Tuesday, July 22, 2008

Will Obama in Germany Affect the Polls?

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From the AP:

"In this city where John F. Kennedy, Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton all made famous speeches, Obama will find himself stepping into perhaps another iconic moment Thursday as his superstar charisma meets German adoration live in shadows of the Reichstag and the Brandenburg Gate. He then travels to Paris and London where he can expect to be greeted with similar adulation.

It's not only Obama's youth, eloquence and energy that have stolen hearts across the Atlantic. For Europeans, there have always been two Americas: one of cynicism, big business and bullying aggression, another of freedom, fairness and nothing-is-impossible dynamism."


Will it matter to the polls?

Posted by DocJess at 9:08 AM

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SarahLawrence Scott's avatar

SarahLawrence Scott · 873 weeks ago

Of course, we'll never know what it did to the polls, because it's too close to other events. I expect the trip overall to give Obama 2-3 points, but a lot of that is from the developments in Iraq and general positive coverage. And then we're likely to get a VP announcements hard on its heels. Even the tracking polls can't really separate out events that occur within a few days, because it takes a few days for the news to spread through the population.

It should be a good moment, though.
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