Tuesday, September 30, 2008

Polling Update - September 30th

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

Rasmussen Tracking Poll: Obama 51, McCain 45 (Yesterday: Obama 50, McCain 45).
Hotline: Obama 47, McCain 41 (Yesterday: Obama 47, McCain 42).
Daily Kos: Obama 51, McCain 41 (Yesterday: Obama 51, McCain 42).
Gallup: Obama 49, McCain 43 (Yesterday: Obama 50, McCain 42).

Four poll average: Obama 49.5, McCain 42.5 (Obama 49.5, McCain 42.75).

Here's the overall national trend from Pollster.com in a cool new embeddable format.

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Rasmussen hitting 51% is quite nice. I would like to see Rasmussen and Gallup regularly having Obama at north of 50% and McCain south of 45%. I am not sure how undecideds are going to break at the end, but this is encouraging.

It is also encouraging that he is polling well right now considering that many folks are taking advantage of early voting and absentee balloting. Monday was the first day to vote early in Nebraska and from what I have read in the paper, there is a steady trickle of voters. My wife and I plan on voting early to avoid the crowds on the day of the election.
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