Wednesday, October 22, 2008

DemConWatch Presidential Forecast Contest

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at

Update: The contest is closed. No more entries please.

You’ve been commenting on the numbers for a long time, and here’s your chance to participate. Predict how the election will go and win DemConWatch glory, as well as a few trinkets!

See an overview of all the predictions so far. (Thanks to reader 26376!)

We’re looking for the following information:

Final EV Count for Obama, including the specific winner of the following states:

New Hampshire
New Mexico
North Carolina
North Dakota
West Virginia

Tiebreaker: Predict Obama and McCain's national vote percentage, to 1 decimal point. (as determined by CNN on Wednesday, 11/5, 8 PM EDT). (% of total votes, not just Obama and McCain votes). (If everything ties, earliest entry will win).

Please use the comments and the following format:

XXX Total Electoral Votes
Obama (XXX), McCain (XXX)
Obama xx.x%, McCain xx.x%


333 Total Electoral Votes
Obama (NH, CO,...) McCain (WV...)
Obama 78.2% McCain 20.0% (numbers will not add up to 100% due to 3rd parties - if your numbers add up to 100%, you will be less accurate).

Here's a map you can use to make your predictions:

<p><strong>><a href=''>Electoral College Prediction Map</a></strong> - Predict the winner of the general election. Use the map to experiment with winning combinations of states. Save your prediction and send it to friends.</p>

The Fine Print:

Entries must be received by 5 p.m. EDT, on 3 November 2008 – Use the comments for your submissions. Update: The contest is closed. No more entries please.
One entry per person.
Decision of the judges is final, and there is no cash equivalent for the prize pack.
The winner will be announced in a DCW post, and you will need to provide us with your real name and address at that time so we can send you the stuff. (Do NOT put your name and address in with your submission, this is the internet.)
Contest is open to everyone, except DCW staff and their families. (No, we don’t know any more than you do, but fair is fair,)