Sunday, November 30, 2008

Atlanta Rapper Ludacris Campaigning For Jim Martin Monday

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

It's a battle of the stars in Atlanta Monday as former vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin stumps for Saxby Chambliss and three-time Grammy award winning rap artist Ludacris headlines a rally for Jim Martin.

Both Martin and Chambliss are trying to encourage their supporters to get out and vote in Tuesday's run-off election; an election that will determine who represents Georgia in the U.S. Senate for the next six years.

The Martin for Senate campaign announced that Jim Martin would spend December 1st campaigning throughout the state with Congressmen John Lewis and Hank Johnson, state Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond, and other Georgia leaders before closing out the day with a "rally for change" with Ludacris on the steps of the State Capitol.

Republican Saxby Chambliss will spend Monday campaigning with Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.

When will Clinton Resign?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

With Hillary Clinton set to be named tomorrow (10:40 EST press conference) as Secretary of State, another Senate seat opens up. But when will that happen?

Her staff isn't saying, but [Lloyd] Bentsen is the most recent sitting senator to join the Cabinet, and a likely guide. The Senate Finance Committee met and voted the nomination out on Jan. 12. Bill Clinton was sworn in on Jan. 20, and the Senate briefly convened hours later to hear Bentsen's nomination, along with those of Les Aspin and Warren Christopher.

Only then did Bentsen resign. - Politico
See here for a discussion of who might replace Clinton, and here for a look at whether Bill Clinton might get the position.

63% Approve of Obama's performance

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Apparently the country is very happy with Obama right now. From Rasmussen:

Forty-two percent (42%) of the nation’s voters now Strongly Approve of the way Obama is performing his role as President-elect while 19% Strongly Disapprove. Those figures give Obama a +23 rating in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Approval Index, matching his highest rating yet (see trends). (The Presidential Approval Index is calculated by subtracting the number who Strongly Disapprove from the number who Strongly Approve.)
...
Overall, 63% of voters somewhat or strongly approve of Obama’s performance so far while 34% disapprove.
Oh, and by the way:
14% of all voters Strongly Approve of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president. Forty-three percent (43%) Strongly Disapprove. That gives the current President a -29 rating on the Presidential Approval Index.

Small Donor Myth?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The LA Times blog is reporting on a study that states that Obama's small donor base is a myth. It's an interesting read, but in an election year that was unlike any other, it dismisses some key facts.

The basis for the claim comes from the notion that roughly one quarter of all Obama funds came from small donors (a small donor being defined as someone who gives $200 or less). The study points out that, by way of comparison, George W. Bush had the same amount of small donors in 2004.

Yet the study also points out that though an unusually high percentage (49%) of Obama's funds came in discrete contributions of $200 or less, and that only those with cumulative contributions totaling $200 or less for the entire cycle were included in the definition of small donors.

This is intellectually dishonest. Because in defining a small donor this way, it disregards the enthusiasm that people have for Barack Obama, and thus does not factor in the people who could only afford to give a small amount but did so repeatedly. This enthusiasm is the same thing that saw record voter turnout and participation by all demographics around the country in 2008.

A more accurate reading might have been to look at the small donors as defined in the report, but also to look at the number of donors who reached the maxed out limit without giving the total sum at one time.

So it this a legitimate finding or is it simply a press grab by the Campaign Finance Institute? You be the judge.

Sunday with the Senators: Senator Chris Matthews?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

We reported back in August on the Quinnipiac poll matching up Arlen Spector and Chris Matthews in the 2010 Pennsylvania Senate race. Also, on Friday, that Chris was really looking at it seriously. The LA Times is saying Chris has sat down with the appropriate parties, and HuffPost is saying it's a done deal, based on a 538 post.

According to Chris Matthews, it's not true.

Through a spokesperson, Matthews gave the following statement to Politico about the FiveThirtyEight report: "It is absolutely not true."
HHHMMMNNN.

The first inkling of a possible run was buried in the NY Times Magazine piece back in April. A lot has happened since then.

There are some reasons why Chris would want to run: he has a political pedigree. That is, he didn't get his start in journalism, he got it on the Hill. He really does love politics, and he is a proud Pennsylvanian, so running here would not make him a carpetbagger. He has family here, and his brother is an elected official in Montgomery County.

There are some reasons Chris would NOT want to run: likely, he'd be going up in the primary against Ed "Fast Eddie" Rendell, the popular term-limited governor, potentially against Joe Hoeffel, who drew 42% of the vote against Arlen Spector in 2004, and possibly Allyson Schwartz, a popular Philadelphia-area Congresswoman. And those are just the people we know about, all of whom would be better known to the Pennsylvania electorate, and would likely poll higher in popularity.

One of the questions is who the Republican candidate will be. Arlen says he's running. While this should be taken as a "yes" on its face, there are two things. First, Arlen will be 80 in 2010, and his health is not good. If he's undergoing yet another round of chemo that year, it would make campaigning difficult. Second, over the years, Arlen has become more moderate. Wait, that's not fair, he hasn't personally become more moderate, the Republican Party has become more right wingnut.

In 2004, in the Republican primary, Arlen took on Pat Toomey, and Pat received 49% of the vote to Arlen's 51% -- the only close primary race in which Arlen was involved since his first run in 1980. If you don't know "Pat Toomey" but you do know "Rick Santorum", yes, you do know Pat.

So one of the questions for Chris, in his internal deliberations, will need to be whether he feels he is positioned for his first race against a known quantity (Arlen) or a potential opponent who is very far right. Chris, based on what I know about him, is more moderate than progressive (as Democrats go). To run as a Democrat, he has to be concerned not just with winning or losing, but recapturing a Republican seat, in a year when "60" will once again be the magic number.

Further, I can't think of someone who has run for office while doing two hours of TV hosting Monday through Friday. (I'm sure if I'm wrong, one of y'all will come up with the name.) In this environment, would MSNBC allow for that dual role? Probably not, first because it would seem unfair to have a nominee as a broadcaster, and secondly because there are probably not enough hours in the day to hold both jobs simultaneously. So the question becomes, does Chris want to give up his TV gig? Then again, if you read the Times article, that decision may be independent of whatever Chris may want.

So, we'll keep you posted. But in the interim:

Saturday, November 29, 2008

National Security Team to be Named Monday

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

ABC News says it has confirmed the names for Monday's announcement:

Pending Senate confirmation, the President-elect's national security team will include: Sen. Hillary Clinton, D-N.Y., who will serve as Secretary of State in his administration; Arizona Gov. Janet Napolitano who will be Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security; attorney Eric Holder, Attorney General; Retired Marine General Jim Jones, National Security Adviser; retired Adm. Dennis Blair, Director of National Intelligence; Susan Rice, Ambassador to the United Nations; and Defense Secretary Robert Gates, who will stay on in that role for at least a year. - ABC News
Note that Gates will not need to be reconfirmed by the Senate.

Inauguration travel advice

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The New York Times gives an overview of the lodging and travel situation:

Most downtown hotels are either sold out Jan. 20 or charging exorbitant prices and requiring at least three-night minimum stays. Rooms at Washington bed-and-breakfasts are going for $800 a night. And the suburbs are booking up fast.
...
There are about 95,000 hotel rooms in the Washington area, including Fairfax and Arlington, Va. A few were still showing availability in a recent search at Destination D.C.’s Web site, www.washington.org, but rooms weren’t cheap. The Kellogg Conference Hotel, located on the campus of Gallaudet University, listed rooms from $618.75 a night from Jan. 17 to Jan. 21. Starting rates at the Hilton Washington Embassy Row were listed from $949.
...
There’s also Craigslist.com, where entrepreneurial Washingtonians have begun to list their homes for rent. Concerned about scammers? Vacation rental sites like Homeaway.com and VRBO.com still have some availability for the inaugural week and offer a $5,000 guarantee if the listing does not exist or you are wrongfully denied access to a vacation rental property for your stay.

Georgia Senate Update

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The Martin-Chambliss runoff election is this Tuesday, three days away. The Pollster polls indicate that Chambliss is in the lead, 50.9% - 46.2%. R2k/Kos says 52% - 46%. Insider Adantage and internal Democratic polls have it down to 2 or 3 points, with Chambliss still in the lead.

Prior to the General, Chambliss had raised about 4 times the money of Martin, $12 million to $3 million, and that hasn't changed much in the past month. While we won't know the total amount donated until after the election, the FEC requires that large donations (over $1,000) are reported within 48 hours during the waning days of a runoff campaign. That data indicates that Chambliss has raised about $1.6 million to Martin's $462,000.

On the Martin side, Bill Clinton and Al Gore have been down to campaign, and Hillary Clinton threw a fundraiser in New York for Jim Martin. On the Chambliss side, the big name is Spunky Sarah Palin.

The question is, can Martin pull it out? As Andre posted, the early vote numbers are very low compared to turnout for the General, and blacks are voting in lower numbers and percents than whites both in raw numbers, and in comparison to the General.

Under the radar, more than 200 Obama field operatives are in Georgia working to get out the vote on election day.

Friday, November 28, 2008

Obama statement on India attacks

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Michelle and I send our deepest condolences to the loved ones of the American citizens who lost their lives in the outrageous terrorist attacks in Mumbai. Our thoughts and prayers are with them, and with all who have been touched by this terrible tragedy.

These terrorists who targeted innocent civilians will not defeat India's great democracy, nor shake the will of a global coalition to defeat them. The United States must stand with India and all nations and people who are committed to destroying terrorist networks, and defeating their hate-filled ideology.

There is one president at a time. I will continue to closely monitor the situation on the ground in Mumbai, and am grateful for the cooperation of the Bush Administration in keeping me and my staff updated. We fully support the Bush Administration's efforts to protect American citizens and assist the government of India during this tragic time," said President-elect Obama.

Tom Davis resigns

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Rep. Tom Davis resigned from Congress on Monday. Davis considered, but then decided not to run for the Senate seat just won by Mark Warner. Then he announced in January that he wouldn't be running for re-election this year.

The seat will remain vacant until filled by Democrat Gerry Connolly when the new term starts in January.

Preview of the Inauguration Site

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

On Wednesday I had a chance to walk over to the U.S. Capitol and take photos of the grounds. As you'll see, the podium is still being constructed - and the areas that are said to be ticketed span quite farther than they have in the past.


There are a good assortment of views here, including the view from First Street and Third Street (both of which are said to be tickets areas). You can click here to get an idea of what Barack Obama's view will be like from the podium. There are lots of photos on staging and construction - for the full album, click here.


Wednesday was also the day that grounds workers were putting up the Capitol Christmas Tree.

Jim Martin Unveils New Ad Criticizing Chambliss' Votes On Veterans Affairs

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Jim Martin’s campaign released a new ad focused on the importance of taking care of our nation’s veterans.

While Saxby Chambliss has voted against increasing veterans’ healthcare and voted to stop the new G.I. Bill, Jim Martin knows the importance of serving our nation’s veterans because of his time serving our country. Chambliss, a member of the Armed Services Committees, missed an important hearing on military strategy the week before troops were sent to war in Iraq while he was vacationing on the special interest dime in Boca Raton, Florida and raising money from these same special interests.



"Answered"


"Georgia needs a leader who will fight for our men and women in uniform, not a politician who votes against critical funding for our veterans," Martin for Senate spokesperson Kate Hansen said. "Georgians know that we must show our gratitude to our veterans in actions as well as words, but all Saxby Chambliss has given our men and women in uniform is empty rhetoric. As a veteran, Jim Martin knows firsthand the importance of caring for our men and women in uniform and he will work with Barack Obama in Washington to ensure we fully honor our veterans."

Less Than 10% of Georgians Voted Early for the December Run-off Election

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

As of the last day of advanced voting for the December 2nd run-off election, 345,564 Georgians cast their ballots early. That represents a nearly thirty point drop between the number of people who voted early for the November General Election and the people voting early for the next Tuesday's run-off.

According to data provided by the Georgia Secretary of State, 4.5% of the state's registered black voters voted early. In comparison, early voting for the November General Election saw 42.8% of Georgia's black voters casting early ballots representing 35% of the total number of early votes.

Below is the demographic breakdown of Georgia's early voters (To see a similar chart for the November election, click here):

Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
Black Female
1,001,462
47,491
13.7%
4.7%
Black Male
720,257
30,360
8.8%
4.2%
Black Vote (Total)
1,721,719
77,851
22.5%
4.5%


Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
White Female
1,909,093
130,883
37.9%
6.9%
White Male
1,703,473
126,944
36.7%
7.5%
White Vote (Total)
3,612,556
257,827
74.6%
7.1%


Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
Asian/Pacific Islander
Female
35,722
683
0.2%
1.9%
Asian/Pacific Islander
Male
33,010
522
0.2%
1.6%
Asian/Pacific Islander
(Total)
68,732
1,205
0.3%
1.8%


Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
Hispanic/Latino
Female
43,509
589
0.2%
1.4%
Hispanic/Latino
Male
38,253
528
0.2%
1.4%
Hispanic/Latino
(Total)
81,762
1,117
0.3%
1.4%


Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
Native American
Female
636
16
0.005%
2.5%
Native American
Male
502
16
0.005%
3.2%
Native American
(Total)
1,138
32
0.009%
2.8%


Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
Other
272,218
7,532
2.2%
2.8%


Number of
Registered Voters
Number of
Early Votes Cast
Percentage of
Early Votes Cast
Voter Turnout
(Percentage)
Statewide
5,758,135
345,564
100%
6.0%
Female
(Statewide)
2,990,422
179,662
52.0%
6.0%
Male
(Statewide)
2,495,495
158,370
45.8%
6.3%

Black Friday

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The other morning, there was the Black Friday shopping poll. It appears that most of you don’t partake, either because you hate shopping or crowds, or you only shop on-line.

Me, I’ve been a long time Black Friday shopper, albeit not in the way most people think about it. This year, though, I’m not really shopping on Black Friday. And it’s all political and economic. (Surprise)

In general, Black Friday is a great time to shop for toys, and I buy a lot of toys. Also gloves, scarves, hats, coast, aspirin, and those mixed gifts of teas, coffees, jams and candies. Highly impersonal things. None of which end up with anyone I know personally. It all goes to the drives for people who need these things – Toys for Tots, the local Senior Center drive, those trees at the mall where you can pull a tag and fill a wish.

My adult friends and family know that for holiday presents they get little notes saying things like “I took the money that would have gone for a present for you and instead, sponsored in your name….” I do this because I don’t personally know people who need things. I do have friends who are having a harder time this year than last, but we all are lucky enough to have roofs over our heads, and food in our pantries, and therefore, my money goes to people who are cold and hungry and joyless.
Read more...

The thing about this that relates to politics and the economy is some of the code that President-elect Obama has been using in his economic pressers this week. He has alluded to the sacrifices people will be making, and how things will be changing. He says it in relation to both economics and medical care. It’s subtle, but I’m pretty sure I can see where it’s going.

Years ago, banks used to have something called Christmas Clubs. You would put a dollar, or five, in a savings account every week. You got it back in one lump sum in early December. They did away with the clubs a while ago, but I kept putting a few dollars in a jar every week, and that’s my Black Friday money. It doesn’t sound like much, but you’d be amazed what you can do with $250 and a bunch of good sales. Last December, I lucked into 150 pairs of gloves for $100.

The point is, it’s current money. It’s not HELOC money, nor any other form of debt.

And that’s one of the things our economy is going to require of us. To use current funds, to save for things, While the $800 billion released earlier this week by the Fed will help with the availability of mortgages, car loans and tuition, it will no longer be a case of “I want it, I can have it.” The oversight that everyone wants will not just be for executive salaries and an end to front-end loaded derivatives, but also to the availability of funds for those “regular folks” who look at borrowing.

This is likely not going to play well with most political views, because most people like “ideals” but hate any implementation which involves them directly.

The first example is that of a home mortgage. “Back when” getting a mortgage meant filling out a stack of paperwork which documented one’s income, debts, assets, and sometimes included references. The information was reviewed by a banker, or a board at the bank, and the mortgage was granted if the amount of the monthly payments came out to less than 30% of income and the person/couple was putting down 20%. (The percentages might have varied depending on certain local customs, but not by much.) The idea was that one shouldn’t have more house than one could afford.

By insisting in the 20% down, it was close to impossible that the value of the mortgage would ever be more than the value of the house. It was a HOME, not an investment.

For more than a decade, that hasn’t been the case. While people may argue whether the fault of the mortgage crisis was due to the people who pushed no-doc mortgages, or the people who took them out, the point is, by not requiring downpayments, any loss to the house value made the mortgage upside-down. That is, the economic dependence on housing only worked so long as people lived temporarily in housing and then traded up, made possible by “values” which kept rising.

The government shares some culpability in this due to the fact that the tax code allows for an interest deduction for mortgage interest. In fact, for most Americans, the difference between whether one can itemize or not is a function of whether one has a mortgage. No mortgage, and it’s standard deduction for you. Be able to itemize, and all of a sudden the ability exists to write off all sorts of other things which, by themselves, won’t cross the threshold.

As a political and economic reality, to “right” the housing market means that either the cost of housing needs to fall to where more people can afford a median-priced house on a median income, or there will be a gap of many years where people need to save substantial amounts of money to put a downpayment on a house.

But the other reality is that the economy needs more people in new houses (new to them, not necessarily new stock) because that is the driving force for the purchase of new appliances, furniture, fixtures, paint, curtains, etc. to furnish the new house. But this time, those purchases will need to occur with current money, or the fundamentals of the economic meltdown will still exist.

So what to do? It may be that the tax code is altered to support saving and not borrowing. It may mean certain above-the-line deductions. (For those of you who are not American, you can deduct from net income certain deductions granted without having to itemize. This lowers the net income one actually pays taxes on.) These deductions could be for things like savings, but also green improvements to one’s current home, interest on car loans to encourage car purchases, interest on credit cards to help people get them paid off more quickly, or any other behaviour the government wishes to encourage.

And as for cars: for a long time, Americans have liked to buy (in general) all the car they could afford. To allow people to have more car than they could afford, the idea of a lease was hatched. A car lease is like a 36 month car loan. One pays less per month than he would to buy the car, and at the end of the lease the lessee would either pay off the remaining value and keep the car, or return it.

In the next economy, it may be that people go back to only buying cars that are affordable. When I was in high school, these were called “beaters”.

To get our economy back on track, are you willing to give up anything? Will people IN GENERAL be willing to live within their means? Will the far left demand that the government provide all that the left believes it is entitled to? Will the far right populists?

Remember that the value of America, of the world, has shrunk by trillions in the past several months. The argument can be made that “the value” was always imaginary, but still, people believed their homes, retirement accounts, stocks, etc, were worth a certain amount, and now they aren’t. With the monies that are left, do we fund national health care? Better schools? Use everything as seed money? Do we take easy fixes, or stick to the values necessary to build an economy on a strong foundation independent of political expediency?

Thursday, November 27, 2008

Leftovers

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

  • In Minnesota, the state canvassing board on Wednesday denied a Franken request that it review absentee ballots rejected for technical reasons by local elections officials.
  • President-elect Barack Obama is already making presidential history by naming -- or at least his transition team is leaking to the press -- his Cabinet picks faster than nearly all of his predecessors. - CNN
  • The transition team has now received 290,000 applications for jobs
  • Bands in the inaugural parade are finding it really hard to find hotels
  • Counting across the country continues, and Obama is now at 69 million votes, and leads McCain by 9 million, up from 7 million on election night.
  • The White House accidentally sent out Christmas-themed Hanukkah cards
  • Lt. Gov. Brian Krolicki of Nevada, a possible opponent of Harry Reid in 2010, will likely be indicted.
  • Chris Matthews continues to look at a Senate run
  • Gwen Ifil has talked to NBC about hosting Meet the Press

Obama-Biden Thanksgiving Guidance and Early Radio Address Release

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


Good morning.

Nearly 150 years ago, in one of the darkest years of our nation’s history, President Abraham Lincoln set aside the last Thursday in November as a day of Thanksgiving. America was split by Civil War. But Lincoln said in his first Thanksgiving decree that difficult times made it even more appropriate for our blessings to be – and I quote – “gratefully acknowledged as with one heart and one voice by the whole American people.”

This week, the American people came together with families and friends to carry on this distinctly American tradition. We gave thanks for loved ones and for our lasting pride in our communities and our country. We took comfort in good memories while looking forward to the promise of change.

But this Thanksgiving also takes place at a time of great trial for our people.

Across the country, there were empty seats at the table, as brave Americans continue to serve in harm’s way from the mountains of Afghanistan to the deserts of Iraq. We honor and give thanks for their sacrifice, and stand by the families who endure their absence with such dignity and resolve.

At home, we face an economic crisis of historic proportions. More and more Americans are worried about losing a job or making their mortgage payment. Workers are wondering if next month’s paycheck will pay next month’s bills. Retirees are watching their savings disappear, and students are struggling with the cost of tuition.

It’s going to take bold and immediate action to confront this crisis. That’s why I’m committed to forging a new beginning from the moment I take office as President of the United States. Earlier this week, I announced my economic team. This talented and dedicated group is already hard at work crafting an Economic Recovery Plan that will create or save 2.5 million new jobs, while making the investments we need to fuel long-term economic growth and stability.

But this Thanksgiving, we are reminded that the renewal of our economy won’t come from policies and plans alone – it will take the hard work, innovation, service, and strength of the American people.

I have seen this strength firsthand over many months – in workers who are ready to power new industries, and farmers and scientists who can tap new sources of energy; in teachers who stay late after school, and parents who put in that extra hour reading to their kids; in young Americans enlisting in a time of war, seniors who volunteer their time, and service programs that bring hope to the hopeless.

It is a testament to our national character that so many Americans took time out this Thanksgiving to help feed the hungry and care for the needy. On Wednesday, I visited a food bank at Saint Columbanus Parish in Chicago. There – as in so many communities across America – folks pitched in time and resources to give a lift to their neighbors in need. It is this spirit that binds us together as one American family – the belief that we rise and fall as one people; that we want that American Dream not just for ourselves, but for each other.

That’s the spirit we must summon as we make a new beginning for our nation. Times are tough. There are difficult months ahead. But we can renew our nation the same way that we have in the many years since Lincoln’s first Thanksgiving: by coming together to overcome adversity; by reaching for – and working for – new horizons of opportunity for all Americans.

So this weekend – with one heart, and one voice, the American people can give thanks that a new and brighter day is yet to come.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

A Thanksgiving Menu

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Free-Range Roast Turkey
Cornbread Dressing
Cranberry Sauce
Sautéed Green Beans
Morelia Style Gazpacho with Spinach Salad
Zucchini Gratin
Whipped Maple Sweet Potatoes
Buttered Mashed Potatoes
Giblet Gravy
Fresh Clover Rolls with Honey Butter
Pumpkin Pie with Whipped Topping
Apple Pie
Pumpkin Mousse Trifle
Fresh Fruit Platter - Chicago Sun Times

While most of us enjoy our turkey and fixin's tomorrow, lets not forget, as the Obama family reminded us today, that there are many going hungry this Thanksgiving.

And one thing we can all be thankful for is that next year at Camp David, the menu above will be enjoyed by a Democrat.

From everyone here at DemConWatch, have a Happy Thanksgiving.

Terrorist Attack in Mumbai

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the Transition Team:

"President-Elect Obama strongly condemns today's terrorist attacks in Mumbai, and his thoughts and prayers are with the victims, their families, and the people of India. These coordinated attacks on innocent civilians demonstrate the grave and urgent threat of terrorism. The United States must continue to strengthen our partnerships with India and nations around the world to root out and destroy terrorist networks. We stand with the people of India, whose democracy will prove far more resilient than the hateful ideology that led to these attacks,” said Brooke Anderson, Chief National Security Spokesperson.

Mumbai (Bombay) is on the west coast of India.

Update:
This evening, President-elect Obama called Secretary of State Rice to get an update and status report on the situation in Mumbai. President-elect Obama then called Indian Ambassador Sen and conveyed that his thoughts and prayers are with those affected by this tragic situation. He said that there is just one president at a time. He also told him that he is monitoring the situation and has been in communication with Secretary Rice.

President-Elect Obama Names Two New White House Staff Members

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

WASHINGTON – President-elect Barack Obama today announced two new members of the White House staff. Jonathan Favreau will serve as Director of Speechwriting, and Cecilia Muñoz will serve as Director of Intergovernmental Affairs.

“We’re continuing to build a White House team that can rise to the challenges facing this country – and I couldn’t be more excited to announce Jon and Cecilia. I’m confident that at a critical time in our history, this White House will restore openness and accountability to our Executive Branch and help to put government back in the hands of the people it serves.”

Jonathan Favreau, Director of Speechwriting
Jon Favreau served as Director of Speechwriting during the 2008 presidential campaign. He has worked for President-elect Obama since February 2005, when he joined Obama’s United States Senate office as Speechwriter. Previously, Favreau served as Deputy Director of Speechwriting on John Kerry’s 2004 presidential campaign. A resident of North Reading, Massachusetts, Favreau received a Bachelor of Arts in political science from the College of the Holy Cross in 2003.

Cecilia Muñoz, Director of Intergovernmental Affairs
Cecilia Muñoz currently serves as Senior Vice President for the Office of Research, Advocacy, and Legislation at the National Council of La Raza (NCLR), where she supervises all legislative and advocacy activities conducted by NCLR policy staff. Muñoz is the Chair of the Board of Center for Community Change, and serves on the U.S. Programs Board of the Open Society Institute and the Board of Directors of the Atlantic Philanthropies. She is the daughter of immigrants from Bolivia and was born in Detroit, Michigan. In June 2000, she was awarded a MacArthur Foundation fellowship in recognition of her work on immigration and civil rights.
In case you're wondering... no it's not that Jon Favreau.

Schadenfreude

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

n. Pleasure derived from the misfortunes of others.
That although we didn't think it would be possible to silence Ann Coulter, the leggy reactionary broke her jaw and the mouth that roared has been wired shut - NY Post

Enjoy your Thanksgiving dinner Ann.

Remarks of President-elect Obama: Economic Recovery Advisory Board Announcement

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Remarks of President-Elect Barack Obama
Economic Recovery Advisory Board
November 26, 2008
Chicago, Illinois


Good morning.

It has become increasingly clear in recent months that we are facing an economic crisis of historic proportions. At this defining moment for our nation, the old ways of thinking and acting just won’t do. We are called to seek fresh thinking and bold new ideas from the leading minds across America. And as we chart a course to economic recovery, we must ensure that our government – your government – is held accountable for delivering results.

Today, I’m pleased to announce the formation of a new institution to help our economic team accomplish these goals: the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board. This Board is modeled on the President’s Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board created by President Eisenhower to provide rigorous analysis and vigorous oversight of our intelligence community by individuals outside of government – individuals who would be candid and unsparing in their assessment. This new board will perform a similar function for my Administration as we formulate our economic policy.

The Board will be composed of distinguished individuals from diverse backgrounds outside of government – from business, labor, academia and other areas – who will bring to bear their wisdom and expertise on the formulation, implementation and evaluation of my Administration’s economic recovery plan. The Board will report regularly to me, Vice President-Elect Biden and our economic team as we seek to jump-start economic growth, create jobs, raise wages, address our housing crisis and stabilize our financial markets.

The reality is that sometimes policymaking in Washington can become too insular. The walls of the echo chamber can sometimes keep out fresh voices and new ways of thinking – and those who serve in Washington don’t always have a ground-level sense of which programs and policies are working for people, and which aren’t. This board will provide that perspective to me and my Administration, with an infusion of ideas from across the country and from all sectors of our economy – input that will be informed by members’ first-hand observations of how our efforts are impacting the daily lives of our families.

I’m pleased to announce that this Board will be chaired by one of the world’s foremost economic policy experts, a former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, and one of my most trusted advisors, Paul Volcker.

Paul has been by my side throughout this campaign, providing a deep understanding of financial markets, extensive experience managing economic crises, and keen insight into the global nature of this particular crisis. Paul has served under both Republicans and Democrats and is held in the highest esteem for his sound and independent judgment. He has a long and distinguished record of service to our nation, and I am pleased that he has answered the call to serve once again.

I am also happy to announce that Austan Goolsbee, another one of my key economic advisors, has agreed to serve as Staff Director and Chief Economist of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board and act as the primary liaison between the Board and the Administration. I also plan to nominate Austan to serve as one of the three members of my Council of Economic Advisers.

Austan is one of America’s most promising economic minds, known for his path-breaking work on tax policy and industrial organization. He is one of the economic thinkers who has most shaped my own thinking on economic matters, and I look forward to continuing our close collaboration in the White House.

I plan to announce the remaining members of the Economic Recovery Advisory Board in the coming weeks, and I look forward to their contributions to our urgent work to rebuild our economy and restore prosperity across America.

Thank you, and I’m now happy to take questions.

President-Elect Obama Announces the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the Transition Team:

CHICAGO – Today, President-Elect Barack Obama announced the establishment of the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board. Modeled on the Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board created by President Dwight D. Eisenhower to provide an independent voice on intelligence issues, the new Economic Recovery Advisory Board will be charged with offering independent, nonpartisan information, analysis and advice to the President as he formulates and implements his plans for economic recovery. The Economic Recovery Advisory Board will provide regular briefings to the President, Vice-President and their economic team. The Board will be established initially for a two-year term, after which the President will make a determination on whether to continue its existence based on its continued necessity.

"At this defining moment for our nation, the old ways of thinking and acting just won’t do. They call for us to seek fresh thinking and bold new ideas from the leading minds across America. And they demand that as we chart a course to economic recovery, we ensure that our government – your government – is held accountable for delivering results. Today, I’m pleased to announce the formation of a new institution to help our economic team accomplish these goals," said President-elect Barack Obama.

Paul Volcker, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1979-87, will serve as Chair of the Board. Volcker is one of the world’s foremost economic policy practitioners with vast experience in managing economic crises. He will bring a deep understanding of financial markets and the global nature of this economic crisis to bear in leading the Board’s work. Austan Goolsbee will serve as Staff Director and Chief Economist of the Recovery Advisory Board and act as the primary liaison between the Board and the Administration. The President is also nominating Goolsbee to be one of the three Members of his Council of Economic Advisers.

Members of the Board will be drawn from among distinguished citizens outside the government who are qualified on the basis of achievement, experience, independence, and integrity. The Board will bring a diverse set of perspectives and voices from different parts of the country and different sectors of the economy to bear in the formulation and evaluation of economic policy. Additional members will be announced in the future.

The Board will meet regularly and provide advice directly to the President on the design, implementation, and evaluation of programs to jump-start economic growth, create jobs, raise wages and living standards, address the housing crisis and stabilize financial markets. The Board will also focus on how the response to the short-run economic crisis is laying the groundwork for the reforms necessary for longer-run prosperity.

The economic appointees announced today:

Paul Volcker, Chair of the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board
Paul Volcker has served under five presidents of both parties in a life committed to public service. He was chairman of the Board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve System from 1979 to 1987. Prior to that he served as President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and the Undersecretary of the Treasury for Monetary Affairs. He is professor emeritus of international economic policy at Princeton University and has served as chairman of the board of trustees of the International Accounting Standards Committee and of the Independent Inquiry Committee for the United Nations Oil-for-Food Program and Chairman of the Board of the Group of Thirty.

Austan Goolsbee, Staff Director and Chief Economist of the President’s Economic Recovery Advisory Board & Member of the Council of Economic Advisers

Austan Goolsbee is the Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business where he has taught since 1995. He is also a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research and the American Bar Foundation. Goolsbee, a Fulbright Scholar and Sloan Fellow, co-directs the Chicago Booth Initiative on Global Markets and formerly served as lead editor for the Journal of Law and Economics. He has been a key economic adviser to the President-elect since 2004.

Director of the Domestic Policy Council Melody Barnes Talks About the Economy

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From change.gov:

Convention computer equipment donated to local schools

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

GOLDEN - The job of Jan Strand is to make sure all the technology is working at Golden High School. The building and grounds may be new, but the computers are not.
Advertisement

"Our server right now is very old, the teachers didn't have enough space," said Strand, technology coordinator for Golden High School.

The building was opened this year - a product of a 2004 bond issue. It is equipped with high-end infrastructure and wiring, but Strand does not have the computer equipment to fully utilize it.

Soon, that may all change.

Cisco Systems provided about $5 million worth of computer equipment and hardware for the Democratic National Convention. After tearing down the DNC, Cisco promised to donate it all to local schools. Strand just found out Golden High School will be getting about $150,000 in servers, switchers, routers, phones and services to maintain their new gear.

"I had no idea," said Strand when we told her the news. "Oh my gosh, would you like to get a shot of me doing a cartwheel?" - 9News
Even though the convention is over, things are gearing up for 2012. Matt started DemConWatch in 2005 when Howard Dean announced the 2008 convention would be in late August. We're already hearing news about 2012. Stay tuned and see you in (insert 2012 convention city here).

You Heard It Here First...

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

A couple months ago, in an article relating Hank Paulson to John Erlichman, I was talking about the upcoming bailout and wrote:

First, let's look at whether or not anyone knew about the problems with the market prior to last week. And we come to Eliot Spitzer. He and a number of other Attorneys General started acting against predatory lending several years ago. He had a recap-type article in the Washington Post earlier this year. It's an interesting connection to what the Bush administration would and would not do. I'm not willing to start wearing a tin foil hat, and I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but approximately 24 days after that article was published, Eliot Spitzer was brought down by a Federal sting involving a hooker. I'm just saying.
Turns out I'm not the only one with questions. Next year, the House Financial Services Committee will be taking up the issue of whether Spitzer was targeted based on his attempts to go after Wall Street in his position as NY Attorney General and the potential for what he could have authorized as Governor. There will be hearings. And by the way, this is not simply a partisan investigation. One of the people pushing for it last summer (it's been delayed due to the overall financial crisis) is Steven C. LaTourette (R-OH).

More details here, and I'll be following this once the hearings begin.

Senator Clinton?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Mr. Super wrote about the choices for Hillary Clinton's replacement as junior Senator from New York. In our poll, Andrew Cuomo has a small lead over Caroline Kennedy, who has a lead over her cousin Robert.

But there may be another name thrown in the ring. You're not going to find this information elsewhere because it is a rumour. It's not even a published rumour, it's something I heard from someone who may know something under the radar.

So let's consider the possibilities. Is there any Constitutional reason that Bill could not be a Senator? No. It hasn't happened before, but one ex-President became a member of the House of Representatives.

Trivia question: name him, and cite what issue position he held and argued for, which was used by a later President on an important issue. (Answer this afternoon if no one gets it first.)

One of the reasons cited that Hillary Clinton would want to be Secretary of State is that as the junior Senator from NY, she holds no committee chair, she is low in overall seniority, and she is one of one hundred. Potentially not where she'd want to be.

One of the reasons cited against selecting Hillary for Secretary of State is Bill's business dealings around the world. It may be difficult for her to argue for military and/or geo-political concessions from a head of state who is donating to Bill's charity. Therefore, Bill may be stymied in being able to live the life he's been living since ending his presidential term.

So what is Bill going to do? It's unlikely that he'd be put up as a candidate for the Supreme Court. (The trivia question is too easy, the answer is Taft.) Not that he wouldn't be competent, but my gut says that the impeachment thing wouldn't sell. Plus, the position doesn't seem, um, active enough for him. Sure, the possibility to shape history would appeal, but on a personality level, the position is not a good fit for him. He's not going to run against David Paterson in the 2010 primary. You know that's not going to happen.

So that leaves the Senate as his best option for public service. The "one in one hundred" tag is irrelevant where Bill is concerned. For starters, the Senate is congenial place, and most people are on a first name basis. I'm betting that Bill's first name would be "Mister" and his last name would be "President". That honour never goes away. Plus, there would be absolutely no learning curve for him. Not to mention the fact that being in the club allows him to do all sorts of good work (and good works) and allows him to have an active position working with lots of people, multi-tasking, shaping policy: things he both excels at and greatly enjoys.

Would he be the best choice for the position? My personal feeling is that the seat belongs to the Kennedy's and if they want it, by rights it's theirs. Carolyn, Robert, another cousin: it's their seat. And there is something interesting about the possibilities of a Clinton going up against a Kennedy, with the recent taste of Caroline and Uncle Teddy having passed the Kennedy choice to President-elect Obama. But you never know.

Floor is open.

It's A Ball

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

MTV will be throwing an inaugural ball.

They've decided to call it "Be the Change Inaugural Ball" and they'll be broadcasting it live.

They did this once before, in 1993, when both the Clintons and Gores attended for part of the evening. Performers included the Eagles and U2.

MTV held a party, not a ball, in 1997. They didn't do anything for either of the Bush inaugurals.

This year, they'll be teaming up with ServiceNation, an organization which helps to mobilize grassroots efforts.

"ServiceNation looks forward to partnering with MTV on a historic inaugural event that will call on all Americans to act on their idealism and answer President-elect Obama's call to serve," said Michelle Nunn, CEO, Points of Light Institute. "By uniting Americans on the common ground of service, we can roll up our sleeves and help solve the nation's great challenges and inspire every American to be the change they wish to see in the world."
I've not yet found out how to get tickets, but I haven't given up. THIS looks like fun!

Economics Today

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the Transition Team:

Today, President-elect Barack Obama will make an economic announcement at a press conference in Chicago. The press conference will be held at the Hilton Chicago at 9:45 AM Central Time. Vice President-elect Joe Biden has no public events scheduled.
We're sure this will be carried on TV and the net. We'll have the text and video up as soon as possible.

John Dingell

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

We mentioned earlier that Henry Waxman won the House Caucus election to serve as the head of the House Energy and Commerce Committee, and that there would be more to follow.

I had planned to put up a post pointing out that as winter turns into spring, John Dingell will become the longest serving House member (two Senators are still ahead for total Congressional time), when he surpasses Jamie Whitten (D-MS) who served from 1941 to 1995.

There was also going to be the mention that Dingell's wife, Debbie, is a GM executive. I was going to say something snarky about how I'm sure that had nothing to do with Dingell's lifelong stance against CAFE standards, nor his commitment to support of the Big Three.

I would have, but instead, there's this:

Congressman Dingell was taken to a DC area hospital yesterday afternoon, suffering "discomfort". He was treated on the Hill, and then was able to walk to the ambulance. As of the lastest information, they're still running tests and keeping him for observation. He is 82.

Congressman Dingell, I haven't always agreed with your votes on environmental issues, but you have done your job of representing your constituency in the Michigan 15th. Sometimes, in believing in the overall issue, I forget that "All politics is local", as Tip O'Neill always said.

Please get better. We need you: history should have as its longest serving Congressman someone who fought for ALL his constituents, not a segregationist who only fought for those consituents who were white.

Shopping Note

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

This is off-topic politically, but much of the current political concerns relate to the economy, so I'm calling it a weak link to topic.

Friday is Black Friday. So called because, historically, that was the day that stores went from operating in the red, to operating in the black. Back when "Christmas Shopping" was relegated to one month a year. When I was very little, my grandmother used to take me to Fifth Avenue on Black Friday, which late on Thanksgiving Day was metamorphosed into a wonderland of lights, and window displays, and music.

This year, thanks to the new Fed money release, if what you wanted to buy on Friday was a house, a car, or a college education for your kids, there are more funds available, and rates are below what they were a few days ago.

But probably, if you're going out, you'll pass a store or two with a "Going Out of Business" sign in the window. Caveat Emptor.

Often the prices at the going out of business sales are HIGHER than at stores in the same chain which are not going out of business, and higher than they were before the liquidation.

This is because stores don't liquidate themselves, professional liquidators do. And the first thing THEY do is to raise all prices to MSRP, and take discounts off of that. So, if you're going, check prices on-line first, to find out what the actual value of an item is at other places.

Are you going shopping on Friday? Doing your bit for the economy which is 70% driven by consumer spending? Note that you can make two selections in today's poll, so you can say if you'll be shopping, and how much you'll spend.

Inauguration: Big party on the National Mall

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

What to do with 2 to 4 million people?

The Obama inauguration will feature a massive celebration on the National Mall, the newly formed Presidential Inaugural Committee announced on Tuesday.
...
The Mall event--designed to provide a low cost, accessible venue for the possibly millions of people who will come here for the Jan. 20 inauguration--will be created along the lines of other mega Obama events at Invesco Field in Denver, Grant Park in Chicago and in Berlin, near the Brandenburg Gate. - Chicago Sun-Times

Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Thank You Sarah Palin!

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

No... seriously. Thank you!


Should we give money to Republicans like this that want to keep The Turkey Pardoner Sarah Palin in the spotlight more than most Democrats do?

Inauguration Committee needs volunteers

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com



The official Obama Presidential Inauguration Committee is looking for volunteers:

The Presidential Inaugural Committee is seeking volunteers for Inaugural events. Thank you for signing up now to volunteer.

How You Can Help: We need volunteers with different skills and backgrounds to assist with Inaugural events.
Click here for the volunteer web sign-up site.

More Staff Announced for Obama and Biden Offices

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the Transition Team:

President-Elect Barack Obama Announces Director of Scheduling and Advance
WASHINGTON – President-elect Barack Obama today announced the following White House staff: Alyssa Mastromonaco, Director of Scheduling and Advance.

President-elect Obama said, “I am honored to have this hardworking and trusted advisor join my administration as we work to tackle serious challenges and bring the change that we need to Washington. This talented and dynamic individual brings diverse skills to the White House, and is ready to work hard in service to the American people at this defining moment in history."

The White House Staff Announcement is below:
Alyssa Mastromonaco, Director of Scheduling and Advance
Mastromonaco served as Director of Scheduling and Advance for Obama’s presidential campaign beginning at his announcement in February 2007. She has worked for President-elect Obama since February 2005, when she first joined Obama’s United States Senate office as Director of Scheduling. After that, Mastromonaco was named the Political Director for Obama's Political Action Committee, Hopefund, during the 2006 midterm elections. Mastromonaco worked as the Director of Scheduling for Senator John Kerry’s presidential campaign in 2004 and before that was Press Secretary for Congressman Rick Boucher (VA-9). A resident of Rhinebeck, New York, Mastromonaco received her Bachelor of Arts degree in Political Science from the University of Wisconsin - Madison in 1998.
And from Biden's Office:
WASHINGTON – Today, Vice President-elect Joe Biden announced the following key Vice Presidential staff: Michael (Mike) C. Donilon, Terrell P. McSweeny and Evan M. Ryan.

Mike Donilon will serve as Counselor to the Vice President; Terrell McSweeny will serve as Domestic Policy Advisor to the Vice President; and Evan Ryan will serve as Assistant to the Vice President for Intergovernmental Affairs and Public Liaison.

“These talented individuals build on the professional, dedicated and diverse team being assembled to lead the Obama-Biden Administration,” said Vice President-elect Joe Biden. “Mike Donilon has been one of my closest advisors for more than 25 years, is one of the most astute counselors in national affairs I have ever met – he provided advice that was invaluable on the Obama-Biden campaign in 2008. Terrell McSweeny is an expert on domestic policy and has established herself as someone highly-regarded and experienced in national policy matters. Evan Ryan has a unique blend of White House management experience and public outreach skills, which will make her an indispensable asset to the Obama-Biden Administration.”

Mike Donilon, Counselor to the Vice President
Mike Donilon has been an advisor and consultant to Vice President-elect Biden since 1981. He was an instrumental part of the Vice President-elect's debate preparation team and was his traveling advisor during the general election campaign. Donilon has been part of some of the most remarkable breakthrough campaigns in the country, including Governor Douglas Wilder's historic victory in Virginia in 1989, Senator Harris Wofford's upset victory over Dick Thornburgh in 1991 and President Bill Clinton's win in 1992.

He has provided strategic advice and led the creative efforts in a number of statewide campaigns, including those for Governor Jon Corzine (D-NJ), Senator Bill Nelson (D-FL), Senator Jack Reed (D-RI), Senator Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI) and former Senator Mark Dayton (D-MN). In 2006 and 2008, Donilon created the advertising for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee’s independent expenditure campaigns for Senator Claire McCaskill (D-MO), Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ), Senator Mark Udall (D-CO) and Senator Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH). Donilon received both an A.B. and a J.D. from Georgetown University.

Terrell McSweeny, Domestic Policy Advisor to the Vice President
Terrell McSweeny has advised three Presidential candidates on domestic policy and related matters. In 2008, she worked for Vice President-elect Biden in various capacities, serving as his Issues Director during the general election campaign and his Deputy Chief of Staff and Policy Director in the U.S. Senate where she managed domestic and economic policy development and legislative initiatives, as well as his principal domestic policy advisor during his own Presidential campaign. In 2004, McSweeny served as the Deputy Policy Director for the Wes Clark for President campaign in Little Rock, Arkansas; earlier, in 2000, she worked in the Gore for President campaign in Nashville, Tennessee. Her government service includes her work as Counsel to Senator Biden, where she worked on Judiciary Committee issues such as women's rights, domestic violence, judicial nominations, immigration and civil rights. In addition to her policy work in Presidential campaigns, McSweeny was also an attorney at O'Melveny & Myers LLP. McSweeny is a graduate of Harvard University and Georgetown University Law Center.

Evan Ryan, Assistant to the Vice President for Intergovernmental Affairs and Public Liaison
Evan Ryan possesses a unique blend of White House management, international outreach and policy expertise. She was an Adviser to the Vice President-elect during the general election campaign and served as his Deputy Campaign Manager during the primary cycle. Ryan served on the White House staff from 1994-2000, working for First Lady Hillary Rodham Clinton as Special Assistant to the First Lady’s Chief of Staff and then as Deputy Director of Scheduling. In the latter capacity, Ryan traveled to 22 countries to prepare Mrs. Clinton’s foreign trips, representing the First Lady’s office with senior governmental officials, U.S. embassy personnel and non-governmental leaders. In 2000, Ryan was hired as Director of Scheduling for the Hillary 2000 U.S. Senate campaign in New York. In 2003-2004, during the Presidential primary season, Ryan was Deputy Communications Director for John Kerry’s campaign. In 2005, Ryan was Deputy Chair for the Governance track of the Clinton Global Initiative in New York. Ryan is a member of the Executive Committee of the conflict-management NGO, PeacePlayers International and has served as a consultant for the Education Partnership for Children of Conflict, an NGO co-founded by Angelina Jolie and Gene Sperling. She is also a Term Member of the Council on Foreign Relations. Ryan received a B.A. in political science from Boston College and a Masters in International Public Policy from Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies.

GA-SEN: Martin Releases New Ad. . ."Go To Work"

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

In a new ad released today, Jim Martin responds to Saxby Chambliss’ false, vicious attacks on Martin’s record. The truth is that Jim Martin voted to return $100 million of surplus taxes to taxpayers and voted for the largest middle class tax cut in Georgia’s history. While Jim Martin will go to Washington to fight for the middle class, Saxby Chambliss has spent his time there fighting for CEOs and lobbyists.



"Go To Work"

"Saxby Chambliss has resorted to false, vicious attacks because Georgians know there’s only one candidate who will work with Barack Obama to cut middle class taxes, and that’s Jim Martin," Martin spokesperson Kate Hansen said. "Voters are rejecting Saxby Chambliss’ tired, bitter politics because they know that in these perilous times we need a fighter for the middle class, not a politician who stands up for special interests. In Washington, Jim Martin will get to work fixing America’s economy for middle class Georgians again."

Americans making plans for inauguration

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From Florida:

TAMPA - Carolyn Collins sat on her couch the night Barack Obama was elected president and thought about her late parents, who had drilled into her that she had the right to vote.

Then she thought about her 18-year-old grandson, who had called her with pride the day he got his voter registration card. Suddenly, Collins said, "my hands flew up and the tears began flowing."

The next day she put her name on five different lists of people seeking tickets to Obama's inauguration, set for Jan. 20. Active in Florida A&M University alumni groups and the Hillsborough County chapter of the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People, she's hopeful. But tickets or no tickets, she and her husband are heading to Washington to get as close as they can to the ceremony.

"We just want to be there," she said.
From New York:
When Susan Gilbert was 10, her parents bundled their seven children into the family car and drove to Washington to witness John F. Kennedy's funeral procession.

Forty-five years later, on Jan. 20, most of those brothers and sisters, plus many from the family's next generation, expect to gather again in the nation's capital, this time for Barack Obama's inauguration.

"My parents are deceased but they would have been out there working for Obama," said Gilbert, principal of Siwanoy elementary school in Pelham. "My mother is smiling, I know. ... I'm doing it for them."
And from North Carolina:
Pattie Brew, daughter of a North Carolina sharecropper, had let almost a century go by without casting a vote for president or joining the inaugural crowds only three miles from her home in the nation's capital.

"I never had no interest in it because my vote don't matter anyway, so I never even took the time to fool with it," said the 97-year-old woman known as Mother Brew. "I knew white people had the right of way here, you know."

But on Nov. 4, she slipped on white gloves and pearls and found her way to a polling booth. And on Jan. 20, she wants to see the country's first inauguration of a black president — not from a couch at home but from somewhere closer by.

"So much history in this, honey," Brew said. "You gonna get me a ticket?

President Elect Obama's Office off Management and Budget Press Conference

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Remarks of President-elect Barack Obama
OMB Announcement
November 25, 2008
Chicago, Illinois


Good morning.

I speak to you today, mindful that we meet at a moment of great challenge for America, as our credit markets are stressed, and our families are struggling. But as difficult as these times are, I’m confident that we will rise to meet this challenge – if we’re willing to band together and recognize that Wall Street cannot thrive so long as Main Street is struggling; if we’re willing to summon a new spirit of ingenuity and determination; and if Americans of great intellect, broad experience, and good character are willing to serve in government at this hour of need.

Yesterday, I announced four such Americans to help lead the economic team that will advise me as we seek to climb out of this crisis. Today, Vice President-elect Biden and I are pleased to announce two other key members of our team – Peter Orszag as Director and Robert Nabors as Deputy Director of the Office of Management and Budget.
Read more...

Before I explain why I selected these outstanding public servants, let me just say a word about the work I am asking them to undertake. As I said yesterday, the economic crisis we face demands that we invest immediately in a series of measures that will help save or create two and a half million jobs and put tax cuts in the pockets of the hard-pressed middle class. Many of those new jobs will come in areas such as energy independence, technology, and health care modernization that will strengthen our economy for the future.

But if we’re going to make the investments we need, we must also be willing to shed the spending we don’t. In these challenging times, when we are facing both rising deficits and a sinking economy, budget reform is not an option. It is an imperative. We cannot sustain a system that bleeds billions of taxpayer dollars on programs that have outlived their usefulness, or exist solely because of the power of a politician, lobbyist, or interest group. We simply cannot afford it.

This isn’t about big government or small government. It’s about building a smarter government that focuses on what works. That is why I will ask my team to think anew and act anew to meet our new challenges. We will go through our federal budget – page by page, line by line – eliminating those programs we don’t need, and insisting that those we do operate in a sensible cost-effective way.

Let me give you one example of what I’m talking about. There’s a report today that from 2003 to 2006, millionaire farmers received $49 million in crop subsidies even though they were earning more than the $2.5 million cutoff for such subsidies. If this is true, it is a prime example of the kind of waste I intend to end as President.

And we will also focus on one of the biggest, long-run challenges that our budget faces – namely, the rising cost of health care in both the public and private sectors. This is not just a challenge but also an opportunity to improve the health care that Americans rely on and to bring down the costs that taxpayers, businesses, and families have to pay.

That is what the OMB will do in my administration – it will not only help design a budget and manage its implementation, it will also help make sure that our government – your government – is more efficient and more effective at serving the American people.

There is no better person to help lead this effort as Director of the OMB than my friend Peter Orszag. Peter has been one of our nation’s leading voices on budgetary issues. It is said that a nation’s budget reflects its priorities. I believe that is true. And I know that Peter will bring to his work at the OMB a set of priorities that I – and the American people – share.

Throughout his career, he has made significant contributions in our understanding of all the major economic challenges we are now confronting – from reducing medical costs to saving Social Security to fighting global climate change to helping put the dream of a college degree within reach for more students.

As Director of the Congressional Budget Office, he reenergized and reinvigorated the agency, while shifting its focus to confront the health care crisis that is not only a cause of so much suffering for so many families, but a rapidly growing portion of our budget and a drag on our entire economy.

But it is not simply Peter’s past career that makes him qualified for his new appointment, it is his vision for the future. He believes, as I do, that even as we take steps to restore discipline to our budget, we must also take the steps right now that are necessary to solve our immediate crisis.

Peter doesn’t need a map to tell him where the bodies are buried in the federal budget. He knows what works and what doesn’t, what is worthy of our precious tax dollars and what is not. Just because a program, a special interest tax break or corporate subsidy is tucked into this year’s budget, does not mean it should survive the next. The old ways of Washington simply can’t meet the challenges of today and tomorrow.

And no one is more able or more qualified to assist Peter in this work as Deputy Director of the OMB than Robert Nabors. Rob will bring to this post experience in the executive branch, at the OMB, where he helped the Clinton administration achieve balanced budgets, as well as in the legislative branch, where he led the appropriations committee staff as a driving force for a responsible budget. Together with Peter, Rob will help steer our budget through Congress so that I can sign it into law.

Now, let me be clear: these appointments and the appointments I announced yesterday are not the sum of my economic team. These appointees will work with those I have yet to announce – including the secretaries of Energy and Labor, Commerce and Health and Human Services and others in my administration – to design a recovery plan for both Wall Street and Main Street, and to put our economy on a path to long-term growth and prosperity.

Because at this moment, we must not only restore confidence in our markets. We must also restore the confidence of middle class families that their government is on their side – that it’s working for them – on their behalf – to meet their families’ needs. And that is exactly what I intend to do as President of the United States of America. Thank you.

President-Elect Obama Announces Office of Management and Budget Director and Deputy Director

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

CHICAGO – President-elect Barack Obama announced additional members of his economic team today, nominating Peter Orszag as Office of Management and Budget Director and Rob Nabors as Office of Management and Budget Deputy Director.

“In these challenging times, when we are facing both rising deficits and a sinking economy, budget reform is not an option. It is an imperative. We cannot sustain a system that bleeds billions of taxpayer dollars on programs that have outlived their usefulness, or exist solely because of the power of a politician, lobbyist, or interest group. We simply cannot afford it. This isn’t about big government or small government. It’s about building a smarter government that focuses on what works. That is why I will ask my team to think anew and act anew to meet our new challenges. We will go through our federal budget – page by page, line by line – eliminating those programs we don’t need, and insisting that those we do operate in a sensible cost-effective way,” said President-elect Obama.

Peter Orszag, Office of Management and Budget Director
Peter Orszag currently serves as the Director of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), overseeing the agency's work in providing objective, nonpartisan, and timely analyses of economic and budgetary issues--supervising the numerous analytical papers and cost estimates that the agency produces and, to present the results, frequently testifying before the Congress. Under his leadership, the agency has significantly expanded its focus on areas such as health care and climate change. In previous government service, Orszag served as Special Assistant to the President for Economic Policy and as a staff economist and then Senior Advisor and Senior Economist at the President's Council of Economic Advisers. Orszag was the Joseph A. Pechman Senior Fellow and Deputy Director of Economic Studies at the Brookings Institution where he authored or edited numerous books and papers. Orszag graduated summa cum laude in economics from Princeton University and obtained a Ph.D. in economics from the London School of Economics, which he attended as a Marshall scholar.

Rob Nabors, Office of Management and Budget Deputy Director
Rob Nabors currently serves as the 13th Clerk and Staff Director of the House Appropriations Committee. He is responsible for the hiring, and direction of the majority staff of the committee and for recommending overall legislative strategies with respect to discretionary spending to committee Democrats and the House Democratic Leadership. Nabors joined the Appropriations Committee in 2001. Prior to coming to the Appropriations Committee, Nabors served in the Office of Management and Budget in the Executive Office of the President as the Senior Advisor to the Director and as the Assistant Director for Administration and Executive Secretary. Nabors is a graduate of the University of Notre Dame, where he received degrees in Government and Computer Applications. He received a Masters Degree in Political Science from the University of North Carolina.
Both of these positions require confirmation from the Senate Budget Committee.

We're keeping track of all of the Presidential Appointments that require Senate Confirmation as well as Presidential Appointments Not Needing Confirmation, as well as Cabinet rumors.

All American Inaugural Ball tickets go on sale today

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

And for the low low price of $175 you can get in.

Washington, DC. BREAKING NEWS: Tickets to the latest Presidential Inaugural Ball are being released for sale to the general public today, Tuesday, November 25 at 10:00am Eastern time.

The All American Inaugural Ball is on Inauguration day, January 20, 2009, taking place at the Westin Washington DC, City Center, which has hosted multiple Inaugural Balls in the past.

The All American Inaugural Ball, which runs from 9:00pm until 2:00am, celebrates the swearing in of the newly elected President and Vice President of the United States. It is a toast to American culture featuring multiple areas of entertainment and attractions, which represent the diversity, energy and promise of American society. It also features wide screens with live simulcasts of the other major Inaugural Balls and swearing-in activities
Tickets to the All American Inaugural Ball include all food and beverages as well as access to the multiple forms of entertainment and attractions. A large block of tickets has been reserved for major contributors and party leaders. The remaining tickets will be released to the general public at 10:00am on Tuesday, November 25, 2008. Tickets will start at $175 per person (inclusive of all food and beverage) and will increase as new blocks of tickets are
released. Tickets are expected to sell out quickly.

For more information about, or to purchase tickets to, the All American Inaugural Ball visit
http://www.allamericanball.com
For this and other events be sure to check our Inauguration Calendar of events.

The Supremes

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

In selecting people for positions in the Obama administration, the choice has been "smart and capable." (As an aside, I heard on TV that more than 200,000 people have applied so far for the 7,000 positions available.)

Once the government gets going, there is going to be another position to fill: the first Supreme Court vacancy. The likelihood is that Justice Stevens will serve, at most, to the end of the current term.

My brother and I had a conversation about this last night, and he believes that the initial choice must be an incredibly smart and competent woman, black and/or Hispanic to make the Court look more like America and less like a bunch of old white guys with a token woman, and an African-American wingnut. I care less about race, colour, creed, gender, sexual orientation: I want the brightest, most liberal mind to fill Justice Stevens' seat. I want Russ Feingold.

The choice might be an academic, a judge below the radar (in fact, I have this cousin...), or someone else we might not know yet. Who do you think the first new Justice should be? You can answer either with a name, or whether you agree with my brother that the race, colour, creed, gender, sexual orientation is most important.

And just for the sake of trivia, and knowing that he is NOT a choice for the Supreme Court, why would I mention the name "Hill Harper" in this post?

The Economic Transition

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Yesterday, two guys shared a cup of coffee.



A few hours later, President-elect Obama formally announced his economic team, and sketched out his vision for the fix, and indicated details would be coming soon. The markets rose. Today, he will make another economic announcement at noon Eastern Time. We will have the transcript and video as soon as they are available.

I bring you this clip not for the ABC interpretation, but for the minute that those clueless, guilty-looking guys in expensive suits stood on the steps.

First: They REALLY look guilty.
Second: UNCOMFIRMED RUMOURS say that Paulson let Lehman fail out of personal animose for the owners.
Third: Both of those guys are going to be unemployed in 56 days.

John Conyers, Donna Brazille To Hold Rallies For Jim Martin [UPDATED]

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

As Georgia's December 2nd run-off election approaches, the Martin for Senate campaign continues to ramp up its efforts to unseat Republican Saxby Chambliss.

Tuesday morning, Jim Martin's campaign announced that Michigan Congressman John Conyers and prominent Democratic strategist Donna Brazille would make campaign stops in Atlanta and Savannah to rally the troops in advance of the December election.

John Conyers, who is a founding member of the Congressional Black Caucus, will appear in Savannah at the local Martin for Senate campaign office. Democratic strategist Donna Brazille will hold two rallies in Atlanta on the college campuses of Morris Brown & Spelman.

Brazille made history in 2000 as the first African-American female to run a major presidential campaign when she served as former Vice President Al Gore's campaign manager.

[UPDATE]: The Martin for Senate campaign just announced that Mississippi Congressman Bennie Thompson will join Donna Brazille at an Atlanta campaign rally before heading to Columbus, Georgia for a pep talk to volunteers at the local Martin campaign office.

Schumer out, Menendez in

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Changing of the guard at the DSCC:

After two election cycles in which the Democrats gained at least 13 seats in the Senate, Senator Charles E. Schumer of New York is stepping down as chairman of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.
...
In 2006, Mr. Schumer led the successful Democratic drive to win back control of the Senate from the Republicans. The Democrats picked up six seats that year, bringing them to a razor-thin 51 to 49 majority, thanks to two independents who organize with the Democrats. - NY Times
And coming in:
New Jersey Sen. Robert Menendez will be named chairman of the Democrats' key Senate fund-raising committee Tuesday, making him a member of the senior leadership team and a Capitol Hill player as the curtain rises on the Obama administration.

"I'm doing this because I deeply believe in the change that we are trying to bring, and also because it means a great deal for New Jersey to have a seat at the leadership table," Menendez said. "Change is not a two-year effort, and it's my job to help build the majority in the Senate so that we can follow through with our agenda. This is a position that involves a lot of responsibility and a lot of hard work, and I'm humbled to have faith of the majority leader."
Schumer is a hard act to follow. Dems have gained at least 13 seats in the Senate the last two cycles.

FEMA

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Let's start with the poll to get your initial view.


A few days ago, Matt sent me some information about the possibility of FEMA being divorced from the Department of Homeland Security (DHS). He asked what I thought, and I think it's a fantastic idea, one of those "small" decisions which once again proves that the smart adults are coming back in charge.

FEMA, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, used to be an independent agency which took care of supporting citizens during disasters, normally natural disasters. After 9/11 the Bushies moved FEMA to be under the control of DHS. This was a bad idea, but except for a few of us ranting that this was wrong, no one really cared, because most people were so stunned by 9/11, that they just wanted "the government" to do something. Anything. (As an aside, that's how we got the Patriot Act, which means I have to mention again how much I admire Russ Feingold.)

The reasons that putting FEMA under DHS was so wrong are:

1. Most disasters are civil (e.g. flood, fire), require a civil response (e.g. food, shelter, clothing), and can be easily coordinated with military action if need be (e.g. bringing in National Guard troops to disperse supplies, direct traffic, and patrol for looters).

2. Putting FEMA under DHS sends a message that the neo-cons are in charge. It sends the message that civil action must be subservient to the group created to protect us from invasion as opposed to being equal in response to a situation. Thus, re-active instead of pro-active.

This may appear to be unimportant, but it isn't. It is, however, subtle.

The failure of DHS/FEMA to adequately respond to Katrina was an avoidable tragedy. It wasn't just that the leadership was absent, it was that what was left of FEMA didn't think in terms of ice, water, shelter, pre-movement of citizens, medical care and state/local coordination. And a "pre-response" was off the radar because the top down direction was "protect from our enemies".

Response to a weather event was not something that ever crossed the consciousness of Chertoff or Brownie. By that point, the rank and file FEMA employees were discouraged and demoralized.

One of the things that make people good at what they do is training. If one is well-trained enough, he/she can undertake those tasks as second nature. The thrust of training is also important. Simplisticly, if you bake a pan of brownies every week, you can select your ingredients from the pantry on auto-pilot. If you make brownies once a year, you need to pull out the recipe book to remember the proportions.

Similarly, if your job is "natural disaster" you think in terms of water, ice, clothing, tents, medicines, toys, pet food, cell phones, databases to reunite people, and other services. If your job is "invasion" you think in terms of military response, troop mobilization, MREs, and people are secondary.

The training given to FEMA people after the cuckolding was a response to nuclear attack, biological attack and other man-made events. The trainings involved a lot of medical triage, and NOT a situation as occurred at the Superdome.

Disasters happen. And now we're going to be ready.

Senate and House updates

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

While Franken officially trails by 210 according to the Strib, the Franken campaign still claims Coleman's lead is really in double-digits. The campaign is also concerned about missing ballots.

Pollster.com has their GA-Senate runoff chart up:



Virginia has officially certified the election of Democrat Tom Perriello by 745 votes in VA-5. There's a recount coming here also, but the margin seems large enough to hold up in a Congressional District. This seat would give the Democrats a net gain of 21.

But in CA-4, Republican Tom McClintock declared victory over Democrat Charlie Brown. McClintock’s lead has grown to 1,566, with only about 4,600 ballots left to be counted.

Mary Jo Kilroy in OH-15 won a lawsuit Friday requiring over 27,000 disputed ballots to be counted. She currently trails by 479 votes, but this one ain't over yet.

Democratic challenger Bill Hedrick has not officially conceded in CA-44, but he's down by around 9,000 votes with about 20,000 left to count.

Monday, November 24, 2008

Inauguration: Looking to duplicate Invesco or Grant Park

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The Obama inauguration planners are looking for some splashy events that will be accessible to a lot of people, a sort of Invesco Field or Grant Park-on-the-mall.

80,000 or so at Invesco, 250, 000 at Grant Park, but we're talking at least a couple of million here. - Chicago Sun-Times
Also:
Chicagoans Penny Pritzker, John Rogers and William Daley will be among the Obama inauguration co-chairs, with the Presidential Inauguration Committee headquarters up and running in southwest Washington. Fund-raising calls have already started for the Jan. 20 event expected to draw millions to the city.

Pelosi to Light Capitol Christmas Tree Next Tuesday, December 2

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Washington, D.C. – Speaker Nancy Pelosi, joined by members of the Montana congressional delegation and the governor of Montana, will light the U.S. Capitol Christmas Tree during a ceremony next week, Tuesday, December 2, at 5 p.m. This year’s tree, a 70-foot subalpine fir, came from Montana’s Bitterroot National Forest.

As part of the Capitol’s continuing commitment to save energy, strands of energy-efficient LED lights will be used to decorate the tree.

WHO: Speaker Nancy Pelosi
Senator Max Baucus (MT)
Senator Jon Tester (MT)
Congressman Dennis Rehberg (MT-at large)
Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer
Stephen T. Ayers, Acting Architect of the Capitol

WHAT: U.S. Capitol Christmas Tree Lighting Ceremony

WHEN: Tuesday, December 2, at 5 p.m.

NOTE: Security sweep at 3 p.m.

WHERE: West Front, The Capitol
Washington, D.C.
You can read more about this year's tree at Capitol Christmas Tree 2008.

Another Obama Press Conference Tomorrow

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


No word yet on what (or who) it will be about.

Chicago, IL Tomorrow, President-Elect Barack Obama will hold a press conference in Chicago.

Press Conference Begins: 11:00 AM CT


Update:

Two sources close to the transition tell CNN that on Tuesday, President-elect Barack Obama will officially unveil Peter Orszag as his nominee for director of the Office of Management and Budget at a press conference in Chicago. - CNN



Tonight in Wilmington, Delaware

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Vice President-Elect and Dr. JIll Biden will be volunteering at a "Stockings for Soldiers" event this evening at 6:30 PM at Branmar Plaza (northwest corner) at 1812 Marsh Road in Wilmington, DE.

They will be helping to stuff care packages and holiday stockings to send to our troops overseas. The "Stockings for Soldiers" program is sponsored by Operation Support Our Troops, with the goal of ultimately assembling 5,000 personalized stockings for the troops.

The next Senator from New York...?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Things we know: sometime after Thanksgiving, Senator Clinton will officially be named as the next Secretary of State.

Thing we don't know: who will be appointed to take her place in the US Senate and then stand for election in 2010.

The power to appoint Senator Clinton's replacement rests solely at the hands of New York Governor David Paterson. Paterson is in a unique position in that, because he slid into his job after Gov. Eliot Spitzer resigned, he will be an incumbent campaigning for a job he's never formally been elected to. Thus he'll need to make a good Senate pick in order to consolidate his Democratic base as much as possible so as to fend off any credible Republican challenge in the fall.

In today's Washington Post blog "The Fix," Chris Cilliza writes that Rudy Giuliani may be looking at a run for Governor which further increases the need for Paterson to unify the Democratic Party. Cilliza also offers a list of potential successors to the Clinton seat.

Put bluntly: Paterson's main job now is to piss off the least amount of people possible. One could say that's any politician's job, but it's especially the case for this scenario.

So what kind of an appointee will Paterson want in the Senate? The person should meet four criteria:

  • Can raise money
  • Unify Democrats
  • Has high name recognition
  • Can hold on to the seat in the 2010 special election
A member of Congress is a natural choice, because these are people who have federal experience and one would think the ability to raise Washington money to hold on to the seat. Congresswoman Kristin Gillibrand comes from an upstate district, which would make her competitive in a statewide race. And while it would be good to replace Clinton with another woman in the Senate - Gillibrand has only been in Congress for a short time. Her ascent could upset others in the Party and either cause a tough primary in 2010, some backlash to Paterson - or both. Congressman Gregory Meeks has earned his stripes overtime, but it's not certain that he can win statewide.

Andrew Cuomo is also a safe choice, because he has family history in the state, Washington experience, and most of all has high name recognition - it might be hard to argue with such a Paterson selection if it seems to be such an obvious choice.

With all of these factors put into place, it would seem that Cuomo would be the best choice in terms of experience and politics. But what do you think? As always, please use the comments if your choice does not appear.

Biden's Replacement Named

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Ted Kaufman, longtime aid to Senator Biden, will serve as Senator from Delaware until the 2010 elections as reported today by The Hill. He is not expected to run for the seat, but rather to serve as an interim office holder until Joe Biden's son, Beau Biden, returns from his tour of duty in Iraq.

A Google search generates a Public Citizen profile of Kaufman, as well as Duke Law Faculty page and a 2007 Washington Post article about Biden's advisers.

Kaufman has worked with the elder Biden since the 1970's and is currently Co-Chair of the Vice Presidential Transition Team. Kaufman also is president of Public Strategies, a political and management consulting firm in Wilmington, Del.

UPDATE: The governor said that Sen. Biden will be sworn in for his 7th term in the Senate on Jan. 6.

She said Kaufman will be sworn in in early to mid January – after Biden resigns from the Senate to assume the vice-presidency.

This is important because if Biden resigned before Jan 6, Kaufman might have to be appointed twice, once to the old term, and once to the new term.

Speaker Nancy Pelosi releases statement on Obama Economic Team

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Washington, D.C. – Speaker Nancy Pelosi released the following statement today on President-elect Obama’s announcement of his economic team:

“President-elect Barack Obama has assembled an exceptionally talented and diverse economic team to help him lead our nation during the most serious economic crisis in generations. Congress stands ready to work with the new President on his bold plan to restore confidence to our economy, create and save 2.5 million good-paying jobs here at home, and make us more competitive in the 21st century global economy.

“Having crafted recovery proposals that have been debated and passed the House, Appropriations Committee Chairman David Obey is already working to draft legislation that will help create new jobs by investing in a cleaner energy future, build a high-tech infrastructure that brings the power of renewable energy and broadband to communities across America, rebuild our bridges and modernize our schools. Ways and Means Committee Chairman Charles Rangel is working with the new Administration on a tax cut proposal that will make the tax code more fair for the middle class. We will work with the President-elect and his team so that 111th Congress can immediately act upon this New Direction for our economy.

“But Americans cannot wait until January for concrete action to restore our economic strength, which is why Democrats again urge President Bush and Senate Republicans to work with us to enact the economic recovery package the House passed in September. Enacting this legislation would provide a down payment on new job-creating infrastructure investments, help states avoid deep cuts to health care and other essential services, and provide nutrition assistance to struggling families.

“President Bush and Treasury Secretary Paulson can also strengthen our economy immediately by acting on FDIC Chair Sheila Bair’s plan to help as many as 2 million Americans avoid foreclosure. Helping Americans avoid foreclosure is at the heart of solving our economic crisis, and will help millions of families and communities around the nation.

“In this time of economic crisis, bipartisan action is not only in order, it is essential. I urge President Bush to use his remaining days in office to work cooperatively with Congress and President-elect Obama to stabilize the economy, help struggling families, and prepare us for economic recovery in the new year.”

Obama Press Conference Introducing his Economic Team

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Obama has introduced:
Tim Geithner as his pick for Treasury Secretary (Senate Confirmation Required)
Larry Summers as National Economic Council Director. (Senate Confirmation Not Required)
Christina Romer as the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers. (Senate Confirmation Required)
Melody Barnes as the Director of the Domestic Policy Council. (Senate Confirmation Not Required)
Heather Higginbottom as the Deputy Director of the Domestic Policy Council. (Senate Confirmation Not Required)

Click here for the transcript of President Elect Obama's Speech and a Press Release with more info on the nominees


President-Elect Barack Obama
Economic Team Announcement
Monday, November 24, 2008
Chicago, Illinois


Good morning.

The news this past week, including this morning’s news about Citigroup, has made it even more clear that we are facing an economic crisis of historic proportions. Our financial markets are under stress. New home purchases in October were the lowest in half a century. Recently, more than half a million jobless claims were filed, the highest in eighteen years – and if we do not act swiftly and boldly, most experts now believe that we could lose millions of jobs next year.

While we can’t underestimate the challenges we face, we also can’t underestimate our capacity to overcome them – to summon that spirit of determination and optimism that has always defined us, and move forward in a new direction to create new jobs, reform our financial system, and fuel long-term economic growth.

We know this won’t be easy, and it won’t happen overnight. We’ll need to bring together the best minds in America to guide us – and that is what I’ve sought to do in assembling my economic team. I’ve sought leaders who could offer both sound judgment and fresh thinking, both a depth of experience and a wealth of bold new ideas – and most of all, who share my fundamental belief that we cannot have a thriving Wall Street while Main Street suffers; that in this country, we rise and fall as one nation, as one people.
Today, Vice President-Elect Biden and I are pleased to announce the nomination of four individuals who meet these criteria to lead our economic team: Timothy Geithner as Secretary of the Treasury; Lawrence Summers as the Director of our National Economic Council; Christina Romer as Chair of the Council of Economic Advisors; and Melody Barnes as Director of the Domestic Policy Council.

Having served in senior roles at Treasury, the IMF and the New York Fed, Tim Geithner offers not just extensive experience shaping economic policy and managing financial markets – but an unparalleled understanding of our current economic crisis, in all of its depth, complexity and urgency. Tim will waste no time getting up to speed. He will start his first day on the job with a unique insight into the failures of today’s markets – and a clear vision of the steps we must take to revive them.

The reality is that the economic crisis we face is no longer just an American crisis, it is a global crisis – and we will need to reach out to countries around the world to craft a global response. Tim’s extensive international experience makes him uniquely suited for this work. Growing up partly in Africa and having lived and worked throughout Asia; having served as Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs – one of many roles in the international arena; and having studied both Chinese and Japanese, Tim understands the language of today’s international markets in more ways than one.

Tim has served with distinction under both Democrats and Republicans and has a long history of working comfortably, and as an honest broker, on both sides of the aisle. With stellar performances and outstanding results at every stage of his career, Tim has earned the confidence and respect of business, financial and community leaders; members of Congress; and political leaders around the world – and I know he will do so once again as America’s next Treasury Secretary, the chief economic spokesman for my Administration.

Like Tim, Larry Summers also brings a singular combination of skill, intellect and experience to the role he will play in our Administration.

As undersecretary, deputy secretary, and then secretary of the Treasury, Larry helped guide us through several major international financial crises – and was a central architect of the policies that led to the longest economic expansion in American history, with record surpluses, rising family incomes and more than 20 million new jobs. He also championed a range of measures – from tax credits to enhanced lending programs to consumer financial protections – that greatly benefitted middle income families.

As a thought leader, Larry has urged us to confront the problems of income inequality and the middle class squeeze, consistently arguing that the key to a strong economy is a strong and growing middle class. This idea is the core of my own economic philosophy and will be the foundation for all of my economic policies.

And as one of the great economic minds of our time, Larry has earned a global reputation for being able to cut to the heart of the most complex and novel policy challenges. With respect to both our current financial crisis, and other pressing economic issues of our time, his thinking, writing and speaking have set the terms of the debate. I am glad he will be by my side, playing the critical role of coordinating my Administration’s economic policy in the White House – and I will rely heavily on his advice as we navigate the uncharted waters of this economic crisis.

As one of the foremost experts on economic crises – and how to solve them – my next nominee, Christina Romer, will bring a critically needed perspective to her work as Chair of my Council of Economic Advisors.

Christina is both a leading macroeconomist and a leading economic historian, perhaps best known for her work on America’s recovery from the Great Depression and the robust economic expansion that followed. Since 2003, she has been co-director of the National Bureau of Economic Research Monetary Economics program. She is also a member of the Bureau’s Business Cycle Dating Committee – the body charged with officially determining when a recession has started and ended – experience which will serve her well as she advises me on our current economic challenges.

Christina has also done groundbreaking research on many of the topics our Administration will confront – from tax policy to fighting recessions. And her clear-eyed, independent analyses have received praise from both conservative and liberal thinkers alike. I look forward to her wise counsel in the White House.

Finally, we know that rebuilding our economy will require action on a wide array of policy matters – from education and health care to energy and Social Security. Without sound policies in these areas, we can neither enjoy sustained economic growth nor realize our full potential as a people.

So I am pleased that Melody Barnes, one of the most respected policy experts in America, will be serving as Director of my Domestic Policy Council – and that she will be working hand-in-hand with my economic policy team to chart a course to economic recovery. An integral part of that course will be health care reform – and she will work closely with my Secretary of Health and Human Services on that issue.

As Executive Vice President for Policy at the Center for American Progress, Melody directed a network of policy experts dedicated to finding solutions for struggling middle class families. She also served as Chief Counsel to the great Senator Ted Kennedy on the Senate Judiciary Committee, working on issues ranging from crime to immigration to bankruptcy, and fighting tirelessly to protect civil rights, women’s rights and religious freedom.

Melody’s brilliant legal mind – and her long experience working to secure the liberties on which this nation was founded and secure opportunity for those left behind –

make her a perfect fit for DPC Director.

I am grateful that Tim, Larry, Christina and Melody have accepted my nomination, and I look forward to working closely with them in the months ahead. And that work starts today, because the truth is, we don’t have a minute to waste.

Right now, our economy is trapped in a vicious cycle: the turmoil on Wall Street means a new round of belt-tightening for families and businesses on Main Street – and as folks produce less and consume less, that just deepens the problems in our financial markets. These extraordinary stresses on our financial system require extraordinary policy responses. And my Administration will honor the public commitments made by the current Administration to address this crisis.

Further, beyond any immediate actions we may take, we need a recovery plan for both Wall Street and Main Street – a plan that stabilizes our financial system and gets credit flowing again, while at the same time addressing our growing foreclosure crisis, helping our struggling auto industry, and creating and saving 2.5 million jobs – jobs rebuilding our crumbling roads and bridges, modernizing our schools, and creating the clean energy infrastructure of the twenty-first century. Because at this moment, we must both restore confidence in our markets – and restore the confidence of middle class families, who find themselves working harder, earning less, and falling further and further behind.

I have asked my economic team to develop recommendations for this plan, and to consult with Congress, the current Administration and the Federal Reserve on immediate economic developments over the next two months. I have requested that they brief me on these matters on a daily basis, and in the coming weeks, I will provide the American people and the incoming Congress with an overview of their initial recommendations. It is my hope that the new Congress will begin work on an aggressive economic recovery plan when they convene in early January so that our Administration can hit the ground running.

With our economy in distress, we cannot hesitate or delay. Our families cannot afford to keep on waiting and hoping for a solution. They cannot afford to watch another month of unpaid bills pile up, another semester of tuition slip out of reach, another month where instead of saving for retirement, they’re dipping into their savings just to get by.

Again, this won’t be easy. There are no shortcuts or quick fixes to this crisis, which has been many years in the making – and the economy is likely to get worse before it gets better. Full recovery won’t happen immediately. And to make the investments we need, we’ll have to scour our federal budget, line-by-line, and make meaningful cuts and sacrifices as well – something I’ll be discussing further tomorrow.

Despite all of this, I am hopeful about the future. I have full confidence in the wisdom and ingenuity of my economic team – and in the hard work, courage and sacrifice of the American people. And most of all, I believe deeply in the resilient spirit of this nation. I know we can work our way out of this crisis because we’ve done it before. And I know we will succeed once again if we put aside partisanship and politics and work together, and that is exactly what I intend to do as President.

Thank you, and I’m now happy to take questions.


And a release from the Transition Team which includes another name:

CHICAGO – President-elect Barack Obama and Vice President-elect Joe Biden officially announced key members of their economic team today, naming Timothy Geithner as Secretary of the Treasury and Lawrence Summers as Director of the National Economic Council. Obama and Biden also named Christina Romer Chair of the Council of Economic advisors, and named Melody Barnes and Heather Higginbottom to serve as Director and Deputy Director of the Domestic Policy Council.

“Vice President-elect Biden and I have assembled an economic team with the vision and expertise to stabilize our economy, create jobs, and get America back on track. Even as we face great economic challenges, we know that great opportunity is at hand – if we act swiftly and boldly. That’s the mission our economic team will take on,” said President-elect Obama.

The economic team members announced today are listed below:

Timothy F. Geithner, Secretary of the Treasury
Timothy Geithner currently serves as president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where he has played a key role in formulating the nation’s monetary policy. He joined the Department of the Treasury in 1988 and has served three presidents. From 1999 to 2001, he served as Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs. Following that post he served as director of the Policy Development and Review Department at the International Monetary Fund until 2003. Geithner is a graduate of Dartmouth College and the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.

Lawrence H. Summers, Director of the National Economic Council
Lawrence Summers is currently the Charles W. Eliot University Professor at Harvard University. Summers served as 71st Secretary of the Treasury from 1999 to 2001 and as president of Harvard from 2001 to 2006. Before being appointed Secretary, Summers served as Deputy and Under Secretary of the Treasury and as the World Bank’s top economist. Summers has taught economics at Harvard and MIT, and is a recipient of the John Bates Clark Medal, awarded to the American economist under 40 judged to have made the most significant contribution to economics. Summers played a key advisory role during the 2008 presidential campaign.

Christina D. Romer, Director of the Council of Economic Advisors
Christina Romer is the Class of 1957 Professor of Economics at the University of California, Berkeley, where she has taught and researched since 1988. Prior to joining the faculty at Berkeley, Romer was an assistant professor of economics and public affairs at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs. Romer is co-director of the Program in Monetary Economics at the National Bureau of Economic Research and has been a visiting scholar at the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Melody C. Barnes, Director of the Domestic Policy Council
Melody Barnes is co-director of the Agency Review Working Group for the Obama-Biden Transition Team, and served as the Senior Domestic Policy Advisor to Obama for America. Barnes previously served as Executive Vice President for Policy at the Center for American Progress and as chief counsel to Senator Edward M. Kennedy on the Senate Judiciary Committee from December 1995 until March 2003.

Heather A. Higginbottom, Deputy Director of the Domestic Policy Council
Heather Higginbottom served as Policy Director for Obama for America, overseeing all aspects of policy development. From 1999 to 2007, Higginbottom served as Senator John Kerry’s Legislative Director. She also served as the Deputy National Policy Director for the Kerry-Edwards Presidential Campaign for the primary and general elections. After the 2004 election, Higginbottom founded and served as Executive Director of the American Security Project, a national security think tank. She started her career as an advocate at the national non-profit organization Communities in Schools.

Heather Higginbottom served as Policy Director for Obama for America, overseeing all aspects of policy development. From 1999 to 2007, Higginbottom served as Senator John Kerry’s Legislative Director. She also served as the Deputy National Policy Director for the Kerry-Edwards Presidential Campaign for the primary and general elections. After the 2004 election, Higginbottom founded and served as Executive Director of the American Security Project, a national security think tank. She started her career as an advocate at the national non-profit organization Communities in Schools.

Morning Trivia Answer

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The answer to this morning's question is that all turned down the salary for their current elected position. Schwarzenegger and Bredesen accept no salary, and Corzine and Bloomberg each earn $1/year.

How I Spent My Weekend

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

For someone like me, just because the election is over, it does not mean that I go back to “regular life.” The difference this year is that there are still people who are interested in politics, and too bad for them, I know who they are.

On a personal note, and very sadly, I spent a fair part of my weekend helping someone plan her own funeral. I apologized that I spent so little time with Glenda over the last several months, election and all. She told me no, that she was proud, and asked that after she passes, I stay on the case of fighting for universal health care. I told her I was all over it. They will be trying a new drug starting today. If successful, she’ll have seven more months. Maybe a few more.

On Friday night, I attended a local party celebrating the election win in the town next door to where I live. That town was part of our 5-township Obama team, so while I “knew” 2 people there, in addition there were a bunch of people I knew on sight who either worked on a voter registration drive, a canvass, or one of the phone banks. A lot of these folks were still in awe about winning. (If you’ve been a Democrat a long time, you may well know the feeling.)

One of the guys came up to me and asked how I knew that we would win. He said “You never wavered. You just kept saying ‘We have a plan, we work the plan. We work the plan, we win. Elections are won one voter at a time.’ How could you have been so sure?” A few other people mentioned that as late as Election Day, they still didn’t believe we’d won until they saw McCain’s concession speech.

Despite my press, I do not do futures. I only knew what everyone else knew. But what I believed was that millions of people just like me were working all across the world: some with money, some with canvassing, phone banking, blogging, writing letters to the editor, calling friends and family, even just hoping from afar. And it’s that energy, that wave, that made all the difference.

So at the party, I picked up a few more people for my 2009 programs. By spring, we will be all over early voting in Pennsylvania by 2012, book drives in response to the libraries closing in Philadelphia, food drives for the local hungry, political discussion groups, and voter registration.

On Sunday, there was that attempt to buy food. As an aside, Thursday is Thanksgiving. If you’re an American reading this, likely you’ll be spending Thursday with people you know and love, or at least know. (Putting the “fun” back in “dysfunctional” and all that.) If you live elsewhere in the world, I don’t think you celebrate Thanksgiving, but that doesn’t matter for the point I’m going to make.

Within 5 miles, maybe less, of where you are sitting right now is someone who will be hungry on Thursday. Probably hungry today. I hope you’ll go out and buy some food and donate it to a food bank. If you can’t afford the $10 to do so, volunteer a few hours at a local soup kitchen.

Thanks.

So anyway, on Sunday I was at Trader Joe’s in an attempt to buy some food. We all have our limitations, and buying food is one of mine. I had wanted to buy some Clementines and yams and a turkey to donate to the local Thanksgiving drive. I left with 2 Clif Bars and some dried chicken strips for my puppy dog. What happened instead was that I got into a conversation with a couple, Republicans, about political action in Pennsylvania.

I know this couple because we attended a course together a few years ago. Also, they live about a quarter mile away, and I would see them often during voter registration season. (Everyone shops at Trader Joe’s.) They had three questions for me: why is the primary system so scattered around the country and can we fix it? How do we get rid of earmarks, and if we do so, doesn’t that fix the Federal budget? And finally, are they allowed to work voter registration?

I was struck by how tenaciously they clung to the idea that earmarks were the cause of the economic woes we face as a country today. Also, how convinced they were that universal health care was meant only for greedy ne’er-do-wells who never worked an honest day in their lives. As you can well imagine, it took a while. And yes, they’ll be working voter registration next spring.

My other political action for the weekend was to eat brunch at the home of a local prominent Democrat, on the invite of another prominent local Democrat who had set this up and also attended. I want to start by saying, with the arrogance that only a native New Yorker can have, the bagels were GREAT!

The reason for this was for them to find a way to “bring me into the fold” or to at least get me to cease saying bad things about them. This emanates from an email I sent out last spring to several local prominent Democrats basically begging them to get to work THAT DAY to stop the Jim Gerlach machine from winning in November. The problem was not the email, per se, but that it ended up getting sent to a number of additional people, and it appears that it might have actually made it into local publication (although I don’t have confirmation on that) and heaven knows where else. Point is, **I** didn’t do it. I wrote it, I emailed it, and then someone else did something with it. While I take responsibility for my words, I don’t know how to control where they end up.

The discussion, more than anything, was about tactics. Our goals are similar, albeit not synonymous. The local Democrats believe in organizing top-down: running candidates for row positions, getting people into feeder positions (like the appointed Boards), and visibility. My position is that if you organize from the bottom up, you can affect enough action to get those people elected. We all believe in running capable, competent people: the difference is that my point is you can get these people elected more easily if the grassroots organization is in place.

It could have gone much worse.

I tell this to you because no matter where you are, you too can affect change. You can organize your block to make local changes, to participate in national change, to work on a project that makes peoples’ lives better. We have voted for change, we believed in change: that should stay with us even though the 2008 election has passed.

If you haven’t done so already, go out and organize your block. It's easier than you may think.

President-Elect Barack Obama and Mrs. Michelle Obama Announce More Key White House Staff

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


From the Transition Team

WASHINGTON – President-elect Barack Obama and Mrs. Michelle Obama today announced the following White House staff: Desirée Rogers, Special Assistant to the President and White House Social Secretary; and Melissa Winter, Deputy Chief of Staff to the First Lady.

President-elect Obama said, “Today's announcement continues to build a team with the talent, commitment and experience to bring the change that we need to Washington. These accomplished individuals share our commitment to bringing people together to achieve results for the American people at this time of great national challenge.”

The White House Staff Annoucements are below:
Desirée Rogers, Special Assistant to the President and White House Social Secretary:
Rogers is one of the most high profile executives in the Midwest and over the past 16 years has headed two major corporations. She is recognized as an innovative leader with a proven track record. Most recently, Rogers joined Allstate Financial as the President of Social Networking to develop an internet based community among the firm’s 12 million households focused on financial discussions among everyday Americans. In 1997, Rogers joined Peoples Energy, a Chicago based natural gas company serving 2 million customers and became its utilities president in 2004. Prior to this, Rogers served as Director of the Illinois Lottery.

Rogers serves on the Board of Directors of Allstate Life Insurance Company, Equity Residential and Blue Cross Blue Shield of Illinois. She is also Vice Chairman of the Board of Trustees of both the Lincoln Park Zoo and the Museum of Science and Industry, and is a member of the 2016 Olympic Cultural Committee.

Over the past few years, Rogers was named one of the “Top 25 Women to Watch” by Crain’s Chicago Business (2007). She was also named one of the “Top 50 Most Powerful African American Business Women" (2006) and one of the “Top 75 Most Powerful Blacks in Corporate America” (2005) by Black Enterprise. Rogers earned a master of business administration from Harvard University and a bachelor of arts in political science from Wellesley College.

Melissa Winter, Deputy Chief of Staff to the First Lady
As Mrs. Michelle Obama's first hire on the Obama presidential campaign, Winter has served in several different capacities, most recently as Mrs. Obama’s Traveling Chief of Staff. Winter was born in Chicago but her family later moved to La Jolla, California. After graduating from Skidmore College, she moved to Washington, D.C. and began an 18 year stint on Capitol Hill. She worked for Norman Y. Mineta (D-CA) for seven years as his Staff Assistant and then Executive Assistant before working for Senator Joseph I. Lieberman (I-CT). Winter was Senator Lieberman’s Traveling Aide during his 2000 Vice Presidential run as well as his Director of Scheduling on his 2004 Presidential race. She also served as Senator Lieberman’s Senate Executive Assistant. She will be returning to Washington, D.C. after spending the last 22 months in Chicago working for Mrs. Obama.
We're keeping track of all of the Presidential Appointments that require Senate Confirmation as well as Presidential Appointments Not Needing Confirmation, as well as Cabinet rumors.

The Economic Transition: The Obama Administration Begins

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

As Oreo reported, this morning the Transition Team will roll out the Economic Team. Welcome to the business of governing. It’s a lot like making sausage, except you also need a marketing plan.

We are all pretty sure that the names Tim Geithner and Larry Summers will be mentioned. The address, scheduled for noon Eastern Time, will be on TV, and probably simulcast on the net. The likelihood is that the package will be a $700 billion stimulus injection.

You can watch/read President-elect Obama’s Saturday address here, where he cites that his economic program will include the saving and/or creation of 2.5 million jobs.

Those are the facts as known. The question is: what does it all mean?

First, realize that a lot of what happens in the economic markets is perception-driven. “The markets” respond to what people think WILL happen, or what DID happen based on what people thought WOULD happen. Examples include futures markets (e.g. what will coffee/oil/soybeans be worth in 3/6/12 months?), and the expectations game (e.g. a stock might rise because third quarter earnings were higher than what markets expected the company would earn.) You personally know “the perceptions game” in your own life. Even if you are making the same amount of money now that you were six months ago, you are likely spending less discretionary income, or at least thinking about it more before you write that check.

Second, there are institutional concerns that are NOT perceptual. The potential failure of Citigroup heads that list today. The loss of the American auto industry. You know the list if you read the headlines, watch the news, or read the internet. Face it, even the world’s oldest profession is hitting harder times than usual.

Third, remember that this is not only a war-time transition (first in the U.S. since 1968-69), but also the first transition during an economic catastrophe since 1932/33.

If everything goes according to plan, what today’s Economic Team roll-out will mean is that the adults have arrived. The smart adults. The ones who will say that times are tough, and results will not be immediate, but we WILL get through this, and we will emerge as a stronger, better world.

On Friday afternoon the whispered name of Tim Geithner raised the markets by 500 points. That’s perception. When President-elect Obama announces today that his program is working its way through Congress and should be ready for signing on 20 January 2009, that is a big sigh of relief and hope. There will be a plan for those concerns which are reality. Finally, this speech will bridge the two months between now and the new administration.

We’ll have the video up as soon as it’s available.

Morning Trivia

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Besides the fact that they are all male elected officials, what do the following four men have in common?

Arnold Schwarzenegger (R - Governor of California)
Phil Bredesen (D - Governor of Tennessee)
Jon Corzine (D - Governor of New Jersey)
Michael Bloomberg (I - Mayor of New York City)

Answer at lunch time.

Sunday, November 23, 2008

Senate 2010 - top ten races

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The Fix lists (alphabetically) their top ten Senate races:

California (Boxer-D) - especially if Schwarzenegger runs
Florida (Martinez-R) - Martinez has a 23% approval rating
Kansas (Open (Brownback - R)) - But not if Sebelius goes to the Dept. of Labor
Kentucky (Bunning - R) - Should have beaten him in '04
Louisiana (Vitter - R) - why is he still in the Senate and Spitzer had to quit?
Nevada (Reid - D) - doesn't want to be "Daschled"
New Hampshire (Gregg - R) - the last GOP major office holder in NH
North Dakota (Dorgan - D) - only if Hoeven runs
Ohio (Voinovich - R) - could be picked off, but who will the Dems choose?
Pennsylvania (Specter - R) - Lets play Hardball

Election Maps

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Here's a roundup of some election maps we've been collecting:

The NY Times has a map which shows you where different groups live and how they voted:


Here's what has become a famous map from the Times showing which counties went more Republican '04 to '08:



But let's not forget the general overall county vote:



See that blue inching up from Colorado and down from Montana? Wouldn't it be great to see it meet up in Wyoming in '12?

Got some other cool maps? Let us know in the comments.

Updates: Here are some more maps:

Google has county-by-county maps since 1980.

A Message from Rahm Emanuel

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


NBC should learn to spell his last name correctly, don't you think?

If you voted for McCain and Franken your vote got challenged

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Unbelievable...

Cabinet Watch: President-Elect Barack Obama and Vice President-Elect Joe Biden to Announce Members of Economic Team on Monday

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Just out from the Transition Team:

Chicago – President-elect Barack Obama and Vice President-elect Joe Biden will hold a press conference on Monday morning to officially announce members of their economic team.
Press Conference Begins: 11:00 AM

Tim Geithner is expected to be named as Treasury Secretary during the press conference.

National Republican Trust Urges Georgians To Stop Obama/Martin

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

While watching the WAGA-TV Sunday morning public affairs program, "The Georgia Gang," the following ad appeared on my t.v. screen:



"Why Do Liberals Want to Tell You How to Vote?"

On the front page of the Republican group's website, the Executive Director of the National Republican Trust writes, "If the Democrats defeat Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss, they will be very close to getting the 60 votes they need in the Senate to pass Obama’s radical legislation."

"Obama and the Congressional Democrats must be denied the 60 votes," the letter reads [Source: GOPTrust.com, "Stop Obama in Georgia!", November 23, 2008].

In addition to this new television spot, the Columbus Ledger-Enquirer reported back on November 18th that the National Republican Trust has "been spending heavily on online banner ads, e-mail and direct mail" [Source: Columbus Ledger-Enquirer, "Groups spend to sway Ga. Senate runoff", November 18, 2008].

Richardson to Commerce, Summers to WH economic adviser

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Democratic sources report two major decisions by President-elect Obama: New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson (D) will be named secretary of Commerce, subject to final vetting. And Lawrence Summers, Treasury secretary in the Clinton administration, will be White House economic adviser.

Summers had been considered for Treasury secretary, and Richardson wanted to be secretary of State. The latest decisions reflect Obama's apparent desire to keep them in his policy fold, even if in less prestigious — and probably less influential — roles.

Summers's appointment is scheduled to be announced Monday in Chicago, along with Timothy Geithner, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, for Treasury secretary. - Politico

Saturday, November 22, 2008

Obama announces communication staff

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the Transition Team:

President-Elect Barack Obama today announced the following White House staff: Ellen Moran, Director of Communications; Robert Gibbs, Press Secretary; and Dan Pfeiffer, Deputy Director of Communications.

President-Elect Obama said, “These individuals will fill essential roles, and bring a breadth and depth of experience that can help our administration advance prosperity and security for the American people. This dedicated and impressive group of public servants includes longtime advisors and a talented new addition to our team, and together we will work to serve our country and meet the challenges of this defining moment in history.”

The White House Staff Announcements are below:

Ellen Moran, Director of Communications

Moran currently serves as executive director of EMILY’s List, where she oversees the national staff and charts the overall strategic direction of the organization. This was Moran’s second tenure at EMILY’s List, rejoining the organization from the AFL-CIO where she coordinated Wal-Mart corporate accountability activities and served in the Political Department. In 2004, she took a leave of absence from the AFL-CIO to direct independent expenditures for the Democratic National Committee, managing placement of presidential advertising and directed television, radio, mail, and phoning efforts in 20 states. In 2000, Moran directed the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s $50 million issue advocacy campaign. Moran's political experience includes managing campaigns for governor, U.S. Senate, and U.S. House; working on the national campaign staff of Tom Harkin’s 1992 presidential campaign; helping plan both Clinton inaugurals; and conducting international democracy work in Indonesia for the U.S. Agency for International Development. In 1993, Moran designed EMILY’s List’s campaign staff training program and served as its first director. Moran also oversaw EMILY’s List’s first foray into voter mobilization in 1994. A native of Amherst, Massachusetts, Moran holds a degree in political science and English literature from Wheaton College.

Robert Gibbs, Press Secretary

Gibbs, a native of Auburn, Alabama and a graduate of North Carolina State University, began working with President-Elect Obama in April 2004 serving as Communications Director for his United States Senate race and later as his Senate Communications Director. Gibbs held the position of Communications Director for Obama’s presidential campaign until becoming Senior Strategist for Communications and Message during the general election. Earlier in his career, Gibbs served as Communications Director for Senator Fritz Hollings and worked on Senator Debbie Stabenow's 2000 Senate campaign. He also served as press secretary for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and worked for Senator John Kerry's presidential campaign. Gibbs lives in Alexandria, Virginia with his wife, Mary Catherine, and their five-year-old son, Ethan.

Dan Pfeiffer, Deputy Director of Communications

Pfeiffer currently serves as the Communications Director for the Presidential Transition Team. He began on Obama’s presidential campaign in January 2007 as the traveling press secretary before returning to Chicago to manage the press operation as Communications Director. Prior to the Obama campaign, Pfeiffer worked as Senator Evan Bayh’s Communications Director, Senator Tom Daschle’s Deputy Campaign Manager in 2004 and the Communications Director on Senator Tim Johnson's reelection in 2002. He has also worked for the Democratic Governors Association and the Gore-Lieberman campaign.

GA-SEN: Jim Martin Debuts New Ad. . ."Becky"

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

In a new ad released today, Jim Martin responds to Saxby Chambliss’ false, personal attacks on Martin’s record protecting children. The truth is that Jim Martin has always fought to protect children and families, because he knows what it’s like to have a child come face-to-face with violent crime.



"Becky"

Martin’s daughter Becky was kidnapped when she was eight years old. Fortunately she was let go, but Martin never forgot the way Becky trembled when she came face-to-face with her kidnapper in court. Over his 18-year tenure in the state legislature and during his service as Commissioner of Georgia’s Department of Human Resources, Martin built a reputation as a leading advocate for children.

Who will replace Clinton in the Senate?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The NY Times rounds up the usual suspects:

On Friday night, [Governor] Paterson told reporters that 10 to 20 people had already contacted him about their interest in taking Mrs. Clinton’s place. “I would say it’s not a shy and retiring group of people who would like to serve in the Senate,” he said, declining to name them.
...
The only thing he has ruled out is appointing himself, which some have said would amount to abandoning the state amid a fiscal crisis.
...
The most high-profile potential candidate is Attorney General Andrew M. Cuomo, who has won praise during his two years in office. A Marist College poll had Mr. Cuomo comfortably leading a field of five potential replacements. Representatives Nydia M. Velázquez, Steve Israel, Nita M. Lowey and Gregory W. Meeks were all in single digits, while 43 percent of respondents favored Mr. Cuomo; 42 percent were unsure.
...
The Marist poll excluded those who are likely to get serious consideration, aides said. One is Representative Kirsten E. Gillibrand, a lawmaker from Hudson, whose district stretches across 10 upstate counties.
...
Other contenders include Adolfo Carrión Jr., the Bronx borough president, and two men from the Buffalo area — Representative Brian Higgins, whose district stretches to the Pennsylvania border, and Mayor Byron W. Brown of Buffalo. Less expected choices include Caroline Kennedy, who most recently worked on Mr. Obama’s campaign.
Other names we've heard include Rep. Jerrold Nadler and Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Obama Weekly Democratic Radio Address

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


Audio here.

Remarks of President-elect Barack Obama
Democratic Radio Address
Saturday, November 22nd, 2008
Good morning.

The news this week has only reinforced the fact that we are facing an economic crisis of historic proportions. Financial markets faced more turmoil. New home purchases in October were the lowest in half a century. 540,000 more jobless claims were filed last week, the highest in eighteen years. And we now risk falling into a deflationary spiral that could increase our massive debt even further.

While I’m pleased that Congress passed a long-overdue extension of unemployment benefits this week, we must do more to put people back to work and get our economy moving again. We have now lost 1.2 million jobs this year, and if we don’t act swiftly and boldly, most experts now believe that we could lose millions of jobs next year.

There are no quick or easy fixes to this crisis, which has been many years in the making, and it’s likely to get worse before it gets better. But January 20th is our chance to begin anew – with a new direction, new ideas, and new reforms that will create jobs and fuel long-term economic growth.

I have already directed my economic team to come up with an Economic Recovery Plan that will mean 2.5 million more jobs by January of 2011 – a plan big enough to meet the challenges we face that I intend to sign soon after taking office. We’ll be working out the details in the weeks ahead, but it will be a two-year, nationwide effort to jumpstart job creation in America and lay the foundation for a strong and growing economy. We’ll put people back to work rebuilding our crumbling roads and bridges, modernizing schools that are failing our children, and building wind farms and solar panels; fuel-efficient cars and the alternative energy technologies that can free us from our dependence on foreign oil and keep our economy competitive in the years ahead.

These aren’t just steps to pull ourselves out of this immediate crisis; these are the long-term investments in our economic future that have been ignored for far too long. And they represent an early down payment on the type of reform my Administration will bring to Washington – a government that spends wisely, focuses on what works, and puts the public interest ahead of the same special interests that have come to dominate our politics.

I know that passing this plan won’t be easy. I will need and seek support from Republicans and Democrats, and I’ll be welcome to ideas and suggestions from both sides of the aisle.

But what is not negotiable is the need for immediate action. Right now, there are millions of mothers and fathers who are lying awake at night wondering if next week’s paycheck will cover next month’s bills. There are Americans showing up to work in the morning only to have cleared out their desks by the afternoon. Retirees are watching their life savings disappear and students are seeing their college dreams deferred. These Americans need help, and they need it now.

The survival of the American Dream for over two centuries is not only a testament to its enduring power, but to the great effort, sacrifice, and courage of the American people. It has thrived because in our darkest hours, we have risen above the smallness of our divisions to forge a path towards a new and brighter day. We have acted boldly, bravely, and above all, together. That is the chance our new beginning now offers us, and that is the challenge we must rise to in the days to come. It is time to act. As the next President of the United States, I will. Thank you.

GA-SEN: RNC Chair To Campaign For Chambliss

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairman Robert M. "Mike" Duncan and Co-Chair Jo Ann Davidson will make several campaign stops in Georgia on Monday, November 24 and Tuesday, November 25 to benefit Senator Saxby Chambliss as he battles Democrat Jim Martin in advance of the December 2nd run-off election.

The announcement that the RNC Chair will hit the trail for Chambliss comes a day after former Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney paid a visit to Atlanta to urge voters to keep the two-party system alive in the nation's capital [Source: Atlanta Journal Constitution, "Romney visits Atlanta to stump for Chambliss", November 21, 2008].

Also, next week, former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is scheduled to make a campaign appearance in the Peach State on behalf of Saxby Chambliss [Source: WSB Radio, "Chambliss Win 'Essential'", November 21, 2008].

Meanwhile, on the Democratic side, former Vice President Al Gore will hold an Atlanta fundraiser for Jim Martin Sunday evening.

Inauguration Watch: News Update

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

  • The Washington Metro's web site for the Inauguration is up and running.
  • Legislation banning the sale of Inaugaration tickets was not taken up in the Senate this week. Sen. Feinstein hopes it will be passed in December. - Hotline
  • Sen. Ben Cardin of Maryland has 55,000 requests for 400 Inauguration tickets.
  • Bill Daley is expected to play a prominent role on the inaugural committee. - NY Times
  • 1300 groups have applied to take part in the Inaugural parade.
  • Hotels all across the DC Metro area are just about sold out.
  • Which is why Sen. Bob Casey says Inauguration visitors should stay in Pennsylvania. - Washington Post

Friday, November 21, 2008

President-Elect Obama and Vice President-Elect Biden Announce Key White House Staff

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the Transition Team:

WASHINGTON – President-Elect Obama and Vice President-Elect Biden today announced the following White House staff: Patrick Gaspard, Director of the Office of Political Affairs; Jackie Norris, Chief of Staff to First Lady; Catherine (Cathy) M. Russell, Chief of Staff for Dr. Jill Biden; Cynthia Hogan, Counsel to the Vice President; and Moises (Moe) V. Vela, Jr., Director of Administration for the Office of the Vice President.

President-Elect Barack Obama said, “This group of public servants will bring decades of expertise to my administration, and I'll rely on their counsel and hard work as we fix our struggling economy and meet the great challenges of our time. Vice President-Elect Biden and I look forward to continuing our work with these outstanding individuals who have dedicated their careers to a better America.”

Vice President-Elect Joe Biden said, “These individuals all possess incredible integrity and an unmatched commitment to public service. Cathy Russell has a unique blend of policy and management experience, combined with an ardent commitment to ending injustices around the world. Cynthia Hogan is a brilliant lawyer who was instrumental in guiding the Senate Judiciary Committee though some of its most important challenges in both crime control and judicial selection, and has shown incredible legal acumen and integrity over her career. I’m grateful to have Moe Vela, a man with experience in White House management and broad outreach skills on my team. Their combined experience, diverse leadership and esteemed counsel will be essential in helping the Obama-Biden Administration bring the change we need to America.”

The White House Staff Announcements are below:

Patrick Gaspard, Director of the Office of Political Affairs
Gaspard currently serves as the Associate Director of Personnel for the Presidential Transition Team and served as National Political Director for Obama’s presidential campaign. Previously, Gaspard served as the Executive Vice President of Politics and Legislation for Local 1199 SEIU, United Healthcare Workers East, the largest local union in America, where he helped coordinate political activity and government relations on behalf of 300,000 members. In 2006, Gaspard served as the acting political director for SEIU International during the national union’s successful effort to help Democrats capture majorities in the House and Senate. In 2004, Gaspard was the National Field Director for America Coming Together. Gaspard worked for Governor Howard Dean’s presidential campaign and numerous congressional candidates, and campaigns going back to the historic Mayoral election in New York in 1989. Gaspard is a former community organizer around school reform issues. He is married with two children.

Jackie Norris, Chief of Staff to the First Lady
Norris joined Obama’s presidential campaign in January 2007 and served as the Iowa Senior Advisor during the caucus campaign, later serving as the Iowa State Director for the successful 2008 general election campaign in Iowa. Originally from Ossining, New York, Norris started her career in the office of Congresswoman Louise M. Slaughter. She later served as Vice President Al Gore’s scheduler and events planner and as Director of Scheduling and Advance for HUD Secretary Andrew Cuomo. Norris served as finance director for Governor Tom Vilsack’s 1998 gubernatorial campaign and as Gore’s political director during the Iowa caucuses during his 2000 presidential bid. In 2002, Norris became a classroom teacher for high school history and government at three high schools in Perry, Ames and Johnston, Iowa. Norris, a 1992 graduate of SUNY: College at Geneseo, obtained secondary education teacher certification in 2002 from Iowa State University and Masters in Political Science in 2008. Norris is the 2005 award recipient of the James Madison Fellowship and serves as Vice Chair of the Planned Parenthood of Greater Iowa Freedom Fund Board. Norris and her husband John are residents of Des Moines, Iowa and have five-year-old twin boys, Hunter and Cole, and a two-year-old son, Sam.

Catherine (Cathy) M. Russell, Chief of Staff for Dr. Jill Biden
Cathy Russell is a long time advisor to Dr. Biden and advocate for the prevention of violence against women, both at home and abroad. During the 2008 Presidential campaign, Ms. Russell served as Chief of Staff for Dr. Biden. Previously, she has been a Senior Advisor to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on international women’s issues. In the Clinton Administration, she served as Associate Deputy Attorney General. On Capitol Hill, she was Staff Director of the Senate Judiciary Committee and also served as a senior counsel to Sen. Patrick J. Leahy (D-VT). She received her J.D. from George Washington University.

Cynthia Hogan, Counsel to the Vice President
Cynthia Hogan has been a legal advisor to Vice President-elect Biden for nearly 20 years, first joining his staff in 1991 as his Counsel for Constitutional Law on the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee, then as Staff Director and finally as Chief Counsel, during his tenure as Chairman. During her time working for then-Chairman Biden (1991-1996), the Committee successfully passed the landmark 1994 Violence Crime and Control Act and the Violence Against Women Act. She also advised Chairman Biden during the Supreme Court nominations process for both Justices Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen Breyer. Cynthia Hogan is a native of Cincinnati, Ohio. She graduated in 1979 from Oberlin College and received a J.D. from the University of Virginia School of Law in 1984, where she served as an editor on the Virginia Law Review. She clerked for the Honorable Edward Cahn on the United States District Court for the Eastern District of Pennsylvania and was an associate at the Washington, DC law firm Williams & Connolly. She currently lives in Bethesda, Maryland with her husband Mark Katz and their two children.

Moises (Moe) V. Vela, Jr., Director of Administration for the Office of the Vice President
Moe Vela will bring a wealth of business management skill and outreach experience to the Obama-Biden Administration. From 1996-2000, he served as Chief Financial Officer and Senior Advisor on Hispanic Affairs for Vice President Al Gore. Most recently, Vela was the founder and a partner at The Comunidades Group, a multi-family acquisition and operations company headquartered in Denver, Colorado. Vela is a graduate of the University of Texas with a B.A. in Government, received a J.D. from St. Mary’s Law School and is a member of the State Bar of Texas. He currently resides in Denver, Colorado and is a Denver Civil Service Commissioner, appointed by Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper. Vela is a native of the Rio Grande Valley of Texas and hails from a pioneer South Texas family.

President-Elect Obama Delivers Video Message to the European Olympic Committee on Behalf of Chicago 2016 Olympic Bid

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the transition team:

Today, President-Elect Barack Obama delivered a taped video message to the European Olympic Committees (EOC) XXXVII General Assembly meeting in Istanbul, Turkey on behalf of the Chicago 2016 bid for the Olympic and Paralympic Games.

President-Elect Obama has been a longtime supporter of Chicago’s bid for the 2016 Games. During today's EOC General Assembly meeting, the Chicago 2016 delegation presented their vision for the 2016 Olympic Games and gained feedback on Chicago’s bid to host the Games.

In the video message, President-Elect Obama said, “In the coming years, my administration will bring a fresh perspective on America’s role and responsibilities around the world. But if we are to truly meet our shared challenges, we must all work together. By uniting the world in a peaceful celebration of human achievement, the Olympic Games reminds us that this is possible.

“The United States would be honored to have the opportunity to host the Games and serve the Olympic Movement,” President-Elect Obama continued. “As President-Elect, I see the Olympic and Paralympic Games as an opportunity for our nation to reach out, welcome the world to our shores, and strengthen our friendships across the globe.”

The link to the entire video message can be viewed here: http://www.chicago2016.org/obama2016.aspx

Imagine how much different it will be to see President Obama watching the Opening Ceremonies instead of this?

Cabinet Watch: Clinton to Accept Secretary of State; Geithner Rumored to Be Treasury Pick

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

From the NY Times:

Hillary Rodham Clinton has decided to give up her Senate seat and accept the position of secretary of state, making her the public face around the world for the administration of the man who beat her for the Democratic presidential nomination, two confidants said Friday. Mrs. Clinton came to her decision after additional discussion with President-elect Barack Obama about the nature of her role and his plans for foreign policy, said one of the confidants, who insisted on anonymity to discuss the situation. Mr. Obama’s office told reporters Thursday that the nomination is “on track” but Clinton associates only confirmed Friday afternoon that she has decided.
And a new name being rumored to fill a cabinet seat in an announcement on Monday:
NBC News has learned that the president-elect is preparing to roll out his economic team on Monday -- and will personally announce the team and answer questions -- part of an effort to reassure markets.

Barring last minute changes, the nominee for Treasury Secretary will be NY Fed President Tim Geithner -- a career Treasury official under both Bob Rubin and Larry Summers -- who actually had worked at the Treasury in three administrations under five Secretaries -- going back to 1988.

Geithner has been a key player in the current economic crisis -- helping Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson and his team manage the wall street bailout. - NBC
"Geithner has been a key player in the current economic crisis" Now THAT sounds reassuring!

We're keeping track of all of the Presidential Appointments that require Senate Confirmation as well as Presidential Appointments Not Needing Confirmation, as well as Cabinet rumors.

Richardson to Commerce?

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The Washington Post is reporting that New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson is in the mix to be the next Secretary of Commerce. Other Latinos in the mix are Miami Mayor Manny Diaz for Housing and Urban Development or Department of Labor, as well as AFL-CIO officer Linda Chavez-Thompson for Labor.

New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson has emerged as a "serious contender" to head the Commerce Department under President-elect Barack Obama, according to a Democratic official close to the proceedings.

Richardson was originally in the mix to be the secretary of State but Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) is now expected be announced for that post after the Thanksgiving holiday.

Commerce was originally rumored to be going to Penny Pritzker, the finance chairwoman of Obama's campaign and a close friend of the Illinois senator, but she removed herself from consideration on Thursday due to an inability to extricate herself from a series of complex business ties. - Washington Post.

How the GOP Views the Future of the GOP

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

The Republicans lost in November. Big time. Not just the Presidential race, nor the Senate and House numbers, but they lost their way. And now, as we've posted about before, they are discussing which direction they should take to "return."

Gallup polled, and found that 61% of Americans (of all parties) have a poor opinion of the Republican Party. That number is the lowest (or highest, depending on how you view it) since Gallup began asking the question.

Look at the little bump. That matches up with the height of Spunky's popularity.

In case you were wondering, only 78% of the Republican party members have a positive opinion of their own party. Maybe it's just me, but perhaps those 22% percent should consider belonging to, hhhmmmnnn, a different party?

So where do Republicans want their party to go? 59% think it should become MORE conservative. There is no telling how that 59% correlates to those who approve/disapprove of their party.

The House Republican leadership, just elected this week, are from the conservative branch of the party. Boehner (re-elected Minority Leader) said that his caucus will be pushing for small government and "conservative root" issues. And this is going to play well with the Republican base. Maybe. "Small government" "Fewer government programs" "Less government intervention in everything except religious issues" may not sell so well to an electorate which is legitimately hungry.

While the incoming Obama administration is selecting moderates, in yesterday's selection of Waxman over Dingell for Commerce and Energy, the House took a decided step left. If the GOP moves decidedly right, and lacks the votes to overcome the majority, and the ideas of the majority work, it will be a bad 2010 and 2012 for the Republicans. They won't just lose AGAIN, but their base will shrink to wingnuts only.

Take something like environmental protection. The Democratic position is that air pollution is bad, water pollution is bad, protecting endangered species is good, and doing something about Global Warming is critical. A far-right GOP will have to sell TO THEIR PEOPLE the idea that it really is better to pollute more, it doesn't matter if species die, and Global Warming is just part of a long term pattern.

Seems if they want to remain any sort of organized party, the GOP should move to the center, jump on the bandwagon, and help to save America. But they won't. Nor will they even cling to actual Republican ideals, rather they've decided to adhere to the co-opted ones from the last 30 years that have led us to this sandy precipice on which we stand.

For those few of you who like to send me nasty personal notes questioning my dedication to, and sometimes membership in, the Democratic Party, I say this: these times we live in are uncertain and dangerous. I would rather work with moderate Republicans to find solutions than have to waste time arguing with right wing idiots ideologues elected officials.

Minnesota Recount - Play Along

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

You can check the latest numbers on the recount here, and we'll move it up later in the day after they've done some more counting out in Minnesota.

Until then, you can play along, courtesy of Minnesota Public Radio.

Make your selection, and then see how others voted on whether to accept or reject challenged ballots.

The Morning Poll

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com


Instead of a poll this morning, there's a civics test.

Before you begin, here's the background:The Intercollegiate Studies Institute has run an annual survey to determine how well college students know civics. This year, they expanded their base to include just plain random American adults. In general, people know squat. To wit: 71% FAILED. The average score was 49% of the 33 questions asked.

Since you read DCW, I have high hopes that you shall not fail.

Once you take the test, it will list out which questions you got wrong (if any) and you will be able to click on the "table" link and see how your answers stacked up against the general public, and elected officials.

And no, there are no state capitols on the test. The big heartbreak for me was that slightly over 50% of those tested could not name the three branches of government.

Here's the test.

Thursday, November 20, 2008

Presidential Forecast Contest Results

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

With the resolution of Missouri for McCain and NE-2 for Obama, the final EV count is 365-173. Which makes the winner of our Presidential Forecast Contest reader Roger Lewis, who had the only entry which correctly guessed the exact number of Electoral Votes. (Full list of entries here). Interestingly, no one got all the states (even ignoring NE-2) correct. It was the MO/IN combination that was difficult - only two entries correctly gave MO to McCain and IN to Obama. Roger had the two states wrong, but still nailed the total EV count since both states had 11 EVs.

Johnny, tell Roger what he's won:

Roger, you've won an assortment of credentials to Democratic Conventions, both from this year and from years past. You've also won an official Obama-Biden yard sign, and other Obama "stuff".

Thanks to everybody for taking part.