want to join me in Denver for the Convention? Well, enter to win, it's easy!

This is your opportunity to make sure we have the resources we need to win back the White House and strengthen our majority in Congress. This is going to be a history-making year and, with support from people like you, we have already won three special election victories in a row.

We think we can win big in November too. But, we know it's going to take an extraordinary commitment from thousands of DCCC supporters to get the job done.

Florida and Michigan Delegate Status - 5/17

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With the looming 5/31 meeting of the DNC Rules & Bylaws Committee, it seems that there is increasing pressure to find a workable solution that allows all sides to get most of what they want while saving face.

It may be that no one wants to find out how the RBC would try to cut the baby of Florida and Michigan in half, so it's in everyone's interests to find a solution that works.

In Michigan, a proposal has gathered the support of Michigan's Democratic party (including the governor and the state's Congressional delegation) to apportion the delegates 69/59, giving Clinton a 10 delegate "win" as the best possible solution given that Obama didn't even appear on the ballot in Michigan. Clinton has recently rejected the proposal, saying she wants the delegates seated "as is". This stance seems a bit odd, given that a.) the current results would give Clinton a 73-55 advantage, which is only 8 additional delegates than the compromise proposed (assuming that the 55 assigned to "Uncommitted" actually became Obama delegates), and b.) that the RBC is most likely to decide to cut Michigan's delegation in half unless a compromise is reached.

In Florida, the Obama campaign is starting to quietly suggest it can live with a compromise that gives Clinton another 10 delegate lead (the results were 113-74 for Clinton, a stronger 29 delegate win). Murkying the waters is Edwards - now that he has endorsed Obama his delegates are starting to switch to supporting Obama as well. Giving Edwards' 13 FL delegates to Obama cuts Clinton's advantage to just 16.

It appears that in Florida consensus is building that the RBC may just leave the election results in place and cut the delegation in half. The result of this would be Clinton 56.5, Obama 37 and Edwards 6.5; cutting Clinton's lead to either 19.5 or 13 depending on Edwards' delegates. Given the really small numbers involved here, I'm surprised Clinton is taking such a strong line against a compromise, given the likely reality. Obama is under political pressure to have a compromise in Florida worked out by May 20th, when he has a rally planned in Tampa.

So where does that leave things?

Michigan: A compromise plan endorsed by the state Democratic party that is being sent to the Rules and Bylaws committee is the most likely solution given Obama didn't appear on the ballot. Hillary ends up with a +10 delegate count and the Michigan superdelegates come into play.

Florida: No clear compromise plan in place, so I'd say the convention wisdom is the RBC cuts Florida's delegate count in half and leaves the election results in place, giving Hillary a +19.5 delegate bump, and the Edwards delegates become new quasi-supers, courted by both camps.

The situation is still very fluid but will likely come to a conclusion on or before the 5/31 committee meeting.

Friday, May 16, 2008

Superdelegate endorsements for Friday 5/16

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Not counting Michigan, Clinton has picked up 2 supers today, Obama has picked up 1.

Obama has also picked up 2 superdelegates from Michigan.

California Representative Pete Stark has endorsed Barack Obama

“Senator Barack Obama has captured the imagination of Americans in a way we’ve not seen for decades. He’s inspired millions of young people to register to vote and join the ranks of our Democratic Party, he’s consistently opposed the war, he advocates universal health care, and he delivers a message that transcends party politics at the same time.

“I have the greatest respect for Senator Clinton and for her many years of service, but I believe the time has come to unify our party. The outcome we need in November is a Democratic President. To achieve that, we must turn our focus squarely on Senator McCain and his quest to continue another four years of the failed Bush agenda.

“Barack Obama is the person we need as the next President of the United States of America. I’m excited to help him achieve that goal.”

Clinton gets an endorsement from California DNC member Keith Umemoto
Clinton lost a delegate based on the updated results, but she picked up a California superdelegate who made his choice public Friday after privately endorsing Clinton months ago.

Keith Umemoto of Sacramento told the AP Friday that he has endorsed Clinton.
And we've now added Rep. Brad Ellsworth of Indiana for Clinton. When his support for Clinton was first announced a week ago, we, and others, hesitated to put him on Clinton's list:
But Ellsworth's support is quite qualified. So much so that ABC News is not counting him as a Clinton superdelegate, per his office's instructions.
...
Ellsworth spokeswoman Liz Farrar tells ABC News' Karen Travers that "this should not be taken as an endorsement. The Congressman is not endorsing either candidate.
However, today, Ellsworth has clarified how he would like to be listed:
Some groups are still putting Ellsworth down as undecided when it comes to his super delegate vote. He doesn't see it that way. He said he's been clear all along.
If the Congressman from Indiana wants to be listed under Clinton for voting purposes, who are we to deny him.

Finally, Obama picks up two supers from Michigan, as the supers from Florida and Michigan, quiet for months, start to make their decisions known. First, DNC member Virgie Rollins:
"His supporters have worked so hard to organize in Michigan," said Virgie Rollins, a Democratic superdelegate and Obama support from Detroit. "We feel really good that he's coming. It's almost a reward for them." - The Detroit News
And second, from the National Democratic County Officials organization, DNC member Eric Coleman:
Likewise, Oakland County Commissioner Eric Coleman, president of the National Association of Counties, said he’s been a solid Obama supporter for about a month. “Number one, we need a fresh approach,” he said. - Detroit Free Press

Morning update

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The Obama campaign is counting the Edwards pledged delegates. Sort of.

The RBC is going to seat some delegates from Florida and Michigan in some way, but it's still unclear what the solution will be. And remember:

The committee is not bound to select the proposals offered and has authority to reinstate any number of delegates and divide them in any way. - AP
The NY Times has more on the RBC, noting that the co-chairmen, James Roosevelt Jr. and Alexis Herman, will only vote in case of a tie.

Graphical superdelegate lead by state

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Great look from OpenLeft at which states are providing which candidate their superdelegate lead:


Go read the post for the analysis.

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Saturday marks 100 days left until the convention

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The DNCC has just issued the following press release:

With Saturday marking just one hundred days to go until the eyes of the world turn toward Denver and the 2008 Democratic National Convention, the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) announced today that its plans remain on track or ahead of schedule for a truly historic event that promises to be an engaging celebration of the strength of the Democratic party, the diversity we embrace, the values we share and our vision for America. The Committee is entering the final preparatory stages and is now increasing focus on the executional and programmatic elements of the Convention.

"The organizational foundation has been laid, the operational framework has been built and it's now time to turn great plans into an even greater reality," said Leah D. Daughtry, CEO of the DNCC. "It's evident that our early start is now paying dividends as we enter this final stage of preparation. While there remains a significant amount of work to do in the next 100 days, I'm more confident than ever that when the gavel drops on August 25, we'll be ready to make history."

Consistent with planning cycles for previous Conventions, the final 100 days brings an increased focus on the official Convention schedule and program, ranging from delegate events and caucus meetings that take place each day to the themes, speakers and entertainment for each session at the Pepsi Center. Work on these elements continues to move forward.

"When our nominee takes the stage in August, it will be the culmination of a process that has engaged and inspired more than 35 million Americans and captured the attention of the world," Daughtry added. "Political conventions have determined the course of our nation's history. And in a few months, Denver will become part of this rich tradition."

Across all major operational areas, from logistics and transportation to construction and preparation for the media, the DNCC today provided an update on its key accomplishments and its overall readiness for the four-day event in August.

The DNCC is ready to kick off construction activities on July 7, when it has full access to the Pepsi Center. However, renovation plans to convert the Pepsi Center from sports arena to Convention hall are already underway.

  • Design plans for the Convention hall are underway. Alvarado-Turner-HOK, an association of three local companies with experience in large-scale projects and events, including the 1996 Democratic National Convention, was awarded the construction management contract and is making preparations to begin renovations once access is granted.
  • Audio, lighting and scenic designs are complete and initial designs for the podium and stage have been drawn up. Once we have a nominee, our production team is ready to put the nominee's stamp on the look and feel of the Convention hall.
  • More than 675,000 square feet of space has been allocated. Inside the Pepsi Center facility - from backstage to suites to team locker rooms - space has been allocated for a specific purpose to support Convention operations.
  • Nearly 200,000 square feet of media space has been allocated. Initial plans are complete for the media pavilions located outside the Pepsi Center that will provide workspace for many of the nearly 15,000 members of the media expected to attend the Convention.
  • Space has been allocated for more than 100 production trucks, media workspace trailers and broadcast transmission vehicles.
You can read the rest of the release on the DNCC Website.

And if you read our story last month about the Mega Tent...

Freewheelin the Convention - 1000 Bikes For All To Use

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The Host Committee along with Humana and Bikes Belong Coalition held a press conference at the Denver Convention Center yesterday afternoon. Host Committee President Eldra Wedgeworth, Mayor John Hickenlooper and Host Committee Director of Greening Parry Burnap were on hand for the event.

In order to reduce the environmental impact brought by the convention 1000 bikes will be dispersed throughout the city. The bikes will be available to not only convention goers but also visitors and residents of the city.

Bike stations are set up at various points around participating cities, universities or corporate campuses, with each station housing a collection of bikes which are equipped with an onboard CPU which will track and convert distance traveled, duration of the ride, calories burned and resulting carbon offset. Each station is accompanied by an unattended kiosk through which participants can “check in & out” a bike. Once the user is finished, they simply return the bike to any Freewheelin station in the program.


After the convention is over Humana will donate 70 of the bikes along with the checkout kiosks to the city of Denver. They are also working with the Twin Cities' wonderful Democratic mayors to do the same thing for the Republican National Convention.


Mayor Hickenlooper, Bikes Belong's Executive Director Tim Blumenthal
and Director of Greening Parry Burnap


After the press conference I spoke to Parry Burnap the Host Committee's Director of Greening. She explained to me the differences in focus between the Host Committee's Greening Team and the DNCC Greening Team. The DNC is in charge of greening at the Pepsi Center and transportation to and from Denver. The Host Committee is focusing on transportation to and from the hotels and events as well as overall greening efforts throughout the city.

Burnap said that shuttle buses will run back and forth between the various locations but that the delegates can get back and forth however they like. This includes bikes, light rail or any other form of transportation they can find.

Parry told me that she's familiar with DCW and had some nice words to say about the site.

Superdelegate endorsements for Thursday 5/15

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After the biggest non-superdelegate of this year's primaries endorsed Obama last night it should be interesting to see how it plays out today. Obama leads today with 4 superdelegates to Clinton's 0.

Washington Representative Jim McDermott has endorsed Obama


Rep. Jim McDermott on Thursday became the fourth U.S. House member from Washington to endorse Barack Obama for president.

The Seattle Congressman told the P-I's Joel Connelly that Obama is his pick because "I am confident as president he will end the war in Iraq and bring our sons and daughters home."


California Representative Henry Waxman has endorsed Obama
“Senator Obama’s vision for change has inspired tens of millions of Americans,” Chairman Waxman said. “And he’s also proved that he has the experience, judgment, integrity, and toughness to bring real reform to Washington. Our nation faces big challenges. We need to bring our troops safely home from Iraq. We need to solve global warming and finally enact universal health care legislation. And we need to create new jobs and strengthen our middle class. Senator Obama is the leader we need both here and around the world. He will be an extraordinary President, and I look forward to working with him to make his vision for change the new reality in Washington.”

California Representative Howard Berman has endorsed Obama
“Barack Obama has laid out a foreign policy vision driven by principle and conviction, and he understands that our moral authority and our safety as a nation go hand in hand,” Chairman Berman said. “I spoke with him about a number of foreign policy issues that most concern me. He assured me that he shares my views. The moment President Obama takes office, we’ll send a powerful message to the world that America is back and ready to lead again—that we haven’t abandoned the values that made us the light of the world, and neither should anyone else.”

DNC member Larry Cohen a DC superdelegate has endorsed Obama.


“I’m convinced that Senator Obama’s message of hope and ‘change we can believe in’ has resonated across our country. He is building a broad base of support, inspiring new voters to join in the political process and demonstrating great appeal to all those who are looking for positive leadership to move us beyond politics-as-usual in Washington."


Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Colorado add-on likely for Obama

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We noted earlier this month that current Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper and former Denver Mayor Federico Pena were the two candidates running for the Colorado add-on position to be picked on May 17. Pena supports Obama, Hickenlooper was Uncommitted, and the winner was in doubt.

Well, we were told today that Hickenlooper has withdrawn his name for the position, which guarantees it for Pena, and will give the add-on vote to Obama once it becomes official on Saturday.

Update: Here's the story from the Denver Post.

What happens to Edwards' delegates?

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With John Edwards' endorsement of Barack Obama this evening, the question everyone is asking is, "What happens to Edwards' pledged delegates?"

Well, the first answer, is nothing. As we were reminded yesterday, pledged delegates can vote for anybody at any time. So, rules-wise, Edwards' endorsement is meaningless.

However, from a political and practical viewpoint, pledged delegates will keep their pledge to vote for the candidate they were elected for until "released" by that candidate. By endorsing Obama, Edwards finally ended his campaign, which had been "suspended" up to now, and "released" his delegates to vote for the candidate of their choice. Of course, these delegates may decide to follow their original candidate and support Obama, and Edwards will of course be contacting them to urge them to support Obama. But until these delegates speak up and say who they will be supporting, they will essentially become uncommitted delegates. Which, essentially, makes them no different than superdelegates. (We'll keep them in the Edwards column for now).

So how many Edwards delegates are there? Four from New Hampshire, 8 from South Carolina, and 4 so far from Iowa. (The names are at the bottom of the post).

But wait. That's only 16. The DCW tracker shows Edwards with 19 delegates. Why the difference? It's because Edwards is projected by The Green Papers to get 3 state-wide delegates at the Iowa State Convention on June 14. But as we learned at the Iowa Congressional District Conventions in April, these delegate projections are only estimates. And it's difficult to see the Edwards forces holding together in June. (assuming the race is still going on then). So those final 3 delegates will likely get reassigned to other candidates, leaving Edwards with the 16 delegates described above.

But we're not done yet. Edwards also won 13 delegates in Florida, all at the CD level. (He won only 14.4% of the state-wide vote, so just fell short of getting any state-wide delegates - he would have picked up 9 or 10 delegates if he had hit 15%). Whether he keeps them depends on 1) whether the Florida delegates get seated at all, and 2) under what rules they get seated. That will have to wait for the RBC meeting at the end of the month.

Finally, when the history of this nomination battle is written, one question that's going to be asked is, did John Edwards leave the race too soon? While it's impossible to predict that things would have turned out the same way had Edwards stayed in longer, there's no doubt that if Edwards has stayed in, he would have likely won a sizable number of delegates on Super Tuesday. And if so, instead of his endorsement being mostly symbolic, he might have ended up the biggest kingmaker of all, basically getting to decide whether Clinton or Obama would get his support, his delegates, and therefore the nomination.

Politico gives us the names of the delegates from NH and SC:

New Hampshire:
District Level Delegate: Joshua Denton, (Portsmouth) - Endorsed Obama 5/14
District Level Delegate: Deborah Bacon-Nelson (Hanover) - Endorsed Obama 5/23
Pledged Leader Elected Official: Senator Peter Hoe Burling (Cornish) - Endorsed Obama 5/23
At-large Delegate: Representative Sharon Nordgren (Hanover) - Endorsed Obama 6/3

South Carolina:
Robert Groce - Will vote for Obama 5/15
Marilyn Hemingway - Endorsed Obama 5/16
E Tim Moore - Endorsed Obama 6/3
Christine Brennan-Bond - Endorsed Obama 5/15
Lauren Bilton - Endorsed Obama 5/15
Daniel Boan Kershaw - Endorsed Obama 5/15
Michael Evatt - Endorsed Obama 5/15
Susan Smith - Endorsed Obama 5/15

(we mistakenly listed John Moylan as a delegate - he is an alternate. Official list.)

Iowa:
Merci Wolff (Sioux City) - Endorsed Obama 6/3
Machelle Crum (Newton) - Endorsed Obama 5/15
Arlene Prather-O'Kane (Cedar Falls)- Endorsed Obama 5/16
David Redlawsk (Iowa City) - Endorsed Obama 6/3

Florida: (CD districts shown)
1 Bill Vincent - Endorsed Obama 6/3
2 Mary Mooney - Endorsed Obama 6/3
2 E. Alan Brock - Endorsed Obama 5/17 (Back to Edwards 6/1 - see below)
4 Deborah Courtney - Endorsed Obama 6/3
5 Fred McDowell - Endorsed Obama 6/3
6 Debbie Boyd
7 Joseph Beutenmuller - Endorsed Obama 6/3
12 Justin M. Troller
13 Rita Ferrandino - Endorsed Obama 6/3
14 Sally Gene Frederick
15 Barry Randall Birdwell - Endorsed Obama 6/3
16 Linda E. Spisak - Endorsed Obama 5/17 (Back to Edwards 6/1 - see below)
24 Gregory M. Shimkaveg - Endorsed Obama 6/3

Update: NH delegate Joshua Denton endorses Obama. Sidebar will be updated after the Green Papers updates.

Update 2: From Crack the Bell:

Just got an email from Daniel Boan (Edwards pledged delegate from SC):

"Sen. Edwards's endorsement will be an important factor in how I decide to vote."

Update 2A: Supposedly John Moylon and Lauren Bilton said on CNN last night they were supporting Obama. We'll try to find confirmation. More from CNN:

John Moylan, a former senior adviser to the Edwards campaign, said the former North Carolina senator's delegates "are very, very committed to John Edwards."

He said at least six of his eight delegates in South Carolina are prepared to endorse Obama.

"I think you will see overwhelming support of John Edwards delegates standing with John Edwards, and now standing for Barack Obama," he said on CNN's "American Morning."

Update 3:
The co-chair of John Edwards’ presidential campaign in Iowa, Rob Tully, said he hopes the former vice presidential candidate’s supporters in the state heed his endorsement Wednesday of Barack Obama. “I was excited to see him endorse Obama,” Tully said. “I’m certainly going to follow his lead.”
...
Tully said he would reach out to those delegates, as well as others going to the state convention, encouraging them to close ranks behind Obama. “I encourage all our Democrats in Iowa to realize this race is over,” he said. - Quad City Times
Update 4: The names of Edwards' Iowa pledged delegates have been added thanks to Avi at Politico

Update 5/15 11:30 PM: Six delegates from SC have endorsed Obama and have been moved to the Obama column. We will update potential Iowa endorsements tomorrow.

Update 5/16: Machelle Crum, Arlene Prather-O'Kane (IA) and Marilyn Hemingway (SC) have been moved to the Obama column

Update 5/23: NH delegates Bacon-Nelson and Burling switched to Obama.

Update 6/1: The two Edwards delegates from Florida have been moved back to Obama by Green Papers pending further information on the status of all Florida pledged delegates after the RBC ruling.

Update 6/4: Major updates from yesterday. All Edwards delegates except 3 from Florida have endorsed Obama. Also, Edwards still has 3 state-wide delegates from Iowa, which will be allocated at the Iowa State Convention on June 14th. They will remain in Edwards column until then.

Convention State Blogging Credentials Announced

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This just came in from the DNCC. Congrats to all of the blogs that got in!



DNC CHAIRMAN GOVERNOR DEAN ANNOUNCES BLOGS SELECTED FOR 2008 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION 'STATE BLOGGER CORPS'

Party Chairman Notifies Selected Blogs Via Online Video Message

DENVER - As part of the Democratic National Convention Committee's (DNCC) commitment to engaging a broad spectrum of audiences in the 2008 Democratic National Convention experience using new technology and other creative means, Democratic National Committee (DNC) Chairman Howard Dean today announced the blogs selected to participate in the DemConvention State Blogger Corps during the four-day event in August. Governor Dean notified the blogs selected via an online video message available at www.DemConvention.com .

"Similar to the record-breaking voter turnout our Party has seen during the primary season, the demand for these coveted blogger positions is yet another indicator of the tremendous interest in this historic Convention," said Governor Dean. "The Internet has played a critical role in connecting Americans to elected officials and candidates seeking office. The DemConvention State Blogger Corps will continue to foster this dialogue - in all 50 of our states and our territories too - as we head towards this year's historic election and elect a Democrat to the White House."

The DNCC previously announced an expansion of the credentialed blogger pool from past Conventions and the addition of a state blogger credentialing program. As part of the new DemConvention State Blogger Corps, designed for bloggers covering state and local politics, bloggers will receive unparalleled access to state delegations and the floor of the Convention hall. In a truly unprecedented move, the DNCC will seat these bloggers with their respective delegations during the historic four-day event, providing even greater access for local coverage and perspective. Highlights from these blogs will also be featured on www.DemConvention.com

"The members of the DemConvention State Blogger Corps represent a broad spectrum of voices that illustrate the 'big tent' nature of our Party," said DNCC CEO Leah D. Daughtry. "Many of these blogs are vibrant communities, well respected in their home states and committed to ensuring that all voices can be heard in the political process. I'm excited about the roles these bloggers will have in engaging an even broader, more diverse base of people from around the country in conversations not only about the Convention, but about the future of our nation."

More than 400 applications were received from bloggers across the United States and multiple territories. Some of the blogs selected for the State Corps are full-time, professional endeavors while others are the work of individuals, who through their own efforts have become recognized authorities on state and local politics. Bloggers had to submit daily audience information and provide examples of posts that made their blogs stand out as an effective online organizing tool or agent of change, a demonstration of both the reach and impact blogs have had and will continue to have on the 2008 election. The program recognizes the growth of more localized blogs and is in line with Governor Dean's 50-state strategy.

In addition to the State Blogger Corps, the DNCC will soon credential a General Blogger Pool, to include local, state and national political bloggers, as well as niche and video bloggers from across the country. All applicants not selected for the State Blogger Corps are now eligible for selection as part of the General Blogger Pool.

The DemConvention State Blogger Corps is listed below.

STATE - BLOG NAME - BLOG URL
in the lead up to and during the Convention.

ALASKA - Celtic Diva's Blue Oasis - http://divasblueoasis.blogspot.com

ALABAMA- Doc's Political Parlor - http://www.politicalparlor.net

ARKANSAS- Under The Dome.com - http://www.underthedome.com

ARIZONA - Ted Prezelski - Rum, Romanism and Rebellion - http://www.rumromanismrebellion.net

CALIFORNIA - Calitics- http://Calitics.com

COLORADO -SquareState.net - http://squarestate.net

CONNECTICUT -My Left Nutmeg - http://myleftnutmeg.com

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA- DCist.com - http://dcist.com

DELAWARE - TommyWonk - http://tommywonk.blogspot.com/

DEMOCRATS ABROAD - Democrats Abroad Argentina - http://www.yanquimike.com.ar

FLORIDA - Florida Progressive Coalition - http://flaprogressives.org

GEORGIA- Tondee's Tavern - http://www.tondeestavern.com

GUAM - No Rest for the Awake - Minagahet Chamorro - http://minagahet.blogspot.com

HAWAII - iLind.net: Ian Lind Online - http://www.ilind.net

IOWA - The Iowa Independent - http://iowaindependent.com

IDAHO - 43rdStateBlues.com - http://www.43rdstateblues.com

ILLINOIS- Prairie State Blue - http://www.PrairieStateBlue.com

INDIANA- Blue Indiana - http://www.blueindiana.net

KANSAS - EverydayCitizen.com - http://everydaycitizen.com

KENTUCKY - BlueGrassRoots - http://www.bluegrassroots.org

LOUISIANA - Daily Kingfish - http://www.dailykingfish.com

MASSACHUSETTS - Blue Mass. Group - http://www.bluemassgroup.com

MARYLAND - The Center for Emerging Media - http://www.centerforemergingmedia.com

MAINE - Turn Maine Blue - http://www.turnmaineblue.com

MICHIGAN - Blogging For Michigan - http://bloggingformichigan.com

MINNESOTA - Minnesota Monitor - http://minnesotamonitor.com

MISSISSIPPI - The Natchez Blog - http://natchezms.blogspot.com

MISSOURI - Fired Up! LLC - http://www.firedupmissouri.com

MONTANA - Left in the West - http://www.leftinthewest.com

NORTH CAROLINA - BlueNC.com - http://bluenc.com

NORTH DAKOTA - NorthDecoder.com - http://www.northdecoder.com

NEBRASKA - New Nebraska Network - http://www.NewNebraska.net

NEW HAMPSHIRE - Blue Hampshire - http://www.bluehampshire.com

NEW JERSEY - PolitickerNJ.com - http://www.politickernj.com

NEW MEXICO - Democracy for New Mexico - http://www.DemocracyForNewMexico.com

NEVADA - Las Vegas Gleaner - http://www.lasvegasgleaner.com

NEW YORK - Room 8 - http://www.r8ny.com

OHIO - Ohio Daily Blog - http://www.ohiodailyblog.com

OKLAHOMA - DemoOkie - http://www.DemoOkie.com

OREGON - BlueOregon (blog) - http://www.blueoregon.com

PENNSYLVANIA - Keystone Politics - http://www.keystonepolitics.com

PUERTO RICO - Jusiper - http://jusiper.blogspot.com

RHODE ISLAND - Rhode Island's Future - http://www.rifuture.org

SOUTH CAROLINA - CracktheBell.com - http://www.crackthebell.com

SOUTH DAKOTA - Badlands Blue - http://www.badlandsblue.com

TENNESSEE - KnoxViews/TennViews - http://www.knoxviews.com

TEXAS - Burnt Orange Report - http://www.BurntOrangeReport.com

UTAH - The Utah Amicus - http://utahamicus.com

VIRGINIA - Raising Kaine - http://www.raisingkaine.com

VIRGIN ISLANDS - Democratic Party of the US Virgin Islands - http://groups.yahoo.com/group/democratvi

VERMONT - Green Mountain Daily - http://greenmountaindaily.com

WASHINGTON - HorsesAss.org - http://www.horsesass.org

WISCONSIN - Uppity Wisconsin - http://www.uppitywis.org

WEST VIRGINIA - West Virginia Blue - http://www.wvablue.com

WYOMING - Hummingbirdminds blog - http://hummingbirdminds.blogspot.com

We're still waiting for the general blog credentials which will hopefully be announced soon. If your blog isn't on the list you still can get in.

Superdelegate endorsements for Wednesday 5/14

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Another day another batch of superdelegates! Obama is up 2.5 to Clinton's 1 for the day.

We added the first superdelegates last night as we were closing up shop after West Virginia and Travis Childer's huge victory in Mississippi. College Democrats of America's Lauren Wolfe (MI) and Awais Khaleel (WI) endorsed Barack Obama. Wolfe's vote only counts in our Michigan/Florida tables since she is from Michigan.



The next endorsement came in at 6:30 this morning with Democrats Abroad Chair Christine Marques' endorsement of Barack Obama
“As a Democrat abroad, I've seen the repercussions of the Republican Administration every day, in the diminished reputation of the United States and in the lack of real leadership both at home and abroad, from the economy to the war in Iraq,” said Schon Marques. “I'm proud to be a Democrat, and proud of both our candidates. Today I pledge my support to Senator Barack Obama because I believe that he will take our country in the right direction, he will restore America's reputation, he will honor the men and women who are bravely serving our country, and he will reach out to Americans across the country and around the world. I hope that voters overseas join me in registering today at www.VoteFromAbroad.org so that all our voices are heard this November.”
And the third endorsement came from Indiana Representative Pete Visclosky.
“America needs a President who offers a vision of the future comprised of sensible solutions to today's troubles. My choice is Senator Barack Obama, who promises to seek pragmatic, progressive solutions to problems like jobs, Iraq, the energy crisis, and healthcare. Barack Obama will bring people together, give them hope, spur change, and set the U.S. back on a course toward progress, prosperity, and global leadership.”


Hillary Clinton just got the endorsement of Tennessee add-on Vicki Harwell
“Hillary’s decisive victory in West Virginia is the latest evidence that she is the strongest candidate to take on John McCain and win back the White House,” Harwell said. “Hillary has the plans, leadership and experience to deliver real results as President.”
Harwell is the President of the Tennessee Federation of Democratic Women.

Moving the goalposts

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Moving the goalposts, what's the definition of victory, has been a controversial topic this year. But the goalposts have been moving for legitimate reasons, as the number of superdelegates has gone down and up and down and up again. On December 11, 2007 we were at 798 superdelegates (not counting MI and FL), but a week later we were at 797, and we haven't been back to 797 since. But with Travis Childers' big win last night, we're back up to 796 superdelegates, which gives 4,049 total delegates, with 2,025 needed to win.

But we're not quite done yet. There's one more Special Election to go, in MD-4 on June 14th, where Donna Edwards is a sure bet to win. Al Wynn isn't resigning until the end of this month, and we took him off our lists a couple of months ago, but others have kept him on. Either way, when he leaves, we'll all be at 796 supers. We told you, those goalposts keep moving.

Until Edwards wins the Special Election. At that point, she'll be the 797th superdelegate, there will be 4,050 total delegate votes, and it will take 2,025.5 votes to win the nomination.

And that's where the goalposts will stop moving.

Or will they? There is that pesky RBC meeting at the end of the month - something about a couple of states not having their delegates counted?

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Democrats win MS-1 Special Election

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Completing an amazing trifecta of Special Elections in long-held GOP seats this spring, Democrat Travis Childers has won the Special Election in MS-1, defeating Republican Greg Davis (53-47 at this writing).

Following the wins of Bill Foster in IL-14 and Don Cazayoux in LA-6, and each district being more progressively Republican, Childer's win is going to send shock waves throughout the political community. This district has a Partisan Voter Index (PV) of R+10, meaning on average it votes 10% more Republican than the nation as a whole. If every district with a PV of R+10 was in play in November, that's 50 seats the GOP will have problems defending.

Oh, and yes, Childers becomes the 796th superdelegate, pushing the total number of delegates to 4049, and the number of delegates needed to win is now 2,025. See Superdelegate Ups and Downs for the complete history of the changes in the number of superdelegates. Childers is Uncommitted at this time.

Update: Josh Marshall notes the number symbolism that the GOP House caucus is now at 199.

Update 2: Swing State Project reminds us: Bush won this district 62-37, by 25 points! Districts like this are just not supposed to switch. An incredible win for the Democrats.

MS-01 Special Election Results - Childers WINS!

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Democrat Travis Childers is hoping to end the long Republican reign in Mississippi's first district tonight. Childers won the first special election on April 22nd with 49% of the vote over Republican Greg Davis but failed to get the 50% needed to get the seat.

As always the best place to go for Mississippi politics is CottonMouthBlog. Our friends at Swing State Project are also covering the race.

NPR has a story on the special election here.


We'll be covering the results as they come in tomorrow night. A win by Childers would make him the 796th superdelegate... a number we haven't seen since January 15th.

Polls close at 8:00 EDT.

Childers WINS!

Travis Childers (D) -54% - Lead: just under 8,000
Greg Davis (R) - 46%
# of Vote In: 100%

Update 9:15 EDT - Childers in the lead. He seems to be running ahead of his numbers in the previous election, but really too early to tell.

Update 9:30 - Childers opening a bit of a gap - lead up to 3,100 votes.

Update 9:45 - Davis catching up - lead at 1,800

Update 9:50 - 66% in, Childers reopens that 3,000 vote lead

Update 10:00 - 72%, and just like that, its very close

Update 10:05 - 79% in, Childers with small lead. He's running slightly ahead of his numbers in the previous election, and if that holds, he wins.

Update 10:07: Childer's home county, Prentiss, is still mostly out.

Update 10:15: Childers wins!

Update 10:50: Turns out it wasn't even close. Childers is up 53-47, 7,000 vote lead, with 94% in.

Update 11:05: Stop the madness. Childers is turning this into a relative rout: 54-46, 7,700 vote lead with all but 1 precinct in.

West Virginia Primary Results

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Today's primary in West Virginia won't be nearly as dramatic as last week's Indiana primary. Hillary Clinton is expected to win the state by more than 20%. 28 delegates will be up for grabs. 18 delegates will be based on district results. 10 will be based on statewide results with 7 being at-large delegates and 3 being pledged PLEO's (Green Papers)

Polls opened at 6:30AM Eastern and closed at 7:30PM.


Delegates
Left
% Vote In
% Clinton%Obama
Delegates Clinton
Delegates Obama
West Virginia
5
93%
67%
26%
16
7
Previously Pledged Delegates (GP)




1425.51591.5
Total Pledged Delegates




1441.5
1598.5
Superdelegate Endorsements



270.5
283
Total
Delegates




1712
1881.5
Delegates Still Needed to Win Nomination



313
143.5

7:30pm - Hillary Clinton has been projected the winner
9:30pm - John Edwards is pulling in 4-5% of the vote (actual numbers are hard to come by), which explains why Clinton+Obama only = ~93%"

Kentucky and Oregon are up next on May 20th.

Pledged Delegate Switches to Obama

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In a move that is likely to cause some controversy, a Maryland pledged delegate has announced he is switching from Clinton to Obama:

Prince George's County Executive Jack B. Johnson, a Democratic convention delegate pledged to support Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, said yesterday that he thinks Sen. Barack Obama has "in a real sense" won the Democratic nomination and that he now plans to support Obama at the August convention.
...
This is Johnson's second change of heart in the race. He had allowed his name to be listed as a supporter by the Obama campaign in December.

Unlike superdelegates, who are free to endorse either candidate, Johnson is one of 28 pledged delegates who have agreed to represent the 36 percent of Maryland Democrats who voted for Clinton on Feb. 12.

Some Clinton delegates were chosen by voters at the ballot. Others, such as Johnson, were selected in consultation with the Clinton campaign by the Maryland Democratic State Central Committee, party spokesman David Paulson said.
A few thoughts here: First, as we've noted often, pledged delegates are free within the rules of the convention to vote for anyone they want. From the Call to the Convention:
All delegates to the National Convention pledged to a presidential candidate shall in all good conscience reflect the sentiments of those who elected them.
but they are not required to. Whether they should is another matter, but they are allowed to.

Second, we've stated how this was unlikely to happen as pledged delegates are vetted by the campaigns and tend to be the most committed, the most loyal of supporters. But that seems to have broken down here. As noted in the article, Johnson was an Obama supporter until December of 2007. Doesn't sound like the definition of "most loyal of supporters".

And the article says he was appointed by the Maryland Democratic State Central Committee (to a state at-large position) in consultation with the Clinton campaign, which also does not sound like the normal process.

This presents a bit of a problem for the Obama campaign. While they would certainly welcome the vote in general, it does legitimize the Clinton proposed theory that pledged delegates can switch their votes, and therefore enables an argument that all delegates to the convention should be considered open to changing their vote.

It will be interesting to see how the Obama camp responds to this.

Update: On the Romer conference call David Plouffe just said that Mr. Johnson made this decision on his own and that they had nothing to do with it. He also mentioned that the Clinton Campaign has said that pledged delegates could switch. He said their focus is on reaching 2025 total delegates and that it is in reach.

Superdelegate endorsements for Tuesday 5/13

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Obama gets 4 superdelegate endorsements so far today

“In the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina, Senator Obama worked to help address the needs of our Gulf Coast communities. As the Gulf Coast continues to rebuild, other cities have faced tragic disasters across this country. Therefore, it is critical that this country's infrastructure and emergency response systems are evaluated and rebuilt to sustain our cities and protect our families. What happened in Louisiana should never happen again.

I have learned firsthand that a unified constituency can make what seems impossible, possible. Senator Obama represents a new generation of leadership, one that can help heal the divisions of the past and unify this country so that together we can build a stronger future. - Ray Nagin

And from Rep Joe Donnelly (IN)
"Today, I am pleased to announce my support for Barack Obama. At a time when too many Americans have lost faith in their government, Senator Obama can move us beyond the politics of stalemate and gridlock that has kept us from meeting the monumental challenges of our time: our dependence on foreign oil, a health care gap that leaves tens of millions uninsured, the steady deterioration of our manufacturing base, and an economy that is not working for working people.


Former Colorado Governor and DNC Chair Roy Romer has just endorsed Barack Obama on a conference call. Announcing because the Colorado state convention is this Saturday and it will help to make better decisions regarding Florida and Michigan. Says the race is over and Obama's lead cannot be overcome.



Washington DC Democratic Party Chair Anita Bonds has also endorsed Obama

Superdelegate Anita Bonds, chair of the DC Democratic Party, announced last night that she will endorse Sen. Barack Obama at the Denver convention.

The announcement was impromptu and prompted, she said, by Mayor Adrian M. Fenty (D) who put her on the spot at a meeting of Democratic delegates in the John A. Wilson Building last night and asked if she was supporting Obama.

"I said, 'Okay,'" Bonds said in her first interview about the subject.

Monday, May 12, 2008

Pledged Delegate History

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A number of readers have asked for a Pledged Delegate History chart, similar to our Superdelegate History Chart. We weren't able to provide this data, but ABC News has now done it for us:



They also have interesting charts of the popular vote totals over time.

Hawaii Senator Daniel Akaka Endorses Obama; Also gets the nod from Idaho Party Chair

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Senator Akaka's endorsement is Obama's 19th endorsement from a Senator. This is Obama's 3rd endorsement today. Idaho Democratic Party Chairman R. Keith Roark is expected to announce his endorsement shortly.

“For more than a year, people have asked me who I plan to endorse for President of the United States. I’ve waited this long for several reasons. The Democratic campaign began with more than ten declared candidates. As a veteran of more than 30 years on Capitol Hill, I knew each and everyone of them and had worked closely with all. I had no doubt that each of them had the knowledge and ability to lead our country out of the financial and diplomatic chaos that we’ve experienced for the past eight years.

Having waged a number of campaigns myself, I can tell you they are not easy. Campaigns are tests, and there’s no tougher one than running for President. Like many Americans, I’ve followed the campaign for President closely and with growing interest, eager to see which candidate would articulate a vision for our country, encourage hope and renew faith in our government, and stand to the rigors of a nationwide contest.

After giving it a lot of thought, I’ve decided that for me, that candidate is Barack Obama.

Rather than echo his supporters or review his platform on health care, the environment, or the war in Iraq, I want to add a different voice to those who believe Senator Obama would make a fine President. He is the antidote we need to cure Washington of the uninspired, partisan politics that has plagued our country far too long.

What makes him uniquely qualified? A March 2008 feature in Vanity Fair magazine offers a clue: “He was born and came of age in Hawaii, the 50th state and in many ways among the freest‑thinking, where mixed‑race ancestry is …a given... If Obama comes across as a bit of a softy—if you don’t see the toughness or the ambition at first—it may be in part because he spent his formative years in a place where ‘Live Aloha’ had not yet become a slogan aimed at recapturing a more gracious time, but was simply a way of life.”

I have great hope, that in his own way, Barack Obama will achieve what I have been working to accomplish my entire Congressional career, more tolerance and understanding, an appreciation for common goals and interests, rather than an emphasis on our differences.

While I am pledging my support to Senator Obama, I want to make it very clear that I hold both Senator Hillary Clinton and President Bill Clinton in the highest regard as colleagues and friends. Senator Clinton has campaigned hard and well and I wish her all the best as we move forward. In an example of her leadership and commitment, Senator Clinton has promised that come November, the Democratic Party will be united behind our presidential nominee and I send her my fondest aloha for her courage and selflessness.”



Update: Idaho Party Chair R. Keith Roark has announced his endorsement for Barack Obama. Obama won Idaho 79% - 17% so this one should be no surprise.

After several months of careful consideration, I am announcing today that I will cast my vote this August at the Democratic National Convention for the next President of the United States, Senator Barrack Obama. I have not come quickly or easily to this decision. Democrats are blessed to have two outstanding candidates vying for our party’s nomination at this defining moment in American history.

I have no doubt that Senator Obama will run the stronger race. The unprecedented enthusiasm Senator Obama has generated here in Idaho is unlike anything I have seen in the past 31 years of active political participation in this State. He has captured the imagination and mint fresh optimism of young voters from Couer d’Alene to Caldwell, from Murphy to Montpelier. I firmly believe that the critical process of rebuilding the Idaho Democratic Party will receive a once in a lifetime boost from Senator Obama’s candidacy.
Last week Bill Clinton didn't help the situation for Hillary Clinton when he said:
"Every time I say this, it's a guaranteed applause line," he said. "You can drop me in the middle of Idaho where there's not a Democrat in 200 miles and an elk would applaud me on that."
Mr. Roark was not amused:
"If Bill Clinton had done for elk in Idaho everything he did for Democrats, we'd have far fewer elk," said Idaho Democratic Party Chairman Keith Roark - an uncommitted superdelegate - Wednesday morning.
From the Times-News of Twin-Falls Idaho

Today's superdelegate count is now Obama 4 to Clinton 0. Obama now leads the superdelegate tally 279 to 270.5

Rep. Tom Allen of Maine Endorses Obama; 2 total for the day

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Will we see a repeat of Friday's 11 superdelegate endorsements?

TOM ALLEN SUPPORTS BARACK OBAMA

Congressman and U.S. Senate candidate Tom Allen today pledged his support to Senator Barack Obama. Allen made his announcement during a 10:30 a.m. press conference at his campaign headquarters here.

Allen said he believes that both Obama and Senator Hillary Clinton are “supremely qualified to be president.”

“I have been friends for a very long time with former President Clinton and Senator Clinton. I respect their service to our nation. Hillary Clinton has run a vigorous campaign and has attracted a passionate following in Maine and around the country. She loves this country and is a true leader. For her service, I am grateful,” he said.

“Most of the primary voters across the nation have now spoken. It is time to bring a graceful end to the primary campaign. We now need to unify the Democratic Party and focus on electing Senator Obama and a working majority in the United States Senate. That is how we can change the direction of the country.

“I am running for the U.S. Senate because I believe Maine should lead the change this country needs. I share important priorities with Barack Obama: universal health care, reining in gas and food prices, greater independence from foreign oil, bringing our troops safely home from Iraq, creating jobs and strengthening the middle class.”

Over the weekend we had 7 more endorsements. Obama got 6 and Clinton 1.
5-11-08 - Added DNC Crystal Strait (CA) for Obama

5-10-08 - - Added new Utah addon Kristi Cumming(UT)# for Obama
- Added DNC
Carol Burke (VI) for Obama
- Switched DNC Kevin Rodriguez (VI) from Clinton to Obama.
- Added Ohio add-on Dave Regan (OH)# for Obama
- Added Massachusetts add-on Arthur Powell (MA)# for Clinton
- Added
Rep.