Sunday, November 23, 2008

Senate 2010 - top ten races

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

The Fix lists (alphabetically) their top ten Senate races:

California (Boxer-D) - especially if Schwarzenegger runs
Florida (Martinez-R) - Martinez has a 23% approval rating
Kansas (Open (Brownback - R)) - But not if Sebelius goes to the Dept. of Labor
Kentucky (Bunning - R) - Should have beaten him in '04
Louisiana (Vitter - R) - why is he still in the Senate and Spitzer had to quit?
Nevada (Reid - D) - doesn't want to be "Daschled"
New Hampshire (Gregg - R) - the last GOP major office holder in NH
North Dakota (Dorgan - D) - only if Hoeven runs
Ohio (Voinovich - R) - could be picked off, but who will the Dems choose?
Pennsylvania (Specter - R) - Lets play Hardball

Posted by Matt at 10:09 PM

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Long Island Democrat's avatar

Long Island Democrat · 853 weeks ago

I suppose Arizona's off the table with Napolitano in the cabinet. I'm still skeptical that Specter is vulnerable. As for Louisiana, I'm not sure who the Dems could run (hopefully not William Jefferson), and if Vitter steps down the seat is probably Republican favored. As for those not listed here, isn't Lincoln supposedly vulnerable in Arkansas?
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tmess2 70p · 853 weeks ago

Louisiana is one of those weird states (having been born there and still having relatives there I can say that). There are some state-wide Democrats in office (including I believe Senator Landrieu's brother, doubt there has ever been a brother-sister pair of Senatros from a state) that could be viable candidates. Once you get beneath the Presidential level, party labels weaken somewhat which is why the Governor's mansion keeps on going back and forth.
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2 replies · active 853 weeks ago
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Long Island Democrat's avatar

Long Island Democrat · 853 weeks ago

You're right; Mitch Landrieu is Lt. Gov.
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Peter Zenger 62p · 853 weeks ago

It would drive the news orgs crazy to have two Landrieu Senators from on state. It is bad enough that they need to use state abbreviations to distinguish Nelson (FL) from Nelson (NE).
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mister liberal · 853 weeks ago

Ed Rendell could beat Arlen Specter, but he's the only Pensylvania democrat who can. Chris Matthews will not give up his show to run, he loves himself too much to take himself off the air. Martinez is definitely vulnerable, as are Bunning, Vitter, and Gregg. Maybe John Lynch could take a crack at Judd Gregg and Steve Beshear could run against Jim Bunning, or possibly a second shot from Bruce Lunsford. As for Vitter, I'm not sure just who the Democrat is, maybe Tim McGraw can move there and speed up his much anticipated political career ( No, I'm not kidding ). If Kathleen Sebelius doesn't get a Cabinet post, she is a shoo-in for Brownback's seat. Forget Schwarzenegger as a senator. He'll be returning to acting. How far will he get when his family show up to campaign for Feinstein's re-election? And Reid is strong enough to get re-elected, as is Byron Dorgan. Voinovich could be challenged by a host of Ohio representatives, even possibly Governor Ted Strickland.
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Travis Stark's avatar

Travis Stark · 853 weeks ago

I'd love to see Arnold run for Senate, then I give him a 1% chance to win. Not that I admire Barbara Boxer at all, but this is still a blue state. For the record, this is an awesome top ten list. You should post this list on my buddy's site http://www.toptentopten.com/.
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