Monday, November 03, 2008

Remember: Ignore the exit polls

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at

First McCain memo we've agreed with:

However, we want to remind the campaign that the media's own post-election study of the exit polls in 2004 showed that the exit polls overstate the Democratic candidate's support.
The exit polls are likely to overstate the Obama vote because Obama voters are more likely to participate in the exit poll.
After the 2004 election, the National Election Pool completed a study investigating why the exit polls that year showed John Kerry over performing 5.5 net points[1] better than the actual results showed him to have done. Their conclusion was that the primary reason the exit polls was that Kerry voters and Democrats were more likely to participate in the exit polls.