WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com
One of the reasons the polls shows differences is contained in how Gallup differentiates their Likely Voter 1 and Likely Voter 2 models: in the traditional model, someone is only considered "likely" if they voted in the last Presidential election.
We know that there are a lot of new voters this year. And probably, you probably know one or two of them. And maybe a few people who vote 'sometimes'.
As always, I want you helping with GOTV by working through the campaign, or your local party. But for some people, they can't or won't do so.
So here's another idea: TEXT!
Most people with cell phones have text capabilities on their phones, and you could certainly text something out on Election Day morning. Or, you could have someone else do it for you automatically.
Here in Pennsylvania, the state Democratic Party has a text program, so I'm sure other states do also. I haven't heard anything from the campaign indicating that they'd be texting, but it wouldn't surprise me.
I received a "Text out the vote" link from Credo. The idea is that you put in the numbers of people you'd like texted, select a message or write one of your own, and they will send the texts on Election Day. You'll receive a confirmation text (standard rates apply).
Certainly, Credo is a commercial enterprise, and they'll offer you the opportunity to hear from them in the future (with opt-outs). Normally, I wouldn't promote a commercial enterprise because that is not what we do here. But if sending a text to that college student, or that neighbor, or whoever means ONE MORE VOTE, isn't it worth it?