Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Wednesday Summary

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Big Superdelegate Day...




Latest Superdelegate Endorsements:
Rep. Bruce Braley (IA) for Obama
DNC
William George (PA) for Clinton
Rep.
Baron Hill (IN) for Obama
Rep.
Lois Capps (CA) for Obama
DNC Luisette Cabanas (PR) for Clinton

Current count: Clinton: 261, Obama: 242.

See the DCW Superdelegate Tracker for the latest superdelegate endorsements.

Coming tomorrow, 4 add-ons picked in New York (expect Clinton to pickup 3 or 4), and 2 add-ons in Maryland (expect Obama to pick up both).

Remember, you don't have to wait for Indiana and North Carolina next week. We'll be all Guam, all the time, this weekend!

And we've also got Special Elections on Saturday in LA-1 and LA-6.

Thursday early morning update: Former DNC Chairman Joe Andrew (IN) switches from Clinton to Obama.

Downtown "Mega Tent" to Open in June

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Denver will add 20,000 more square feet of space to hold convention related events.

A new special events venue beneath what's being described as a "mega tent" in downtown Denver will be built in time for the Democratic National Convention.

Developer Evan Makovsky owns the land where the tent will be erected and is leasing the space to Wright Group Event Services based in Denver.

Installation on the 20,000-square-foot tent made of white vinyl will begin next week on the empty parcel behind the Fontius building at 15th and Welton streets. It will open on June 1 and then be removed in early fall.

The Wright Group will build and manage the structure that will soar nearly 50 feet. The venue will be called The Peak, and will host concerts, banquets and trade shows.

It will be across 15th Street from the Hyatt Convention Center Hotel, the headquarters hotel for the DNC. - Denver Business Journal

The location is only a block away from the Colorado Convention Center which will be where a lot of the daytime committee meetings will be held.

Superdelegate Slugfest !

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Today's been our busiest superdelegate endorsement day in a long time.
So far Obama has picked up 3 superdelegates to Clinton's 2.

Obama's Pickups:
Rep. Bruce Braley (IA):

"I had a chance to go to my first district convention in Dubuque on Saturday and that was the number one question on everybody's mind: 'When are you going to endorse? Who are you going to endorse?' and after looking at the numbers from both district convention, the county conventions and the Caucuses in my district; talking to many, many people about the candidates left in the race and looking at the longterm impact on our party I decided that Senator Obama was the right person to endorse," Braley says.
Rep. Baron Hill (IN):
I am proud of Senator Obama’s call for change in Washington – change I have been advocating since I first sought public office. I am truly hopeful that his campaign and election will help unify our nation and ultimately change our politics. I am pleased that Senator Obama clearly and unequivocally denounced Reverend Wright’s remarks. Hoosiers don’t feel that way about our country, I don’t feel that way about our country and Senator Obama made it abundantly clear that he doesn’t feel that way either.
Rep. Lois Capps (CA):
“Barack Obama is the better choice because of something larger and perhaps more important. Simply put, he has made a call to the better angels of our nature. He is challenging us to lift ourselves out of the ugliness that increasingly consumes Washington, where the heat of your argument counts for more than the light it should bring,” Capps said in a statement. “He is asking us to stand together as Americans and transcend the traditional lines that have so often divided us by party affiliation, economic status, gender, or race.”

Clinton's pickups:
DNC William George (PA):
“Hillary Clinton has the strength and experience to jumpstart the economy and rebuild the middle class,” George said in a statement released by the Clinton camp. “Working families in Pennsylvania overwhelmingly favored her in last week’s primary, and I feel that she is our strongest candidate to carry Pennsylvania in November and win back the White House.”
DNC Luisette Cabanas (PR):
Cabanas cited Clinton's policies, especially health care, as "the best by far of any candidate in history."

"Today I endorse Hillary Clinton for president because of her strong win in Pennsylvania," Cabanas said in a statement. "She has shown a firm conviction and the character needed to lead the nation."

There are a couple interesting things to note with today's endorsements. Obama has now topped Clinton in support from Representatives and now leads 79-78 with 65 remaining.
Also... there are now 699 remaining total delegates.

DNCC names Microsoft official software provider for Denver

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On Monday the DNCC announced that they had selected Microsoft to be the official "software and HD Web content provider" for the Denver convention. This will be a big-time coming out party for Silverlight, Microsoft's content platform to compete with Adobe's Flash.

Microsoft will also be providing real-time online voting systems for the delegates on the convention floor, as well as gavel-to-gavel streaming coverage at the convention website, DemConvention.com. We've been impressed with the quality and depth of the Democratic Convention website so far, hopefully this will be a positive enhancement for folks who can't attend in person to experience the event through the Web.

Disclosure: I work for Microsoft, but I don't work on any of the products/teams involved.

Guam update

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As we wrote yesterday, Guam has three superdelegate vacancies, two of which will actually be chosen during the Guam caucuses this weekend. The Guam Democratic Chair and Vice-chair will be voted on, and there are three candidate slates running. From the Marianas Variety ("Micronesia's Leading Newspaper Since 1972"), we learn that one of the slates, Joseph Artero Cameron and Arlene Bordallo, has endorsed Clinton, while another slate, Pilar Lujan and Jaime Paulino, is supported by the local Obama campaign.

Which of course pretty much guarantees that the third slate, which we know nothing about, including their names, will win.

Update: The third slate is Antonio Charfauros and Mary Ann Cabrera. Charfauros is the current Chair, so he it looks like he's the incumbent in the race, and they're both uncommitted:

Charfauros and Cabrera said that as of now, they remain uncommitted in supporting the two U.S. Democratic presidential hopefuls because they wanted to see what they would bring to the table for the people of Guam.

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Tuesday Summary

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Latest Superdelegate Endorsements:
Gov. Mike Easley (NC) for Clinton
DNC
Richard Machacek (IA) for Obama.
Rep. Ben Chandler (KY) for Obama
Rep.
Ike Skelton (MO) for Clinton

Current count: Clinton: 259, Obama: 239

See the DCW Superdelegate Tracker for the latest superdelegate endorsements.

Other news:
The Wall Street Journal surveys the superdelegate landscape, and uses our numbers for all their information:

When the year began, about 200 of the superdelegates had taken sides, most for Sen. Clinton. Her campaign, including Mr. Clinton, had quickly signed up Clinton-administration veterans, others on the DNC and elected officials in Arkansas and New York, so that she initially led Sen. Obama by more than 100.

But the Obama campaign correctly figured that she had gotten the easy pickings and that the rest were up for grabs. Once he began winning more states than she did, her endorsements slowed to a trickle, and her lead eroded to less than two dozen now.

That graph seems awful familiar.

Some Democrats in Michigan are proposing a compromise:

[They] want to allocate 69 pledged delegates to Hillary Clinton and 59 to Barack Obama. The approach splits the difference between the equal delegate proposal coming out of Chicago (g4 for each) and the 73-to-55 delegate split that the Clinton campaign would obtain from the results of the primary, with almost all of the uncommitted delegates being pledged to Obama. The four also write that they oppose the challenge by DNC member Joel Ferguson, which would give superdelegates a full vote and pledged delegates half of a vote.
Remember, you don't have to wait for Indiana and North Carolina next week. We'll be all Guam, all the time, this weekend!

Monday, April 28, 2008

Guam has 3 superdelegate vacancies

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The Guam caucuses have already started, and will finish on Saturday. (They voted last weekend on one island, because the island has their village fiesta scheduled for this weekend!) Guam will elect 8 pledged delegates, each with 1/2 a vote, for a total of 4 pledged delegate votes.

Guam also has 5 superdelegates (each with a full vote), and it turns out 3 of the superdelegate positions are vacant:

First, DNC member Robert Underwood has resigned, and it looks like his replacement will support Obama:

Guam Democratic Party Chairman Tony Charfauros yesterday said he is about to appoint either Sen. Benjamin Cruz or attorney Mike Phillips to a vacant superdelegate position -- the party's "committee man" position. Cruz and Philips are both Obama supporters.

Charfauros said his appointment of Cruz or Philips -- which must happen "soon" -- would also have to be approved by Guam's central executive committee and then by the Democratic National Committee.

Although Sen. David Shimizu -- a Clinton supporter -- is running unopposed for the Guam committee man position during the party's ongoing village elections, Charfauros said Shimizu's term as committee man would not begin until after the national convention. Former Guam Del. Robert Underwood, who now is University of Guam president, resigned the committee man position, creating the vacancy.

That's one vacancy. But the Chair and Vice-chair positions are also about to go vacant. For both positions:
Three candidates are running for this position in Saturday's party elections. The winner will assume office and attend the national convention as a superdelegate.
We can't find a web site for the Guam Democratic Party, so there are questions: When do the terms of the Chair and Vice-Chair start? If they start right after the election, doesn't the appointment of the DNC member by current chair Tony Charfauros have to occur before his term is up?

We'll try to find out more. (h/t to Andrew in the comments for the link)

Rules and Bylaws Committee membership

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With the news that the challenges to the DNC decisions on Florida and Michigan will be heard by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC) on May 31st, the next question, of course, is, who is on the committee and who do they support?






Here is the list:

Co-Chairs - no endorsement
Alexis Herman (co-chair, Washington , D.C. )
James Roosevelt, Jr. (co-chair, Massachusetts )

Members - Clinton supporters (13)
Hartina Flournay (DC)
Donald Fowler (SC)
Harold Ickes, Jr. (DC)
Jaime Gonzalez, Jr. (TX)
Alice Huffman (CA)
Ben Johnson (DC)
Elaine Kamarck (MA)
Eric Kleinfeld (DC)
Mona Pasquil (CA)
Mame Reiley (VA)
Garry Shay (CA)
Elizabeth Smith (DC)
Michael Steed (MD)

Members - Obama supporters (8)
Martha Fuller Clark (NH)
Carol Khare Fowler (SC)
Janice Griffin (MD)
Thomas Hynes (IL)
Allan Katz (FL)
Sharon Stroschein (SD)
Sarah Swisher (IA)
Everett Ward (NC)

Members - no known endorsement (7)
Donna Brazille (DC)
Mark Brewer (MI)
Ralph Dawson (NY)
Yvonne Gates ( NV)
Alice Germond (DC) - DNC Secretary
David McDonald (WA)
Jerome Wiley Segovia (VA)

Notes:

  • Allan Katz of Florida is a member of Obama's national finance committee. It will be interesting what he does, or even if he is allowed to vote on the Florida challenge. The same question would hold for Mark Brewer of Michigan for the Michigan challenge.
  • Update:
    Section 3.4 (P): Voting: A member of the RBC shall not vote on a challenge arising in his or her own state.
But note that Katz can vote on Michigan's challenge, and Brewer can vote on Florida's challenge.
  • Ralph Dawson is one of the very few New York superdelegates that have not endorsed Clinton.
Update: Here are the Regulations of the Rules and Bylaws Committee

Convention protest update

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It seems like we've come a long way since 1968: Local law groups recently sponsored "a four-day series of workshops and discussions that offer training and tips for activists and protesters planning to demonstrate in and around convention week." And at these meetings we learned a little more about plans for dealing with the protests:

Protesters will not be confined to "cages" during the 2008 Democratic National Convention, and the city wants to get away from the long lines of shoulder-to-shoulder, riot-gear-clad police that typified security at the national conventions in Boston and New York, Denver City Councilman Charlie Brown said today.
...

Brown participated in a noontime panel discussion with Glenn Spagnuolo, a representative for Re-create 68, the Denver-based umbrella group for war protesters and other activists that has said it will occupy Civic Center day and night throughout the convention.

Spagnuolo had charged that Denver planned to keep protesters as much as a mile away from the Pepsi Center, where the convention is to be held, saying he had it "on good authority" that the security perimeter would extend in a mile radius around the arena. ...

Details of the perimeter have not been released, but Mike Dino, who leads the Denver committee responsible for hosting the convention, told a group of business executives at the Pepsi Center this morning that the one-mile radius was a rumor and not true. Brown said he expected details of the perimeter to be released in six to eight weeks.

This one-mile radius is a story that just won't die.

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Upcoming Democratic Nomination Events Schedule

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The table below shows the Upcoming Democratic Nomination Events Schedule from now until the Democratic National Convention - Denver, CO Aug. 25-28, 2008.

Democratic Nomination Schedule
DateStateEvent
5/1/2008NYState Party Executive Committee - Add-on ARE SELECTED
5/3/2008MDState Party Central Committee - Add-on will are selected see DCW Saturday Updates
5/3-5/16/2008CODistrict Conventions.
5/3/2008GUTerritorial Convention – See results in DCW Saturday Updates
5/3/2008LASpecial Election CD 1 & 6. See LA Special Election Results
5/3/2008LAState Central Committee Meeting - Add-on
is selected see DCW Saturday Updates
5/3/2008SCState Convention - Add-on
is selected see DCW Saturday Updates
5/5/2008ILState Convention - Add-on are selected
5/6/2008INState Primary - North Carolina and Indiana Primary Results
5/6/2008NCState Primary - North Carolina and Indiana Primary Results
5/9-5/10/2008UTState Convention - Add-on is selected see Obama has taken the Superdelegate lead
5/10/2008MAState Party Committee - Add-ons are selected see Obama has taken the Superdelegate lead
5/10/2008MOState Convention
5/10/2008OHState Executive Committee Meeting - Add-ons are selected see Obama has taken the Superdelegate lead
5/13/2008NEAdvisory Primary
5/13/2008MSSpecial Run-off House CD 1 - Travis Childer's huge victory in Mississippi.
5/13/2008WVState Primary - West Virginia
5/17/2008COState Convention - Federico Pena is selected as Add-on
5/17/2008KSState Convention - Lt. Governor Mark Parkinson is selected as Add-on
5/17-5/18/2008NVState Convention - Nevada Add-on named
5/17/2008WACongressional District Caucuses
5/18/2008CADelegation Meeting - Add-on superdelegates named
5/20/2008KYState Primary - Kentucky and Oregon Primary Results
5/20/2008ORState Primary - Kentucky and Oregon Primary Results
5/23/2008AKState Party Convention - Add-on and State delegates are selected
5/23-5/25/2008HIState Convention - DNC chair, vice-chair and Add-on and State delegates are selected
5/24/2008GAState Committee Meeting - see Add-ons are selected
5/24/2008WYState Convention - see Add-on is selected
5/27/2008IDNon-binding Primary
5/31-6/1/2008MEState Convention - Add-on is selected see Superdelegate Endorsements for Sunday June 1st
5/31/2008RBCDNC Rules and Bylaws Committee - FL & MI Appeals have been approved
6/1-6/10/2008NECounties Conventions
6/1/2008PRPR Primary - Puerto Rico Primary Results
6/3/2008MTState Primary - Montana and South Dakota Primary Results
6/3/2008SDState Primary - Montana and South Dakota Primary Results
6/6-6/8/2008MNState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/6-6/7/2008TXState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/7/2008MSState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/7/2008KYState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/7/2008PAState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/7/2008VTNational Delegates Meeting - Add-on will be selected
6/8/2008MTState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/12-6/14/2008IDState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/13-6/14/2008WVState Convention & Executive Committee - Add-on will be selected
TBDIAState Convention - Final delegates allocation, selection & Add-on
6/14/2008MIState Central Committee - State wide delegates and Add-on will be selected
6/14/2008VAState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/15/2008WAState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/17/2008MDSpecial Election - House CD 4
6/19/2008RIState Executive Committee Meeting - Add-on will be selected
6/21/2008NEState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/21/2008INState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/21/2008NCState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/21/2008ORState Convention - Add-on will be selected
6/21/2008PRDemocratic Assembly - Add-on will be selected
6/21/2008SDState Party Central Committee - Add-on will be selected
8/25-8/28/2008DNC45th Democratic National Convention - Denver, CO
Last updated: 06/03/2008

Source: The Green Papers.

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New Mexico add-on named

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New Mexico's add-on superdelegate is Laurie Weahkee. She is currently the lead organizer for the Native American Voters Alliance, which is a core project of the Sacred Alliance for Grassroots Equality (SAGE Council).

Initial research does not show that Weahkee has endorsed a candidate.

Update: Turns out, there was great drama behind the choice of Weahkee:

The New Mexico Democratic Party's central committee, during a contentious meeting in Albuquerque on Saturday, elected the 42-year-old Cochiti and Zuni Pueblo member as the state's 12th and final superdelegate to this summer's presidential nominating convention in Denver. Weahkee, who is also half Navajo, said she has yet to commit to either candidate, adding that Native American issues, including sovereignty and health care, are her top concerns.

"My first loyalty is really to the Native American agenda. I'm really going to be listening to both candidates to find out what their positions are ... how hard they're willing to go to bat for the Native American people," Weahkee said after winning a 71-59 vote over Charlotte Little of Taos and San Felipe pueblos at the meeting in Northeast Albuquerque.

Weahkee's election followed an in-party spat about the rules for selecting the delegate: A group of Clinton backers argued that nominations for the so-called "unpledged, add-on" superdelegate post could come from the 200-plus central committee members at the meeting, the majority of whom were allied with Clinton.

But state party Chairman Brian Colón said national party rules specified that only he could nominate the candidates. So the voting was limited to the two Native American women he had selected with the aim of adding diversity to the state's delegate list.

Rumors flew through some circles at the meeting that both women were Obama backers. Colón said both were uncommitted, adding that others suspected him of stacking the deck for Clinton. "I felt it was critical we had Native Americans in our delegation," Colón said, adding that selecting an uncommitted delegate keeps New Mexico "relevant and part of the conversation" among the party's presidential candidates. - ABQJournal Online (subscription only)
Well, I don't know that national party rules specify who can nominate the candidates, but New Mexico's own Delegate Selection Plan clearly says:
Unpledged add-on delegate candidates will be nominated by the State Chair in
consultation with the Executive Committee on April 26, 2008.
This is just another example where state party politics overrides the presidential campaign, and the projections of add-ons some made based on who won a state are turning out not be very valid.

Monday update: A New Mexico political blogger writes:
Is that "unpledged" delegate picked by state Dems Saturday to go to the national convention really neutral in the race between Obama and Clinton? If she isn't for Obama, why did the Clintonistas take the gloves off in trying to stop her from being selected? - New Mexico Politics with Joe Monahan

Saturday, April 26, 2008

Clinton adds NH add-on delegate; Obama picks up super in AZ

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Clinton and Obama both picked up a new superdelegate today. First, New Hampshire:

Campaign says Clinton-supporter Kathy Sullivan, who headed the state’s Democratic Committee until last year, has been elected as the state’s add on super. -The Page
Here's Kathy Sullivan endorsement announcement. We've been told she was the only one nominated for the add-on position by State party chair Raymond Buckley. Sullivan is a former state chair, and she also won election today to a DNC position that starts after the convention is over. (So she'll be a superdelegate in 2012).
Buckley, a superdelegate whose allegiance remains a mystery, said his choice of Sullivan should not be seen as an indication of how he will vote. He said he made the offer long ago.

"It was before anybody had announced for president," Buckley said. "It was before Hillary or Obama had come to New Hampshire for their first trip, and it was a good ten months before she (Sullivan) decided to even be involved in the campaign." - Boston Globe

In Arizona, two superdelegates were selected today. First, for the vacant vice-chair position, Obama supporter Charlene Fernandez won the spot in an upset:
Though Harriet Young, Coconino County Democratic Party chair was nominated by the popular former state party chair, David Wade, and stood as the early favorite to fill one of two open superdelegate positions in the Arizona delegation to the Democratic National Convention, it was Charlene Fernandez who took the spot.- PolitickerAZ
Arizona Attorney General Terry Goddard was selected as the add-on superdelegate from Arizona:
Goddard said he has not pledged support for either candidate yet. He said he is at least a few weeks away from making a decision.

"I look forward to attending the convention as our party comes together to kick some butt in the fall," he told an audience of more than 500 people at the downtown Wyndham Phoenix.

Still waiting to hear from New Mexico.

Will update all the table and numbers after all the states are in.

Iowa update - Edwards +1, Obama -1

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The district results are in from Iowa, and the suspended campaign of John Edwards actually picked up a delegate that had previously been projected for Obama. In CD-1 Edwards had not been projected to be viable, but he obviously picked up enough state delegates, probably from the Clinton side, to become viable, and the math took the national delegate away from Obama.

In CD-4, Edwards did not become viable, so Obama kept his 4th projected national delegate. (A reader notes that nearly all the Edwards delegates came over to Obama).

In CD-5, Edwards was barely viable, but kept his delegate.

Final tally of the District delegates is Obama 16, Clinton 9, Edwards 4. (typo fixed)

Update: The Iowa Independent disagrees with our characterization of Iowa as "Obama -1".

Superdelegate predictions

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CCPS has been running a series of superdelegate predictions, with an accuracy rate of 70% on those they've predicted and have since announced. The latest predictions:

There are 128 unpledged superdelegates who are at least 60% likely to vote for Obama; just 39 unpledged superdelegates are at least 60% likely to vote for Clinton. There are 78 superdelegates in [the 40%-60%] range.
Tremayne over at Open Left has run similar calculations, but doesn't summarize the results.

Salazar calls for Limbaugh reprimand

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I'm sure you've heard about Rush Limbaugh's call for riots in Denver that he's now trying to say is "just a dream". Today Colorado Senator Ken Salazar called for Denver radio station 850 KOA to reprimand Limbaugh.

"As I read Mr. Limbaugh's comments about riots at the Democratic National Convention in Denver, they appear to me to be a clear exhortation that those riots are exactly what he wants to happen," said Salazar. "For that kind of incendiary comment, I ask Clear Channel to reprimand Mr. Limbaugh." - Denver Post

Rush Limbaugh (aka Jeff Christie pictured on left) windbag extraordinaire has once again proven how much of a lowlife he is. After making fun of Michael J Fox and getting arrested for Oxycontin abuse he's out there again trying to gain attention.

Rush Limbaugh says he was not calling for a riot in Denver during the Democratic National Convention — he only "dreams" of it, to the tune of "White Christmas."

For a second day in a row today, the conservative talker discussed the potential for protests and power struggles at the August convention.

"Now, I am not inspiring or inciting riots. I'm dreaming, I'm dreaming of riots in Denver," he said mimicking the holiday tune.

He explained on-air: "Riots in Denver at the Democrat Convention would see to it we don't elect Democrats," Limbaugh said. "And that's the best damn thing (that) could happen for this country as far as anything I can think."

Glenn Spagnuolo,an organizer with the protest group Re-create 68, called Limbaugh a fool.

"We don't need another 5,000 illiterate Limbaugh listeners coming to Colorado," he said, mocking a comment this week by State Rep. Douglas Bruce, R-Colorado Springs, calling migrant workers "illiterate peasants" as he debated a bill to accommodate up to 5,000 guest workers in the state. - Denver Post
Right Rush... because the Republicans have been doing such a bang-up job over the past 8 years.

Weekend Preview

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Lots going on this weekend:

We have add-on superdelegates being picked on Saturday in Arizona, New Hampshire and New Mexico. Clinton won Arizona and New Mexico. Selection of the add-on in New Mexico is the first order of business at the state convention which starts at 11 AM local time.

While Clinton won the popular vote in New Hampshire, the delegates were split 8-8, and the add-on is selected by the district-level delegates.

Arizona has a vacancy in their state vice-chair position. The new state vice-chair, who will be a superdelegate, will also be picked on Saturday. The Arizona State Convention starts at 1 PM local time, with the vice-chair position being filled first, followed by the pledged and add-on delegate elections.

And finally, the Iowa District Conventions are on Saturday. Edwards has 3 district-level delegates, but that number could go up or down depending on both math and politics.

Check back over the weekend for all the updates.

Friday, April 25, 2008

DNC to hear MI and FL challenges on May 31st

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From Marc Ambinder

TO: DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee Members

FROM: Alexis Herman & Jim Roosevelt, Jr., Co-Chairs

DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC)

SUBJECT: Meeting Announcement–May 31, 2008

DATE: April 25, 2008

Realizing that members have very busy schedules, we wanted to notify you as soon as possible that the RBC will meet on Saturday, May 31, 2008 in Washington, D.C. We are asking members to arrive on Friday, May 30, 2008 in time for a private informal dinner with us. While we expect the RBC meeting to last most of the day on Saturday, we are asking members not to make their departure plans until Sunday.

The main item of business on the Committee’s agenda will be the consideration of two pending challenges.

We hope you are able to attend this very important RBC meeting. Further information, including meeting agenda and meeting logistics, will be forwarded to you in the near future.

Please note that this is an official meeting of the RBC. Therefore, we would like to remind members of the attendance requirement established in the Bylaws (Article Two, Section 10.(g)). Members who miss three consecutive RBC meetings are deemed to have resigned from the Committee. Registering a proxy, while important for establishing a quorum and assuring your vote is represented, does not count for the purpose of attendance at a meeting.
First Read's take:
Members of the RBC could potentially come to the meeting with an agreed-upon solution that would quash the issue. But if that doesn’t happen -- something that has seemed a near impossibility so far -- the committee would take up the complaints and possibly vote on them. If those challenges are voted down, then any further appeals would have to be made to that Credentials Committee.
Update: The Regulations of the Rules and Bylaws Committee

DCCC to hold Convention Raffle

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The DCCC knocked one out of the park with this idea.

Not a candidate for president? Didn't get elected as a delegate from your state? Not to worry. You still may get a seat at the Democratic National Convention in Denver.

For $35, you can buy a chance to win tickets to the convention, airfare to and from Denver, and hotel accommodations from Sunday Aug. 24 through Thursday, Aug. 28.

The raffle is being run by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which raises money for Democratic members of the House and Democratic candidates for the House.

"Can you picture it," the committee asks in an email to supporters. "The Democratic energy...and the promise of a historic nominee who will at long last restore the promise of America's future...and you can be right there when it happens." - McClatchy

And here it is... courtesy of Speaker of the House (and superdelegate) Nancy Pelosi.
The Democratic Convention in Denver is going to be so exciting. And, because of all you've done to support Democratic candidates, I want you to have the chance to be there in person.

I'm honored to serve as Chair of this history-making gathering. From the opening gavel right through Thursday when our nominee delivers an historic acceptance speech, it's going to be a remarkable week.

You can win the opportunity to be right there in the Convention hall in Denver, Colorado when it all happens. Simply match your last gift of at least $25 or more by May 1st and you'll receive an official entry for flight, hotel and accommodations to the Democratic Convention, Sunday, August 24th thru Thursday, August 28th. And every time you make a contribution for the same amount before the end of the month, you'll receive another chance to win.

Enter our Match-It-By-May Convention Contest!

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) is the engine driving change forward, but we must win the White House and strengthen our Democratic majority in the House to fully implement our New Direction agenda.

So I am asking people like you -- who have gone online before to support our Democratic candidates -- to please step forward again and match your most recent donation before the end of April.

We're calling it our Match-It-By-May Campaign. With thousands of people acting over the next six days, we'll have the resources to keep our 2008 victory plan on track. It's time for you to act again. If you Match-It-By-May, we'll have the time-sensitive financial support needed to win the tightest, most highly-contested races of 2008.

Enter the Match-It-By-May Convention Contest for a chance to see history in the making.

On to Denver,

Nancy Pelosi
Speaker of the House
Since the DCCC is blowing the NRCC away right now maybe they'll pass some of the cash over to the DNC.

Edwards delegates: Up-for-grabs in Iowa, in control in NH

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We've been following the status of the Edwards delegates ever since he dropped out of the race. The quick summary: He keeps his 4 delegates from New Hampshire, his 8 delegates from South Carolina (as long as his campaign stays officially suspended), and, if they were to ever get seated as is, his 13 delegates from Florida.

But his Iowa delegates have shrunk from 14 to 6, and 3 of the 6 are in the critical stage on Saturday:

At five district conventions, hundreds of Iowa Democrats will meet to choose 29 delegates to the party’s national convention in August, the first chunk of the state’s 45 pledged delegates that will make the trip to Denver
...
Caucus states, with their complex rules, have been good to Obama. And that complexity could come into play in a couple of congressional districts where the ability of Edwards backers to hang together could make a difference this weekend.

In the 1st District, where Obama now has enough strength to claim four national delegates compared with Clinton’s two, Edwards is just a few votes short of the 15 percent viability threshold required to claim a national delegate of his own.

If he’s successful, that delegate would come from Obama. Davenport Mayor Bill Gluba, an Obama backer, said Clinton’s camp could try to help make Edwards viable, thus damaging Obama. “We’re going to try to work them, too,” he said.

In the 5th District, Edwards has enough strength to be viable, but just barely.
It's the same math as we were all familiar with going into the Iowa Precinct Caucuses. Looking at the numbers in Iowa, Edwards will probably keep 2 national delegates, one each from CD2 and CD3. If Edwards loses viability in CD5, Obama would need to pick up 56 of the outstanding 58 state delegates (Edwards-55, Uncommitted -3) to get the extra national delegate. Otherwise, Clinton gets it. So Clinton could end up net +2 after Saturday, winning a delegate in CD 5 and Obama losing one in CD 1. The CD1 scenario seems likely, as it takes only 4 Clinton state delegates to switch to Edwards to give him a national delegate. But then the Obama people could persuade some other Edwards delegates to come to their side, saving the national delegate spot. Wouldn't you love to be inside these caucus rooms on Saturday watching this all take place?

Update: Iowa Independent goes deep into the numbers in each CD, and notes that Edwards might pick up a delegate in CD 4 also.

And then there's New Hampshire, which is picking its add-on superdelegate this weekend. In most states, the add-on is picked by some state-level committee, or by a large group of delegates to a state convention. Not in New Hampshire. In New Hampshire, the add-on is picked by the District level delegates. And what's the breakdown of the district level delegates in New Hampshire?

Clinton 6, Obama 6, Edwards 2.

Edwards 2 delegates are Joshua Denton of Portsmouth and Deborah Bacon-Nelson of Hanover. Capt. Denton is a veteran of the Iraq War. Bacon-Nelson is a World Literature teacher at Lebanon High School

So the 2 Edwards delegates essentially hold the balance-of-power in determining the add-on superdelegate in New Hampshire!

Friday update: The Manchester Union-Leader notes that "State party chair Raymond Buckley will nominate one or more candidates" for the add-on spot. Buckley is uncommitted, and it's possible he could submit just one name to the district delegates for their vote. So maybe Buckley is really in control.

We'll have all the results here this weekend.

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Thursday Summary and Weekend preview

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Rep. David Wu of Oregon for Obama

Current count: Clinton: 256, Obama: 234

See the DCW Superdelegate Tracker for the latest superdelegate endorsements.

Other superdelegate news:

Sen. Clinton meets with Uncommitted superdelegates on Capitol Hill.
Harry Reid joins the crowd saying supers should choose by June at the latest.

Lots going on this weekend:
We have add-on superdelegates being picked on Saturday in Arizona, New Hampshire and New Mexico. Clinton won Arizona and New Mexico. While Clinton won the popular vote in New Hampshire, the delegates were split 8-8, and the add-on is selected by the district-level delegates. We'll have more on this.

Arizona has a vacancy in their state vice-chair position. The new state vice-chair, who will be a superdelegate, will also be picked on Saturday.

And finally, the Iowa District Conventions are on Saturday. 3 of Edwards 6 projected Iowa delegates are district-level delegates and are therefore potentially up-for-grabs if his delegates don't get necessary number of votes. Remember, Edwards started with 14 delegates from the Precinct Caucuses, and dropped to 6 delegates at the County Conventions.

Check back over the weekend for all the updates.

Mr. Super's take on where undeclared supers stand

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If anybody knows superdelegates it's Mr. Super. In his latest post he gives a rundown of where he thinks the remaining superdelegates are in their decision.

Governors (7): All Pelosi Club members, though Kentucky's Steve Beshear could conceivably endorse Senator Clinton, and North Carolina's Mike Easley could endorse Senator Obama.

US Senators (19): As colleagues in the Senate, it's feasible that all could be Pelosi Club members.

Undeclared House Freshmen (18): All Pelosi Club. there 40 freshmen in the class of 2006, the 18 who have not endorsed look to be facing tough re-elects and don't want to risk splitting their base by picking a side. It's not what they were elected to do.

House members (52): Of the remaining House members, most are Pelosi Club. There are a few who may endorse prior to their state's primary, that's a total of nine members when you take out the Freshmen who were referenced above.

DNC Members (126): Virtually all up for grabs, save for a few Party luminaries.

I honestly believe that the peacemakers in all of this could be Jimmy Carter, who though he was not a popular president has since become the most popular ex-president, and the award-winning and Al Gore.

Now our definition of Pelosi Club is a superdelegate that commits to voting for the delegate winner. Not sure if Mr. Super is including the ones that say they'll vote for the leader of the Popular Vote. Hopefully he'll drop in and let us know.

Update: Mr. Super has confirmed that, like us, he considers the Pelosi Club going for the leader of the pledged delegates.

Michigan challenge filed

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One of those 1/2 delegate proposals is out there again:

In the latest bid to get Michigan's delegates seated at the Democratic convention, the AP reports that a top Clinton supporter has filed a challenge to the DNC that would send 28 unpledged superdelegates and 128 pledged delegates to the convention in Denver. DNC member Joel Ferguson's plan calls for delegates to be allocated based on the results of the Michigan Democratic primary, which Clinton won, although neither candidate campaigned in the state.

The proposal calls for pledged Michigan delegates to get half a vote, while superdelegates would get a full vote at the convention.
...
The Obama campaign is still calling for Michigan and Florida delegates to be divided evenly between the two candidates.
If you give Obama 50 of the 55 uncommitted Michigan delegates, his Michigan delegate deficit is 35 delegates. Cut that in half, and it becomes 17-18 delegates. If his pledged delegate lead stays close to his current 150+, he could concede the 17-18 delegates, still have a 130+ pledged delegate lead, and just like that remove one major uncertainty in the nomination battle. While publicly they want an even split, behind the scenes, they're probably seriously considering this type of proposal.

Wednesday, April 23, 2008

Wednesday's Superdelegate Summary

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Gov. Brad Henry of Oklahoma for Obama
Rep. John Tanner of Tennessee for Clinton
DNC member Audra Ostergard of Nebraska for Obama

Current count: Clinton: 256, Obama: 233

See the DCW Superdelegate Tracker for the latest superdelegate endorsements.

Pennsylvania Primary Results

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The 158 delegates are divided as follows: 55 delegates will be determined by the state-wide vote, broken up into two separate groups of 35 and 20 delegates. The other 103 are determined by vote totals in each congressional district, from a low of 3 delegates in PA-9 to a high of 9 delegates in PA-2.

Update: 9:30 PM Wednesday. Clinton wins. Lead at 9.3%. Spread at 215,000 votes. (Vote tallies from CNN).

State-wide: Clinton 30, Obama 25

We project CD delegates at 53-48 Clinton. 2 left to be assigned in CD 7 and CD11 - current votes would split them 1 for each candidate.

Sidebars have been updated with latest Green Papers delegate counts, which have 84-74 compared to our 83-73.

Note: This table will no longer be updated. For the latest overall delegate tallies, see our Ultimate Delegate Summary and Ultimate Delegate Tracker.

Thanks to Amot, Yousri, and all the great comments for everyone's help. See you in two weeks for NC and IN.



Delegates
Left
% Vote In
% Clinton%Obama
Delegates Clinton
Delegates Obama
Pennsylvania2
99%
54.7%
45.3%
83
73
Previously Pledged Delegates (GP)




12531416
Total Pledged Delegates




1336
1489
Superdelegate Endorsements



256
233
Total
Delegates




1592
1722
Delegates Still Needed to Win Nomination



432
302

Popular Vote (rounded to nearest 1,000)
Clinton - 1,260,000
Obama - 1,045,000
Lead - 215,000


Delegate Projections By Media Source
Media Source
ClintonObama
DCW
83
73
Green Papers
84
74
AP
80
71
NBC
80
71
CBS
82
73
CNN
81
69

Update: We almost forgot about the Special Election in Mississippi that also takes place today. Normally the Republicans would win the 1st District easily but this year may be different. Democratic candidate Travis Childers appears to be in a dead heat with Republican Greg Davis. You can head over to CottonMouthBlog for more info. We'll be posting the numbers tonight as they come in. A Childers win would put us back at 795 superdelegates.

Update: Childers up 49%-47%, with 99% in. AP has called it as going to a runoff on May 13.

Next up is Guam on May 3rd followed by North Carolina and Indiana on May 6th.

Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Michigan update

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I don't know if this article came out of any "official" results, but the Michigan Uncommitted delegate situation is still, well, I don't quite know what to call it:

In the end, supporters of Obama won half of the 36 Uncommitted delegate seats, while union-backed candidates won the rest. It was a bitter pill for the new Democrats, who felt that all 36 slots should go to true-blue Obama fans.
...
Although most of the Uncommitted delegates said they would support Obama, there is suspicion that many of those not endorsed by the Obama group actually support New York Sen. Hillary Clinton.
It's been written elsewhere that the the non Michiganders-for-Obama should not be assumed to be any less for Obama than the MfOs. But, on the other hand, they probably can't be definitevly counted for Obama either. And officially, they may all have to stay in the Uncommitted category up to the convention - and this is all only if they get seated as is anyway.

Since we use The Green Papers for our pledged delegate count, as long as they keep these delegates in the Uncommitted category, we will also.

Monday, April 21, 2008

DNCC Introduces Convention 101

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The DNCC will announce a new addition to their website today called Convention 101.
DCW got an exclusive peek and we know it will be a favorite for all of our readers.

Laid out as a series of educational lessons, “Convention 101” includes information on the extensive planning process that takes place in advance of the Convention and what happens and when during the four-day event.

The 2008 Democratic National Convention will be the culmination of more than two years of formal planning by the Democratic Party to structure a nominating cycle and nominating Convention representing the Party’s principles, values and diversity. The planning process, including the role of the prestigious Standing Committees, is now outlined in detail under “Lesson 1: Convention Lead-Up” on the site. As Convention participants are certified by Alice Germond, Secretary of the Democratic National Committee, the names of each participant to the 2008 Convention will be posted to this section of the site. This section will also indicate the presidential candidate to whom pledged delegates are pledged.

Convention week itself is explained under “Lesson 2: At the Convention” and includes a typical day in the life of a delegate, how and when pledged and unpledged delegates cast their votes and the role alternate delegates play in the event. The section also outlines the requirements necessary to secure the Democratic nomination for President of the United States.

Additional features, listed under “Extra Credit,” include a glossary, a “Convention by the Numbers” fact sheet and an interactive feature, “Ask Phil.” There, users can submit inquiries on the mechanics, rules and processes governing the Convention. Each week, Phil McNamara, Director of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection, will select one question to answer and post on the site. - DNCC Press Release

If you've ever wondered what takes place behind the scenes of a convention or what all the delegates do during the day this is a great resource. And if there's a question you have that isn't answered on the site you can Ask Phil

Phil McNamara is Director of Party Affairs and Delegate Selection. In other words, he is our go-to guru on all things delegate – pledged and un-pledged. “Ask Phil” is your chance to have your questions answered on the mechanics, rules and processes governing the Convention. We “Ask Phil” questions all the time, now it’s your turn. Phil will pick one of your questions to answer each week. Check back here to see if your inquiry was answered.

To submit your question, send an email to AskPhil@DemConvention.com.

The DNCC is doing an amazing job building up their website. We'll continue to let you know when they add something new.

Avs Win Series... Daughtry Wins Walleye

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On Saturday night the Colorado Avalanche defeated the Minnesota Wild 3-2. With their win the Avs move on to the next round of the playoffs against either the Stars or the Red Wings. And Leah Daughtry wins the Friendly Wager with the Republican National Convention CEO Maria Ceno.

In what could only be interpreted as foreshadowing of things to come, the Colorado Avalanche triumphed over the Minnesota Wild at the Pepsi Center Saturday night to win the Western Conference Quarter-Finals. Before the series began, we made a friendly wager with our counterparts at the Republican National Convention Committee in Minneapolis-St. Paul on the outcome of the series, offering up Colorado steak to their Minnesota walleye.

A bet is a bet, and we’ll be eagerly checking our mailroom in anticipation of the arrival of that walleye.

And while we’ve enjoyed the friendly competition with Wild fans over the last couple of weeks, we certainly hope to find them on our team when the spotlight returns to the Pepsi Center in August. We welcome Avs fans and Wild fans – and many others – to stand together as we put our Democratic nominee on the road to the White House in November. - DNCC Blog

(picture courtesy of the DNCC)

What Supers are Watching for on Tuesday

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Hello friends and neighbors - Mr. Super here with some commentary heading into the Pennsylvania primary.

As we head into Tuesday's balloting, there are two things that Superdelegates like me will be looking for: electability and Party unity. Who is the stronger candidate in both categories?

If we've learned anything in this presidential nomination process, it's that the only predictable thing is that it will be unpredictable.

But the polls suggest that by all accounts Senator Clinton will win on Tuesday. In any other election, a win is a win is a win. But in this particular contest, the type of win is particularly key. And whether it's fair or not, the Clinton campaign needs to win by a convincing margin in order to make a statement. If that does not happen, and if the negative campaigning backfires, it could dampen that campaign's hope for a win in Indiana on May 6th.

Because while it's accepted that Clinton will in Pennsylvania, it is also accepted that Senator Obama will in North Carolina on May 6th. If there is a scenario in which he also wins in Indiana that day, can the Clinton campaign bounce back from two same-day losses at that point in the campaign cycle? That's a tall order. Add to that, a squeaker win in Pennsylvania might mean the only way to win Indiana is with another negative ad blitz.

I guess that means the Clinton camp is effectively running two campaigns right now - one to win Pennsylvania and another to remain viable in Indiana. Stay tuned...

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Three Hawaii superdelegates still to be named

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Hawaii has a special present for the superdelegate trackers: Not just an add-on, but 3 new superdelegates are coming from Hawaii:

Local Obama and Clinton supporters have been quietly doing outreach behind the scenes. Many activists are also trying to influence delegates to the state convention, where the party chair, vice chair and an unpledged add-on superdelegate will be selected.
Other states have had or will have new elections for party chairs and vice-chairs, but those terms start after the convention. Not so in Hawaii.

And Obama seems to have the inside track on at least one of the spots:
Brian Schatz, a former Makiki state representative and local volunteer for U.S. Sen. Barack Obama's presidential campaign, announced yesterday he is running for chairman of the Democratic Party of Hawai'i. Schatz is the only candidate so far and, if elected at the party's state convention in May, he would give the Obama another superdelegate to the Democratic National Convention in Denver in August.
...
If selected at the May 23-25 state Democratic Convention as chairman, his position will automatically make him one of nine superdelegates to the national convention in August, Schatz said. As head of the Hawai'i-born Obama's local campaign for president, Schatz said he's made it known that he is an Obama supporter..."I will vote for Obama in August at the national convention as a superdelegate, if I'm chosen to lead the party in Hawai'i," Schatz said.
We're going to remove the current Hawaii Chair and Vice-Chair, Beverly Withington and Joshua Wisch, from the superdelegate list, and as they're both Uncommitted, the overall numbers will not change at this time.

Michigan update

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While final results won't be available until tomorrow, indications are that Obama picked up most, but not necessarily all, of the 36 Uncommitted delegates up-for-grabs this weekend. In CD 9:

Sen. Hillary Clinton was awarded three delegates and three others were elected as uncommitted delegates, although two of them promised to support Sen. Barack Obama at the convention. - Detroit Free Press.
In CD8:
In Lansing, Griffin Rivers beat 17 others for the male uncommitted spot, while Irene McDonnell Cahill of Howell, a teamster, bested 21 others for the female uncommitted spot. Both back the Illinois senator, as was evidenced by Rivers' black T-shirt emblazoned with the words: "No drama with Obama. - AP
CD2: Obama picked up both Uncommitted delegates. - Muskegon Chronicle

CD 4: Obama 2 for 2. - Morning Sun.

So that's 8 out of 9 for Obama in these 4 CDs.

Update:
Sen. Barack Obama's supporters appeared to fall short of capturing all the 36 uncommitted delegates chosen Saturday during Democratic congressional district conventions across the state.

In three Southeast Michigan districts, activists supported by Michiganders for Obama, the Illinois senator's ad hoc organization in the state, lost out to union-backed candidates, said Christina Montague, the group's state coordinator. Elsewhere across the state, the Obama group's appeared to fare well, she said. - Detroit News

Update: Bowers at OpenLeft writes that Obama supporters have won almost all of the 36 delegate spots, but some of them may be "weak" supporters. We should have all the names tomorrow, but in some sense they may need to be treated like superdelegates, as they are all still technically "Uncommitted", so we may need to hear from each delegate to see how they stand.

Friday, April 18, 2008

AFP, PBS, MSNBC latest media sources that prove they don't read DCW

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We got our digs in on NBC earlier in the week and now it's time to point out another media source making a major blunder on the superdelegate front. Some people have questioned us on our need to point out these errors. We do it because we're unpaid part-time bloggers with no connections to either campaign and no journalism experience whatsoever, and frankly, it's fun to point out mistakes by our well-funded professional friends in the media.

WASHINGTON (AFP) - Barack Obama moved a step closer to rival Hillary Clinton in their race for superdelegates Friday, as two senior figures in the Democratic party endorsed his candidacy for the White House

The Obama campaign announced that former senators Sam Nunn and David Boren, both of them superdelegates, the party luminaries who will decide the Democratic nominee in November's election, were coming on board as advisors. - AFP Yahoo and AFP Google
We can understand when commenters on our superdelegate list mistake the latest endorsement as coming from a superdelegate but from a major source like AFP? If you take a look at either of our lists you'll see that neither is a superdelegate. David Boren's son Rep. Dan Boren is a superdelegate but the elder Boren is not.

Update: Shame on Judy Woodruff of PBS' The NewsHour with Jim Lehrer. As mentioned in the comments, she repeated the bad information about Boren and Nunn. She should know better, or her producers should know better. You can see the video here - middle video - "Clinton, Obama Enter Final Stretch in Pennsylvania", 10:10 in.

And the comments also mention that it happened on Olbermann's show -- Even though First Read noted earlier today they were not superdelegates. (See, we can say nice things about Chuck Todd's First Read!).

Let us know if anybody else messes up,

Howard Dean weighs in on superdelegates

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Tells CNN "I need them to say who they're for starting now"

Michigan District Conventions preview

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As we know, Obama was not on the Michigan ballot, but 55 pledged delegates were elected as Uncommitted in the January 15th primary. While it's assumed that these will end up as Obama delegates, we haven't been able to put the 55 into Obama's column (assuming Michigan gets counted as is - a big assumption). That may change this weekend as the District Level delegates, and 36 of the 55, will get picked:

Thousands of Barack Obama supporters will converge Saturday on union halls, high schools and hotels across Michigan, trying to make sure he gets his share of delegates to the national convention -- even if his name wasn't on the ballot for Michigan's tainted presidential primary.

Obama's only remaining obstacle to the nomination -- New York Sen. Hillary Clinton, who was the only major Democratic candidate on the Jan. 15 ballot -- is assured of getting 47 delegates and 13 alternates based on her victory. But the remaining 36 delegates and two alternates are up for grabs. Those delegates represent people who voted Uncommitted in the primary.
And what the Obama campaign is worried about:

The Clinton campaign has whittled its list of potential delegates to about 150 people, said Brewer. Because the uncommitted delegates didn't have a named candidate to support, that list has not been examined by the Obama campaign.

Some Obama supporters have said they're worried Clinton supporters will try to poach some uncommitted delegates. "But it's highly unlikely that's going to happen," Brewer said. "There's going to be some pretty intense questioning of these candidates."

As we noted earlier, there may be a movement to keep some delegates as Uncommitted all the way to the convention, although it seems hard to believe that will happen in the face of the campaigns trying to get their own delegates selected. We'll have results here as soon as they're available.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

2 Former Governors Selected as NJ Add-ons

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As we noted on Monday, BlueJersey said "former Governors Brendan Byrne and Jim Florio will be chosen as the two add-on superdelegates", and tonight it's official.

Florio and Byrne are both Clinton supporters, and will be added to the list for Clinton.

Update: Another former NJ Governor, Dick Codey, was selected as a Pledged PLEO for Obama. You can see the full list of NJ pledged delegates selected here.

MD-4 Special Election set for June 17

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Things have been streamlined in Maryland, and Donna Edwards will be going to Congress and Denver:

A special election to fill a pending vacancy in Maryland’s 4th Congressional District will be held June 17 under legislation, signed Thursday afternoon by Democratic Gov. Martin O’Malley, that allows a speedier schedule than usually allowed under state election statutes. The law ...will allow Maryland officials to skip a step in the state’s special election process following the upcoming resignation of eight-term Democratic Rep. Albert R. Wynn. O’Malley ... said he would issue a proclamation Friday establishing June 17, a Tuesday, as the special election date. ...

The law authorizes O’Malley to issue a proclamation, setting the special general election date, within 10 days after the date that “an office of representative in Congress becomes vacant or the governor accepts a written notice from the representative announcing a future date of resignation.” The date would have to fall between 36 days and 60 days after the notification, which he received from Wynn last week. ...

Wynn, who had been expected to serve out his term after losing his Feb. 12 Democratic House primary to lawyer Donna Edwards, decided instead to resign his seat effective May 31 to join a Washington, D.C., law firm.

We were skeptical that elections like this could be scheduled before a resignation actually happened, but we guess state laws can make anything possible, and Wynn sending O'Malley an official notice of future resignation was enough to start the clocks running. Donna Edwards is a prohibitive favorite to win the Special Election, and therefore should be in Congress before summer starts, and she will be a superdelegate in Denver. Edwards has endorsed Barack Obama.

Wednesday, April 16, 2008

NBC makes embarrassing superdelegate errors

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From NBC News First Read:

Also note: Going back through our lists, we have taken two away [from] Hillary Clinton. One Clinton supporter, Ken Curtis, moved from Maine to Florida. (Florida is not included in the count, as the state has been stripped of its delegates to the national convention.) The other is Sarah Swisher (IA), who had been supporting Edwards then moved to Clinton and then switched to Obama last month. We added her in for Obama at the time, but still had her factored into our count for Clinton as well.
We took Ken Curtis off of our non MI/FL count on February 28, almost 7 weeks ago.

And we moved Sarah Swisher from Obama to Clinton Clinton to Obama on February 15. They moved her sometime last month? And then double-counted her since then? So NBC has had Swisher mistakenly in the Clinton column for 2 months? Incredible.

I have a couple of suggestions for NBC:
  • First, if they bothered to list the superdelegates who they were counting, then maybe some of their readers would have caught their mistakes. But they choose to keep this important information secret, and that therefore makes their numbers totally unverifiable.
  • Second, someone should tell Chuck Todd and the rest of the NBC News Political Team about this new invention called a spreadsheet. You put the superdelegates names in one column and the candidate they're supporting in another. Makes it kind of hard to double count someone...

Special Election update

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Remember, there are 3 Special Elections coming up in the next few weeks:

District
Date
Predecessor
Mississippi 1stApril 22, 2008Roger Wicker (R)
Louisiana 1stMay 3, 2008Bobby Jindal (R)
Louisiana 6thMay 3, 2008Richard Baker (R)

Swing State Project has been providing great coverage, with all the latest polls, ads, and expenditures, especially in MS-1 and LA-6 where the Democrats are running surprisingly strong races. We'll have results of MS-1 here on Tuesday.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

Call for Help: How "pledged" are pledged delegates?

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As the Democratic nominating race has gotten closer, bubbling in the background is the question of whether the "pledged" delegates allocated to each candidate are truly locked into voting for that candidate at the convention, or could be persuaded to switch by a rival candidate.

Clinton first percolated this idea as mentioned in the Washington Post:

...{B}ut the idea keeps rearing its head -- most recently with help from Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton herself, in interviews on the campaign trail. Earlier this week, she told the Philadelphia Daily News that pledged delegates "in most states are not pledged."

"You know, there is no requirement that anybody vote for anybody," she said.

Then in an interview published today, Clinton brought it up again. "Every delegate with very few exceptions is free to make up his or her mind however they choose," Clinton told Time's Mark Halperin. "We talk a lot about so-called pledged delegates, but every delegate is expected to exercise independent judgment."

Is this really true? Technically, yes. Rule 12-J of the DNC Delegate Selection Rules stipulates that:

Delegates elected to the national convention pledged to a presidential candidate shall in all good conscience reflect the sentiments of those who elected them.

So the DNC rules do not allow the state parties to mandate that delegates vote for their presidential preference. However, some state legislatures have implemented election law that does require the delegates from their state to vote for their preference through at least one ballot at their respective party's convention.

So how feasible is this? Most national convention delegates are vetted by the campaigns ahead of time to ensure die-hard loyalists are the ones most likely to advance; although with the huge surge in participation by ordinary folks in this election this has created some backlash when the results of such vetting excludes a lot of supporters.

That said, some preliminary research on my part found it difficult to find which states require pledged delegates to stay committed to their candidates and which do not. So, similar to our efforts to utilize our readers to track the superdelegates, we'd like to ask you to help us figure out which states have election law around delegates and which are "open" for pledged delegates to decide at the convention.

So far the only concrete example I've found is for Georgia (OCGA 21-2-196), which requires delegates to be committed through the 2nd ballot:
Any person selected as a delegate or delegate alternate to such national convention shall file a qualification oath with the Secretary of State pledging support at the convention to the candidate of their political party or body for the office of President of the United States for whom they are selected to support. The oath shall state that the delegate or delegate alternate affirms to support such candidate until the candidate is either nominated by such convention or receives less than 35 percent of the votes for nomination by such convention during any balloting, or until the candidate releases the delegates from such pledge. No delegate shall be required to vote for such candidate after two convention nominating ballots have been completed.
If you find examples either way (committed or open), please post a comment here with relevant citation and link, and we'll update the site over time.

Thanks!

Update from Matt: From PolitickerME.com, Maine State Chairman John Knutson reinforces everything Charlie said:

Host Committee Announces Welcome Event Venues

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DENVER HOST COMMITTEE ANNOUNCES STATE DELEGATION WELCOMING EVENTS FOR DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION
Delegate parties throughout Denver area
set for Sunday, Aug. 24

The Denver 2008 Convention Host Committee today announced details for the Democratic National Convention state delegation welcoming events to be held on Sunday, August 24 , 2008. Denver will host 54 delegations at 24 venues in the city and surrounding areas.
Jenny Anderson, Event Director for the Denver 2008 Convention Host Committee, made the announcement during visits to three of the 24 venues that will host delegation parties: Blair Caldwell Library, Museo de las Americas and Wings Over the Rockies.

Other sites include the Governor's Mansion, where the Colorado delegation will open its convention activities; the Wildlife Experience, site for the Texas event; the Denver Art Museum, site for the Illinois event; and the Belmar Center in nearby Lakewood that will host five delegations -- Alaska, Indiana, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island and Tennessee.
"Denver and the selected venues are excited to extend hospitality to the delegates of the Democratic National Convention," said Anderson. "The diversity of the venues exemplifies the uniqueness and diversity in Denver and the surrounding area, both geographically and culturally."
Venues and state delegation assignments were based on delegation size, venue capacity and location, among other logistics. Including the state delegation parties, the Denver Host Committee is organizing more than 40 parties during the week of the convention. Each event will be planned to minimize impact to the local environment.
"With 6,000 delegates planning on attending the convention, there has never been a larger spotlight on Denver," said Host Committee President/Chair Elbra Wedgeworth. "We're excited to showcase all that the region has to offer - its energy, diversity and exciting opportunities, among many other things."
List of State Delegation Party Venues:
Belmar Center - Alaska, Indiana, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, Tennessee
Blair Caldwell Library - Democrats Abroad, Virgin Islands
Botanic Gardens - South Carolina
Colorado History Museum - Arkansas, Kentucky, Wisconsin
Denver Zoo - Alabama, North Dakota, South Dakota
Downtown Aquarium - Connecticut, Delaware, Missouri
Exdo Event Center - California
Grant Humphries - Minnesota
Hudson's Gardens - New Jersey
The Lab at Belmar - American Samoa, Guam, Idaho, Hawaii
Museo de las Americas - District of Columbia
Museum of Nature & Science - Maine, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah
Palazzo Verdi - Nebraska, Oklahoma
Phipps Mansion - New Hampshire, Vermont
Phipps Pavilion - Mississippi, Montana, Wyoming
Pinnacle Club - New York
Red Rocks - North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia
Wildlife Experience - Texas
Wings Over the Rockies - Arizona, Louisiana, Maryland, Oregon, Washington
For more information, visit www.denverconvention2008.com.
And for any delegates out there... your humble DCW staff would love to celebrate with you at any of the above locations (Kansas... this means you!) Email us at demconwatch -at- google groups dot com

Elitch Gardens and the Convention

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Elitch Gardens is a large amusement park located directly to the West of the Pepsi Center. The Amusement Park has been around Denver in various forms since 1890. You can't pass downtown Denver on the main Interstate without seeing it.

According to their website the park will be closed August 18-21st. A "private event" will be held on August 22nd it will open Saturday August 23rd. It will then be closed for the remainder of the week August 24th - 29th.
On Saturday, August 23rd Elitch Gardens will host the kickoff of convention week. I would expect the park to be closed that day as it's by no means a small event.

Media Party to be held at Elitch Gardens

The opening event for the Democratic National Convention will be the Media Welcoming Party held Aug. 23 at Elitch Gardens Theme Park, with The Denver Post and Rocky Mountain News as premier sponsors. Here, Mayor John Hickenlooper announces the details at a press conference at Elitch Gardens. Joining in the announcement were Elbra Wedgeworth, President/Chair of the Denver 2008 Convention Host committee; Harry Whipple, President and CEO of the Denver Newspaper Agency; and Joe Martinez, General Manager of Elitch Gardens. The two daily newspapers and the 118-year-old Elitch's long have been symbols of Denver as well as leaders in their respective industries. The theme park was involved in hospitality when the Democratic Convention was held in Denver 100 years ago.

Monday, April 14, 2008

Report: Clinton to pick up 2 NJ add-ons

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Two more to follow the state winner?

Hillary Clinton is slated to pick up two additional unpledged add-on delegates when the Democratic State Committee meets later this week to choose add-on and alternate delegates. Sources say that former Governors Brendan Byrne and Jim Florio will be chosen as the two add-on superdelegates. According to a Clinton press release, both endorsed Hillary Clinton last year. Clinton defeated Obama in the New Jersey primary by 54%-44%. - Blue Jersey
We'll have the official selections here on Thursday.

Pepsi Center Tour

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Way back in the summer of 2006 we gave you an overview of the Pepsi Center which was where Denver was proposing the convention should be held. Now that we're getting closer to August we decided to give a more in-depth look at the Pepsi Center.

The Pepsi Center opened in 1999 replacing the 24 year old McNichols Arena which was adjacent to Mile High Stadium on the West side of I-25.

The arena is in the Southwest corner of downtown Denver just off of I-25. A light-rail stop is located just behind the arena. I wouldn't be surprised if some delegations will use light rail to get downtown. If your delegation wants to win the Green Delegate Challenge, riding the light rail will be the way to go. The line runs South along I-25 and is in close proximity to all hotels in the Denver Tech Center (DTC). Hotels North of Denver (Stapleton) will have to bus it.

The Pepsi Center can seat up to 21,000 for special events like the convention. It opened on October 1, 1999 at a cost of $180 million.

When you pass through the front doors of the arena you enter the Grand Atrium. The first thing you'll notice is a huge sculpture hanging from the ceiling. The 2,000 pound sculpture which is 1.5 times life size portrays Hockey and Basketball players in various poses. From this point you can access the Lower Concourse seats or go up to the Suite Level or Upper Concourse.

The best way to see what the arena looks like from the inside is at Seats3D where you can get a 3D view from any seating location. Obviously the configuration of the arena will be different but you'll be able to get a feel for what it's like to be inside the Pepsi Center whether you're in the front row or all the way up in the nosebleeds.

Early in July construction will begin to remodel the arena.

In preparation for the Democratic National Convention, they'll likely yank out lower-level seats, knock down luxury suite walls, haul in massive amounts of steel to reinforce the ceiling, erect a huge building in a parking lot to accommodate the media, and bring in new technology and miles of wire and cable.
...
Workers also will have to alter the arena to provide at least 50 production and staff offices, 20,000 square feet for candidate offices, 5,000 square feet for space used by police, Secret Service and other security, "holding rooms," and makeup and dressing rooms, among other areas, according to a document outlining the Democrats' convention expectations.

A 220,000-square-foot edifice, with everything from air conditioning to carpets, will be set up beside the Pepsi Center to handle the 15,000 media members expected to arrive en masse. - Rocky Mountain News

More on the construction team can be seen in this DNCC produced video


Convention Volunteer Update

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The latest volunteer email just came out and it's got a lot of good information in it.

Volunteer coordinators for the Denver 2008 Convention Host Committee are beginning to determine the work and training schedules for volunteers during the Democratic National Convention Aug 25-28.

This is part of the Host Committee's effort to give as many people volunteer opportunities as possible. As many as 25,000 have registered to volunteer during the Convention.

As a result of the large volunteer base, some early decisions have been made:
  • Most volunteers will be assigned to work a maximum of four hours during the convention. For out-of-state volunteers, it's important to weigh travel and housing costs prior to making such a commitment.
  • Most volunteers will be notified of assignments in July. For those who are given assignments, there will be a MANDATORY training session held in Denver on July 26. Out-of-state volunteers will have the required training scheduled during the week before the convention on a date to be determined.
With a maximum of 4 hours for most volunteers and a mandatory training the week before the convention for out-of-state volunteers it looks like they may be trying to weed out anyone outside of Colorado not truly committed (or financially able) to volunteer.
Hospitality and Greening duties will account
for much of the volunteer work


Volunteering at the Democratic National Convention will provide many rewarding experiences. It's important that those looking to volunteer recognize that they likely won't be assigned to work at the Pepsi Center, the site of the convention. Instead, most volunteers will work in hospitality and on efforts to green the convention.

It's important that volunteers check their profiles at www.DenverConvention2008.com, answer any new questions, correct data and provide as much detail about their work experience and availability as possible to help the volunteer coordinators make appropriate assignments.

Completing the profile form is a mandatory part of the process to be considered for a volunteer assignment.
The email also announced a Volunteer Kick-Off on May 31st and a Podcast that talks about all the latest convention news.

Sunday, April 13, 2008

Garry Shay (CA) - Still with Clinton.... for now

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Garry Shay, DNC Member from California, is one of a number of superdelegates who are sticking with their endorsements of Sen. Clinton, but dropping hints that things might change in the future. Here's what he first told us:

I am committed to Clinton, at this point.
But then he sent us a long description of what process he used to make his decision (he sends this to anybody who asks), and its worth including in its entirety:
For the first time since they were conceived, the votes of so-called "super-delegates" may actually matter with regard to the nomination of the Democratic Party candidates for President and Vice-President of the United States. This is a decision that we are all weighing carefully.

In fact, I wrote an article about this matter which raised the question as to how I should go about making my decision, much of which is set forth below. It was originally published on the list serve of the Progressive Caucus of the California Democratic Party (I have made minor edits here so it will make sense in this context):

As a matter of explanation and illumination, super-delegates are either Governors of States or Territories, members of Congress or members of the DNC. They are un-pledged delegates to the National Convention in Denver. They are either elected by their districts, states, state parties, or other constituencies such as the Democratic State Treasurer’s Association, or the Democratic Municipal Officials Association, or similar organizations. 75 DNC members were nominated by Governor Dean in 2004, and elected by the other DNC members.

The question I pose is not who super-delegates should vote for, but rather how they should come to their decision.

The question is not whether or not they should exist, because the fact is, they do. As my torts professor once said, in his thick German accent, if my grandmother had wheels, she'd be a Volkswagen, but she doesn't. What ever you think of the system itself, it is the reality we work in at this time.

And the question is not whether or not the Super-Delegates should come to a decision, because sitting it out is essentially a vote against any candidate, since we are part of the majority needed to nominate. Not voting does not lower the number needed to nominate and also deprives our constituency (whatever that may be) of their representation under the current rules. I don't think any of us would really advocate for that.

This whole matter raises issues about the very nature of representative democracy. Is one elected to represent their constituency, or to vote their conscience, or some other formula? How does that apply to the present situation?

As pertains to myself, and 18 other elected DNC members, we were elected by the Executive Board of the California Democratic Party four (4) years ago. Our terms run from the day after one convention, to the day after the next. We are among the first elected delegates to a National Convention. Only Senators elected in 2002 were elected earlier. The CDP Executive Board will be electing some of the first delegates to the 2012 National Convention this June. That election has no effect on the current convention decision.

What are we elected to do? Who were we elected to represent?

Other formulations may apply to other super-delegates, but here are the various formulations I have come up with, at least as pertains to the 19 CDP DNC members elected in 2004:

1. I was elected because my electorate trusted my judgement and I should vote my conscience.

2. I was elected to represent those who elected me 4 years ago, who are not the same people who are on the CDP Executive Board at the present time. I should poll the former Executive Board of the CDP, after the last primary and before the convention.

3. I was elected to represent the CDP Executive Board, as an institutional body. I should poll the current Executive Board of the CDP, after the last primary and before the convention.

4. I was elected by the CDP Executive Board to represent the same people they represent, the Democrats of the State of California, and thus should vote however the majority of Democrats voted on February 5, 2008.

5. I should vote for the candidate most likely to win in November, in my opinion.

6. I should vote for the candidate who best exemplifies the Platform of the CDP.

7. I should vote for the candidate who best exemplifies the Platform of the National Convention.

8. I should vote for the candidate with the most pledged delegates, unless for some bizarre reason, I can honestly say that such a candidate is an anathema to the Democratic Party principles as I understand them.

9. I was elected to synthesize all of the above into a decision, which you recognize is an impossible task, but trusted I would do the right thing for the right reason.

10. Vote the way you personally want me to and if I don't you will hold me personally responsible. (This is not really a choice, but I recognize it is perhaps a reality for some).

These are the two I think are the strongest factors my constituents would believe I should use in making a decision:

1. I was elected because my electorate trusted my judgement and I should vote my conscience.
* * *
5. I should vote for the candidate most likely to win in November, in my opinion.

First, let me say I think they are both excellent candidates. However, as a result of the California Debate, I came to the conclusion that Sen. Clinton was the stronger candidate. That debate and the California Primary were crucial factors in my eventual decision. I simply felt she was just a little better, and the results of the California Primary only solidified that conclusion.

Do note however, that if Sen. Obama enters the Convention with a lead in pledged delegates, that I will re-think my position. This would be based upon the idea that:

8. I should vote for the candidate with the most pledged delegates, unless for some bizarre reason, I can honestly say that such a candidate is an anathema to the Democratic Party principles as I understand them.

I believe the number of pledged delegates a candidate has should be a factor in my decision making. That doesn't mean I automatically change candidates if Sen. Obama has more pledged delegates in Denver, but it does mean I will study the situation more carefully. The greater the lead, the more intense the study.

But, even if that does occur, I also have to take into consideration the fact that California voted for Sen. Clinton, which I believe should be a very strong consideration. Among the ten grounds for deciding I listed in my article, was this one:

4. I was elected by the CDP Executive Board to represent the same people they represent, the Democrats of the State of California, and thus should vote however the majority of Democrats voted on February 5, 2008.

This is a real mess. These last two considerations, which in my mind are very strong considerations, are likely to be in conflict.

Which leads me to this one:

9. I was elected to synthesize all of the above into a decision, which you recognize is an impossible task, but trusted I would do the right thing for the right reason.

So, I ask you to trust. And, I think you should trust someone like me who is at least considering all of these factors, as opposed to someone who has his or her mind completely made up and has never even contemplated these matters.

Frankly, I hope it doesn't come down to super delegates deciding this.

Again, thank you for writing!

Now, let’s make sure we are united after the convention, so we can win in November and “Take Back America!”

Democratically Yours,

Garry S. Shay
Member, Democratic National Committee (CA) and
Lead Chair Rules Committee, California Democratic Party
Titles for identification purposes only
Shay also answered a couple of other questions for us:
1. How and why did you become a member of the DNC?

I was elected as a member of the DNC in 1992, taking my seat the day AFTER the 1992 Democratic National Convention, as do all DNC members elect. The election was by the Executive Board of the California Democratic Party, comprised of representatives elected by registered Democrats in caucus in each of the 80 assembly districts and representatives of the 58 County Parties, whose members are elected by all registered Democrats voting in the Primary election. I became a member because I wanted to serve my party on the National Level.

2. I see that you were also a "superdelegate" in 2004, but this primary season has obviously been different. Has the attention been a positive or a negative for you?

It has been disruptive, due to the number of persistent phone calls I get from the media. I would, however, comment that it is never a "negative" to properly educate people on how the system works.
The original version of Shay's post can be found here.

Saturday, April 12, 2008

Democratic Convention Watch on Politico

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I'd like to thank Michael Calderone for his great story on superdelegate tracking and his nice words about DCW. I wasn't kidding about hearing from the campaigns. If you're reading this and you have any pull with either the Clinton or Obama campaign email us at dem con watch -at- google groups dot com

So the two began listing all the names they could find through campaign releases or lists supplied to them from the Democratic National Committee.

Now they also use readers’ tips and do their own research to pull together a list of committed superdelegates. Some superdelegates have even commented on the site which way they’re leaning or have assisted the site’s creators in keeping an accurate count.

DemConWatch’s current totals are 245 for Clinton, 221 for Obama — different, of course, than the other news outlets but still falling within the same range as their better-equipped (and -funded) competitors.

And there’s another major difference in how they’ve kept a running superdelegate tally: while individual Democrats chime in with assistance, the two campaigns have been absent from the process.

Convention party planner very busy

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The important stuff, you know, the party planning, is full-speed ahead:

Jenny Anderson may be the biggest party girl in Denver.

As event director for the Denver Convention Host Committee, Anderson is charged with making arrangements for the 10,000-guest media mob party at Elitch Gardens on Aug. 23, as well as coordinating 24 party places for 8,000 members of state delegations on Aug. 24 during the Democratic National Convention.

All welcome receptions for the delegations will happen the same night in 24 different places."We're spreading them out throughout the Denver metro area," Anderson said. "Wings Over the Rockies, Belmar Center, Wildlife Experience and some in downtown locations. They're all venues, not restaurants or hotels." - RMN.

Friday, April 11, 2008

DNCC looking for a "Delegate Tracker"

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The DNCC is looking for one of us:

DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION COMMITTEE JOB DESCRIPTION

TITLE: Delegate Tracker

REPORTS TO: Office of the Secretary

LOCATION: Denver & Washington D.C.

GENERAL DESCRIPTION:
Delegate Trackers are responsible for the day to day tasks associated with the Secretary’s Delegate Tracking Operation for the 2008 National Convention. Ideal candidates should be detail oriented and have proven organizational skills and the ability to foster relationships quickly. This position reports to the Associate Director of Convention Services in the Office of the Secretary. The position is based in Washington, DC and will relocate to Denver four to six weeks prior to the Convention. This is a temporary position until September 1, 2008.

Responsibilities Include:
• Supporting all aspects of the Secretary’s Convention Operation
• Working with State Parties to compile accurate convention participant information in a timely manner.
• Creating and maintaining effective methods of communications with the staff of the State Parties.
• Assisting with the production of the Temporary and Final Rolls of Delegates and Alternates to the National Convention.
• Will staff the whip and boiler room operations during the National Convention.
• Additional responsibilities as assigned by the Associate Director.

Job qualifications:
• Demonstrated organization and outstanding customer service skills with particular attention to detail and the ability to meet strict deadlines.
• Accurate data entry skills and experience with shared databases.
• Familiarity with Democratic politics, State Party organizations, and prior meeting planning experience.
• Experience directing volunteers and/or field coordination desirable.
• Attendance at a National or State Convention is valuable.
• At least three to five years of administrative or database management experience.
• Knowledge of Customer Relations Systems (CRM) and Microsoft Access software helpful.

Interested individuals should submit resume and cover letter to staffing@demconvention.com with “ATTN: Delegate Tracker” in the subject line.
We'll be happy to give any of our loyal readers a reference...

Wednesday, April 09, 2008

Campaigns review CA delegate lists

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Pledged delegate or Trojan Horse delegate? The campaigns want to make sure they know who their delegates are:

Barack Obama's and Hillary Rodham Clinton's campaigns are purging potential California delegates to ensure that only their loyalists vote at the national convention that will crown one of them as the Democratic presidential nominee. Locked in a race with an uncertain outcome, representatives for both camps this week directed the California Democratic Party to remove dozens of names from the lists of more than 2,000 potential delegates. Party caucuses scheduled for Sunday will elect a slate of delegates for each candidate.

Driven by fears that some prospective delegates might be concealing their true allegiances, the campaigns are searching campaign finance data, scouring the Internet and making telephone calls to weed out dubious candidates. Neither side wants to elect a delegate who might really support their rival, or other candidate.
...
Suspicions about delegate loyalty have been heightened because the party has no rules guaranteeing they must vote at the convention for the candidate to which they are pledged during elections. - AP
Once the delegates are chosen on Sunday, they can't be replaced if they turn out not to be loyal. Now is the only chance the candidates have to check their delegates out.

Update 4/10: We should have noted above that it was the Obama campaign who did most of the purging (900, to Clinton's 50), and apparently a lot of grass-roots Obama supporters were knocked off the lists, and they weren't happy about it. So tonight the Obama campaign did an about-face:
Facing a backlash from supporters, Barack Obama's presidential campaign reversed course Thursday and reinstated hundreds of people to lists that will be used to choose California's delegates to the Democratic National Convention.

Campaign manager David Plouffe said in a letter to potential delegates that all names would be restored to ballots that will be used Sunday to elect the delegates, overturning the earlier decision. The letter did not refer to the complaints. (Hat tip to gloria1129 in the comments).

Jon Ausman Releases Memo on Florida Appeal

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Former lone Kucinich superdelegate Jon Ausman gives us some info on what's going on behind the scenes.

The staff of the Democratic National Committee (DNC) have completed and submitted their review of the two appeals seeking to have 23 superdelegates and 92 pledged delegates award to Florida .

The first appeal notes the DNC Charter states Democratic US Senators, Democratic US House Members, former DNC Chairs and DNC Members “shall” be delegates to the Democratic National Convention. This “bill of rights” given to 23 Floridians cannot be taken away by a subordinate body created by the DNC since that subordinate body does not have the authority to do so.

The second appeal states the penalty for violating the “timing rule” “shall be” a fifty percent (50%) reduction in the pledged delegates and the loss of the three (3) unpledged add-on delegates. This means Florida should have at least 92 pledged delegates.

The remaining 93 pledged delegates and three (3) unpledged add-on delegates I hope to win at a later time if not on this appeal itself.

Review by Co-Chairs, Rules and Presidential Politics

The two Co-Chairs of the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee (RBC) have been reviewing the staff comments and recommendations since 31 March 2008. While the 2008 Delegate Selection Rules provide a strict timeline in many areas when an appeal is made it is silent on how long the Co-Chairs can review the appeals and the staff review.

For those who suggest the Co-Chairs are stalling, or planning to delay hearings until June, I say lets give them a reasonable amount of time to review the documents. If the staff has two weeks to review and write a report then lets give the Co-Chairs the same two week period of time.

This means the Co-Chairs should make a statement on Monday, 14 April 2008, at the latest.

The Co-Chairs can say one or both appeals are meritorious and grant the sought for remedies, they can deny one or both appeals (which will allow me to appeal such a denial within five days to the DNC RBC, or they can call for a DNC RBC Committee to here argument on the appeals.

I believe we are going before the full DNC RBC and I would like to be there no later than Saturday, 10 May 2008.

Unfortunately, these two appeals involve more than the consideration of what the written rules governing the DNC say. Rather than interpret the rules as written consideration is now being given to what the two Presidential campaigns want (what they want, of course, is what benefits them the most).

I believe one campaign is very interested in allowing the DNC RBC decide the matter while the other is stalling in order to preserve their position.

One would think both parties would see the tremendous advantage of resolving this matter early as it would help improve fundraising for both campaigns in Florida (not to mention DNC and FDP fundraising) as well as allow our attention to focus on getting ready to be Senator McCain, but short-term views are prevailing over the long-term benefits of ending this running sore.

With respect, I am,

Jon M. Ausman, Member
Democratic National Committee
Florida

Thanks Mr. Super

DNC and RNC Heads Place Bet on NHL Playoffs

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Funny how things work out. Tonight the Colorado Avalanche will meet the Minnesota Wild in the first round of the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs. The Avs play in the Pepsi Center... home of the 2008 Democratic National Convention. The Wild play in the Xcel Energy Center... home of the 2008 Republican National Convention.

vs.
The National Hockey League's Stanley Cup Playoffs commence this week, and the cities hosting the 2008 Democratic and Republican National Conventions will be at the center of the action when the Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild face off. Today, the two leaders planning the political conventions agreed to a friendly wager on the series.

Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) CEO Leah D. Daughtry and Republican National Convention President and CEO Maria Cino agreed to the stakes in a phone call earlier today. The losing city's Convention team will send a "taste" of that city's local delicacy for the winning city's Convention staff to enjoy. If the Avalanche win, the Republican team will send the DNCC staff an assortment of walleye fish from the lakes of Minnesota. If the Wild win, the DNCC will send the Republican Convention staff a selection of delectable Colorado-raised beef steaks.

"To my friend Maria and her fine team in Minnesota: get ready to be buried by our Avalanche," said Daughtry. "Denver has welcomed us with open arms, and I'm now proud to ante up on behalf of the hometown team. Fortunately for me, the Avs know what it takes to win a championship. Soon enough, the Pepsi Center will be home to the Stanley Cup once again. And just five months from now, it'll play host to another winner - our nominee for President of the United States."

"Minnesota is the 'State of Hockey,' and I am proud that we have become part of the 'Team of 18,000," Cino said, using the term the Wild coined to describe its consistent sellout crowds. "It is only fitting that we stand with our new community in Minneapolis-Saint Paul and enter into this friendly wager with my friend in Denver, where she and her staff are working equally as hard.

"As I kidded with Leah earlier, our staff in Minneapolis-Saint Paul is pretty excited that the roads to the White House and the Stanley Cup Championship will both lead through the Xcel Energy Center in Saint Paul," Cino added.

The Avalanche makes its home at the Pepsi Center in Denver - site of the 2008 Democratic National Convention, to be held August 25-28. The Northwest Division Champion Wild play at the Xcel Energy Center, which is also home of the 2008 Republican National Convention. - DNCC Press Release

DCW Widget

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We've finally figured out how to build a widget that we'll be updating along with our trackers. Click here to get the widget. We've also put a link on the left sidebar.



Let us know if you have any suggestions on how we could make it better.

Tuesday, April 08, 2008

Special Election Today in CA-12 to fill Lantos' Seat

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We may just be back to 794 superdelegates today after CA-12 elects Jackie Speier to fill Tom Lantos' House seat. If you read yesterday's preview of the special election you'll know that Speier is expected to win the race easily.

Voters in the 12th Congressional District, which spans much of San Mateo County and a slice of San Francisco, will hit the polls today to choose a replacement for U.S. Rep. Tom Lantos, D-San Mateo, who died of cancer Feb. 11.

On the ballot for the special open primary election are five candidates from three different political parties. If any candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote, that person will serve out the remainder of Lantos' term, which runs through January.

If no one wins a majority, the district will remain unrepresented until June, when the leading vote-getters from each party square off again.

Jackie Speier, a 57-year-old Hillsborough Democrat who served 18 years in the state Legislature, is considered the favorite to win. Pundits say her lesser-known opponents will likely need a low turnout today to have a chance of blocking her from gaining a majority. - San Mateo Daily News


Speier supports Clinton but isn't sure who she'd vote for at the convention
Given Obama's practically insurmountable lead in the delegate count, Speier would appear to believe that either Clinton will bow out for the good of the party or Democratic leaders will put sufficient pressure on her to step aside.

Even more surprising, Speier said that despite her endorsement of Clinton, she would decide whom to vote for after the primary, leaving open the possibility that she'd go for Obama. She declined to say which candidate would get her vote, but her silence itself was revealing. - Inside Bay Area


Update: Speier wins with 80% of the vote.

MD-4 Special Election update

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Looks like Donna Edwards may get to go to Denver after all:

Voters in Maryland’s 4th District will fill their soon-to-be-vacant U.S. House seat on an expedited basis, following the state legislature’s approval of a proposal to short-circuit the lengthier process prescribed by Maryland election law. But the legislation ... left some uncertainty about the exact timing of the special election to replace Democratic Rep. Albert R. Wynn,... who is leaving Congress on May 31.

Both chambers passed a pair of bills, one of which would require Democratic Gov. Martin O’Malley to set the election on a Tuesday at least 36 days after his proclamation of an election, and another that would set the date for at least 36 days but no more than 60 days after the proclamation. By passing both bills, the legislature essentially punted the matter to O’Malley, who must decide which of the bills to sign and which to veto.
...
The bill would require O’Malley to announce the date of the special election within 10 days of when either the seat officially becomes vacant or the governor is notified in writing by Wynn of the date he will vacate the seat. Exactly when the election will be held after that proclamation will depend on which version of the legislation O’Malley signs.
In addition to the skipping of the primary, the other big change is that, under this new law, the 36 day clock can start when Wynn officially notifies O'Malley he is leaving Congress. If that happened tomorrow, the election could be held as early as May 20, and Edwards could be sworn into Congress the day Wynn leaves. But in any case, it looks good that Edwards will be attending the convention as a superdelegate, and Obama will have another name in his column.

Get your convention gear soon!

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The DNCC has just announced their official merchandise vendor for the 2008 Democratic National Convention.

Denver, CO - April 8, 2008 - Kroenke Sports and its affiliate APC have been selected to create the official line of merchandise for the Denver 2008 Convention Host Committee.

APC, whose primary focus is brand marketing and merchandise development at wholesale, will create a unique line of merchandise that includes everything from jewelry to lifestyle apparel. The first wave of merchandise, including the typical convention product mix of buttons, lapel pins, caps, tee shirts, novelties, toys and gifts, will be available for wholesale and direct retail online in early May.

The Host Committee is the official local planning organization for the Democratic National Convention to be held in Denver Aug. 25-28. Its line of merchandise will have copyright protections.

"We are honored to have this opportunity to participate in such an historic event for Denver and Colorado," said APC Partner Robert DeMasse. "We are on board and ready to help the Host Committee take the 2008 Convention and all of its programs to an all-new level."

DeMasse added, "We hope to make this line of merchandise a major opportunity for as many local women- and minority-owned businesses as possible."

APC said the line of merchandise also will reflect U.S. made and union made products.

The official line of merchandise will be available at www.DenverDNCgear.com beginning in May. Potential vendors and retailers also will be able to interact with APC by going to the web site or contacting their main office number at 303-405-6110

In addition to the web site, official merchandise will be available throughout the Denver region, including along the 16th Street Mall during convention week as well as traditional retail outlets from independent specialty shops, airport concessions, and big box and chain retailers. - DNCC Press Release
If you're not familiar with the Kroenke name because you don't follow sports or don't live in Colorado here's a little background. Stan Kroenke is the owner of the St Louis Rams, Colorado Avalanche, Denver Nuggets, Colorado Crush, Colorado Mammoth, Colorado Rapids and the Pepsi Center... home of the convention. Coincidence? I don't think so!

50,000 expected in Denver

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It's going to be crowded in August:

Democratic National Convention organizers have bumped up their estimate on how many people will flock to Denver during the presidential-nominating bash. The new estimate is now 50,000 people - a 43 percent increase from initial estimates, Leah Daughtry, chief executive officer of the Democratic National Convention Committee, told City Council members Monday.

From heads of state to people who just want to be in Denver on the night the first black man or the first woman becomes a major party's nominee for president, interest around the historic event is growing, she said. "I think it's going to be exciting for Denver," Daughtry said.

The estimate doesn't include the tens of thousands of protesters who are expected to show up.

The DNCC's working estimate had always been 35,000 attendees, including delegates, media and elected officials, spokeswoman Jenni Engebretsen said. "Just looking at the overwhelming interest that we're having in this convention . . . we're likely to see a higher than anticipated turnout here in Denver come August," she said.
Tens of thousands of protesters? Sounds like at least 70,000.

Monday, April 07, 2008

Speaker Pelosi, DNCC Announce Green Delegate Challenge

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The "Greenest" Delegation will get a "unique wearable green item" Maybe this will help the lack of interest people have in becoming a delegate this year ;)

DENVER - As part of an ongoing effort to make the 2008 Democratic National Convention the most environmentally-sustainable Democratic Convention in history, House Speaker and Permanent Convention Chair Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) and Convention organizers today announced the "Green Delegate Challenge," offering special rewards for the delegation or delegations that demonstrate the highest level of commitment to offsetting their carbon footprint from attending the Convention, to be held August 25-28, 2008. Colorado Governor Bill Ritter, Denver Mayor John Hickenlooper, Rep. Diana DeGette (D-CO) and Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) CEO Leah D. Daughtry joined Pelosi at the Pepsi Center in Denver to unveil the challenge and mark the first in a series of greening announcements the DNCC will make throughout April in recognition of Earth Day.

"The 2008 Democratic National Convention, like our great party, is about the future--the future of our country and the future of our planet," said Speaker Pelosi. "That is why we are ensuring that this Convention will be the greenest, most sustainable, most successful political Convention in history - and the Green Delegate Challenge is a critical part of that effort."

As part of the challenge, delegations with the highest percentage of members offsetting their carbon will be recognized in their seating section on the floor of the Pepsi Center during the Convention. Each delegate, alternate and super delegate from that state will also receive a limited edition "green" prize to be announced at a later date. Progress will be tracked on DemConvention.com, with the winning state or states recognized on the website in August. Any delegate who offsets their travel will receive a unique wearable "green item" for Convention week, available only to these delegates, and be recognized individually on DemConvention.com.

"Colorado is going green in ways both large and small, and I'm proud to be a part of the effort to provide Colorado citizens and Convention delegates alike the opportunity to offset our carbon footprint," said Governor Ritter. "Between the delegate challenge and its comprehensive greening initiatives, the Democratic National Convention can make an important contribution to our New Energy Economy."

"All of us involved in organizing the Convention have pledged to make it the greenest in history, and we are well on our way," said Mayor Hickenlooper. "The Green Delegate Challenge is a perfect tool to increase awareness of how carbon offsets can help us reduce our impact on the environment. In addition, this competition gives Convention delegates a fun way to lead by example." - DNCC Press Release

Preview of upcoming CA-12 special election

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A special election will be held on Tuesday to fill the seat of Democratic Congressman Tom Lantos, who died in February.

The clear front-runner is Jackie Speier, a former California state representative and staff member of former Congressman Leo Ryan. Speier was shot and Ryan was killed while on a fact-finding trip to Reverend Jim Jones' Jonestown in Guyana in 1978.

Speier faces a number of challengers, but is well funded, well motivated, has excellent name recognition (her former legislative district covers most of the same area as the Congressional district), and is endorsed across the Democratic establishment, including by both California US Senators, Speaker Pelosi, and the late Rep. Lantos himself before he died.

If by some chance Speier doesn't receive at least 50% of the vote on Tuesday, the election will go to a runoff to be held on June 3rd with the top 2 vote getters. This is a pretty unlikely outcome, however, given that Speier has outraised her nearest opponent 40:1.

Assuming Speier wins the race on Tuesday, she'll become a superdelegate as well. Speier has been a longtime Clinton supporter, but in a recent editorial interview with the San Meteo County Times, Speier said a.) she did not think the nomination would go all the way to the convention and b.) she would not decide who to vote for as a superdelegate until after the primaries.

Even more surprising, Speier said that despite her endorsement of Clinton, she would decide whom to vote for after the primary, leaving open the possibility that she'd go for Obama.

She declined to say which candidate would get her vote, but her silence itself was revealing.

Therefore, if elected, Speier would go into our uncommitted column until she quotes herself otherwise.

P.S. - Speaking of special elections, the table is set for a Democratic upset in the Louisiana 6th CD, where a ultra right-wing conservative with ties to the KKK is running against a Blue Dog Democrat. The seat has been Republican for 21 years, but may switch in the special election on May 3rd. I've posted more info on this race over at The Foghorn.

Sunday, April 06, 2008

North Dakota picks Obama adviser as add-on

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As in Delaware, North Dakota also selected a high-level Obama campaign member as its add-on superdelegate:

Today, North Dakota Democratic convention delegates elected an eighth superdelegate to the national convention. They picked Fargo businessman Dan Hannaher.

Hannaher is a senior North Dakota adviser to the Obama campaign.
Hannaher has a blog on Obama's website, and he has been added to the Obama column.

Saturday, April 05, 2008

Missouri, Delaware and Florida add-ons picked

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Missouri picked its 2 add-on superdelegates today:

The state committee of the Missouri Democratic Party picked its final two supers today, and those slots went to four-term Attorney General and likely gubernatorial nominee Jay Nixon and state auditor Susan Montee.

The superdelegates are unpledged, meaning they are free to pick either Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton. Montee has endorsed Obama, but Nixon has not indicated a preference.

In the clip below, Rob Carver of Delaware says "I would say my role is that of a volunteer" in the Obama campaign. Well he may still be a volunteer, but Carver is now the new add-on superdelegate from Delaware, and he has been added to our Obama list.




Florida's add-on superdelegates are Alex Sink, Steve Geller and Dan Gelber. No word of endorsements yet.

Update 4/6: North Dakota's add-on has been picked.

Media worried about Denver hotel availabilty

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The media is getting antsy about the allocation of hotels to the 2008 Democratic National Convention:

Some say Denver is risking a barrage of grumpy press reports during the Democratic National Convention if it can't find more hotel rooms for the folks who buy ink by the barrel. With more than four months until the August convention, some of the country's biggest news outlets have yet to secure temporary barracks for the armies they're sending to cover the conclusion of this year's dramatic presidential primary.
...
Some media logistic planners have gone into panic mode lately after the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) notified them that they might get only a fraction of the rooms they have requested."...Some national television networks and The Associated Press, have reserved big blocks of hotel rooms on their own. But other outlets, including The New York Times, USA Today, Reuters and others, have requested dozens of hotel rooms via the DNCC. So far they've been allotted only a fraction of the rooms, various sources said.
...
Theoretically, there are another 25,000 hotel rooms in the six-county metro area. However, as of this week, many hotels reported being booked solid for convention week, and even some low-budget facilities were advertising New York-style prices.
For example, the travel site Expedia.com listed the modest Budget Host Inn near Six Flags Elitch Gardens, which currently costs $65 per night, for $429 per night the last week of August. A hotel manager ... said owners had not decided whether to be open or proceed with a planned renovation that week.
...
Richard Sharf, president and chief executive officer for the Denver Metro Convention.....speculated that DNCC officials were holding extra rooms until they find out whether they need space for the Florida and Michigan delegations, or for either one or two top candidates after the last primaries in June. - Rocky Mountain News
A couple of things stand out: First, when initial hotel allocations were done, the DNCC did not expect two active candidates at the convention, which is causing higher demand for hotel rooms. Second, what's up with a hotel planning renovations the week of the convention? Talk about missing an opportunity!

Meet Puerto Rico's State Senate President Kenneth McClintock

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One of the best things the DCW team has been able to do during primary season is actually talk to some of the superdelegates. Senate President Kenneth McClintock has been a huge help to us in sorting out the news coming from Puerto Rico this year.

Senator McClintock has been the Senate President since 2005 and before that was the minority leader from 2001-2004. He announced his support of Hillary Clinton in January.

We're also very proud to know that Senator McClintock is an avid reader of our site. He was kind enough to answer some questions for us last month.


How long have you been a member of the DNC? How were you first elected?
I've been a member since 2000, elected by our State Convention.

How do you feel about the existence of superdelegates and what do you say to our readers who think that the process is undemocratic.
I believe superdelegates have a place in the process. As you've mentioned, they're the ones who remain committed full-time to the party throughout a four-year term, have the institutional memory and truly have the party's interests at heart.

Do you have plans to do any sightseeing outside of Denver while you're here?
I may stay a couple of days later and take the interstate up to the mountains. During the convention, no way, since it requires 18-hour-a-day commitment.

Can you tell me a few words about why you chose to endorse Hillary Clinton?
The main reason is because, while Barack Obama left the door open in his statement on Puerto Rico to take away individual PR voters chance to directly vote on political status options, Hillary Clinton is committed to federal legislation that will allow each voter to choose among the options. Remember, political status is by far the main issue for over 90% of Puerto Rican voters.

Have you been to a convention before? If so, do you have any good stories we can pass on to our readers?
I've only attended eight conventions, and expect to attend my tenth in 2012. Stories? I could write a book!

When did you first start visiting 2008 Democratic Convention Watch and how did you first find it?
Late December while doing a Google search and I now check it at least once a day and have recommended it to all my friends, including journalists, as the best, most reliable and up-to-date source.
Thanks Senator McClintock! We look forward to meeting you in August.

Friday, April 04, 2008

Convince a superdelegate

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OK, folks, here's your chance: Over at The Field (a great blog I just ran across recently), DNC member Debra Kozikowski (MA), has put up an invitation:

“Here’s your challenge. Think about me wearing my super duper hat reading your posts. Convince me why I should deliver my superdelegate vote to Senator Obama or for the minority here who support Senator Clinton — you too can rise to the ocassion with civility and grace.”
Good luck!

RNC Rules Committee approves rotating primaries for 2012 election

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Hi, this is a cross-post from my blog The Foghorn. Please feel free to leave comments on either site (or both!)

--charlie

Who says good ideas can't come from the Republican party?

I'm not sure if the motivation is a.) watching the Democratic party tear itself apart over a protracted primary season or b.) sour grapes from the Republican establishment over the selection of Sen. John McCain as their nominee, but the RNC Rules Committee has approved the "Ohio Plan" for consideration by the full RNC for creating a rotating primary between 4 "pods" of the country for the next presidential election season.

CQPolitics.com has the full details, and the proposal is a long way from formal adoption. Due to the way the Republican party rules stipulate how the election calendar can be amended, the proposal has to be ready in time for this year's Republican National Convention in Minneapolis/St. Paul, where McCain will receive the Republican party nomination.

The proposal as adopted takes on many of the characteristics of similar plans that have been gaining credibility over the past several months as the regret of the front-loaded primary season this year has resulted in a very compressed schedule, and unexpectedly gave a lot more weight to states that didn't move their primaries up.

As proposed, no primaries could occur until the first week of February. Iowa and New Hampshire would retain the right to go first, and cherry-picking an idea from the Democrats, South Carolina and Nevada would be next in line after New Hampshire. After those states went, the remaining states would be split into 4 "pods", with 17 small states and territories always going first. The remaining 3 pods would be randomly assigned an order for the 2012 election, and then rotated through subsequent elections, with the middle pod in 2012 going first in 2016, the first pod last, etc.

States could go later than their assigned pod date, but not earlier. Sanctions would be to strip states of delegates, as happened this year in both parties.

The next steps would be to have the proposal reviewed and approved by the full RNC at their meeting immediately prior to the convention, and then approved by the Convention Rules Committee. Assuming it passes those hurdles, it would then have to be approved by the full Republican Convention, with all 2,000+ delegates. Apparently a similar proposal, called the "Delaware Plan", made it past the RNC in 2000, but was torpedoed by the Bush campaign as they were worried about upsetting the agenda for Bush's nomination at the convention (once again, style over substance in the Bush administration).

The Democratic Party has looser rules for determining their primary calendar, and so they do not need to have a proposal ready for their national convention.

Even assuming the DNC and RNC both approve the general plan, the individual states would have to agree and many states would presumably have to pass legislation to move their primary or caucus dates. It's not sure how that will play out given the mess of the delegates in the Democratic process this year, we'll have to wait and see.

Overall, this is a positive first step and I'm glad to see the Republican party realizing they need to do something now to hopefully have a workable solution in 2012.

In surprise move, DNC says MI and FL will be seated on standing committees

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Surprising a number of folks, the DNC announced that Florida and Michigan's representatives to the standing Credentials Committee will be seated, regardless of whether their delegates are ultimately seated at the convention.

Why is this important? Because the Credentials Committee will be the one that ultimately decides whether the state delegations are seated at the convention, especially if the situation remains unresolved going all the way up to August. While each state will be barred from voting on the seating of their own delegates, they can vote on each other's, creating some interesting opportunities for horse-trading votes.


The article at Politico quotes a number of folks as being confused as to how MI and FL can be included in the standing committee if their delegates cannot be seated:
Allan Katz, the lone member of the DNC’s Rules and Bylaws Committee to vote against sanctioning Florida in August 2007, said the DNC’s current position “strikes me as odd.”

Katz, a Florida superdelegate who supports Obama, added that, “it doesn’t make any sense to presume that a full cadre of representatives from Florida and Michigan could serve on these committees absent there being a delegation.”

Katz, like all those interviewed, was also quick to offer the benefit of the doubt to DNC leadership. But, he said, “there is a lack of structural sense to this. I think people are confused.”

Marc Ambinder over at The Atlantic agrees with the DNC, stating that any sanctions that affect a state's membership on the standing committee's is a separate sanction that has to be adopted independently, and this was not done for either Florida or Michigan.

My own analysis of the Democratic Party's National Call to Convention also supports the DNC view.

Rule 7.A.1 and 3 states that:
Base: A base of 161 members, casting 158 votes, allocated to the states and territories in accordance with the same distribution formula used to allocate
delegates to the Democratic National Convention.

3. Delegate Status: Members of the standing committees need not be delegates or alternates to the Democratic National Convention.
What may cause some difficulty is that the allocation of each state's delegation to the standing committees must match the results of that state's presidential preferences (Rule 7.C.1) . How this would work in Michigan, where Obama wasn't even on the ballot, is currently unknown.

According to the Politico article, neither Obama nor Clinton have a majority of votes on the Credentials Committee to sway it either way should a challenge reach them. It is believed that by including Florida and Michigan on the committee, it would benefit Clinton as the states will have the ability to press their state's case and vote on the other's status. Combined the two states have 14 votes (8 for Florida and 6 for Michigan - Appendix D of the Call to Convention).

Assuming that the issue still doesn't get resolved at the Credentials Committee, Clinton's last hope would be for a "Minority Report" from the Credentials Committee to be adopted and passed to the full convention delegates. When the proposal to adopt the Credentials Committee report is introduced, Clinton can hope that a majority of delegates vote to reject the report without Florida and Michigan added, forcing the Committee to re-convene and bring up a new proposal for adoption. The Convention would then be stuck until a final Credentials Report could be adopted (Rule 7.C.1). Only a 20% vote would be required to include a Minority Report to the full convention.

But that's getting way ahead of ourselves. For now, it increases the drama and pressure for a solution prior to the convention in August.

Update from Matt: The Michigan Primary is still dead:
A re-vote in Michigan is likely dead on arrival after Michigan Democratic Party leaders conceded "it is not practical to conduct" a primary or caucus re-vote. The Obama campaign has now called for a 50-50 split of the Michigan delegates. The Clinton campaign, however, says Michigan "votes cannot be ignored" and is circulating a petition to still count votes and delegates from Michigan and Florida

Thursday, April 03, 2008

DC Add-ons named

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The District of Columbia named its two add-ons tonight. They are:

DC City Council members Yvette Alexander and Harry Thomas Jr . We've been told both are Obama supporters, and we'll add them to the list as soon as we get appropriate sources. Alexander is an Obama supporter, while Thomas is a former Clinton supporter who is now on the fence, given his ward voted 83% for Obama. We're still looking for a quote from Alexander before we can add her.

4 more add-ons to come this weekend.

Update: While Mike Panetta did not get one of the add-on spots, he writes:

"I should get my ticket punched in May..I bowed out for bigger fish and horse traders tonight"
May 1 is when the 3 at-large delegates (2 Obama, 1 Clinton) get selected.

Friday AM update: from Mike Panetta in the comments:
I know you want something in writing for Alexander, but 100% sure she is for Obama. I'll see if I can get something to you later.

One of Harry's staffers told me that the councilmember "heard from his constituents" and now supports Obama...but we'll need to make sure that remains the case in Denver.
4/16 Update: Thomas has announced his endorsement of Obama, and he has been added to the endorsement list.

Wednesday, April 02, 2008

Six add-ons to be picked

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As we move into April, we're about to pick up the pace of the selection of the add-on superdelegates. Here's what's coming up:

  • April 3 - DC - 2 add-ons - Selected by the DC Democratic State Committee
DC add-on superdelegates named.
  • April 5 - DE - 1 add-on - Selected during the State Convention by a committee of district-level delegates
  • April 5 - MO - 2 add-ons - Selected by the Democratic State Committee
MO, DE and FL add-on superdelegates named.
  • April 6 - ND - 1 add-on - Selected at the State Convention by a vote of all the caucuses
North Dakota add-on superdelegate named.

We've posted before about the DC add-ons. We expect DC's Statehood Representative, Mike Panetta, and an Obama supporter, to be named one of the add-ons, but the other one is unknown.

If the add-ons all go the way their states did, Obama would pick up all 6 add-ons. But given that MO was essentially a split decision (both candidates picked up 36 delegates), those add-ons could easily split, and we've seen that some uncommitted add-ons also get picked, so we'll have to see.

In addition to these six add-ons, Florida is also picking their three add-ons this weekend - Selected by the Florida Democratic Party State Executive Committee. Of course, as of now, Florida's add-ons do not count.

We'll post on each add-on as they are announced.

Update 4/6: Obama picked up 1 add-on in each state. Clinton picked up the other add-on in DC, and the other add-on in MO is uncommitted.

Florida and Michigan inch closer... maybe

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The entire liberal/Democratic blogosphere has lit up in the past day with the comments from DNC Chairman Howard Dean on the possible solutions for seating the delegations from Michigan and Florida. Dean has stated he is "committed" to seating the Florida delegation and is "optimistic" that another compromise can be worked out for Michigan.

"We are committed to making sure that we do everything in our power to seat a delegation from Florida," Dean said. "We believe we will seat a delegation from Florida."

But the party chairman said it was critical that Obama and Clinton were "comfortable with the compromises that have to be worked out."

However, Dean has also stated that any solution would have to be agreed upon by both candidates' campaigns in order to be workable.

Dean's low-key style during this delegate dispute is starting to attract some criticism from across the Beltway establishment. According to The New York Times, Dean has never been comfortable with the D.C. political mainstream, spending his weeks travelling the country and his weekends at home in Vermont. When in D.C., he stays at a hotel rather than taking a residence. His "50 state strategy" approach has put him at odds with Rep. Rahm Emanuel and others who want to focus on maintaining immediate majorities, but Dean remains immensely popular with state chairmen for his investments across the country in building ground level infrastructure to build a "bench" of candidates.

How would a compromise work? Both states have tried and failed to plan a re-vote. If another vote proposal were to come up, it would have to be completed by June 10th to meet DNC rules.

In Florida, some proposals are to seat the Florida delegation based on their primary results, as both candidates were listed on the ballot (although both pledged to not campaign in the state). Another compromise is to use the primary results but penalize Florida by removing 1/2 of their delegates. This solution would net Clinton 38 delegates (Clinton 105, Obama 67, and Edwards 13) Clinton 19 delegates (Clinton 52.5, Obama 33.5, and Edwards 6.5).

In Michigan, the options are tougher since Obama was not on the ballot. Some kind of formulaic allocation based on the Michigan primary results and the overall national results seems to be the favored proposal currently.

In the end, though, any change in the delegate allocation strategy will still need to be approved by both Obama and Clinton, as well as either the DNC Rules Committee or the DNC Convention Credentials Committee.

Update from Oreo: I have to jump in on Charlie's great post for this special announcement. Dean said that there are in fact hotel rooms reserved for Florida. Long timers at DCW will remember that that's all we posted about before this whole superdelegate thing ;)

Update from Matt: Marc Ambinder provides some more detail:
Here's what's happening.

Remember the Ausman challenge? Well, there are actually two Ausman challenges -- one regarding Florida's superdelegates, and one regarding the ability of the party's rules and bylaws committee to penalize an entire delegation.

Sources close to the DNC's rules and bylaws committee say that the Ausman challenges WILL be heard -- and that if the votes are there, some Florida delegates could be seated -- temporarily -- by the end of April. (The seating would likely be appealed to the credentials committee, but we'll cross that suspension bridge when we pay the toll for it.)
We wrote about Ausman's challenges here (pledged delegates) and here (superdelegates). The superdelegate challenge, seems, on the face of it, easier to get through, and might be the first breakthrough in this stalemate.

Maryland Special Election Update

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This could put Donna Edwards in office before the convention.

Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) will ask the state legislature to pass emergency legislation that would allow the state to hold a special general election to replace outgoing U.S. Rep. Albert R. Wynn (D) without first holding a primary.

O'Malley said he will ask the General Assembly to make the change before the legislative session ends Monday. It would allow the winner to serve out the remainder of Wynn's term and achieve seniority over other congressional freshmen.

Prince George's attorney Donna F. Edwards, who ended Wynn's pursuit of a ninth term by defeating him in a Democratic primary in February, is widely expected to run in any special election in the overwhelmingly Democratic district that includes parts of Prince George's and Montgomery counties. Edwards will face Republican Peter James in the November election.

...

"I have a hard time accepting the notion that it's not important to fill that seat when you have a congressional seat vacant," O'Malley told reporters. "For them not to be represented in Congress is not right." - Washington Post

Should Edwards be sworn in before the convention she would become a superdelegate. Like Al Wynn she has endorsed Barack Obama.

Deadline For Democratic National Convention Youth Essay Contest Fast Approaching

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We told you about the Write to Lead Youth Essay Contest in February. We're just over 2 weeks away from the deadline to submit an essay. If you can't get in as a delegate or volunteer this may be an alternative.

The Democratic National Convention Committee, Post-News Educational Services and Qwest are issuing a last call for students across Colorado to enter the "WRITE TO LEAD" essay contest -- a unique opportunity for Colorado youth to voice their thoughts on leadership and the future of our country and to engage in the essaylogo2008 Democratic National Convention experience. Finalists will have the opportunity to serve as ambassadors to state delegations from across the country, and two Presidential Winners will attend the 2008 Democratic National Convention in Denver.

Throughout history, political party conventions have played a key role in determining our nation's leaders. Essay contest organizers know young people in Colorado have big ideas about what makes a good leader and where our country is headed -- and with the 2008 Democratic National Convention in Denver fast approaching, there's no better time to give voice to those big ideas.

The "WRITE TO LEAD" contest invites Colorado students in grades 6-11 to submit an original essay answering one of two questions:
Grades 6-8: What qualities make a great leader? How could one exhibit those traits in everyday life?
Grades 9-11: Looking to the future, what do you see for our country? What qualities does a leader need to take our country forward?

**All entries, parental consent forms and waivers must be submitted and postmarked by Friday, April 18, 2008.**

Do you want to "WRITE TO LEAD?" Go to www.demconvention.com or call 720-362-2147 for details. - DNCC Press Release

Open Thread

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What is McCain's latest "senior moment", what does Obama need to do to win in November or whatever else is on your mind.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

We're going to start using our new commenting system with this one.

Thanks!

Previous Open Thread is here

Tuesday, April 01, 2008

Open Thread - August

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What is McCain's latest "senior moment", what does Obama need to do to win in November or whatever else is on your mind.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

Previous Open Thread is here

Open Thread

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

What is McCain's latest "senior moment", what does Obama need to do to win in November or whatever else is on your mind.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

Previous Open Thread is here

Bloggers to be seated with their delegations

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As we get closer to the convention we're starting to get more and more evidence that the DNCC really does plan on including bloggers. We've reported on state blogger credentials before and if you applied for credentials you'll be happy to know you that won't be in the nosebleed seats.

Demonstrating a commitment to unprecedented access for bloggers at the 2008 Democratic National Convention, the Democratic National Convention Committee (DNCC) today announced that bloggers credentialed as part of the DemConvention State Blogger Corps will be seated with their respective delegations in the Pepsi Center during the historic four-day event. The move guarantees bloggers with a focus on state politics a unique vantage point to provide localized coverage of the Convention, to be held from August 25-28 in Denver.

"The Internet is the most significant tool for building democracy since the invention of the printing press," said Democratic National Committee (DNC) Chairman Howard Dean. "New local, national and global communities are being formed which demand two-way communication between people and their leaders and the DemConvention State Blogger Corps will be on the frontlines at the 2008 convention to help facilitate this critical dialogue."

In November, the DNCC announced its blogger credentialing process for 2008, including an expansion of the credentialed blogger pool from prior cycles and the addition of a state blogger credentialing program. Under the DemConvention State Blogger Corps, which is designed for those covering state and local politics, the DNCC is offering the opportunity for one blogger to be credentialed from each of the states and territories. The program, recognizing the growth of more localized blogs and in line with Governor Dean's 50-state strategy, has been open for applications since December.

"Time and again, we talk about our commitment to bring down the walls of the Pepsi Center and engage more people in the Convention experience using new technology and other creative means," said Leah D. Daughtry, CEO of the DNCC. "Granting unprecedented access to our state bloggers shows we are serious about making this an inclusive, accessible event. When our nominee for President of the United States takes the stage, members of the DemConvention State Blogger Corps will witness this historic moment from the best seats in the house - and in turn, be able to offer their dedicated readers back home a first-hand account from the center of that state's action."

To qualify as a state blogger, the applicant's blog must have been in existence six months prior to requesting credentials and have at least 120 politically related blog posts. Bloggers must submit their daily audience and list their authority based on Technorati statistics. Bloggers may also provide examples of posts that make their blog stand out as an effective online organizing tool and/or agent of change.

In addition to the DemConvention State Blogger Corps, the DNCC will also credential a general blogger pool, to include local, state and national political bloggers, as well as niche and video bloggers from across the country.

Applications for blogger credentials will be accepted until April 15, 2008. Individuals selected for either the DemConvention State Blogger Corps or the general blogger pool will be notified in May.

Bloggers interested in applying can find additional information at http://www.demconvention.com/blogger-credentialing-process/ . - DNCC Press Release

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Open Thread

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Who's going to win, who has a better chance against McCain, or whatever else is on your mind.

We have decided to stop allowing anonymous comments. Not because we don't like reading what people have to say but because Blogger has introduced a new "feature" that makes you go to a second page when the number of comments go over 200.

It's very easy to set up a Google account so that you can continue commenting.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

Previous Open Thread here
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Open Thread

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Who's going to win, who has a better chance against McCain, or whatever else is on your mind.

We have decided to stop allowing anonymous comments. Not because we don't like reading what people have to say but because Blogger has introduced a new "feature" that makes you go to a second page when the number of comments go over 200.

It's very easy to set up a Google account so that you can continue commenting.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

New Open Thread here
Previous Open Thread here

Open Thread

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Who's going to win, who has a better chance against McCain, or whatever else is on your mind.

We have decided to stop allowing anonymous comments. Not because we don't like reading what people have to say but because Blogger has introduced a new "feature" that makes you go to a second page when the number of comments go over 200.

It's very easy to set up a Google account so that you can continue commenting.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

Previous Open Thread here

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Open Thread

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Who's going to win, who has a better chance against McCain, or whatever else is on your mind.

We have decided to stop allowing anonymous comments. Not because we don't like reading what people have to say but because Blogger has introduced a new "feature" that makes you go to a second page when the number of comments go over 200.

It's very easy to set up a Google account so that you can continue commenting.

And please be excellent to one another. We do not accept name calling or any attacks on our commenters. Any objectionable comments will be deleted. Try to be civil.

Thanks!

Previous Open Thread here
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Open Thread

WE'VE MOVED! DemConWatch is now at http://www.demconwatchblog.com

Who's going to win, who has a better chance against McCain, or whatever else is on your mind.

Update: We have decided to stop allowing anonymous comments. Not because we don't like reading what people have to say but because Blogger has introduced a new "feature" that makes you go to a second page when the number of comments go over 200.

It's very easy to set up a Google account so that you can continue commenting.

Thanks!

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