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There has been a lot of discussion here over the last day on the choice of Sarah Palin, running the entire gamut from the idea of "Thank you for the early Christmas present, now we can rest on our laurels, the election is won" to "This is a disaster, we've just lost the election".
Neither is true, and neither would matter if it were.
Three areas:
1. What we don't know
2. What to look for
3. Why it doesn't matter
1. What we don't know
Yesterday was cheesecake. OH BOY A BEAUTY QUEEN! Aside from the basic true-conservative, lifetime NRA, moose chomping, anti-abortion EVEN IN THE CASES OF RAPE AND INCEST, small town mayor, under investigation, mother of five, WE KNOW NOTHING.
More importantly, aside from "us" - the low-information voters know less. CNN, which should know, forgets to mention the bi-partisan investigation first reported on here at DCW a month ago. In fact they put up the investigation as "Breaking News" in the 10 pm hour last night.
It's not just that she hasn't been completely publicly vetted, I'm not convinced she's been privately vetted by the McCain campaign, as McCain only met her once before the announcement yesterday, and he called her about a week ago to let her know she was under consideration.
We not only don't know her biography, we also do not know all her positions, nor her personality. And there are rumours, which I can't yet get actual confirmation on from someone who has seen it, that she has a temper to rival McCain's. (But, yes, when I'm sure, I'll have sources.)
So before we run to either end of the gift-disaster spectrum, let's wait and see.
2. What to look for:
This week will be Sarah Palin's first national exposure. She is going to make a speech, introducing herself to the world. What will she say, and how will she say it? Likely, someone will write that speech for her, and while I'm big on writing one own's speeches and only (if at all) using speech writers to polish, as I mentioned here, she likely doesn't have time to get the writing accomplished.
Obama's speech "worked" because his speech was HIM: his words, his thoughts, his plans, his promises, his soul. One can never have that if one is a puppet.
And "puppet" is what needs to be determined this week at the Republican Convention. Forgetting about Dick Cheney, and to a certain extent, Al Gore, Vice Presidents have no assigned duties except to be President of the Senate, UNLESS THOSE DUTIES ARE ASSIGNED BY THE PRESIDENT. Everyone talks about the age differential, and can she lead if he dies, but people should also think about what she would do for any period that he was alive.
If is possible that McCain picked a woman to use exclusively as window dressing? By law, he can't pay her less, but he can restrict her duties to Rose Garden photos, a world tour with no policy portfolio, etc. She could concievably be the political equivalent of a trophy wife.
Therefore, it will be interesting to see if her speech is a parrot of the McCain positions, a parrot of the GOP platform (yes, there is divergence between the two), a biographical speech, or a speech laying out what she would do in the position of Vice President.
If her known positions are her passions, then maybe she'll say that, if elected, she will work for the repeal of Roe v Wade and the outlawing of all abortions in all cases. Or maybe she'll say that she'll concentrate on energy policy, albeit the Palin Position of "energy is oil, oil is energy, and there is nothing else."
Also look for her tone and demeanor. Next, and I HATE HATE HATE saying this: look at her clothes. While I tend to be oblivious to such things, most people, especially low-information voters, are not.
Finally, look at how she is treated by the Republicans. McCain had women choices: Kay Bailey Hutchison, Liddy Dole, Olympia Snowe, Christy Todd Whitman, Susan Collins, Jodi Rell, Linda Lingell, Jane Hull -- all Republican Senators or Governors with experience and portfolio. You might not know all of them, but they have stature. Will Sarah Palin be treated as a member of the club, or as a neophyte?
3. Why it doesn't matter
Yesterday, there was an email that went around the group of activists working locally on the campaign. The positions echoed what was said here in the comment threads from ecstasy to despair. The one that made me contribute was from a local leader who expressed abject terror about running against a woman. And I stand by what I sent out to them:
AH FEAR!!!So skip the over-confidence, skip the despair, and just get to work. Elections are won one voter at a time. Go get yours today.
Here's the thing -- there is a big difference between what we feel, and what we do.
Sarah Palin might be a helpful pick for McCain, might not be. When the anti-choice people get wind of the fact that she had a Down's Syndrome baby, by choice, after knowing, they'll cheer. But how will they feel when they find out that since Veep is a 24/7/365 job, she'll be turning that baby (who will turn 1 next April) over to nannies and babysittters?
Whatever -- it DOESN'T MATTER TO US. We have a plan. A plan that involves canvassing, phone banking, voter registration, visibility, and winning one voter at a time. So long as we follow our plan, we will prevail. Perhaps our rhetoric must change, perhaps we'll need to reach out a little harder to a few more people -- but we do what we do, and we do it as well as we can, and we do it with a smile on our faces, NOT with fear in our hearts.
My grandfather always said -- to succeed at anything, all you need to do is eat a little less, sleep a little less, work a little more.
So we do what we do. Fear is paralyzing -- working from a place of joy and hope and certainty is empowering.
Anon in Alaska. · 865 weeks ago
SPCrane · 865 weeks ago
TALK IS CHEAP
undecided · 865 weeks ago
undecided · 865 weeks ago
Vicki 51p · 865 weeks ago
B. the ones who like Putin ... er ... Palin, are the extreme right wingers, the ones who would have voted grudgingly for McCain anyway.
I conclude: C: he has perhaps lost some Hillary voters, and gained nothing.
STILL: lets get to work this weekend: find a voter registration drive or other Obama-supporting event in your area, and get to work. It's time to roll up our sleeves. Go Obama!
t · 865 weeks ago
Travis · 865 weeks ago
I don't judge her for not having him aborted. How could I, that's her choice. I judge her for being pregnant in the first place. 4 kids is plenty, larger broods than 3 tax the resources of an already overcrowded planet[3 is fine as it compensates for less than 2, 4 doesn't really bother me that much either]. The other issue is her age, given the high likelihood of birth defects to women in their 40s[43?], I think it is irresponsible and arrogant to attempt to have a child at that age when you already have plenty.
Patricia · 865 weeks ago
LaToya Renee · 865 weeks ago
LaToya Renee · 865 weeks ago
Vicki 51p · 865 weeks ago
I have a problem with her telling me how to live MY life.
John · 865 weeks ago
Dan_in_upstate_NY · 865 weeks ago
1. We have learned that McCain is a liar. For months he has criticized Obama for his alleged inexperience. So what does he do? Pick the most inexperienced VP in at least the last 100 years. (Even Dan Quayle was in congress for a dozen years.) This shows that McCain never really believed that Obama was inexperienced. Does McCain really believe that Palin is the most qualified person to take over as commander in chief at a moment's notice?
2. We have learned that McCain regards the VP position as a trophy position, and that McCain himself intends to be a sovereign chief executive with little interest in dissenting voices.
3. We have learned that McCain makes reckless, shoot-from-the-hip decisions with an unstable temperament. Prior to selecting Palin, he had only met her once. Once. And now she's next in line to have her fingers on the nukes.
4. McCain apparently believes that Palin is more qualified to be President than Obama. The level of hubris and condescension in that view is staggering.
I could go on...I'm really steamed about this...
Ron · 865 weeks ago
You seem to think that independant voters eat at the same trough as democrats, but they just haven't commited yet. Wrong. They take many different positions, usually a cross section of both conservative and liberal ones. If all the things that scare you scare them, they wouldn't be independants, right?
McCain chose a candidate who is appealing on many different fronts. She is someone who can both draw the undecideds and at the same time shore up the base. That is who McCain is courting, not you.
Wishing · 865 weeks ago
Hillary Supporter · 865 weeks ago
t · 865 weeks ago
http://media.adn.com/smedia/2008/03/09/01/307-350...
I cant find any pics of the last 2 months, how odd. just saying before anyone jumps to conclusions.
Karen Anne · 865 weeks ago
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/30/us/politics/30p...
I'm sure it would be easy to find out who had that baby, if the person looking were in Alaska. I mean, someone was in a hospital.
Daniel, Milwaukee · 865 weeks ago
tmess2 70p · 865 weeks ago
If she becomes VP, it will be bacause voters decided to vote against Obama (since that is how the Karl Rove clones running the McCain campaign have decided to run this election.
All in all Palin's steady progression is not the American dream of someone moving up by hardwork, but the American nightmare of an unqualified person gaining wealth and power merely by being lucky (in the right place at the right time).
What bothers me about Palin is that she represents a continuation of the energy industry and the anti--science kooks at the top of the Republican Party. If the Republican Party doesn't think that an understanding and acceptance of basic scientific priniciples is necessary for making policy decisions on scientifc questions, they are not fit to govern.
John · 865 weeks ago
Two months ago, I really thought McCain didn't have a chance and that his candidacy was just a formality. Now I think McCain is really out there to win this thing and is gaining ground. I cannot wait for the debates. Obama is a good orator and perhaps a better actor but my gut feel is that he's will be a mediocre debater at best, based on his recent performance at Saddleback. Palin will go into the VP debate as underdog and that's really not a bad place to be.
SLCScott 74p · 865 weeks ago
http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/...
It's pathetically easy to make an attack ad out of this...
t · 865 weeks ago
wishing · 865 weeks ago
I little difficult to see clearing, but on this date she would be eight months based upon the posting date. When the photo was taken?
greg · 865 weeks ago