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You may think it's early, but already, PA is looking at an Arlen Spector(R) - Chris Matthews(D) match-up in 2010.
Quinnipiac took it seriously enough to poll it, and this is what they found: All Dem Rep Ind Men Women Specter 41 24 63 44 46 36 Matthews 36 56 16 27 31 41
In other demographics, Matthews wins in the Allegheny and Philly regions, and breaks even in Southwest Pennsylvania. All this, and more than 50% of every demographic claims they don't know enough about Chris to make a decision.