Sunday, June 29, 2008

Sunday with the Senators – Round-Up: 27 June

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Before we get to the November choices, I’d like to spend two moments on the current crop of Senators.

  1. Here is a link of the list of FISA heroes. Senators who WILL stand up and say "NO DOMESTIC SPYING" "NO TELECOM IMMUNITY" And in answer to "why is it so bad that the telecoms did what the government asked them to?" the answer is "Collusion with corruption causing civil rights violations is BAD." If you have not done so, please remember to call YOUR Senators. (Yes, both of them) -- you may also want to contact the 15 FISA heroes and say thank you. Because standing up against tyranny and aggression matters. The vote is currently scheduled for 8 July, but may be delayed due to the potential filibuster.
  2. If you believe, as I do, that Joe Lieberman needs to be ousted from all Democratic caucus meetings, sign the petition. Political action is NOT just reading the numbers and voting in November, it is supporting the people in office who support our values, and working to remove those who do not.

And now, on to the races.

Alaska: No new polls this week, and it’s still a supposed toss-up. However, the Obama machine is coming.

Colorado: The latest Quinnipiac poll has Udall up by 10, with 12% undecided. Remember that Udall’s favourables are at 56%, and Schaffer’s are below 50.

Georgia: No movement, and no new polls.

Kentucky: McConnell is slipping. RCP has him up by 7.7 as of 25 June, when he won 6 years ago by approximately 30 points.

Louisiana: No movement, and no new polls.

Maine: No movement, and no new polls. Remember though, that Collins won 6 years ago by about 17 points, and hasn’t led by that since March.

Minnesota: No movement, and no new polls. The good news is that Jesse Ventura still hasn’t entered the race, and the Presidential polls show Obama up by a lot.

Mississippi: Cochran: No change, no new polls.
Mississippi: Wicker: This is still the closest of all the races, with RCP having recent polls in the +1/-1 range.

North Carolina: No change, no new polls.

New Hampshire: No new polls, but Shaheen is still up by more than 10. (Sununu won against her 6 years ago by 4). Expect to see new polling out of NH this week based on the Unity rally on Friday.

New Jersey: The latest poll, from Saturday,
shows Lautenberg up by a comfortable 16 points.

New Mexico: Still a lock for Udall.

Oregon: No change, and no new polls. (But I’m still convinced this "red" will change by Labour Day.)

Virginia: Still a lock for Warner.

And I’d like to bring what should be a fully red race to your attention: Texas. Yes, that Texas. A recent Texas Lyceum poll shows Cornyn up by only 2 points. Sure, there is a large percentage of undecideds, But Cornyn won this race by 12 points 6 years ago. It shouldn’t be this close, but happily it is.

The most important numbers in the next several weeks will not be the poll numbers, but will be the money numbers which will be out in mid-July.

Comments (14)

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Just wanted to note that Bob Schaffer is not the incumbent in Colorado. The seat is open with Allard's retirement.
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There actually was a new poll from Minnesota: the same Quinnipiac poll that showed Obama ahead by 17 percent there unfortunately showed Franken down by 10.
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I think any decision about what to do with Senator Lieberman needs to wait until after the general election. Kicking him out of the caucus now gives control of committees and the floor agenda to the Republicans. Control of the floor allows us to make the Republicans vote on things they would rather avoid (like equal pay for women).
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No it wouldn't. Democrats keep control of the committees and floor for the rest of the session regardless of any changes in party membership. This is due to the rules agreed upon at the start of this Congress in Jan. '07. I don't have the cite handy - but it's in the Wikipedia article on the Senate.
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Can we maybe point out who is dem and who is repub here for those of us who are not in the know.
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2 replies · active less than 1 minute ago
A lot of the information on who is the incumbent is listed here http://www.demconwatchblog.com/2008/06/senate-tra...

However, I think you've got a point and will post a list late this evening.
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Thank you. Its nice to see off the cuff who is who while reading this forum.
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Just a thought.

You are making a big thing about "no telecom imunity" but is there any point to convicting them? I would asume that Bush would pardon them.
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3 replies · active less than 1 minute ago
I personally believe that standing up for what's right really matters. The FISA legislation, as interpreted by the Bush administration is an apparent direct violation of the 4th amendment. They can do whatever they do -- but here a group of men and women who are willing to stand up (albeit belatedly) and say that it matters that we uphold the Constitution.

The proposed legislation itself is flawed, as it relates to civil and criminal liability. The only really good part of it is the re-introduction of the actual FISA court, which the Bush administration circumvented by granting immunity to the telecoms.

Certainly, it's unlikely that anyone goes to jail. But it will make ATT, Verizon, etc THINK before they collude in the future. Further, by the time it comes time to take anyone to court, there will be a new administration.
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Interesting. So a President can't pardon people untill after they are convicted?

Bit hard if you convicted somebody and hanged him before the pardon could be delivered.
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uplandpoet's avatar

uplandpoet · 877 weeks ago

just one reason to oppose the death penalty, your corrupt governor or president cant let you off:) actually, i am pretty sure nobody has been executed the same year they were sentenced to die since they reinstituted the death penalty in 1976.
it is an out dated anachronism, but then so is a nation that thinks the earth is 5000 yrs old and woman was created from adams rib.....
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Blame -- this came out last night and should make things more clear http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/3036677/vp/25466045#2...
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