Monday, November 03, 2008

PA polling

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

First, the Muhlenberg tracking poll, where McCain has picked up lots of the undecided, but Obama is still in winning territory at 52%:



Pollster.com, high sensitivity, shows essentially the same thing:



The six polls out today show Obama between 51-54, and McCain between 42-46. You make the call.

Posted by Matt at 9:39 PM

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Peter Zenger's avatar - Go to profile

Peter Zenger 62p · 856 weeks ago

Sorry for the double, but it doesn't look like the Intense Debate sidebar is showing recent comments.

Karl Rove is expecting Obama to win Pennsylvania en route to a 338 EV win.

http://www.rove.com/uploads/0000/0051/McCain-Obam...
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1 reply · active 856 weeks ago
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Matt's avatar - Go to profile

Matt 75p · 856 weeks ago

We shut the recent comments off, as they were severely slowing the site down this morning,
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26376's avatar - Go to profile

26376 66p · 856 weeks ago

I was wondering about that myself. Good to know that it's a Known Issue (even an Intentional Issue).
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uplandpoet 69p · 856 weeks ago

i, for one have never doubted that most of the undecideds are either staying home or voting mccain, which is why the 51% territory looks so good. if you figure that the polls show obama at 51, mccain 43 leaving 6 % undecided, of which obama gets 1, mccain gets 3, and 2 dont vote, gives us a obama 52, mccain 46 out of a total of 98, obama 53 mccain 47. I will take a 53 47 in every state i can get it in! my question is, are barr and nader on the PA ballot? and if so how are they tracking? nationally the latest RCP has is about 4% for them and 49 obama and 41mccain, still leaving that poll of "undecideds" at 6 %, scary, but not enough to tip it to mccain if all 6% voted and voted for mccain.
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uplandpoet 69p · 856 weeks ago

good, that looks like obama wins 51 or 52 % to 47-48 mccain!

anybody else notice the results at dixville and harts, i know they are menaingless, but still it is fun to start off with landslides!!!!
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