WE'VE MOVED! Democratic Convention Watch is now at http://www.DemocraticConventionWatch.com
With new polls out showing McCain in the lead, we must remember what convention bounces look like. From FiveThiryEight.com, comes this graph of the average convention bounce:
But this year, the conventions were back-to-back. Overlay two graphs, and you get:
But given the lateness of the conventions, and the major press coverage, one would expect any bounces to be shortlived. If they are bounces...
Bottom line, lets see where the polls are at the end of the week, before jumping to any conclusions about the state of the race.