Saturday, August 30, 2008

Reflections on the Choice of Sarah Palin

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

There has been a lot of discussion here over the last day on the choice of Sarah Palin, running the entire gamut from the idea of "Thank you for the early Christmas present, now we can rest on our laurels, the election is won" to "This is a disaster, we've just lost the election".

Neither is true, and neither would matter if it were.

Three areas:

1. What we don't know
2. What to look for
3. Why it doesn't matter

1. What we don't know

Yesterday was cheesecake. OH BOY A BEAUTY QUEEN! Aside from the basic true-conservative, lifetime NRA, moose chomping, anti-abortion EVEN IN THE CASES OF RAPE AND INCEST, small town mayor, under investigation, mother of five, WE KNOW NOTHING.

More importantly, aside from "us" - the low-information voters know less. CNN, which should know, forgets to mention the bi-partisan investigation first reported on here at DCW a month ago. In fact they put up the investigation as "Breaking News" in the 10 pm hour last night.

It's not just that she hasn't been completely publicly vetted, I'm not convinced she's been privately vetted by the McCain campaign, as McCain only met her once before the announcement yesterday, and he called her about a week ago to let her know she was under consideration.

We not only don't know her biography, we also do not know all her positions, nor her personality. And there are rumours, which I can't yet get actual confirmation on from someone who has seen it, that she has a temper to rival McCain's. (But, yes, when I'm sure, I'll have sources.)

So before we run to either end of the gift-disaster spectrum, let's wait and see.

2. What to look for:

This week will be Sarah Palin's first national exposure. She is going to make a speech, introducing herself to the world. What will she say, and how will she say it? Likely, someone will write that speech for her, and while I'm big on writing one own's speeches and only (if at all) using speech writers to polish, as I mentioned here, she likely doesn't have time to get the writing accomplished.

Obama's speech "worked" because his speech was HIM: his words, his thoughts, his plans, his promises, his soul. One can never have that if one is a puppet.

And "puppet" is what needs to be determined this week at the Republican Convention. Forgetting about Dick Cheney, and to a certain extent, Al Gore, Vice Presidents have no assigned duties except to be President of the Senate, UNLESS THOSE DUTIES ARE ASSIGNED BY THE PRESIDENT. Everyone talks about the age differential, and can she lead if he dies, but people should also think about what she would do for any period that he was alive.

If is possible that McCain picked a woman to use exclusively as window dressing? By law, he can't pay her less, but he can restrict her duties to Rose Garden photos, a world tour with no policy portfolio, etc. She could concievably be the political equivalent of a trophy wife.

Therefore, it will be interesting to see if her speech is a parrot of the McCain positions, a parrot of the GOP platform (yes, there is divergence between the two), a biographical speech, or a speech laying out what she would do in the position of Vice President.

If her known positions are her passions, then maybe she'll say that, if elected, she will work for the repeal of Roe v Wade and the outlawing of all abortions in all cases. Or maybe she'll say that she'll concentrate on energy policy, albeit the Palin Position of "energy is oil, oil is energy, and there is nothing else."

Also look for her tone and demeanor. Next, and I HATE HATE HATE saying this: look at her clothes. While I tend to be oblivious to such things, most people, especially low-information voters, are not.

Finally, look at how she is treated by the Republicans. McCain had women choices: Kay Bailey Hutchison, Liddy Dole, Olympia Snowe, Christy Todd Whitman, Susan Collins, Jodi Rell, Linda Lingell, Jane Hull -- all Republican Senators or Governors with experience and portfolio. You might not know all of them, but they have stature. Will Sarah Palin be treated as a member of the club, or as a neophyte?

3. Why it doesn't matter

Yesterday, there was an email that went around the group of activists working locally on the campaign. The positions echoed what was said here in the comment threads from ecstasy to despair. The one that made me contribute was from a local leader who expressed abject terror about running against a woman. And I stand by what I sent out to them:

AH FEAR!!!

Here's the thing -- there is a big difference between what we feel, and what we do.

Sarah Palin might be a helpful pick for McCain, might not be. When the anti-choice people get wind of the fact that she had a Down's Syndrome baby, by choice, after knowing, they'll cheer. But how will they feel when they find out that since Veep is a 24/7/365 job, she'll be turning that baby (who will turn 1 next April) over to nannies and babysittters?

Whatever -- it DOESN'T MATTER TO US. We have a plan. A plan that involves canvassing, phone banking, voter registration, visibility, and winning one voter at a time. So long as we follow our plan, we will prevail. Perhaps our rhetoric must change, perhaps we'll need to reach out a little harder to a few more people -- but we do what we do, and we do it as well as we can, and we do it with a smile on our faces, NOT with fear in our hearts.

My grandfather always said -- to succeed at anything, all you need to do is eat a little less, sleep a little less, work a little more.

So we do what we do. Fear is paralyzing -- working from a place of joy and hope and certainty is empowering.
So skip the over-confidence, skip the despair, and just get to work. Elections are won one voter at a time. Go get yours today.

Comments (186)

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Anon in Alaska.'s avatar

Anon in Alaska. · 865 weeks ago

Except that the baby isn't hers. It was her 16 year old daughter that had the baby and she claimed it as hers to cover up. Although this kind of thing happens all the time in Alaska, I don't think mainstream America will go for it. When this comes out, she's toast.
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Where I come from, TALK IS CHEAP. I don't need a President that can SPEAK to the issues, I need someone who has a record of accomplishment. Palin has been elected to ever increasing positions of LEADERSHIP. Democratic leadership, Polosi, now says McCain should have picked a female senator or congresswoman. I suppose that would have been the safe choice, were McCain indeed pandering to women. Instead he chose someone with a history of accomplishments. I can't say the same about Barrack. By dismissing Palin, practically out of hand, Polosi and the rest of the democratic party are trying desparately to reinforce that glass ceiling. And saying McCain has one foot in the grave- isn't that age discrimination? So, from the party of "equal rights/non-discrimination" and "equal pay for equal work", you have the knee jerk reaction (which cuts through the political pandering facade) to reject, regardless of history of accomplishments, two exemplary Americans with histories of getting meaningful things done. By the way, I'm guessing Palin knows that Natural Gas is a fossile fuel, Nancy!
TALK IS CHEAP
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3 replies · active 864 weeks ago
I'm looking for voting advice as an undecided voter. Everyone on this website seems to have extreme passion for Obama, but I haven't beenable to determine what his plans of action are once he gets in office. He speaks of the need for change, and how we need change, and how he will bring change... but change what and how??? His speech at the DNC was motivational and spirited, but it gave me no reason to offer my vote to him. In addition, to those of you who says he speaks his own words; he may be a worse "off-the-cuff" than W. Watching from St. Louis when you are sitting in a home in Kansas City? His comments about the pick of Palin sounded completely lost... Anyone can read a teleprompter, but we've seen for the past 8 years how embarassing one can be when put on the spot without preparation.
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4294967295 replies · active 865 weeks ago
cont.... Palin's speech seemed more true to herself than anything the Obama camp has contrived. Plus, why the hate for Palin? From what I have learned she started as a concerned citizen who took steps to improve her community and ended up in charge of the entire state. As for lack of experience, she appears to have done more in her time in office than Obama has period. Of all four candidates involved, she appears to be the one true individual that is involved for the greater good and not their own personal advances. Thoughts?
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2 replies · active 865 weeks ago
A. none of the Clinton supporters I know, plan to vote for McCain because he picked a woman. All of them plan to vote for Obama.

B. the ones who like Putin ... er ... Palin, are the extreme right wingers, the ones who would have voted grudgingly for McCain anyway.

I conclude: C: he has perhaps lost some Hillary voters, and gained nothing.

STILL: lets get to work this weekend: find a voter registration drive or other Obama-supporting event in your area, and get to work. It's time to roll up our sleeves. Go Obama!
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McCain/Palin don't want to reform the Bush agenda. They want to re-do it. We simply can't afford it. Seriously, I want to know why anyone on here thinks things will change if we elect a man who sided with George W. Bush more than 90% of the time.
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Re: down syndrome baby
I don't judge her for not having him aborted. How could I, that's her choice. I judge her for being pregnant in the first place. 4 kids is plenty, larger broods than 3 tax the resources of an already overcrowded planet[3 is fine as it compensates for less than 2, 4 doesn't really bother me that much either]. The other issue is her age, given the high likelihood of birth defects to women in their 40s[43?], I think it is irresponsible and arrogant to attempt to have a child at that age when you already have plenty.
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13 replies · active 864 weeks ago
She is from a state with a population of a little over 600,000. That is the size of a medium-sized city in most states. McCain wanted a shocker. Actually, I don't think this was his idea, it sounds more like a Karl Rove move - a Karl Rove who saw his plan slipping away and needed a new direction. Not impressed. But will wait to see how the media spins this.
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LaToya Renee's avatar

LaToya Renee · 865 weeks ago

I think Mc Cain is a very clever strategist but he may have put himself and the party in a lot of trouble. Brilliant move but wrong pick, I think there are plenty of woman candidates he could have chosen from the Republican Party, that are already known to the public and had a broader range of experience. I also believe that a man with Palin’s same qualifications and credentials would be laughed at. Republicans especially women republicans are focuses too much on her being a WOMAN making history than they are thinking about this country! I think this is an attempt to marginalize Obama and to gain the Democrats defectors that were lost when Clinton did not get picked for VP. I also think groups like PUMA are strongly misguided and take Clinton's lose too personal. This is not about you this is about what is best for the nation! I am strongly insulted about Mc Cain’s blind pick to choose a woman to gain Clinton’s supports, other than having the same body parts they are nothing alike!
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LaToya Renee's avatar

LaToya Renee · 865 weeks ago

I feel that Obama supporters and Clinton’s supporters have a whole different vibe. Obama supporters pick him for the country while Clinton supporters pick her for her gender, and if you are a Clinton supporter that is jumping on the Republican band-wagon over this stunt shame on you! The Democrat party has to come together to win this if not we will have another poor Republican president for another 4 more years or longer.
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I don't have a problem with her choosing to have 4? 5? children, the last one with Down's. I don't care. It was her choice.

I have a problem with her telling me how to live MY life.
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Do not underestimate Palin. How she became governor, and now vice presidential candidate, is the ideal path in a participatory democracy where ordinary citizens use public office to solve problems rather than to simply occupy it. Unknown, yes. Thin resume, somewhat. But she has consistently built up support throughout her public career that can only grow on the national stage.
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1 reply · active 865 weeks ago
Dan_in_upstate_NY's avatar

Dan_in_upstate_NY · 865 weeks ago

At first I was puzzled by McCain's pick, then I was amused. Now I am downright angry. This VP pick tells us a lot about McCain himself, and the kind of president he will be:

1. We have learned that McCain is a liar. For months he has criticized Obama for his alleged inexperience. So what does he do? Pick the most inexperienced VP in at least the last 100 years. (Even Dan Quayle was in congress for a dozen years.) This shows that McCain never really believed that Obama was inexperienced. Does McCain really believe that Palin is the most qualified person to take over as commander in chief at a moment's notice?

2. We have learned that McCain regards the VP position as a trophy position, and that McCain himself intends to be a sovereign chief executive with little interest in dissenting voices.

3. We have learned that McCain makes reckless, shoot-from-the-hip decisions with an unstable temperament. Prior to selecting Palin, he had only met her once. Once. And now she's next in line to have her fingers on the nukes.

4. McCain apparently believes that Palin is more qualified to be President than Obama. The level of hubris and condescension in that view is staggering.

I could go on...I'm really steamed about this...
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4294967295 replies · active 865 weeks ago
The liberals on this board really crack me up. Do you really think that McCain is trying to get your vote??? C'mon. You wouldn't vote for him if Jesus himself... oh, wait, I mean Hugo Chavez... was his VP pick.

You seem to think that independant voters eat at the same trough as democrats, but they just haven't commited yet. Wrong. They take many different positions, usually a cross section of both conservative and liberal ones. If all the things that scare you scare them, they wouldn't be independants, right?

McCain chose a candidate who is appealing on many different fronts. She is someone who can both draw the undecideds and at the same time shore up the base. That is who McCain is courting, not you.
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I just spent 30 minutes searching the web for public access photos of Gov Palin between Jan and April when her son was born. I got to tell you she does not look pregnant, at all, in any of the photos. I showed the photos to my wife and asked her. Her response, "no way she's pregnant". Asking for documents is a little silly, the Chinese govt has already shown us that docments can show any thing.
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1 reply · active 865 weeks ago
Hillary Supporter's avatar

Hillary Supporter · 865 weeks ago

Why is it all about abortion, gays, havig guns or NOT, C'mon lets talk about REAL issues affecting MILLIONS NOT the few...our economy, health issues, energy crisis etc...the rest will fall into place..we focus on silly stuff....when if face it we were a moral country we would totally respect each other and gays, having guns, drugs, and abortions WOULD NOT be an issue...
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1 reply · active 865 weeks ago
Leah, this was 3 months before the baby was born
http://media.adn.com/smedia/2008/03/09/01/307-350...
I cant find any pics of the last 2 months, how odd. just saying before anyone jumps to conclusions.
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Karen Anne's avatar

Karen Anne · 865 weeks ago

Great, so I'm googling for images of her in that time frame, and I run across a photo of her sitting on the corpse of a bear -
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/30/us/politics/30p...

I'm sure it would be easy to find out who had that baby, if the person looking were in Alaska. I mean, someone was in a hospital.
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Daniel, Milwaukee's avatar

Daniel, Milwaukee · 865 weeks ago

We cannot have a person with the qualifications of a "hockey mom" as second in command. The choice of Biden was to benefit the country, the choice of Palin was to only benefit Mccain (in his own senile mind). The GOP is finished, and the DEMS will own the whitehouse for 24 years because of what George Bush has done.
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1 reply · active 865 weeks ago
Let's be honest. Palin is governor only because no other Republican had the guts to challenge the Murkowski nepotism establishment. The fact that she has behaved in office similarly to Murkowsi is worth noting but she moved up as the vote against Murkowski candidate.

If she becomes VP, it will be bacause voters decided to vote against Obama (since that is how the Karl Rove clones running the McCain campaign have decided to run this election.

All in all Palin's steady progression is not the American dream of someone moving up by hardwork, but the American nightmare of an unqualified person gaining wealth and power merely by being lucky (in the right place at the right time).

What bothers me about Palin is that she represents a continuation of the energy industry and the anti--science kooks at the top of the Republican Party. If the Republican Party doesn't think that an understanding and acceptance of basic scientific priniciples is necessary for making policy decisions on scientifc questions, they are not fit to govern.
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1 reply · active 864 weeks ago
Before Palin, Obama had free reign on the "change" message. With the outsider Palin as VP candidate, and Biden as Obama's #2, Obama and his campaign will be on the defensive, as evident in this very blog right now. Palin is an excellent choice and the Democrats know it. "Angry" and "livid" Obama supporters are that way because they are panicked. On many different levels, Palin cuts right into Obama's arguments on why he and his followers think he deserves to be President. In fact, the discussion is shifting from Obama vs. McCain to Obama vs. Palin. Her presence is also a constant reminder to Hillary supporters of how Obama robbed them of the top ticket position and dismissed for the second.

Two months ago, I really thought McCain didn't have a chance and that his candidacy was just a formality. Now I think McCain is really out there to win this thing and is gaining ground. I cannot wait for the debates. Obama is a good orator and perhaps a better actor but my gut feel is that he's will be a mediocre debater at best, based on his recent performance at Saddleback. Palin will go into the VP debate as underdog and that's really not a bad place to be.
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2 replies · active 865 weeks ago
If we can tear ourselves away from her personal life for a moment, this is an interesting blog on Palin's former stance on earmarks:

http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/...

It's pathetically easy to make an attack ad out of this...
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I have a way to settle this all. McCain is more of the same. OMG there I did it. No matter how many people want to argue that Obama doesn't make change. The question who is going to bring change. McCain will not bring anything different. we will be stuck in the same rut we are now if mccain/palin are elected into office.
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http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl=http://www...
I little difficult to see clearing, but on this date she would be eight months based upon the posting date. When the photo was taken?
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Does palin know anything about major national economic issues and foreign policy issues. Does she know the logic behind why the U.S. runs a trade defit, the recent U.S. financial crisis, Middle East politics, the president of Brazil? Would she be able to negotiate with Putin and Ahmadinejad? I highly doubt it: a mayor of a small town and governor of a relatively small state (population, issues facing it, revenue) for less than 2 years. A BA degree from University of Iowa: in what? Relatively little education and probably little knowledge of economics and politics. Hopefully it becomes quickly apparent to the public one way or the other. If she doesn't know much, I hope the US public realizes that this is a very dangerous thing to US national interests as opposed to them saying "Oh, she's soo cute, down-to-earth, and a great mom". She's all this, but not someone who you want running the most powerful country in the world, facing terrorism, nuclear states, and potentially hostile states that are very powerful (Russia, China, Iran, North Korea). Seriously, aren't people like Palin appointed ambassador to places like Jamaica (so that she can work on her tan and not have to learn another language) as a quid pro quo for their donations to Republican candidates? This is pick as VP is an insult to women and to all Americans.
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3 replies · active 865 weeks ago

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