Tuesday, July 01, 2008

House Forecast - July 1

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This is the DemConWatch House Forecast, a summary of the best election projections on the web for the 2008 House elections. Be sure to check out our Presidential Forecast and Senate Forecast.

DCW House Forecast: 241.7 (+5.7).

The DCW House Forecast is an average of the projections of Democratic seats in the 2009 House.

We only list those seats which at least one our sources shows to be Leaning or Tossup. Seats which are classified as Likely, Solid or Strong by all sources are not shown, but, of course, will be added if there are changes.

The columns are sorted by each sources House Projection:


DCW House Tracker
State
CurrentCookCrystal BallSSPCQRothenberg....
Date

6/266/106/86/276/19
Dem-Strong

78726
Dem-Lean

1416192213
Tossup

2619131526
Rep-Lean

81013208
Rep-Strong

791039
Dem-Prediction

32.832.331.331.131.0
Dem-Strong (not shown)

209209209209209
House Projection

241.8241.3240.3240.1240.0
Dem-Gain

5.85.34.34.14.0

AK AL (Young)
RTTTTT
AL 2 (Open)
RRLRLRRLR
AL 5 (Open)
DTTTTT
AZ 1 (Open)
RTTTDLT
AZ 5 (Mitchell)
DDLDLDLDLDL
AZ 8 (Giffords)
DDLDLDLDLDL
CA 11 (McNerney)
DTDLDLDLT
CA 4 (Open)
RRRRRLR
CO 4 (Musgrave)
RTTRLRLT
CT 4 (Shays)
RTRLRLRLRL
CT 5 (Murphy)
DDDDDLD
FL 13 (Buchanan)
RRRLRRLR
FL 16 (Mahoney)
DDLTDLTT
FL 24 (Feeney)
RRLRRRRL
GA 12 (Barrow)
DDDDDLD
GA 8 (Marshall)
DDLDLDLDLT
IL 10 (Kirk)
RTRLRLRLT
IL 11 (Open)
RDLDDLDDL
IL 14 (Foster)
DDLDLDLDLD
IL 8 (Bean)
DDDDDLD
IN 9 (Hill)
DDLDLDLDLDL
KS 2 (Boyda)
DTTDLTT
KS 3 (Moore)
DDDDDDL
KY 3 (Yarmuth)
DDLDLDLDLDL
LA 4 (Open)
RRLTRLRLT
LA 6 (Cazayoux)
DTDLDLTT
MI 7 (Wahlberg)
RTTRLRLRL
MI 9 (Knollenberg)
RRLRRLRLRL
MN 1 (Walz)
DDDDDLDL
MN 3 (Open)
RTTTTT
MO 6 (Graves)
RRLRRLRLRL
MO 9 (Open)
RRRRRLR
MS 1 (Childers)
DTDLDLDLDL
NC 8 (Hayes)
RTTRLTT
NH 1 (Shea-Porter)
DDLDLDLDLT
NJ 3 (Open)
RTTTRLT
NJ 7 (Open)
RTTTTT
NM 1 (Open)
RTTTTT
NM 2 (Open)
RRLRLRRR
NV 3 (Porter)
RRLRLRLRLRL
NY 13 (Open)
RTTTTT
NY 19 (Hall)
DDDDDLD
NY 20 (Gillibrand)
DDLDLDLDLDL
NY 25 (Open)
RTTDLTDL
NY 26 (Open)
RTTTRLT
NY 29 (Kuhl)
RTRLRLRLT
OH 1 (Chabot)
RTRLRLRLRL
OH 15 (Open)
RTTTTT
Oh 16 (Open)
RTTTTT
OH 2 (Schmidt)
RRRLRLRLRL
OR 5 (Open)
DDLDLDLTT
PA 10 (Carney)
DTDLDLDLT
PA 3 (English)
RRRRRLR
PA 4 (Altmire)
DDLDLDLDLDL
PA 6 (Gerlach)
RRRRRLR
TX 22 (Lampson)
DTTTDLT
TX 23 (Rodriguez)
DDDDDLD
VA 11 (Open)
RDLDLTDLDL
VA 2 (Drake)
RRLRRRR
WA 8 (Reichert)
RTRLRLTT
WI 8 (Kagen)
DDLDLDLDLDL
WY AL (Cubin)
RRRRRLR


CookCrystal BallSSPCQRothenberg....
























































































































The House Projection for each source gives Democrats 1.0 seats in a state that is projected solid for the Democrat, 0.8 seats for a Democrat-Lean, 0.5 seats for a a Tossup, 0.2 seats for a Republican-Lean, and 0 seats for a solid Republican seat.