Sunday, September 28, 2008

Sunday with the Senators – Economic Bailout Edition

WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com

I am truly stunned by the changes in many of the Senate polls. The sole thing I can figure is that $700 billion is such a mind boggling number that many of the smaller numbers are off, too.

Let’s start in Alaska: Ted Stevens goes to court, and Mark Begich’s numbers fall from a lead of more than 10 points to MOE. I am stunned. Alaskans WANT a felon as their senator? Perhaps this will change if Stevens is convicted, but I’m trying to get my mind around the idea that Alaskans would vote him in if he was convicted just BECAUSE he was convicted. Then again, based on the opening statement, it looks like Stevens will attempt to blame everything on his wife.

Then again, Sarah likes him:


Across the country (and geographically closer to Moscow), the polls are tightening in New Hampshire. There was a one-day Rasmussen outlier showing Sununu was winning, but everything else still shows Jeanne Shaheen ahead. And while a win is a win, it’s disconcerting. Full polls here.

In Colorado, Mark Udall’s lead fell to 2 in the last Rasmussen poll, but RCP still has the average up at Udall +6.

The only new change I’m really thrilled about is Jeff Merkley in Oregon.



















Then again, I'm also glad that it is not just me who noticed that Liddy Dole lives at the Watergate. She's actually physically been in North Carolina for 97 days this year. This compared to, um, 13 days in 2006. Unlike her challenger Kay Hagan, who actually lives there. And it shows, since Hagan is holding her lead.

Comments (2)

Loading... Logging you in...
  • Logged in as
Login or signup now to comment.
Minnesotans not too long ago wanted a professional wrestler as governor. Ohioans also kept re-electing Jim Traficant to Congress. Voters love the novelty of the atypical politician. Being indicted and convicted like Stevens also adds to that extreme. It's partly the reason Bush was elected; Gore was just so typical Washington and Bush was the ne'er do well Americans hope would succeed at something big.

Which is also partly the reason McCain is still in it. He's not popular like Obama, he's not accepted among typical Republicans. That just may be enough for people to feel sorry for him enough to vote for him. Which is why it was very smart of McCain to make this a personality race right after the conventions for as long as he could've done it.
Reply
Oregon Dem's avatar

Oregon Dem · 859 weeks ago

It is interesting how negative Gordon Smith (OR-R) has gone in the last few weeks. His ads are pretty sickening and in some even outright lies. In past races Smith would did not have to go so low. He is obviously in trouble and the interesting thing is that Jeff Merkley was not the best candidate that the Dems could have had, as he has had little statewide exposure / name recognition in comparison to some of the other potential candidates that decided not to run. To see the negativity is not working is great!
Reply

Comments by