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Quinnipiac University:
Florida: Obama 51, McCain 43
Ohio: Obama 50, McCain 42
Pennsylvania: Obama 54, McCain 39
For those of us who can't subtract, that would be FL: +8, OH: +8, PA: +15
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SLCScott 74p · 893 weeks ago
There was always that suspicion, or fear, that Obama had a ceiling in some of these states that was below 50%--in other words, that the supposed undecideds couldn't ever bring themselves to vote for Obama. But that's clearly not the case. 50% or more of the likely voters in these battlegrounds have just said they favor him. That means, at a minimum, that they're open to it.
If Obama has a bad debate or some geopolitical event focuses attention on McCain's supposed strengths, we could see these leads shrink or vanish for a time. But we'll know that knocking on doors, making phone calls, and the rest can win the race. Obama is not too inexperienced or too scary or too exotic or too elitist or too whatever-other-smear-you-want-to-use to have a chance with these voters.
Of course, if things continue to go like they've been going, the whole election will be a landslide. Either way, though, I'm feeling good...
Chad_Nielson 57p · 893 weeks ago