Saturday, April 26, 2008

Superdelegate predictions

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at

CCPS has been running a series of superdelegate predictions, with an accuracy rate of 70% on those they've predicted and have since announced. The latest predictions:

There are 128 unpledged superdelegates who are at least 60% likely to vote for Obama; just 39 unpledged superdelegates are at least 60% likely to vote for Clinton. There are 78 superdelegates in [the 40%-60%] range.
Tremayne over at Open Left has run similar calculations, but doesn't summarize the results.